25th Annual Southern African Transport Conference

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25th Annual Southern African Transport Conference Freight and Rail Logistics Session Supply Chain Competitiveness of the SA Automotive Industry with an emphasis on Supplier Parks Barlow Manilal Chief Operations Officer Automotive Industry Development Centre (AIDC) 1

Contents Background Key measures Challenges / Threats The path to global competitiveness ICT Integration Corridors Supplier Parks Conclusion 2

Key industry measures Compete on equal terms, no concessions Compete against international parent and sister companies Key measures: Cost Quality Delivery 3

The Automotive Industry SA represents 83% of Africa s vehicle output, but only 0.9% of the world market (US = 30%) Whilst global production increased by 3.8% in 2000, SA s production expanded by 9.6% SA is the 18th largest manufacturer of vehicles in the world The automotive industry contributes to 6.4% of GDP and is the third largest sector in the SA economy, accounting for 29% of 300 700 people directly and many more indirectly Total vehicle parc of 6.8 million vehicles with an estimated replacement cost in excess of ZAR 700 Billion Total revenue from the industry is expected to reach R 153 billion in 2002, with component and vehicle exports amounting to R 40 billion. Equals 13% of the countries exports. Direct labour costs per vehicle have reduced by 30% over the past five years Productivity (vehicle per head) has increased by 68% in the last 5 years, but is still lagging behind international standards 4

The SA Automotive Supply chain 8 OEMs - BMW, DaimlerChrysler, General Motors, Ford (including Land Rover, Mazda and Volvo), Fiat, Nissan, Toyota, Volkswagen Approx 275 1 st tier suppliers Approx 100 2 nd tier suppliers >200 3 rd and 4 th tier suppliers 5

Critical challenges faced by South African part suppliers 6

Profiles of component suppliers in the SA automotive industry, the extremes Small Large/Multinational Turnover R500K >R200million Staff 5 >600 Technology Manual Highly automated Market Exclusively domestic Export orientated Local supply Exclusive supplier to 1 OEM Supplier to all 8 OEMs NOTE: Data and reference in this presentation refers respectively to both 7

Key challenges facing the SA components industry Cost control Inventory use (raw materials, work in progress, finished goods) total logistics costs exceed international benchmarks, more specifically India and China Logistics infrastructure inefficiencies (Ports, rail, ) Exports Exchange rate fluctuations of recent Strengthening of the rand 8

Key challenges facing the SA components industry Quality weaker rand and lower remuneration levels historically made poor quality tolerable, there is no longer a cushion. Customer return rates internal reject rate rework and scrap rates return rates to suppliers 9

Key challenges facing the SA components industry Relationships Supplier & OEM Historically extremely adversarial although improving it is still evident Collaborative projects to sustain the industry no longer a preference but a necessity Partnering relationships still a relatively new concept that needs to be embraced. Internationally, the industry is guided by OEM strategies, reciprocal relationships are imperative 10

Location distance to markets and source of components Asia Europe Australia USA South America 11

Key challenges facing the SA components industry Lead times Value chain flexibility Time from order to delivery - 4 to 6 weeks international delivery lead time delivery frequency of suppliers and supplier delivery reliability, delivery frequency to customers and delivery reliability Average stock turns below that of China and India 12

Key challenges facing the SA components industry Capacity to change Human resource development (unsatisfactory) Literacy & numeracy levels (the unemployables ) Employee development/training Labour & management turnover Absenteeism rates, employee output 13

The path to global competitiveness Skills Development and Training China has 10 million engineers!!!! South African illiteracy level >10 Million 14

Key challenges facing the SA Automotive Industry Innovation capacity Limited in no R&D expenditure (process and product) Contribution of new products to total sales 15

Key challenges facing the SA components industry Funding and capital investment A great deal of investment has taken place at multinational level Growth of locally owned businesses unsatisfactory Lack of capital investment ultimately leads to antiquated production processes and equipment which erodes global competitiveness (eg TRANSNET) Lack of low cost reliable technology 16

Key challenges facing the SA components industry BEE compliance BEE compliance very often necessitates development, this is a serious challenge at the lower end of the value chain Market access Despite Governments trade missions, etc, emerging suppliers have little success in accessing international markets Globalisation Globalisation = access to global capacity of which excess, with higher skills levels, are available 17

The Chinese threat Deputy Minister of Commerce, Mr Wei Jianguo made a statement that China will make more efforts to promote exports - bringing auto parts and sedans into international markets. China has set a target of exporting automobiles and components worth 70 to US$100 billion a year by 2010. (SA currently @ R40b) 18

Imports "...more and more of our imports are coming from overseas." On NPR's Morning Edition (Sept 25, 2000) 19

Dynamics of South Africa s Automotive Supply Chain OEM - Original Equipment Manufacture TIER -1 TIER - 2 TIER - 3 Black Economic Empowerment / SMME Good Average Below average Lean manufacturing Continuous Imp. Mech. Technology Training Prog. Six Sigma/BSC CRM IT Infrastructure This is based on the industry average, exceptions do exist. 20

Global Competitiveness of the SA automotive supply chain World Leader Parent Company involvement Advanced Above average Average OEM & Parent Company involvement Minimal Tier-1 involvement Infrequent audits from Tier-2 and limited performance measures Mediocre OEM TIER- 1 TIER-2 TIER- 3 This is based on the industry average, exceptions do exist BEE/SMME 21

Key challenges facing the SA Automotive Industry..cont How lekker is local when the markets and the competition are international? 22

Automotive Supplier Park - Rosslyn 23

The Supplier Park Concept Supplier Parks (Logistics Infrastructure) Clustering of manufacturers in close proximity to point of consumption to exploit benefits of synergies and collaboration. ie capitalizing on shared services and facilities Examples of other South African Supplier Parks Rosslyn (Pretoria) R340m Uitenhage (Port Elizabeth) R394m ELIDZ (East London Industrial Dev Zone) - >R250m Other under discussion 24

Socio Economic Indicators of NMBLP (Phase 1) Employment: During construction (temp) 1100 Full time (post construction) 1764 Park management Security 5% industry growth Tenants staff GDP Growth for the region R529m Increase in rates & taxes base Increase in water and electricity consumption Property price increase of 200% FDI R40m Regional regeneration World-class working environment, eventually with: Training centers Creche facilities 25

What attracts investors (tenants) to supplier parks Overall reduction in logistics costs Close proximity between point of manufacture and consumption (optimally 5kms) World-class infrastructure and facilities : Corporate image Staff morale Environmentally friendly buildings Ability to out-source non-core business activities: Canteen facilities Security IT Network Conference & meeting facilities Medical centres Training centres Concessions/preferential rates on lease options Must be a business case 26

Private Institutional Arrangements Projected tenants and main beneficiaries? Restriction to customers, groups, industries? Preparation for funding, government schemes, etc.? Competition with market or other projects? Development Public Private Partnership Public OEM Bank Property Industry Service Providers Others Contribution of land Contribution of infrastructure Contribution of bulk services Project development costs Subsidies Other National Province Local Others Private Operations Public Private Partnership Public 27

Infrastructure: Main Gatehouse, Taxi Rank (Drop-off Zone) and Central Parking 28

Automotive Supplier Park - Rosslyn 29

Automotive Supplier Park - Rosslyn 30

Logistics Centre (ASP-Rosslyn) 31

Walvis Bay Trans Kalahari Corridor Automotive Trial Shipment Problem Statement: Congested ports Weather conditions Resulting in time delays Objective: Investigate WB-TKC as an alternate Supply Route Verifying the performance of the corridor through the actual transshipment of auto components via the WB corridor 32

Walvis Bay Trans Kalahari Automotive Trial Shipment Project Methodology: Route 1 Gauteng Port of Port of Road Sea Road Walvis Bay Rotterdam Port of Antwerp Route 2 Road Port of Durban Sea Port of Antwerp Gauteng Route 3 Gauteng Rail Port of Port Elizabeth Sea Port of Antwerp 33

International standards VW Plant Manufacturing the new Pheaton New Pheaton Factory in Germany.pps 34

If we don't succeed, we run the risk of failure." - George W. Bush 35

Thank you Contact details: Barlow Manilal Chief Operations Officer Automotive Industry Development Center Automotive Supplier Park 30 Helium Road, Rosslyn Tel: 012 564 5250 bmanilal@aidc.co.za 36