West Coast -- Cabrillo Port: Cracking the California Code

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Transcription:

West Coast -- Cabrillo Port: Cracking the California Code Platt s 5th Annual LNG Conference Houston, Texas May 2006

BHP Billiton is the World s largest diversified resources company Petroleum 19% Aluminium 10% Base Metals 23% Carbon Steel Materials Diamonds & Spec Prod Energy Coal Stainless Steel Materials 30% 4% 6% 8% Slide 2

Cabrillo Port: Cracking the Code in California Does California need LNG regasification capacity? How many terminals will be necessary for the West Coast of North America? Why is Pacific Basin LNG supply so tight? Is BHP Billiton best placed to provide gas to California? Can we successfully manage the permitting process for regas facility offshore California? Slide 3

Cabrillo Port: Cracking the Code in California Does California need LNG regasification capacity? Slide 4

35 Projected U.S. Natural Gas Supply and Demand 30 25 Consumption High Demand Case 20 15 10 5 0 Production 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 Tcf 5 4 3 2 1 0 Natural Gas Net Imports (2003, 2030) LNG Pipeline Supply Source Domestic Production Pipeline Imports LNG Imports Avg. Annual Change (2006 to 2020) 1.2% (4.7%) 10.0% Slide 5 Source: Energy Information Administration Annual Energy Outlook 2006

California s Energy Policy relies on Natural gas 1. Demand Management 2. Renewables 3. Natural Gas California Energy Commission s latest Natural Gas Assessment cites the future need for additional supplies of natural gas for Californians. Slide 6 Source: California Energy Commission Integrated Energy Policy Report 2005

Western US Pipeline Situation West Coast LNG Will Likely Displace Gas from Historical Sources Slide 7 Proposed Rockies Express Proposed Continental Connector

Cabrillo Port: Cracking the Code in California Does California need LNG regasification capacity? How many terminals will be necessary for the West Coast of North America? Slide 8

Regional LNG Projects Slide 9

Baja California Is Gas From Baja LNG Imports the Answer for California? Slide 10

Cabrillo Port: Cracking the Code in California Does California need LNG regasification capacity? How many terminals will be necessary for the West Coast of North America? Why is Pacific Basin LNG supply so tight? Slide 11

LNG Supply Capacity vs. Receiving Terminal Capacity Existing/Under Construction + Proposed + Potential 750 ATLANTIC 750 MIDDLE EAST 750 PACIFIC mtpa 500 250 0 LNG Supply Capacity Americas East Coast & Europe Regas Capacity mtpa 500 250 0 LNG Supply Capacity Regas Capacity mtpa 500 250 0 LNG Supply Capacity Americas West Coast Asia Regas Capacity Slide 12 Source: Wood Mackenzie, LNG Journal, Poten & Partners, FERC

Pacific Basin LNG Supply Capacity vs. Market Demand Forecast 200 180 Planned-Asia Pacific 160 LNG mtpa 140 120 100 80 60 Assume Bontang 6 mtpa continue for export Existing- Asia Pacific Uncommitted Existing-Middle East Committed to Asia Pacific Existing- Asia Pacific Committed 40 20 Asia Pacific LNG Demand Forecast - 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Note: Ex isting capacity includes projects currently under construction Slide 13 Source: Wood McKenzie, LNG Journal, FACTS, Poten & Partners

California gas markets will be competing with Asian Markets for LNG Supply China s LNG Terminals Existing + Proposed Source: CERA, from ABN-AMRO, Fuel Economy January 2006 Slide 14

Cabrillo Port: Cracking the Code in California Does California need LNG regasification capacity? How many terminals will be necessary for the West Coast of North America? Why is Pacific Basin LNG supply so tight? Is BHP Billiton best placed to provide gas to California? Slide 15

Cabrillo Port Floating Storage & Regasification Unit (FSRU) Proven Technologies: Single Point Mooring Side by side LNG transfer Moss spherical LNG storage tanks Submerged Combustion Vaporization (SCV) technology regasification Slide 16

Scarborough A Credible Development Option Slide 17

Cabrillo Port: Cracking the Code in California Does California need LNG regasification capacity? How many terminals will be necessary for the West Coast of North America? Why is Pacific Basin LNG supply so tight? Is BHPB best placed to provide gas to California? Can we successfully manage the permitting process for regas facility offshore California? Slide 18

Completing permitting requires multi-level approach with key stakeholders Federal (Secretary of Energy, Dept of Energy, USCG) State (legislators and key stakeholders) Agencies (CSLC, USCG, CARB, EPA Region 9, CEC, South Coast and Ventura County Air Districts) Local (Chambers of commerce, local businesses/industry, city councils, environmental groups) Slide 19

Progress and Key Events Cabrillo Port Permitting Application submitted September 2003 Draft EIS/EIR issued and public comments period (Nov 04) Data request by CSLC and regulatory clock stopped (Jan 05) Draft EIR issued and public comments period (Mar 06) Draft air and water permits issued by EPA and public comment period (May 06) Final EIS/EIR and vote of Calif. State Lands Commission Federal Deepwater Port Permit and State Land Lease Issued Slide 20

Cabrillo Port is the right project, in the right place, at the right time The West Coast US needs an LNG terminal this decade Many project concepts exist, but few have advanced to permitting and supply is tight BHP Billiton has one of the few supply sources that can provide gas to the West Coast in the 2010-11 timeframe Slide 21

Thank You Supplying California with Safe, Clean, Reliable Natural Gas