Measuring Tree Seedlings and Associated Understory Vegetation in Pennsylvania s Forests. Methods

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Measuring Tree Seedlings and Associated Understory Vegetation in Pennsylvania s Forests William H. McWilliams 1,Todd W. Bowersox 2,Patrick H. Brose 3, Daniel A. Devlin 4,James C. Finley 2,Kurt W. Gottschalk 5, Steve Horsley 5, Susan L. King 1, Brian M. LaPoint 1,Tonya W. Lister 1, Larry H. McCormick 2, Gary W. Miller 5, Charles T. Scott 1, Harry Steele 3, Kim C. Steiner 2, Susan L. Stout 3,James A. Westfall 1, and Robert L. White 6 Abstract. The Northeastern Research Station s Forest Inventory and Analysis (NE-FIA) unit is conducting the Pennsylvania Regeneration Study (PRS) to evaluate composition and abundance of tree seedlings and associated vegetation. Sampling methods for the PRS were tested and developed in a pilot study to determine the appropriate number of 2-m microplots needed to capture variability in seedling abundance. The findings resulted in a decision to use one 2-m fixed-radius microplot per 7.3-m fixed-radius subplot of the NE-FIA design. Preliminary results indicate that one-half to two-thirds of the region s forests would require remedial treatment if preferred species are the management objective. Forest inventory data are being used to monitor understory communities as part of the inventory of Pennsylvania by the Northeastern Research Station s Forest Inventory and Analysis (NE-FIA) unit (McWilliams et al. 2002). The primary objective of the landscape-level Pennsylvania Regeneration Study (PRS) is to determine the composition and abundance of tree seedlings and associated understory vegetation. The PRS is part of a larger research initiative by cooperating institutions to develop siteand species-specific stocking guidelines and other management criteria for the range of forest systems in the State. The results of a pilot study to test and evaluate sampling methods for tree seedlings and understory communities are presented along with preliminary results from the first year of data collection. Methods Study Region The PRS region consists of the entire State and is excellent for regeneration measurements and assessments (fig. 1a), as complicated forest associations abound: mixed mesophytic in the southwest (Braun 1985); mixed oak throughout but concentrated in the Central Appalachians; Allegheny and northern hardwoods along the northern tier; coniferous systems mixed throughout; and several other cover types (see Fike 1999). Actual species composition and structure vary greatly due to interrelated factors such as topographic location, land use and disturbance history, anthropogenic forces, and geographic differences. An overpopulation of white-tailed deer (Odocoileus virginianus Zimmerman) that has devastated regeneration over vast areas adds a particularly complex factor to this mix (McWilliams et al. 1995). Current deer populations are well above the thresholds for healthy understory development (decalesta and Stout 1997). Determining the Number of Microplots to Measure Sampling methods for the PRS were tested and developed from a pilot study using a subset of NE-FIA sample locations during the 2000 field season (McWilliams et al. 2001). Sample plots occupy 2,400-ha hexagons that mosaic the State. Because the NE-FIA sample is measured over 5 years, 20 percent of the sample locations are measured each year in an interpenetrating fashion; that is, no plots are measured in two adjacent hexagons in a given year. Regeneration was measured during the leaf-on season; the interpenetrating concept (fig. 1b) was 1 U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Newtown Square, PA, 19073. Phone: 610 557 4050; fax: 610 557 4095; e-mail: wmcwilliams@fs.fed.us. 2 The Pennsylvania State University, School of Forest Resources, University Park, PA. 3 U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Irvine, PA. 4 The Pennsylvania Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Bureau of Forestry, Harrisburg, PA. 5 U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station, Morgantown, WV. 6 Allegheny National Forest, Warren, PA. 2002 Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium 21

Figure 1. Ecoregions of the study region (a), systematic interpenetrating sample design (b), and sample location layout (c), Pennsylvania. 22 2002 Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium

used. Each year, about 300 regeneration plots are measured. The NE-FIA sample location consists of four 7.3-m fixedradius subplots spaced 36.5 m apart with a 2-m fixed-radius microplot used for saplings (fig. 1c). One objective of the pilot study was to determine the appropriate number of 2-m microplots needed to determine in situ variability in seedling abundance. A model was fit for every number and spatial combination of 16 microplots the maximum that would fit onto the sample location, or four microplots per subplot. A relative-variance function relates the plot and sampling design variables to the attribute of interest. A relative-variance function for a single plot of varying size (z) takes the form (Smith 1938): where: R i (z) = b 0i z b 1i (1) b 1i = a negative exponent relating the area sampled to the relative-variance of an attribute i such as species b 0i = a coefficient As b 1i approaches 0, little information is gained by increasing plot size, whereas as b 1i approaches -1, increasing the plot size provides new information. Scott (1993) extended Smith s formula to include the case of multiple subplots: where: R i (m, d, z) = b 0i m b 1i d b 2i z b 3i (2) m = the number of subplots d = averaged paired distance between subplots z = subplot size In this application, the distance between the subplots and the size of the plots is fixed. Therefore, the only variable is the number of plots. The relative-variance was replaced by its square root, the coefficient of variation (CV). CV i (m) = b 0i m b1i (3) Using nonlinear regression, the coefficients b 0i and b 1i converged to 1 and 0 respectively for any combination of species, and subplots. Linearizing the coefficient of variation equation, by taking the natural log of both sides allowed a differentiation of the coefficients. 1n (CV i (m)) = 1n (b 0i ) + b 1i 1n(m) (4) The intercepts varied by species, but the slopes ranged from -0.6 to -0.16. Figure 2 shows the plotted function for all species combined. Individual species had similar curves. Since the curve was flat for four or more microplots, the decision is to use one 2-m microplot per 7.3-m subplot. Sample Design The overall nested plot design follows protocols used by Marquis (1994). A focus session with field staff following the pilot-study fieldwork resulted in suggestions for modifying tally procedures. For example, the number of tree-seedling height classes was reduced from eight to six without sacrificing scientific utility. The final design consists of a tally of all fully established seedlings (less than 2.5 cm in diameter) by species, source, and height class. Seedling source includes stump sprout, other seedling, and a competitive category for largeseeded deciduous species. The minimum threshold of 1.9-cm root-collar diameter for competitive status was based on Brose and Van Lear s (1998) findings for long-term stem survival. Microplot variables also include standard NE-FIA sapling measurements, presence of a large tree, and site limitations. Percentage cover of associated understory vegetation was estimated by species using the larger subplot. Marquis (1994) found that the 7.3-m size captured the variation of fern, grass, and other herbaceous vegetation. Associated understory vegetation was tallied using standard FIA codes for woody shrub species and three groups for other life forms: fern, grass, other herbaceous. Preliminary Results Indicators of Regenerative Capacity Indicators used to analyze advance tree seedlings were developed to provide results that span a range of stocking that Figure 2. Coefficient of variation for numbers of tree seedlings as a function of numbers of microplots used. 2002 Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium 23

reflects both standard guidelines (Gingrich 1967, Sander et al. 1976) and those for the high deer impact-conditions of Pennsylvania (Marquis and Bjorkbom 1982). The standard guideline for acceptable stocking is 25 seedlings per 2-m microplot versus 100 for high deer-impact conditions. Each sample tree is weighted by height class before the thresholds are applied: Height Class Weight 5.1 cm to 14.7 cm 1 14.7 cm to 0.3 m 1 0.3 m to 0.9 m 2 0.9 m to 1.5 m 20 1.5 m to 3.1 m 50 Greater than 3.1 m 50 Any combination of weighted stems that meets or exceeds the minimum number required is considered adequate stocking. For example, one seedling from 1.5 to 3.1 meters in height represents 50 seedlings. The indicators also used the tally of saplings (2.5 to 12.5 centimeters in diameter) to fully account for understory tree stocking. The results were partitioned by species groupings that reflect a range of management objectives: preferred, commercial, or woody (McWilliams et al. 1995). Advance Tree-seedling Component Applying the stocking thresholds to the sample data provides estimates of the proportion of forest that met or did not meet accepted silvicultural guidelines for advance tree-seedling stocking (table 1). The sample data were filtered to include only forested sample locations within the range of stocking where silvicultural guidelines indicate sufficient light for treeseedling establishment (from 40- to 75-percent stocked with overstory trees). The findings indicate from one-third to onehalf of the region s forests would need some form of remedial treatment if commercially acceptable species are the management objective; one-half to two-thirds require remedial treatment if preferred species are desired. Estimates for the indicators were lower for the Laurentian Mixed Forest Province and the Eastern Broadleaf Forest (Oceanic) Province (East) than for the Central Appalachian Broadleaf-Coniferous Forest- Meadow Province and Eastern Broadleaf Forest (Oceanic) Province (West) (Bailey 1995). Data from future samples should reveal additional spatial information, for example, test results of ecoregions and deer management zones for detectable differences in regenerative capacity; and data specific to natural and managed systems, advance- and post-disturbance regeneration, and composition of understory communities. Associated Understory Vegetation Tree seedlings and associated understory vegetation compete for growing space (Lorimer et al. 1994). Using percentage cover as a surrogate for growing space allows us to compare cover for samples that did and did not meet the tree-seedling stocking thresholds. Results for the two stocking guidelines by vegetative component are shown in table 2. Samples that did not meet the thresholds had more growing space allocated to associated understory vegetation than those that did. Fern was particularly opportunistic. The most common ferns in Pennsylvania, rhizomous, are not preferred deer food, and quickly spread across the forest floor in the absence of competition for available light. Conclusions The PRS results are commonly cited in policy discussions within Pennsylvania s environmental community because the implications for forest management are controversial. These include significantly reducing the State s doe herd, installing and maintaining deer fencing, applying herbicides and other control measures, and introducing prescribed fire in areas where species such as Quercus spp. are desired future stand cohorts. The PRS sampling protocols and indicators are useful for characterizing understory vegetation. Future work will be directed toward refining existing methods with the study team focusing on reviewing and expanding specific indicators to address a wider range of questions. The detailed understory measurements collected in this study can be used to address additional research questions. Extensions include developing models for prospective vegetational changes based on overstory-understory relationships, gaining insight into differences between advance- and post-disturbance regeneration, 24 2002 Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium

additional indicator development, and improving stocking guidelines for managed and unmanaged eastern hardwood forests. Understory measurements also will improve estimates of understory biomass and carbon by vegetational component. Literature Cited Bailey, Robert G. 1995. Description of the ecoregions of the United States. 2d ed. Misc. Publ. 1391 (rev.). Washington, DC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service. 108 p. Table 1. Percentage of samples that met regeneration indicator thresholds by species group, stocking guideline, and ecoregion, Pennsylvania, 2001 Species group Stocking guideline Ecoregion a All EBF-W PLAT C APP EBF-E Preferred Standard 48 58 45 44 50 High deer 31 45 24 30 22 Commercial Standard 66 69 65 64 61 b High deer 51 57 46 52 39 Woody Standard 72 77 68 72 67 b High deer 56 66 47 58 50 a EBF-W=Eastern Broadleaf Forest (Oceanic) Province - West; PLAT=Laurentian Mixed Forest Province (Plateau); C APP=Central Appalachian Broadleaf - Coniferous Forest - Meadow Province; EBF-E=Eastern Broadleaf Forest (Oceanic) Province - East. b Indicates nonsignificant differences between standard and high deer guidelines for H0 : P s >P hd at the 95% confidence level. Table 2. Mean percentage cover by threshold status, vegetative component, stocking guideline, and species group, Pennsylvania, 2001 Vegetative Component a F FGH SB All F FGH SB All Threshold status Standard High deer Preferred Met 23 b 21 b 17 b 18 b 20 21 b 16 b 18 b Not met 28 25 16 22 27 24 16 21 Commercial Met 22 20 16 b 18 20 19 16 b 18 Not met 31 29 17 24 31 27 16 23 Woody Met 23 20 16 b 18 19 19 16 b 18 Not met 32 29 18 25 33 27 17 23 a F=fern; FGH=fern, grass, and other herbaceous; SB=woody shrubs and vines. b Indicates nonsignificant differences between vegetative components for H0 : P NOT >P MET at the 95% confidence level. 2002 Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium 25

Braun, E. Lucy. 1985. Deciduous forests of eastern North America. New York, NY: Hafner Press. 596 p. Brose, Patrick H.; Van Lear, David H. 1998. Responses of hardwood advance regeneration to seasonal prescribed fires in oak-dominated shelterwood stands. Canadian Journal of Forest Research. 28: 331 339. decalesta, David S.; Stout, Susan L. 1997. Relative deer density and sustainability: a conceptual framework for integrating deer management with ecosystem management. Wildlife Society Bulletin. 25(2): 252 258. Fike, Jean. 1999. Terrestrial and palustrine plant communities of Pennsylvania. Publ. 8140-bk-dcnr-1128. Harrisburg, PA: Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, Department of Conservation and Natural Resources, Bureau of Forestry. 86 p. Gingrich, Samuel F. 1967. Measuring and evaluating stocking and stand density in upland hardwood forests in the central states. Forest Science. 13(1): 38 52. Lorimer, Craig G.; Chapman, Jonathon W.; Lambert, William D. 1994. Tall understory vegetation as a factor in the poor development of oak seedlings beneath mature stands. Journal of Ecology. 82: 227 237. Marquis, David A., ed. 1994. Quantitative silviculture for hardwood forests of the Alleghenies. Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-183. Radnor, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Forest Experiment Station. 376 p. Marquis, David A.; Bjorkbom, John C. 1982. Guidelines for evaluating regeneration before and after clearcutting Allegheny hardwoods. Res. Note NE-307. Broomall, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Forest Experiment Station. 4 p. McWilliams, William H.; King, Susan L.; Scott, Charles T. 2001. Assessing regeneration adequacy in Pennsylvania s forests: a pilot study. In: Reams, Gregory L.; McRoberts, Ronald, E.; Van Deusen, Paul C., eds. Proceedings, 2d annual Forest Inventory and Analysis symposium; 2000 October 17-18; Salt Lake City, UT. Gen. Tech. Rep. SRS-47. Asheville, NC: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Southern Research Station: 119 122. McWilliams, William H.; Stout, Susan L.; Bowersox, Todd W.; McCormick, Larry H. 1995. Advance tree-seedling regeneration and herbaceous cover in Pennsylvania forests. Northern Journal of Applied Forestry. 12(4): 187 191. McWilliams, William H.; Alerich, Carol A.; Devline, David A.; et al. 2002. Annual inventory report for Pennsylvania s forests: results from the first two years. Resour. Bull. NE-156. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station. 71 p. Sander, Ivan L.; Johnson, Paul S.; Watt, Richard F. 1976. A guide for evaluating the adequacy of oak advance reproduction. Gen. Tech. Rep. NC-23. St. Paul, MN: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, North Central Forest Experiment Station. 7 p. Scott, Charles T. 1993. Optimal design of a plot cluster for monitoring. In: Renolls, Keith; Gertner, George, eds. The optimal design of forest experiments and forest surveys. Proceedings of IUFRO S.4.11 conference; 1991 September 10-14; London, UK. London, UK: University of Greenwich: 230 242. Smith, H. Fairfield. 1938. An empirical law describing heterogeneity in the yields of agricultural crops. Journal of Agricultural Science. 28(1): 1 23. 26 2002 Proceedings of the Fourth Annual Forest Inventory and Analysis Symposium

McRoberts, Ronald E.; Reams, Gregory A.; Van Deusen, Paul C.; McWilliams, William H.; Cieszewski, Chris J., eds. 2005. Proceedings of the fourth annual forest inventory and analysis symposium; 2002 November 19 21; New Orleans, LA. Gen. Tech. Rep. NC-252. St. Paul, MN: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, North Central Research Station. 258 p. Documents contributions to forest inventory in the areas of sampling, remote sensing, modeling, information management and analysis for the Forest Inventory and Analysis program of the USDA Forest Service. KEY WORDS: annual forest inventory, estimation, sampling, modeling, remote sensing, assessments The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) prohibits discrimination in all its programs and activities on the basis of race, color, national origin, sex, religion, age, disability, political beliefs, sexual orientation, or marital or family status. (Not all prohibited bases apply to all programs.) Persons with disabilities who require alternative means for communication of program information (Braille, large print, audiotape, etc.) should contact USDA s TARGET Center at (202) 720-2600 (voice and TDD). To file a complaint of discrimination, write USDA, Director, Office of Civil Rights, Room 326-W, Whitten Building, 1400 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C. 20250-9410 or call (202) 720-5964 (voice and TDD). USDA is an equal opportunity provider and employer. The use of trade or firm names in this publication is for reader information and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Department of Agriculture of any product or service. Papers published in these proceedings were submitted by authors in electronic media. Editing was done to ensure a consistent format. Authors are responsible for content and accuracy of their individual papers. The content does not necessarily reflect the views or policies of the U.S. Department of Agriculture or the Forest Service.