Developing Infrastructure and Operating Models for Intermodal Shift - DIOMIS http://www.uic.org/diomis Intermodal Rail/Road Transport In Europe 2007 Geneva 12&13 October 2009
Main objectives To deliver evidence of the importance of the intermodal industry in Europe to economic and political stakeholders: Only what you can count has relevance To provide market data for the intermodal industry itself to be used for internal and political purposes To establish a time series on the evolution of the intermodal industry (2 nd edition after the pioneering 2005 report)
Schedule of presentation Intermodal market data 2007 Intermodal traffic 2007 Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009
Intermodal market data
Countries covered by 2007 survey NO FI SE EE RU IE UK DK RU LT LV BY NL PL BE DE LU CZ UA SK FR CH AT HU MD SL HR RO PT ES IT BA CS BG MK AL GR TR
Intermodal market data 2007 Providers of unaccompanied intermodal services Min. 105 intermodal service providers Generalist (classical) intermodal operators: ca. 40% Railway undertakings in operator role: ca. 30% Logistic service providers in operator role: ca. 30% Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009
Intermodal market data 2007 Revenues from intermodal rail/road services Intermodal revenues 2007 5.205 bn database: number of CT operators recorded: 55 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009
Intermodal market data 2007 Employment in intermodal rail/road industry Staff with Reported figures Number of employees Estimated additional Total Intermodal service providers 6,143 2,891 9,034 Train operating companies 660 6,554 7,214 Infrastructure managers - 15,634 15,634 Total 6,803 25,079 31,882 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007, Paris 2009
Intermodal traffic 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Unaccompanied intermodal traffic: goods shipped Million gross tonnes 120 100 97.2 75.0 Total: 172.1m tonnes 80 32.80 60 43.05 40 20 64.39 31.92 - Domestic services International services Container hinterland services Continental services Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Unaccompanied intermodal traffic: TEU carried Million TEU 12 10 9,9 7,2 Total: 17.1m TEU 8 3.36 6 3.99 4 6.53 2 3.23 - Domestic services International services Container hinterland services Continental services Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Importance of international freight (according to TEU) Total international (42.2%) Domestic continental (19.6%) Domestic container hinterland (38.2%) Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Domestic unaccompanied traffic by country 2007 (in TEU) Other countries Czech Republic Finland Portugal Netherlands Switzerland Poland Romania Spain Norway Sweden Austria France Belgium 227,500 76,000 92,000 116,000 120,000 160,000 177,000 248,000 413,000 425,000 520,000 550,000 590,000 600,000 United kingdom 1,272,000 Italy 1,575,000 Germany 2,732,000-500,000 1,000,000 1,500,000 2,000,000 2,500,000 3,000,000 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Intermodal rail/road traffic 2005 2007: TEU carried Intermodal market segment Traffic volume (million TEU) 2007/2005 % change 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.29 9.89 35.7% International services 5.38 7.22 34.2% Total volume 12.67 17.11 35.0% Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Accompanied intermodal rail/road traffic 2007 Market segment Gross tonnes Shipments (n of trucks) TEU Domestic services 4,592,000 127,628 297,373 International services 9,018,000 282,255 657,654 Total services 13,610,000 409,883 955,027 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Total intermodal rail/road traffic 2007: TEU carried Intermodal market segment Unaccompanied traffic TEU Accompanied traffic Total intermodal traffic Domestic services 9,893,566 297,373 10,190,939 International services 7,219,254 657,654 7,876,908 Total intermodal services 17,112,820 955,027 18,067,847 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Total intermodal rail/road traffic 2005-2007: TEU carried Intermodal market segment Traffic volume (million TEU) 2007/2005 % change 2005 2007 Domestic services 7.39 10.19 37.9% International services 6.03 7.88 30.7% Total services 13.42 18.07 34.6% Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Intermodal traffic 2007 Major international intermodal trade lanes involving CEE countries: 2007 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007
Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009
Outlook for intermodal traffic 2008/2009 Forecast unaccompanied intermodal traffic: 2007-2009 (mill tonnes) 250 207.2 2008/2007: + 7.6% 2009/2008: + 11.7% 200 172.4 185.5 150 100 50 0 2007 2008 2009 Source: KombiConsult; UIC: Report on Combined Transport in Europe 2007 ; 47 companies
300 250 +113% 2015/2005 projected by DIOMIS Agenda 2015 (January 2008) DIOMIS: Projected evolutions of CT volumes 2005-2015 268,59 258,50 206,37 200 Millions Tons 150 100 50 125,35 +36,5% achieved in 2007/2005!! 172,16 +3% 2008/2007, including the impact of the recession starting in the Summer 2008 177,32-20% in 2009, estimate of the overall impact on CT of the recession through 2009 141,86 Revised forecast based on the assumption of a recovery starting end 2010 and a return to the structural growth rate of CT from 2011 (+7,8% p.a. domestic CT, +8,4% international CT) The initial forecast of Agenda 2015 w ill be reached during the first half of 2019, instead of end 2015 But, well before that time, capacity shortages will have appeared on the network, the terminals and in the wagon field 0 2005: DIOMIS Situation Report 2005 2007: DIOMIS Situation Report 2007 Estimate 2008 Forecast 2009 2015 : Forecast Agenda 2015 (January 2008) 2015: Revised forecast (Impact of the recession!) 2018
Rail network load 2015 (all ongoing & planned investments implemented) N of trains per day and direction on a double tracked electrified line > 173 145-173 121 144 < 120 Rate of employment > 100 % 85 100 % 70 84 % < 70 %
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Sandra Gehenot gehenot@uic.org