GREEN-MAC-LCCP. Global Refrigerants Energy & ENvironmental Mobile Air Conditioning - Life Cycle Climate Performance

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GREEN-MAC-LCCP Global Refrigerants Energy & ENvironmental Mobile Air Conditioning - Life Cycle Climate Performance Stella Papasavva, William R. Hill July 17, 2007 Presentation prepared for the SAE 8 th Alternate Refrigerant Systems Symposium Scottsdale, Arizona

Outline Life Cycle Analysis Concept GREEN-MAC-LCCP Model Refrigerant System Assumptions Vehicle Assumptions Climate-Drive Assumptions Environmental Assumptions How to Use the Model? Energy Calculation Flow Chart Model Outputs Conclusions 2

BACKGROUND Many companies have done complete life cycle (LCCP) and partial life cycle (TEWI) analysis in the recent past to evaluate the environmental impact of alternative refrigerants Assumptions and methodology can have a large impact on the conclusions, as it was indicated in the results presented by such studies JAMA and SAE have worked together to develop a common approach A new SAE J-standard will be proposed for estimating the Life Cycle Climate Performance (LCCP) of Alternative Refrigerants, considering energy consumption and Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions 3

GREEN-MAC-LCCP Model GM has developed the GREEN-MAC-LCCP life cycle analysis model, based on input data that have been harmonized with OEMs worldwide The goal of the model is to provide guidance to HVAC engineers and policy makers in choosing among proposed Global Alternative Refrigerants [GAR] The model can estimate the Greenhouse Gas (GHGs) emissions of any proposed alternative refrigerant based on the Direct and Indirect emissions of the A/C system on a life time basis and on an annual basis

Life Cycle Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Refrigerants Refrigerant MANUFACTURING Refrigerant CO2 USE Atmospheric degradation products CO 2 HFC Direct Emissions CO 2 HFC TFA HCOF + HFC COF 2 COFCl To be Included in the analysis Transportation CO 2 CO 2 CO 2 Indirect Emissions CO2 Mine Transportation Raw Materials End-use of chemicals Recycling Refrigerant End-of-Life HFC CO 2 Breakdown

Alternative Refrigerants H H F Baseline C C R-134a GWP=1,410 F F F Energy to Manufacture Leakage Rates H H C C H R-152a GWP=122 H F F Efficiency [COP] R-134a GWP=1300 C C Azeotropic blend C F Refrigerant H GWP<10 I C F F O C R-744 GWP=1 O Capacity Additional Refrigerants include AC-1, DP-1 and Solvay s but their chemical structures are proprietary 6

GREEN-MAC-LCCP Model Framework Direct Emissions Indirect Emissions Regular Emissions Irregular Emissions Service Emissions End-of-Life Emissions Leakage from Refrigerant Production and Transportation Energy Consumption of AC System and Engine Cooling Fan Energy Consumption to Make Components Energy Consumption to Make Refrigerant Energy to Transport Each Component Energy for the End-of-Life Recycling and Recovery 7

GREEN-MAC-LCCP Input-Assumptions Vehicle Assumptions Car Size Compact [current] Midsize [current] SUV [current] Engine type L4 [current] V6 [current] V8 [current] Refrigerant System Assumptions: Leakages System Mass Temperature at Evaporator Outlet COP, Qe (from Bench or Vehicle tests) Condenser/Gas Cooler Air Inlet air at idle conditions Front End Air Flow Engine Cooling Fan Model Vehicle Usage & Climate Assumptions: Distance based on region % Drive Time in Ambient during 6AM - 24PM Different for Each City Cabin Comfort -% Time with A/C ON Driving cycle based on region Environmental Assumptions: CO 2 -eq from refrigerant production Transportation, End-of-Life and By- Product Emissions Ambient Temperature Operation Humidity effects

Refrigerant System Boundaries Mass Boundaries Includes all refrigerant components and sensors [front end sealing components need to be included as they change with CO 2 ] Sensors, Fasteners 9

Vehicle assumptions Engine Efficiency Alternator Efficiency Belt Efficiency Compressor to Engine Ratio Alternator to Engine Ratio Engine & Transmission Ratio during designated driving cycle Alternative Fuels Choice of vehicle size (Compact, Midsize, SUV) EXAMPLE Vehicle: Engine: Displacement [L]: Transmission: % Automatic Controls: %Manual Controls: Alternator Efficiency: Belt Efficiency: Engine/Compressor Ratio: Alternator/Engine Ratio: Engine Efficiency: Baseline - Midsize Sedan V6 3.1 6 spd auto 65% 35% 65% 95% 1.35 2.9 31% THE USER NEEDS TO ENTER DATA IN THE PURPLE CELLS 10

Climate-Drive Assumptions

How to Use the Model? GREEN-MAC-LCCP consists of many interlinked spreadsheets of data required to run the model. Most of the input data are fixed based on the harmonization process. Only a small amount of input data is required to be introduced by the user. For each GAR such data include: Component Mass Refrigerant Mass & GWP values Leakage Rates COP and Qe data obtained from bench or vehicle tests A baseline HFC-134a result is provided as a reference [It is based on AR [Alternate Refrigerant] CRP testing data from both Phase I and II] The model output provides the LCCP CO 2 -eq emissions of any GAR [Lifetime and Annual]

How to Use the Model? Example Refrigerant Component Manufacturing Input THE USER NEEDS TO ENTER DATA IN THE PURPLE CELLS 13

How to Use the Model? Example Leakage Rates Input Baseline HFC-134a THE USER NEEDS TO ENTER DATA IN THE PURPLE CELLS The Regular emissions are corrected for the cold climates, assuming that the cold temps will drop the leakage by 30% compared to the warm temps 14

How to Use the Model? Example of Capacity Input Data THE USER NEEDS TO ENTER DATA IN THE PURPLE CELLS 15

How to Use the Model? Example of COP Input Data THE USER NEEDS TO ENTER DATA IN THE PURPLE CELLS 16

COP Curve Fits from bench data Measure compressor power/cop EXAMPLE The COP obtained for various RPMs and various Temperatures from bench tests are curve fit. For compressor speeds less than 900 RPM, the COP is set to the 900 RPM data point. For Compressor Speeds between 900 and 1500 RPM, a second order polynomial equation is developed from the 900,1500, & 2500 data points. For Compressor Speeds between 1500 and 4000 RPM, a second order polynomial equation is developed from the 1500, 2500, & 4000 data points. For Compressor Speeds above 4000, a power equation is developed from the 2500 & 4000 data points. COP - 15 o C 7.0 6.0 5.0 COP 4.0 3.0 Sample Curve Fits of COP vs. Ambient Temperature based on ARCRP Test Data 2.0 1.0 0.0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 Com pressor Speed (RPM) The curve fits are generated automatically by the model 17

Capacity Curve Fits from bench data Measure /Qe The Evaporator Capacity (Qe) obtained for various RPMs and Temperatures from bench tests are curve fit. For compressor speeds less than 900 RPM, the COP is set to the 900 RPM data point. For Compressor Speeds between 900 and 1500 RPM, a second order polynomial equation is developed from the 900,1500, & 2500 data points. For Compressor Speeds between 1500 and 4000 RPM, a second order polynomial equation is developed from the 1500, 2500, & 4000 data points. For Compressor Speeds above 4000, a power equation is developed from the 2500 & 4000 data points. Sample Curve Fits of COP vs. Ambient Temperature based on ARCRP Test Data Based on Average Capacity of various Alt. Refrs The curve fits are generated automatically by the model 18

LCCP Model - Energy Calculation Flow Chart MAC Component Input Climate-Drive Input Vehicle Input MAC- Manufacturing Input MAC-End Of Life (EOL) Input Ambient Freq/City Vehicle Run time/yr Vehicle Lifetime Cabin Comfort %time A/C on Vehicle Parameters 15oC 25oC 35oC Energy @ 15,25,35oC, 45oC Energy Calculations Alternator eff. Belt eff. Engine eff. Bench Test Measure compressor power/cop Create curves of COP vs CRPM/Ambient Standard Evaporator capacity per curves Correct for solar based on city Correct for humidity based on city Calculate energy consumption per second in spreadsheet Vehicle Test per Driving Schedule Measure compressor power/cop Measure Evaporator capacity Adjust Evaporator capacity to curves Correct for solar based on city Correct for humidity based on city Calculate energy consumption per second in spreadsheet Total Lifetime AC Energy (kj) Leakage Input Summary Results Cooling Fan Energy 19

Refrigerant System Assumptions Bench Tests obtained from various Organizations 20

Model Output Total Lifetime AC Energy (kj) LCCP CO 2 Equivalent Emissions for Alternative Refrigerant systems Annual LCCP CO 2 Equiv. Emissions Lifetime LCCP CO 2 Equiv. Emissions We have exercised the model using publicly available ARCRP-II data. I-MAC data are also publicly available Due to confidentiality, CRP-150 data can not be publicly analyzed and shared in this presentation 21

Lifetime LCCP Results based on ARCRP-II Bench for R-134a, R-152a, R-744, R-744-with Orifice LCCP CO 2 -Equivalent Emissions during Vehicle's Lifetime R-134a R-152a R-744 R-744_OTB R-134a-I-MAC R-152a direct expansion CO2-Equivalent Emissions (kg) 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Phoenix Houston Boston Miami Frankfurt Athens Tokyo Kagoshima Sapporo Bangalore Bombay New Delhi Sydney Beijing Shanghai All tests are based on Single Evaporator Systems 22

Lifetime LCCP Direct & Indirect Contributions for R-134a, R-152a, R-744, R-744-with Orifice Refrigerant R-134a Direct & Indirect LCCP CO2-Equivalent Emissions during Vehicle's Lifetime Refrigerant R-152a Direct & Indirect LCCP CO2-Equivalent Emissions during Vehicle's Lifetime Direct Contribution Indirect Contribution Direct Contribution Indirect Contribution 25,000 25,000 LCCP Lifetime CO 2 -eq. emissions (kg) 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 LCCP Lifetime CO 2 -eq. emissions (kg) 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 Phoenix Houston Boston Miami Frankfurt Athens Tokyo Kagoshima Sapporo Bangalore Bombay New Delhi Sydney Beijing Shanghai Phoenix Houston Boston Miami Frankfurt Athens Tokyo Kagoshima Sapporo Bangalore Bombay New Delhi Sydney Beijing Shanghai Refrigerant R-744 Direct & Indirect LCCP CO2-Equivalent Emissions during Vehicle's Lifetime Direct Contribution Indirect Contribution Refrigerant R-744_OTB Direct & Indirect LCCP CO2-Equivalent Emissions during Vehicle's Lifetime Direct Contribution Indirect Contribution 25,000 25,000 LCCP Lifetime CO 2 -eq. emissions (kg) 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 LCCP Lifetime CO 2 -eq. emissions (kg) 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 0 Phoenix Houston Boston Miami Frankfurt Athens Tokyo Kagoshima Sapporo Bangalore Bombay New Delhi Sydney Beijing Shanghai Phoenix Houston Boston Miami Frankfurt Athens Tokyo Kagoshima Sapporo Bangalore Bombay New Delhi Sydney Beijing 23 Shanghai

CONCLUSION 1. GREEN-MAC-LCCP [version 2] has been finalized in June and shared with OEMs and other organizations worldwide for GAR analysis 2) The excel model provides the reference Baseline Refrigerant (HFC-134a) based on a Midsize vehicle with 6- cylinder engine based on ARCRP-II data [5 C evaporator control] 3) Six alternative refrigerants can be analyzed and compared 4) Test results from some global users suggest that the GREEN-MAC-LCCP model is: Transparent, Robust, and Flexible to the users Satisfactorily predicts LCCP CO 2 -eq emissions based either on bench or vehicle data Provides a comprehensive tool for engineers and policy makers to use during the GAR decision process 24

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS USEPA: Stephen Anderson who suggested this harmonization activity, Karen Thundiyil for helping in the gathering of the Indian vehicle data JAMA: Kikuchi-san, Tzuhsiang-san, Ikegami-san for comments, suggestions and excellent feedback during the data harmonization process NREL: John Rugh, Larry Chaney for sharing vehicle A/C comfort data and for addressing all our weather data questions SINTEF: Armin Hafner for comments & suggestions to the model CRP-150 Team: Ward Atkinson, Jurgen Wertenbach, Stephen Lepper, Lothar Seybold, Roberto Monforte, Volker Fliehmann for comments & suggestions to each version of the model MACS: Elvis Hoffpauir for sharing EOL vehicle refrigerant data Chemical Companies: Ineos (Bob Low), DuPont (Mary Koban), Honeywell (Ian Shankland, Mark Spatz, Richard Winick), for sharing energy manufacturing data THANK YOU! 25

BACKUP 26

Alternator Efficiency 80% Alternator Efficiency 70% 60% 50% Eff % 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 ARPM 20A 50A 80A 100A Full output JAMA will confirm it again. 27

What is Life Cycle Climate Performance? [from National Renewable Energy Lab (NREL) presentation] CO 2 equivalent global warming impact over the total lifetime of the unit Direct refrigerant release directly to atmosphere Indirect energy consumption over lifetime and recycling Fuel use to power compressor and blower Fuel use to carry around mass of A/C system Manufacturing of refrigerant and A/C components 28

Weather Data TMY2 and IWEC Databases The LCCP model obtains Weather data from reported in the TMY2 database for the USA and The IWEC for all non-us cities. The TMY2 data files provide typical weather for 239 US stations from 1961-1990 The IWEC data files are 'typical' weather for 227 locations outside the USA and Canada from 1982-1999. Source: http://www.eere.energy.gov/buildings/energyplus/weatherdata_sources.html Comparison of a 30-year TMY temperature data with a 6-year avg. from 2000-2005 Ts show a warming trend due to Global Warming. The 2000-2005 data are not public Temperature Correction Factor Avg. CORRECTION FACTOR: Temp. Range 12-29 - 3.6% 12-20 - 3.0% ( o C) 30-38 +3.2% 30-37 +3.0%

AC on Time AC on time was originally estimated per city and per temperature bin based on [National Renewable Energy Lab] NREL comfort modeling Percentages were changed based on consensus For automatic system, AC is on continuous 30

Vehicle Usage Assumptions JAMA: 10,842 km Japan Ministry of Land Infrastructure and Transport Ref. http://toukei.mlit.go.jp/56/monthly/geppou-e.xls Ref. for EU http://ec.europa.eu/transport/index_en.html Ref. for Australia http://www.environment.sa.gov.au/reporting/human/transport/total.html Ref. for USA http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/rtecs/nhts_survey/2001/index.html-usa -Table 15

Measure compressor power/cop And Qe Bench Test Matrix Same for all Refrigerant Systems At Idle conditions there will be two tests one at 0K and second at 15K A weighted average of the two data points is included in the LCCP model 32

Measure compressor power/cop COP Curve Fit Polynomials Based on the input data entered in purple cells the coefficients of the equations will change Sample Curve Fits of COP vs. Ambient Temperature based on ARCRP Test Data 33

Measure /Qe Capacity Curve Fit Polynomials Based on the input data entered in purple cells the coefficients of the equations will change Sample Curve Fits of COP vs. Ambient Temperature based on ARCRP Test Data 34