Climate Change risks and impacts in Myanmar

Climate Change risks and impacts in Myanmar 2nd most vulnerable country to Climate Change Impacts (during previous 2 decades) - German Watch Index Extreme weather events are likely to increase (in both frequency and intensity) Major threats on Agricultural System : 70% of the country rely on farming

Climate Change risks and impacts in Myanmar 34% of the population subject to coastal flood 33% to river flood 49% to water stress of flood as well as drought Yangon ranked 4th city most vulnerable to climate change High poverty levels (1/3 of population) makes people more sensitive to economic losses, health problems, human rights abuses and access to main needs after extreme events

Modern Coastline

Coastline +6m of sea-level rise

Overall implication for Myanmar 1m+ global rise by 2100 possible Much more by 2200 1.5 multiplication for Myanmar Subsidence of delta sediments (compaction and loading) makes situation worse) But storms and tides need to be considered Prepare for meaningful sealevel rise, particularly in delta region +6m figure

Worldwide geopolitical consequences Stern review (2006) : the estimated costs of climate change without action would be 5% of global GDP each year from now massive change in global economic system. Refugees : up to 212 millions because of the sea rise level only in 2050 (Myers, 2010) and huge migrations because of desertification, permanent flooding of coastal regions, famines, decreased agricultural productivity, land degradation (droughts, storm surges, cyclones) Intern conflicts : pressures on resource allocation (funds, territory, food), intergroup tensions (ethnic, religious, migrants) caused by adverse consequences of climate change Inter states conflicts : exploitation of weaknesses (intervention, subversion), conflict over resources and land Reinforcement of rural-to-urban : migrations because of problems in agriculture sector

Myanmar social consequences Tensions : Unmitigated Climate Change: Impeded development and increased poverty Tension on natural resources, space and food. Population very sensitive (health, education, agriculture and available infrastructure) strong impacts Arrival of climatic refugees and migrants from Bangladesh : destabilization of the bangladi state. Irrawaddy sources from Mali and Nmai rivers in or near China. Since 2004, this trend has worsen

DIFFERENT WAYS TO FIGHT CLIMATE CHANGE Green Economy, Green Policies

A huge potential for ORGANIC FARMING

A huge potential for RENEWABLE ENERGIES

A huge potential for GREEN CITIES

A huge potential for GREEN BUILDINGS

A huge potential for GREEN TOURISM

A huge potential for PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION

Myanmar, the future Green Tiger?

«Green Lotus foundation» is a think and do tank based in Myanmar since several years. Our 3 missions : networking, lobbying, empowering In favour of : green network, local CSOs, CBOs, Businesses, Politics, Cities, Ministries, Academics, Religions In order to : raise awareness on green issues, protest on wrong projects, propose green solutions For another kind of development for Myanmar, a sustainable development Green Lotus is at the service of Myanmar society, mostly CSOs, especially for the Paris COP21. THANK YOU!

Myanmar delegates (officials + CSOs) at COP 21

General email: contact@green-lotus.org Green Lotus Chairman: jmbrule@gmail.com Green Lotus websites: green-lotus.org greengrowthdialogue.org Contact us if you are willing to promote Myanmar CSOs and help them in their day-to-day struggle to convert Myanmar to sustainable development, for the sake of its people.