AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 2016/17

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AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 Crops 13.9 billion, increased by 3,714m (page 7) Beef and cattle 9.5 billion, decreased by 1,885m (page 8) Wool and cotton 5. billion, increased by 897m (page 9) Sheep Wine Dairy 3.2 2.4 2.2 billion, increased by 139m (page 1) billion, increased by 184m (page 12) billion, decreased by 88m (page 13) Sugar Horticulture Seafood 2.2 2. 1.4 billion, increased by 375m (page 14) billion, decreased by 68m (page 15) billion, decreased by 81m (page 16) About the research The Australian Agriculture Trade Performance 216/17 research is based on the reported values and quantities of goods at Australia s ports. The report includes all agricultural, food and fibre products including processed products. Wood and articles of wood are not included. The reported values are quoted Free On Board (FOB) in Australian dollars and not adjusted for inflation or foreign exchange rates. In some instances the export destination and/or state of origin is not identified by the exporter. Figures may not reflect the actual export total. Commodity groups may not include all products relevant to that group. For example, miscellaneous edible preparations is a significant commodity group by value and volume where individual products are not specified and therefore cannot be attributed to another commodity group. Where appropriate, European and Middle East and North African nations are referred to as the European Union (EU) and the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). EU includes: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom. MENA includes: Algeria, Bahrain, Djibouti, Egypt, Gaza Strip, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, United Arab Emirates, West Bank, Yemen. AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 3

NATIONAL SUMMARY The total value of agri-food exports was 49.9 billion in 216/17 Value of agri-food exports increased by 8.5 % in 216/17 Value of agri-food imports increased by.2 % in 216/17 Australian agri-food exports increased in value for the seventh consecutive year in 216/17. A 3.7 billion (+36.4%) increase in the value of crop exports was the main driver, followed by fibre (+897m) and sugar (+374m). Cattle exports recorded the largest decline in value, dropping 1.9 billion (-16.6%), followed by dairy (-88m). The value of agri-food imports to Australia increased by 41.5 million in 216/17. Miscellaneous edible preparations and beverages (wine, whiskey and beer) were the top imported commodities, accounting for 13.1% and 12.7% of total imports, respectively. The European Union, New Zealand and the United States accounted for 53% of agri-food imports in 216/17. Cheese and butter imports from New Zealand accounted for most of the increase in value, increasing by 18% and 74%, respectively. Cheese imports from Europe also increased by 7.7%. Despite exports increasing in 216/17, agri-food s share of national goods and services exported dropped as the value of mining exports grew by 23%. Value of exports (Ab) 5 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 The value of Australian agri-food exports increased by 3.9 billion in 216/17 Value of imports (Ab) 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 Australia imported 17.9b billion worth of agri-food products in 216/17 5 2 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 16 Cattle and crops accounted for 47% of Australian agri-food exports in 216/17 4 Agri-food exports accounted for 13.7% of all Australian exports in 216/17 25% Value of exports (Ab) 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Value of exports (Ab) 3 2 1 2% 15% 1% 5% 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 211/12 Crops Cattle Fibre Sheep Dairy Horticulture 1996/97 1998/99 2/1 22/3 24/5 26/7 Agri-food exports Other exports 28/9 21/11 212/13 214/15 216/17 Mining exports Ag as % of total (RHS) Data: Global Trade Information Services (GTIS) and Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) 4 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

EXPORT DESTINATIONS Australia s top five agri-food export destinations in 216/17 accounted for 48.2% of the value of agri-food exports from Australia. The largest growth market in 216/17 was India. The overall increase of 1.7 billion came from growth in exports of legumes (+689m), wheat (+67m) and cotton (+326m). Strong growth in exports to the European Union were recorded for the second year in a row, up 2% after growth of 24% in 215/16. This came largely from increasing canola exports, up 897m in 216/17. Exports to China grew by 39 million, driven by a 46 million increase in wool exports, while reported exports of barley fell 351 million. Exports to Indonesia recovered some of the value lost last year with an increase in exports of 239 million, mostly coming from growth in wheat (136m) and live cattle (5m) exports. The United States recorded the most significant decrease in value (-992m) in 216/17, almost exclusively attributed to a fall in beef exports which accounted for 41% of all exports to the US. Exports to the Middle East and North Africa region fell 6 million. Significant declines were recorded for barley (-315m), beef (-1m) and wheat (-98m) while legume exports to the region rose 113 million. Australia s top 1 agri-food export destinations* Destination 215/16 export value (Abillion) 216/17 export value (Abillion) Year-on-year change China 9.1 9.32 3.4% Japan 4.25 4.34 2.1% European Union 3.16 3.78 19.8% United States 4.61 3.62-21.5% India 1.28 3. 133.7% Indonesia 2.68 2.92 8.9% Middle East North Africa 3.46 2.86-17.4% South Korea 2.61 2.52-3.4% Vietnam 2.7 2.13 3.% New Zealand 1.57 1.51-3.9% Top two commodities 216/17 Wool (2,439m) Beef (747m) Beef (1,91m) Cheese (375m) Canola (1,875m) Wine (566m) Beef (1,495m) Lamb (62m) Chickpeas (1,136m) Wheat (743m) Wheat (1,263m) Live Cattle (636m) Sheepmeat (684m) Wheat (624m) Beef (1,229m) Wheat (297m) Wheat (568m) Rock Lobster (516m) Wheat (138m) Chocolate (13m) *excludes sugar 13 12 11 1 9 Monthly average exchange rate Indexed (July-12 = 1) The Australian dollar was not a decisive factor in trade performance in 216/17, remaining relatively stable through the year, averaging 3.6% higher than 215/16 at.75 USD. Although slightly higher than the previous year, it is still 11.6% lower than the 5 year average of 85c. 8 7 6 5 The Australian dollar has started to trend higher hitting 8 US cents at the end of July and stabilising at 79 cents through August. Jul 12 Jan 13 Jul 13 Jan 14 Jul 14 Jan 15 Jul 15 Jan 16 Jul 16 Jan 17 Jul 17 USD CNY JPY EUR Data: Reserve Bank of Australia AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 5

STATE EXPORT PERFORMANCE The value of agri-food exports grew for all states in 216/17 except for Tasmania and the Northern Territory. Victorian growth was led by canola (+295m) and wheat (+281m). Wool also increased by 175 million (+11%). Lower export values were recorded for beef (-324m), almonds (-121m) and dairy products (-115m). Growth in exports from Queensland was strong for crops with chickpeas (+71m) and cotton (+339m) performing well. Beef exports accounted for 43% of Queensland s exports but declined 561 million in 216/17. New South Wales had the largest growth, up 1.3 billion. This was led by wheat (+738m), chickpeas (+18m) and cotton (+137m). Beef exports recorded the largest decline, down 281 million (-18%). Western Australian canola exports increased by 62 million and accounted for 58% of Australia s canola exports. Wool (+117m) and lamb (+57m) also increased significantly. Wheat exports fell 248m. South Australian lentils exports more than doubled (+222m) while wine also performed well (+142m). The value of Tasmanian exports decreased, with declines in seafood (-39m) and beef (-34m). Interestingly it was the only state with increased dairy exports (+14m), driven by growth in milk powder to Thailand (+9m). Northern Territory exports decreased due to live exports and beef declining 25m and 7m, respectively. WA 14.7% NT 1.1% SA 12.3% Percentage of Australian agri-food exports by state of origin QLD 2.2% VIC 25.2% NSW 18.8% TAS 1.5% Australian agri-food exports by state of origin* State 215/16 export value (Abillion) 216/17 export value (Abillion) Year-on-year change Victoria 11.48 12.2 4.7% Queensland 9.5 9.66 6.7% New South Wales 7.63 8.98 17.6% Western Australia 6.47 7.1 8.4% South Australia 5.57 5.87 5.4% Tasmania.78.7-9.7% Northern Territory.55.52-4.9% No State Detail 2.28 2.48 8.9% Top commodities 216/17 Wool (1,789m) Dairy (1,74m) Beef (4,155m) Chickpeas (1,361m) Beef (1,282m) Wheat (1,192m) Wheat (2,532m) Canola (1,344m) Wine (1,475m) Wheat (1,254m) Beef (152m) Seafood (14m) Live Cattle (42m) Beef (54m) Barley (2,11m) Rice (114m) *excludes sugar 6 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

CROPS The value of Australian crop exports was 13.9 billion in 216/17 The value of canola exports increased by 81 % in 216/17 The volume of Victorian crop exports increased 119 % in 216/17 Australian crop exports benefitted from exceptional seasonal conditions, which led to a 49% year on year increase in winter crop production. Increased production was reflected in wheat and coarse grain export volumes increasing by 6.3 million tonnes (+4%) and 3.8 million tonnes (+63%), respectively. Wheat exports to India grew by 2.4 million tonnes assisted by the Indian government s decision to reduce a 25% tariff to 1% in September 216 before eliminating it completely in December 216. This measure was in response to concerns about domestic wheat price for Indian consumers. Growth in wheat exports were also seen in Indonesia (+33%), Philippines (+154%) and Vietnam (+53%). The value of exports increased to a lesser extent due to decreased average export prices of wheat (-15%) and coarse grains (-2%). Increased production also benefited canola and legume exports with volumes for both commodities up 85%. The exceptional production of 216 is not likely to be repeated in 217, resulting in lower export volumes in 217/18. 16 The reported value of crop exports increased for the first time since 212/13, up 36% 45 The reported volume of crop exports increased by 51% in 216/17 14 4 Value of exports (Ab) 12 1 8 6 4 Million tonnes 35 3 25 2 15 1 2 5 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Wheat Coarse grains* Canola Legumes Rice Wheat Coarse grains* Canola Legumes Rice 2.5 The reported value of wheat and chickpea exports to India increased by 92% and 89% respectively in 216/17 18% 16% Value of exports (Ab) 2. 1.5 1..5 14% 12% 1% 8% 6% 4% 2%. FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 India EU India European Union Indonesia 216/17 Export share Indonesia Wheat Coarse grains Canola (seed and oil) Legumes Export share (RHS) *coarse grains includes barley, sorghum, oats, maize, buckwheat, millet and rye **1.37b worth of crop exports were reported under unidentified country in 216/17. AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 7

BEEF AND CATTLE The value of Australian cattle exports was 9.5 billion in 216/17 216/17 was the The number of live cattle 3 rd exported fell by most valuable year for Australian cattle exports 27 % in 216/17 The value of Australian beef and cattle exports fell by 1.9 billion in 216/17 as a 16% reduction in cattle slaughter impacted export volumes. Beef exports are concentrated to four major markets with Japan, USA, South Korea and China accounting for 77% of volume. Of those, Japan was the only country to increase import volume from Australia, up 3.3%. Exports to the US declined most (-39%), followed by China (-2%) and South Korea (-5%). Cattle prices hit record levels in Australia in 216/17 with the eastern young cattle indicator averaging 661c/kg, up 14% on 215/16. High domestic beef prices supported a 1% increase in the average export price despite global prices trending lower due to increased global production, led by the US and Brazil. Australian beef production is likely to increase in 217/18 leading to greater export volumes. Export prices are likely to trend lower as competition into major markets increases, but still remain above historical average levels. Reduced cattle supply also affected live exports with 42% less cattle exported to Vietnam and a 6% drop to Indonesia. 14 The value of beef and cattle exports declined by 17% in 216/17 1,8 The volume of beef and offal exports fell by 16% in 216/17 Value of exports (Ab) 12 1 8 6 4 2 tonnes 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, 8 6 4 2 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Fresh/chilled Frozen Hides Offal Live* Fresh/chilled Frozen Offal Value of exports (Ab) 3.5 3. 2.5 2. 1.5 1..5. FY15 FY16 FY17 Exports to Japan increased by 5% in 216/17, while exports to the USA continued to slide from the 214/15 peak, down 4% FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 Japan USA Japan USA South Korea 216/17 Export share S Korea 25% 2% 15% 1% 5% Fresh/chilled Frozen Hides Offal Live* Export share (RHS) *includes beef and dairy cattle for breeding purposes 8 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

WOOL AND COTTON The value of Australian wool and cotton exports was 5. billion in 216/17 Victoria accounted for 56 % of wool export volume in 216/17 Cotton exports to India increased by 326 million in 216/17 Australian wool exports benefitted from strong demand from China in 216/17. High prices and favourable seasonal conditions in 216/17 contributed to a 5.3% increase in wool production and a 14% increase in the value of wool exports. Demand looks likely to remain strong, particularly for fine wools, providing support for prices and further encouraging growth in production from an expanding national flock. This should lead to another year of increased export value and volume. Cotton exports increased significantly in 216/17 largely due to an expansion in the area of cotton planted leading to increased production. China imported 26% less cotton in 216/17 as it works through existing stockpiles. As a result the share of exports to China fell from 5% to 26% in 216/17 with India and Bangladesh picking up the excess with increases in volume of 569% and 27%, respectively. Australian cotton production is expected to increase slightly in 217/18, leading to further growth in exports which will also be supported by slightly higher global prices. 6 Value of cotton exports increased by 4% and wool by 14% in 216/17 1,8 The volume of cotton exports increased by 42% and wool by 4% in 216/17 Value of exports (Ab) 5 4 3 2 tonnes 1,6 1,4 1,2 1, 8 6 1 4 2 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Wool Cotton Wool Cotton 3.5 3. The value of wool exports to China increased for the third consecutive year, up by 2% in 216/17 and accounting for 75% of total wool exports 7% 6% Value of exports (Ab) 2.5 2. 1.5 1..5 5% 4% 3% 2% 1%. FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 China India EU China India European Union 216/17 Export share Wool Cotton Export share (RHS) AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 9

SHEEP The value of Australian sheep exports was 3.2 billion in 216/17 The volume of lamb exports to China was 25 % higher in 216/17 The average export price of lamb was 12 % higher in 216/17 Strong prices for lamb and mutton drove increases in the value of exports in 216/17 while lower production levels were reflected in export volumes trending lower. The national trade lamb indicator and national mutton indicator prices averaged 12% and 29% higher in 216/17, respectively. Export volumes trended lower as lamb and mutton production fell 2% and 17%, respectively. Production was the limiting factor in continued growth in the US market where Australia supplies 75% of imported lamb. Value remained steady with an 18% increase in the export price offsetting the effect of volume dropping 15%. The outlook is for production to steadily increase, leading to greater export volumes in 217/18. Prices are expected to average lower in 217/18 so the value of exports will depend on the relative shift in volume and price. New Zealand production and therefore exports are trending lower which could provide more opportunities for Australian lamb exports to Chinese and European markets where New Zealand currently holds a greater share of imports. 3.5 The value of sheep exports increased by 4.5% in 216/17 5 The volume of lamb and mutton exports fell by 2% and 13%, respectively in 216/17 Value of exports (Ab) 3. 2.5 2. 1.5 1..5 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 tonnes 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Lamb Mutton Skins Live Lamb Mutton Skins Live Value of exports (Am) 1, 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Lamb exports to China increased by 45% in 216/17, while exports to the USA were steady FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 MENA USA China MENA USA China 216/17 Export share 3% 25% 2% 15% 1% 5% Lamb Mutton Skins Live Export share (RHS) 1 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 11

WINE The value of Australian wine exports was 2.4 billion in 216/17 The value of red wine exports increased by 11 % in 216/17 South Australia accounted for 65 % of wine export volume in 216/17 Growth in the value of red wine exports has been the primary driver of three consecutive years of growth in the value of Australian wine exports. Red wine exports grew by 11% in both value and volume in 216/17 while white wine exports increased steadily by 1.7% in value and 2.8% in volume. Red wine exports to China have more than doubled since 214/15 in both value and volume terms driven by demand and the reduction of tariff rates from 14% to the current 5.6% under the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement. Australian wine grape production increased by 5% in 216/17 with growers also benefitting from a 7% increase in the average purchase price of grapes. Australia imported 748m worth of wine in 216/17, a fall of.6% from 215/16. This was only the third year since 1996/97 that the value of imports has declined, a period where the value of imports has averaged 12.4% growth per year. Growth in imports has predominately been from premium white wines from New Zealand and sparkling wines from France which have become more affordable to Australian consumers after a global oversupply of wine. 2.5 The value of wine exports increased by 8.4% in 216/17 9 The volume of wine exports increased by 7.4% in 216/17 Value of exports (Ab) 2. 1.5 1. Million litres 8 7 6 5 4 3.5 2 1. 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Red White Fortified Other Red White Sparkling Fortified Other 6 Australian red wine exports to China increased by 47% in value and 61% in volume in 216/17 3% Value of exports (Am) 5 4 3 2 1 25% 2% 15% 1% 5% FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 China EU USA China European Union USA 216/17 Export share Red White Sparkling Fortified Other Export share (RHS) 12 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

DAIRY The value of dairy exports was 2.2 billion in 216/17 Milk powder exports to China increased by 14.5 % in volume in 216/17 The value of cheese exports to Japan fell 8.6 % in 216/17 Declining export volumes resulted in the value of dairy exports declining for a third consecutive year. Australian milk production was 6.9% lower in 216/17 as producers responded to farm gate milk price cuts in mid-216 by reducing supply. The effects of lower production was seen in lower export volumes of milk powder (-9.9%), cheese and curd (-2.8%) and butter (-36.7%). Milk and cream exports increased in volume by 3.6%, with growth to Singapore and Philippines. While milk powder export volumes fell, exports to China increased by 14.5%. The average export price of milk powder increased 5.8%, partially offsetting the effects of lower volume on the total value of milk powder exports which only fell 4.7%. The export price of cheese and curd increased 1.6%, partially offsetting reduced volumes. Overall export values declined 1.3% with an 8.6% decline to Japan but encouraging growth from China (+19%) and South Korea (+36%). The outlook for dairy exports has improved with expected growth in global demand, led by China. Production will be slow to recover, likely to provide some upwards pressure on prices. 3. The value of dairy exports decreased by 3.8% in 216/17 3 The volume of dairy exports fell by 7% in 216/17, milk and cream up 4% 3 2.5 25 25 Value of exports (Ab) 2. 1.5 1. tonnes 2 15 1 2 15 1 Million litres.5 5 5. 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Milk powder Butter and other fats/oils Other dairy products Cheese and curd Milk and cream Milk powder Butter and other fats/oils Other dairy products Cheese and curd Milk and cream (RHS) 5 The value of dairy exports to Japan fell by 7.2%, but increased 8.1% to China in 216/17 2% 45 18% Value of exports (Am) 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 16% 14% 12% 1% 8% 6% 4% 5 2% FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 Japan China Singapore Japan China Singapore 216/17 Export share Milk powder Butter and other fats/oils Cheese and curd Other dairy products Milk and cream Export share (RHS) AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 13

SUGAR The value of Australian sugar exports was 2.2 billion in 216/17 Global sugar stocks decreased by 6.6 % in 216/17 Australia exported 84 % of total sugar produced in 216/17 Australian sugar exporters benefitted from higher global prices in 216/17, with a 2.5% increase in value coming from 2% less volume compared to 215/16. The slight decline in export volume is a reflection of a 2.4% reduction in production. Australian sugar production is expected to remain unchanged in 217/18 as increased area harvested is offset by damage to cane from Tropical Cyclone Debbie in the Mackay and Proserpine regions of Queensland. Global prices have been supported in the last two years by consumption exceeding production, leading to reductions in global stocks. Global prices are expected to trend lower in 217/18 as strong prices have encouraged increased planting of cane in China, India and Thailand. The European Union s quota and minimum price system for sugar production ends in October which is likely to lead to greater production and see exports increase. With Australian production steady and prices expected to fall slightly, it is likely that both value and volume of Australian sugar exports will decline in 217/18. 2.5 The value of Australian sugar exports increased by 2.5% in 216/17 4.5 The volume of Australian sugar exports decreased by 2% in 216/17 4. Value of exports (Ab) 2. 1.5 1. Million tonnes 3.5 3. 2.5 2. 1.5.5 1..5. 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17. 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 7 The value of Australian sugar exports to South Korea increased by 24% in 215/16 after a 7% increase in 214/15 4% Value of exports (Am) 6 5 4 3 2 1 3% 2% 1% FY14 FY15 FY16 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY14 FY15 FY16 S Korea Indonesia Japan South Korea Indonesia Japan 215/16 Export share Sugar Export share (RHS) Data: Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics (ABARES) 14 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

HORTICULTURE The value of Australian horticulture exports was 2. billion in 216/17 The value of almond exports decreased by 25 % in 216/17 The value of orange exports has grown for 6 consecutive years Horticulture exports from Australia fell by 68 million in 216/17 despite increasing value for all horticultural products except nuts. Fruit export volumes were unchanged from 215/16 but an increase in export prices resulted in a 2.7% increase in value. Oranges were a strong performer with value up 11%, including a 42% increase in value to China. Table grape exports also increased in value, up 1.3% while volume fell 3.2%. Chinese demand was strong with value and volume increasing by 46% and 38%, respectively. Vegetable exports benefitted from strong growth in export prices with value increasing 8.6% despite a 7.9% fall in volume. Carrot exports to MENA countries and asparagus to Japan were strong performers. A 12% fall in nut exports can largely be attributed to almond exports to the EU declining by 73 million (-28%). Almond exports to India were worth 142 million, up by 2% and accounting for 31% of Australian almond exports. Macadamia exports increased by 17% in volume and 19% in value. Vietnam, China and Hong Kong accounted for 62% of the 292 million worth of macadamia exports. 2.5 The value of horticulture exports decreased by 3.2% in 216/17 8 The volume of horticulture exports decreased by 1.2% in 216/17 Value of exports (Ab) 2. 1.5 1..5 tonnes 7 6 5 4 3 2 1. 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Fruit Grapes Nuts Vegetables Fruit Grapes Nuts Vegetables 4 The value of horticulture exports to China increased by 34% in 216/17 with gains of 46% and 42% for table grapes and oranges, respectively 18% 35 16% Value of exports (Am) 3 25 2 15 1 14% 12% 1% 8% 6% 4% 5 2% FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 China EU China European Union Hong Kong 216/17 Export share Hong Kong Fruit Grapes Nuts Vegetables Export share (RHS) AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 15

SEAFOOD The value of Australian seafood exports was 1.3 billion in 216/17 The volume of rock lobster exports increased by 7.6 % in 216/17 Western Australia accounted for 38 % of seafood export value in 216/17 A 25% reduction in fish export volumes was a significant driver of the value of Australian seafood exports falling in 216/17. Rock lobsters, which accounted for 53% of seafood export value, fell by 2.3% in value in 216/17. Lower prices to Vietnam, the major market for rock lobsters, led to a 15% reduction in export value. Exports to China more than offset this decline, increasing from 12 tonnes to 1,1 tonnes, assisted by tariff rates reducing from 1% to 4% under the China-Australia Free Trade Agreement (ChAFTA). Further tariff reductions under ChAFTA will assist competitiveness of seafood exports. Ongoing growth in demand in Asian markets for higher value seafood products such as rock lobster and abalone is also contributing to a positive outlook for seafood exports. The value of seafood imports grew by 1% in 216/17 and were equivalent to 85% of the value of exports. China (27m), New Zealand (19m) and Vietnam (151m) are the major sources of imported seafood to Australia, which predominately consist of fish, prawns and squid. 1.6 The value of Australian seafood exports decreased by 5.9% in 216/17 6 The volume of Australian seafood exports decreased by 15.6% in 216/17 Value of exports (Ab) 1.4 1.2 1..8.6.4.2 tonnes 5 4 3 2 1. 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Fish Crustaceans Molluscs Other Fish* Crustaceans Molluscs Other 8 The value of rock lobster exports to Vietnam accounted for 4% of Australian seafood exports in 216/17 but fell 15% 5% Value of exports (Am) 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 4% 3% 2% 1% FY15 FY16 FY17 Vietnam FY15 FY16 FY17 FY15 FY16 FY17 Vietnam Japan Hong Kong Japan Hong Kong 216/17 Export share Fish Crustaceans Molluscs Other Export share (RHS) 16 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

OTHER AGRI-FOOD EXPORTS 215/16 export value (Amillion) 216/17 export value (Amillion) Year-on-year change Top two export destinations Prepared foods including malts, cocoa, pet food, baked, other Other plant products including milling products, seeds, coffee, other Other animal products including fats, oils, hides, fibres, honey, eggs Other meat and offal including goat, pig, poultry, other Forages including hay, chaff, lucerne, straw, other 3,385.9 3,854.3 +13.8% 1,153.4 1,18. +2.3% 984.6 1,4.6 +5.7% 544.7 552.4 +1.4% 579.8 519. -1.5% China (1,391m) New Zealand (746) USA (276m) Japan (131m) Singapore (286.6m) China (234.7m) USA (188m) Singapore (75m) Japan (198m) China (98m) Beverages excluding wine 33.8 47.2 +23.1% Food industry residues and waste 286. 261.6-8.5% New Zealand (81m) Vietnam (53m) Indonesia (69m) USA (38m) Other live animals including horses, buffalo, goats, other 2.6 189.6-5.5% Hong Kong (54m) New Zealand (5m) 8 Value of forage exports 7 Value of other meat and offal exports 7 6 Value of exports (Am) 6 5 4 3 2 Value of exports (Am) 5 4 3 2 1 1 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 212/13 213/14 214/15 215/16 216/17 Hay and chaff (excl. lucerne) Other forages Goat meat Pig meat Poultry meat & offal Other offal AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17 17

About Ag Answers Ag Answers is a specialist insights division of Rural Bank. Recognising that good information is the key to making good business decisions, Ag Answers provides research and analysis into commodities, farmland values, farm business performance and topical agricultural issues to enable farmers to make informed decisions. About Rural Bank Rural Bank has been a wholly-owned subsidiary of Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Limited since 21 and is the only Australian-owned and operated dedicated agribusiness bank in the country. From 1 July 214, Victorian agribusiness lender, Rural Finance joined Rural Bank as a division of Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Limited. As a specialist rural lender, Rural Finance has been fostering the sustainable economic growth of rural and regional Victoria for 7 years. Rural Bank is supporting farmers and farming communities by providing them with specialist financial tools, industry insights and investment into the future of the Australian agribusiness sector. The future for agriculture is bright We provide exceptional financial services, knowledge and leadership for Australian farmers to grow. This report is intended to provide general information on a particular subject or subjects and is not an exhaustive treatment of such subject(s). The information herein is believed to be reliable and has been obtained from public sources believed to be reliable. Rural Bank Limited, ABN 74 83 938 416 AFSL / Australian Credit Licence 23842 makes no representation as to or accepts any responsibility for the accuracy or completeness of information contained in this report. Any opinions, estimates and projections in this report do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Rural Bank and are subject to change without notice. Rural Bank has no obligation to update, modify or amend this report or to otherwise notify a recipient thereof in the event that any opinion, forecast or estimate set forth therein, changes or subsequently becomes inaccurate. This report is provided for informational purposes only. The information contained in this report does not take into account your personal circumstances and should not be relied upon without consulting your legal, financial, tax or other appropriate professional. Copyright Rural Bank Ltd ABN 74 83 938 416 and Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd ABN 11 68 49 178 (A426472) (9/17) 18 AUSTRALIAN AGRICULTURE TRADE PERFORMANCE 216/17

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