Oil Consumption Per Capita. Global View, 2006

Similar documents
The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

The Outlook for Energy

Milken Institute: Center for Accelerating Energy Solutions

The Global Energy Scene

Highlights. Figure 1. World Marketed Energy Consumption by Region,

A Global View of Sustainable Energy and Deregulation

UNECE Expert Group on Resource Classification April, 2016

BP Statistical Review of World Energy

2017 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

Global Energy Production & Use 101

Global Status Report (annual reports)

The Outlook for Energy:

The Outlook for Energy:

Coal Low Cost Fuel for the Future

2017 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

Rob Gardner September, 2016

Energy in Perspective

RENEWABLE ENERGY IN AUSTRALIA

The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

Energy Sustainability:

BP Energy Outlook 2016 edition

PJM Overview: PJM Structure and Cross-Border Examples PJM 2010

IEA WORK ON FUTURE ELECTRICITY SYSTEMS

Politique et sécurité énergétique dans le contexte des nouvelles énergies

Profound changes underway in energy markets Signs of decoupling of energy-related CO 2 emissions and global economic growth Oil prices have fallen pre

Energy Statistics: Making the Numbers Count

BP Energy Outlook 2017 edition

2017 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

Cover image: Underwriter Laboratories.

EPRI Welcome and Introduction

The Asian perspective: thermal coal and renewables

U.S. energy consumption

Status and Prospects of PV Technology

Renewable electricity: Non-OECD Summary OECD Americas OECD Asia Oceania OECD Europe References...

Supporting Solar Success in Ontario. 10 th February 2010, Milano, Italy Richard Todd Ontario Ministry of Economic Development & Trade

The challenges of a changing energy landscape

Medium Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2013

Medium Term Renewable Energy Market Report Michael Waldron Senior Energy Market Analyst Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency

Managing the Rapid Transformation of New England s Energy Resources


January Christof Rühl, Group Chief Economist

API Automotive/Petroleum Industry Forum Alessandro Faldi

Electricity Grid of the Future. Program Director: Dr. Sonja Glavaski

International Energy Outlook 2017

Global Bioenergy Market Developments

Renewable Energy: Opportunities and Challenges

The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

Funding and Developing Renewable Energy Projects. Project Development Panel. Focus on Solar Projects in Midwest and U.S.

Renewables Global Status Report 2009 Update

The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

the outlook for energy:

The Outlook for Energy:

Plenary Session 1: Global Shifts: The Future of Energy Security: Finding New Balances. Background Paper

RENEWABLES AND FOSSIL FUELS COST TRENDS

Energy Availability and the Future of the Fertilizer Industry. Rayola Dougher API Senior Economic Advisor

A Case Study of Wind Power

Annual Energy Outlook 2015

Trends in Clean Energy Investment

FutureMetrics LLC 8 Airport Road Bethel, ME 04217, USA

World Energy Outlook Dr Fatih Birol Chief Economist, IEA Istanbul, 20 December

Renewable Energy: Pathways to a Sustainable Future

Carbon, Poverty and the Energy Transition Dilemma

TABLE OF CONTENTS 6 RENEWABLES 2017

WORLD ENERGY OUTLOOK Dr. Fatih Birol Chief Economist Head, Economic Analysis Division

Competitive energy landscape in Europe

Introduction: The Growing Importance of Biofuels in Asia

Oil and natural gas: market outlook and drivers

Distributed Generation Technologies A Global Perspective

Renewable Energy Generation: Different Challenges in Different Continents

New England Electricity Outlook

BP Energy Outlook 2016 edition

Issues and Trends in the Development and Transfer of Energy Efficiency Technologies: IEA Studies and Perspectives

The Outlook for Energy:

International Energy Outlook 2016

The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

Global energy markets outlook versus post-paris Agreement Impact on South East Europe

Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO)

Delivering on the clean energy agenda: prospects and the role for policy

The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2030

2017 Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040

World Energy Outlook 2013

PJM s Experience with the RPM Capacity Market

Contents. Introduction Global energy trends Outlook 2030: Fuel by fuel Implications. Energy Outlook 2030 BP 2013

SAMPLE. Reference Code: GDAE6214IDB. Publication Date: September GDAE6214IDB / Published SEP 2012

The Next 100 Years of Global Energy: Part I Energy Security and Energy Poverty*

Renewables Global Status Report

Energy Market Update. Mark Finley Meet Alaska, January 21, 2011

Outlook for Energy Market in Asia (India and ASEAN)

IMI Critical Engineering. Roy Twite Divisional Managing Director

BIEE Gas Seminar: Global Shifts in Gas Demand

Shell Renewables & Hydrogen. Tim O Leary. External Affairs

Global trends in Renewables and the Chilean context

GE Energy Meeting Global Demands

The Outlook for Energy

1 New Energy Outlook 2017

[LNG MARKET ANALYSIS ] 1. LNG Market Analysis

Figure 1. Global new investment in renewable energy by asset class, Figure 2. Global transactions in renewable energy, 2016 Figure 4.

Addressing Tomorrow s Challenges Today

As discussed in Chapters 2 and 5, energy fuel

APEC ENERGY DEMAND AND SUPPLY OUTLOOK

Transcription:

Oil Consumption Per Capita Global View, 2006 Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2006

Refinery Utilization Historical Trends by Region Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2006

Electricity Generation Terawatt-hours, 1999-2005 Terawatt -hours 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 Asia Pacific Europe & Eurasia North America 3500 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2006

Natural Gas Production Million Tonnes Oil Equivalent, 1970-2005 Million Tonnes Oil Equivalent 1000 800 600 400 200 Asia Pacific Europe & Eurasia North America 0 70 75 80 85 90 95 00 05 Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2006

World Midyear Population Forecast Billions, 2000-2050 Billions 9.5 9.0 World Population 8.5 8.0 7.5 7.0 6.5 6.0 5.5 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Source: Census Bureau

U.S. Cumulative Capacity Additions By Fuel Type Nuclear Renewables Natural Gas Coal Source: Energy Information Administration

New Oil and Gas Project Investment By Source and Destination, 2006-2010 Source of Investment by Company Base Distribution of Investment Rest of the World, 13% OPEC, 7% OPEC, 23% OECD, 80% Rest of the World, 59% OECD, 19% Source: International Energy Agency

Renewable Energy Consumption Trend United States, 1995-2006 Quadrillion BTU 4.0 3.0 Hydro-Electric Power Biomass Other 2.0 1.0 0.0 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 Source: Energy Information Administration/Monthly Energy Review March 2007

Evolution of World Total Primary Energy Supply By Fuel, 1971-2004 Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent Coal Hydro Oil Gas Combustible Renewables & Waste Nuclear Other Source: International Energy Agency

Cumulative Investment in Energy Infrastructure By Type, 2005-2030 Exploration and Development, 56% LNG Chain, 7% Transmission and Distribution, 37% Gas, 19% Biofuels, 1% Coal, 3% Power Generation, 46% Transmission and Distribution, 54% Oil, 21% Electricity, 56% Exploration and Development, 76% Refining, 18% Other, 6% Source: International Energy Agency

Fuel Shares of World Total Primary Energy Supply 2004 Oil, 34.30% Gas, 20.90% Nuclear, 6.50% Non-Renew. Waste, 0.20% Coal, 25.10% Renewables, 13.10% Source: International Energy Agency

Top 5 Countries in Renewable Fuel Investment By Annual Amounts or Capacity Additions in 2005 Type of Renewable Fuel 1 2 3 4 5 Annual investment Germany/China Germany/China U.S. Ja pan Spain Wind power U.S. Germany Spain India China Solar PV (grid-connected) Germany Ja pan U.S. Spain France Solar hot water China Turkey Germany India Austria/Greece/ Japan/Australia Ethanol production Brazil/U.S. Brazil/U.S. China Spain/India Spain/India Biodiesel production Germany France Italy U.S. Czech Republic Source: Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century

Growing Global Interest in Renewable Fuel Selected Indicators 2004 2005 Investment in new renewable capacity (annual) $30 $38 Billion Renewables power capacity (existing, excl. large hydro) 160 182 GW Renewables power capacity (existing, incl. large hydro) 895 930 GW Wind power capacity (existing) 48 59 GW Grid connected solar PV capacity (existing) 2 3.1 GW Solar PV production (annual) 1150 1700 MW Solar hot water capacity (existing) 77 88 GWth Ethanol production (annual) 30.5 33 Billion Liters Biodiesel production (annual) 2.1 3.9 Billion Liters Countries with policy targets 45 49 States/provinces/countries with feed-in policies 37 41 States/provinces/countries with RPS policies 38 38 States/provinces/countries with biofuels mandates 22 38 Source: Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century

Global Nuclear Mindset Status of Commercial Nuclear Power Source: Wikipedia

Nuclear Power Production 1971-2004 Million Tonnes of Oil Equivalent OECD Former USSR Non-OECD Europe Asia* Other** Source: International Energy Agency

Renewable Energy Sources Source: Energy Information Administration

Electricity Consumption Source: CIA World Factbook

Existing Wind Power Capacity 1990-2005 Source: Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century

Wind Power Capacity Top Ten Countries Source: Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century

Solar PV Capacity 1990-2005 Source: Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century

Renewable Power Capacity 2005 Source: Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century

World Ethanol Fuel Production 2000-2005 Source: Renewable Energy Policy Network for the 21st Century

Major Pipelines Source: EIA, World Press, Global Research

Cost and Prices of Power Average Unit Power Generation Cost (Comparison of Different Energy Sources) Cost (US$ cents/kwh) 40 30 32 20 10 4 6 7 6 8 0 Solar Coal Nuclear Gas Wind Oil Average Residential Power Prices in 2004 (US$ cents/kwh) 30 25 20 10 18 16 13 9 7 4 4 0 Japan Italy Germany UK US South Korea India China

Historical Prices of Oil, Natural Gas, and Corn WTI ($/bbl) $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 Historical Prices for Oil and Natural Gas Oil Natural Gas 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 YTD $14 $12 $10 $8 $6 $4 $2 $0 Henry Hub ($/MMBTU) Historical Corn Prices $ per bushel $5 $4 $3 $2 $1 Corn $0 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 YTD

Energy Transfer Midstream Assets

U.S. Natural Gas Systems

Who is ITC? ITC and its subsidiaries are in the business of investing in electricity transmission infrastructure improvements as a means to improve electric reliability, reduce congestion and lower the overall cost of delivered energy.

Who Is ITC? Service Territory Map Largest independent transmission company and currently 8 th largest transmission company overall in the U.S. in terms of transmission load served (1) Only publicly traded company engaged exclusively in the transmission of electricity in the U.S. Rate regulation by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission ( FERC ) Recently recognized by Crain s Detroit as one of metro Detroit s top 20 fastest growing companies (2) ITC is committed to investing in the electricity transmission grid in an effort to improve reliability, reduce congestion and lower the overall cost of delivered energy (1) Based on transmission load served (annual electric retail sales in the service territory) as found in Edison Electric Institute Profile: Rankings of Shareholder-Owned Electric Companies, May 2006. (2) Crain's Detroit Business 2007 Book of Lists, December 25, 2006.

Service Territory

ITC Holdings Subsidiary Comparison System Peak Load 12,745 MW 9,469 MW 3,123 MW * Service Area Southeastern Michigan Lower Peninsula of Michigan Iowa, and portions of Minnesota and Illinois Total Transmission Miles More than 2,700 Approximately 5,400 6,791 Stations 155 81 Approximately 170 Interconnections 16 21 Approximately 160 Membership Midwest ISO Midwest ISO Midwest ISO Became ITC Holdings Subsidiary March 1, 2003 October 10, 2006 Definitive agreement signed January 19, 2007; Acquisition closing expected fourth quarter 2007 * Assumes closing of acquisition of Interstate Power and Light Company (IP&L).

Improved Maintenance, Efficiency Our maintenance methodology is simple: invest in prevention. When we assumed responsibility for the ITCTransmission system, the backlog was approximately four years behind with some areas being up to 15 years behind. Once the backlog is eliminated, we will remain committed to ongoing preventative maintenance. Activity Breaker Inspections Bus Inspections Relay Complete Periodic Maintenance Tower Inspections Tower Painting Infrared Inspections Transformer DGA Line Clearance / Corridor Mowing 2003* 28 6 10 857 147 153 43 95% 2004 82 51 176 1,441 1,095 153 71 105% 2005 96 81 354 1,442 3,500 154 62 100% 2006 58 60 526 2,212 0 157 96 100% * ITCTransmission became a stand-alone transmission company on March 1, 2003, following divestiture from DTE Energy.

Reinvestment in the Grid 250 200 150 100 50 0 Ten Months 2003 2004 2005 2006 C i l E di D i i ITC, through its subsidiaries ITCTransmission and METC, has invested significantly in property, plant and equipment in an effort to improve reliability. 2003 - $41 million 2004 - $81.5 million 2005 - $117.8 million 2006 - $221.5 million* Jewell Spokane Example One time $8 million investment produces energy savings in excess of $60 million annually in Southeast Michigan. * METC acquisition was completed on October 10, 2006. This total includes both ITCTransmission and METC capital investments of $171.5 million and $50.0 million, respectively.

Improved System Performance 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Since assuming responsibility for the ITCTransmission system, we have reduced sustained system outages from 44 in our first year to 24 in 2006. Average Circuit Outages: Sustained and Momentary (1) 0.49 0.28 Sustained 0.70 0.38 0.23 0.23 (1) 2006 SGS Transmission Reliability Benchmarking Study: Measures total number of circuit interruptions (momentary or sustained) in a unit time period divided by the number of circuit-years. Momentary Industry Average Top Quartile ITC

Result of Underinvestment Rusted cathodic protection device insecurely mounted on a jack stand Breakers coated in rust Cotter pin holding up a shield wire that is ready to give way Vegetation growing into the lines

ITC Zone Load During Summer 2006 Peak 14000 ITC Zone Load 12000 10000 8000 MW 6000 4000 2000 ITC Zone Import (IESO, FE, METC) ITC Zone Gen IPP ITC Zone Gen DECO ITC Zone Import (IESO, FE, METC) Total Generation Capacity ITC Zone in Gen SE - IPP Michigan ITC Zone Gen - DECO 0 7/31/06 0:00 7/31/06 4:00 7/31/06 8:00 7/31/06 12:00 7/31/06 16:00 7/31/06 20:00 8/1/06 0:00 8/1/06 4:00 8/1/06 8:00 Time 8/1/06 12:00 8/1/06 16:00 8/1/06 20:00 8/2/06 0:00 8/2/06 4:00 8/2/06 8:00 8/2/06 12:00 8/2/06 16:00 8/2/06 20:00

ITC Load Duration Curve 2006 ITC Load Duration Curve 13,000 12,000 11,000 10,000 9,000 M W 8,000 7,000 Points beyond 100% are the minimum demands for the year 6,000 5,000 4,000 Minimum 3,000 0 20 40 60 80 100