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Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy Energy How2Guide for Bioenergy South Africa - 29 & 30 April, 2014

Biomass Resources and Business Case for Cogeneration + Barriers to Investment Dave Long Energy Consultant Paper Manufacturers Association of SA Director of IES Energy

About PAMSA Formed in 1992 Promotes the interests and efforts of the South African pulp and paper industry Members Lothlorien, Kimberly-Clark, Mondi, Mpact, Nampak, Sappi Platform for the development of common views on precompetitive industry issues energy, environment, recycling, education, research etc PAMSA also oversees the efforts of: Paper Recycling Association of South Africa (PRASA) Promotes paper recycling in South Africa through increased education and awareness initiatives South African Tissue Manufacturers Association (SATMA)

SA Forest Products Industry 600 million trees across 1.275m hectares are grown for use in pulp and paper manufacture. These trees sequester carbon and mitigate climate change. Industry plants in excess of 260,000 trees every single day. All paper in South Africa is produced from plantation-grown trees, recycled paper or bagasse (sugar cane fibre). Fibre is not sourced from the wood of rainforests, indigenous or boreal trees. Highest level of FSC certification in the world Use of renewable biomass-based energy has enabled the industry to avoid the use of 1,3 million tons of fossil fuels annually and associated carbon emissions. Significant employer of over 140,000 people. R 1.654 bn balance of trade and 0.6% of GDP in 2012. Contributes to jobs in rural areas, foreign exchange earnings and GDP growth. Continued investment in roads in deep rural areas, clinics, hospitals, schools and community development.

Paper, Pulp, Chemical and Tissue Mills in South Africa 6 4 1 2 1 2 9 Paper (5) Paper Board (3) Newsprint (2) Kraft (4) Pulp (2) Chemical Cellulose (2) Packaging Paper (3) Packaging Board (5) Liner Board (1) Tissue (18)

Forestry Map

BIOMASS POWER POTENTIAL FROM SA COMMERCIAL TIMBER RESOURCES Assumptions of Yields of Biomass: Product (%) Residue (%) Sawmills 50 50 Pulp Mills: Softwood 89 11 Pulp Mills: Hardwoods 92 8 Mining Timber 75 25 Pole Producers 75 25 Plantation Residue 33

BIOMASS POWER POTENTIAL FROM SA COMMERCIAL TIMBER RESOURCES Species Sawlogs Poles Sales from Plantations Mining Timber Pulpwood Totals m3 m3 tons tons MW Softwoods 4,145,537 - - 3,421,600 Hardwoods 229,262 456,663 430,788 6,974,780 Power Generation Potential MW Softwoods 195.6 - - 80.7 276.3 Hardwoods 13.5 18.8 16.9 193.7 242.9 Total 209.1 18.8 16.9 274.4 519.2 REFERENCES 1. "Report on Commercial Timber Resources and Primary Roundwood Processing in South Africa, 2008/2009 (Compiled on behalf of the Directorate: Forestry Technical and Information Services, Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, Forestry Branch, SA Government.) 1. "The Handbook of Biomass Combustion & Co-firing", Sjaak van Loo and Jaap Koppejan, Earthscan Publishing, 2008. 2. Private communications with Sappi, Mondi and SSA.

Industrial Biomass = Cogen in SA RE-IPPP biomass is for virgin biomass only Condemned to < 30% thermal efficiency through condensing power configurations Biomass associated with industry has been lumped in Cogeneration. Ministerial Determination Dec 2012: 800 MW from Industrial Cogeneration energy sources which...may include...biomass, industrial wastes and CHP

Some Basics Cogen in SA Renewable, industrial biomass Bagasse, bark, chip, pulp mill residuals, black liquor, sludges etc Combined Heat and Power Renewable and non-renewable primary fuels Waste heat and waste fuels CHP requires a heat demand from a process Industrial condensing power?

Typical Pulp and Paper IPP GENERIC PULP AND PAPER PROCESS FLOW SHEET PRIMARY FUEL HIGH PRESSURE LOW & MEDIUM PRESSURE SOURCE STEAM HEADER STEAM HEADERS BLACK LIQUOR BOILER EXTRACTION / BACK PRESSURE PROCESS HEATING H.F.O. FOREST BIOMASS BOILER HIGH PRESSURE TURBINES COAL LOW PRESSURE TURBINE MILL BIOMASS BOILER CONDENSING CONDENSING PIPED GAS WASTE HEAT BOILER

Existing PAMSA Power Generation in SA Turbo - Generators 1 Gas Turbine + WHB 16 Steam 6 sites 350 MW

Biomass & Cogeneration What can we do? PAMSA Members Project Opportunities Characteristic MW Number Projects 390 17 Condensing Power 257 12 Cogeneration Power 133 11 New Boilers 223 8 Refurbished Boilers 63 2 Existing Boilers 104 7 New Turbo Alternators 361 15 Renewable Fuels 371 13 Non-Renewable fuels 19 6 Start within 12 months 71 3 Start within 24 months 87 7

Biomass

Biomass in the Pulp and Paper Industry Biomass It is as renewable as the wind and the sun with the added advantage of quick access to the Grid, high load factors and the potential job creation in the biomass supply industry.

Biomass = Solar + Value Renewable and Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) Certified

Biomass collection, conditioning and transport to Plant Source: Assessments of Forestry Biomass Availability" C. Swart, April 2010

Business Case for Biomass & Cogeneration Ticks the following boxes: Criteria Certified as fully renewable Base load and predictable 24/7/364 High load factors of > 85% Rural and at the end of the Tx lines Existing infra structure Rural, sustainable jobs Established, credit worth IPP developers Compete with Eskom New Build

Biomass & Cogen What Barriers? Knock, Knock, New Power! NO ENTRY Buyers National Procurement Incentives NERSA licensing IRP 2010 Wheeling

Biomass & Cogeneration What Barriers? Need a buyer:- Eskom short term sales only (STPPP) Eskom DOE & NT National Procurement Private buyer in wheeling arrangement National Procurement:- NERSA and COFIT history Last serious National procurement in 2008. 2 RFI exercises in past 24 months Cogen procurement in 2014. Min Martens press statement in April

Biomass & Cogen What Barriers continued.. Incentives Required Can t compete against Eskom New boilers and turbines Forest collection and transport Indexation for fuel and labour costs Legal and Regulatory NERSA generator licensing IRP 2010 Update Wheeling uncertain and risky Municipalities cannot buy (NGR of ERA) Own use only offset subsidised Grid Allow competition vs new power

Biomass &Cogeneration What Barriers? LAWS:- Electricity Regulation Act Section 10 (2)(g) "...evidence of compliance with any integrated resource plan applicable...or reasons for deviation...

Coal (PF, FBC, Imports Gas CCGT (natural gas) OCGT (diesel) Import Hydro Wind Solar PV CSP Nuclear IRP 2010 Table 3 Table 3: Policy Adjusted IRP New Build Options MW MW MW MW MW MW MW MW 2010 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2011 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2012 0 0 0 0 0 300 0 0 2013 0 0 0 0 0 300 0 0 2014 500 0 0 0 400 300 0 0 2015 500 0 0 0 400 300 0 0 2016 0 0 0 0 400 300 100 0 Extract from Staatskoerant, 6 Mei 2011, No. 34263 17

Biomass & Cogeneration Conclusions National Cogeneration Procurement:- Speedily move from talk to action Meet the needs of IPPs Remove Barriers to Investment DOE action on regulations & IRP Update NERSA more supportive of IPPs Support wheeling and cut costs Bold and clear national plan for > 2000 MW

How2Guide for Bioenergy Needs to : Recognise Biomass/Cogeneration relationship in SA Build on existing initiatives RE-IPPP, IRP etc Recognise that SA is power poverty trapped. Engage stakeholders Recognise market forces speed, direction and result Result in a Roadmap for Bioenergy that: Publishes and updates a plan Makes National procurement predictable Removes the numerous barriers Releases the constraints on the power market Pursues our numerous opportunities.

THANK YOU