The Transition to Clean Energy Systems in California Andrew McAllister, PhD Commissioner California Energy Commission
The Climate Imperative California is fortunate to have broad agreement population, elected leadership, business community, investors, local governments that climate change must be confronted. WE MUST LEAD.
CA Emissions Trajectory Toward 2050
Change Since 2000 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% Since 2001: GDP Up 28%, Emissions Down 8% While Emissions Have Fallen by 8% -30% 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Year Source: CA Air Resources Board GDP Population GHG Emissions GHG Emissions Per Capita
GHG Emissions Statewide 26% 37% 9% 27% transportation industry agriculture buildings
The transition to clean energy is full of opportunity. Policies A Broad Suite of Complementary Initiatives A suite of complementary policies helps to encourage innovation in technology and equally important - business model development for commercialization and scale-up.
I. Improved Energy Performance of Buildings, Industry $1.8+B/yr in EE programs Leadership in State buildings Assertive Building Codes New Appliance Standards Market Training and Support Research & Development Innovative Financing Approaches Benchmarking and Disclosure Market-relevant INFORMATION 14,000 12,000 10,000 kwh 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Per Capita Consumption - CA Per Capita Consumption - U.S. GOAL p/c Consumption - CA Net After Self-Gen CO2 trend w/ RPS 1975 1978 1981 1984 1987 1990 1993 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023 2026 2029 Source: CA Energy Commission
Building Standards Have Saved ~$66B Since 1976 * Source: CA Energy Commission
2019 Building Standards (Under Development) The 2019 Building Energy Efficiency Standards should send the right signal to the market to encourage: 1. Envelope efficiency 2. Modest sized PV systems 3. Grid integration/harmonization strategies
Appliance Standards Save CA $6 Billion Every Year 2009: The Energy Commission s TV efficiency standards take effect, saving Californians $1 billion / year 2012: The Commission s plug-in charger efficiency standards begin saving Californians $300M / year
2019: Efficiency Standards for Computers & Monitors begin saving Californians $370M / year
II. Half of Electricity From (Non-Hydro) Renewables 25% 33% 50% 2015 2020 2030
2016 Renewable Generation Serving California
Renewable Generation By Resource Type (in-state and out-of-state)
World s 3rd Largest Crystalline Plant Solar Star 1-2 579 MW Kern & Los Angeles Counties, CA World s Largest Thin Film Plant Desert Sunlight 550 MW Riverside County, CA World s Largest Solar Thermal Plant Ivanpah 377 MW San Bernardino County, CA World s Largest Solar Thermal Trough SEGS 354 MW San Bernardino County, CA
Renewable Distributed Generation (<20 MW, incl. Self-Gen)
Renewable Distributed Generation by Fuel Type
Annual Newly Installed Self-Generation Capacity
Benefits of Consistent Policy, Open Data http://www.californiadgstats.ca.gov/
III. Focus on Low-Income Californians & Disadvantaged Communities SB 350 Barriers Report, December 2017 How do we make sure all Californians have access to essential energy services, particularly clean and affordable ones, including energy efficiency and renewables? Recommendations include: Additional Resources; Targeted Solar & Efficiency Programs; Focus on Quality Workforce Development - Coupled with Contracting Requirements; More Effective Program Data Collection & Accountability; Ongoing Barriers Task Force.
Reducing Fossil Fuel Use - Vehicle Electrification, Fuel Cell Vehicles - Hydrogen Fuel Cell Vehicles - Heavy Duty Vehicles: BioDiesel, Natural Gas - Buildings End Uses
Storage & Controls: Creating Beauty? Smarts? Distributed Generators
VISION A Principle Challenge to Achieving Our 2050 Goals Is: Technologies at all scales Supply AND Demand Are Responsive Flexibility Throughout the System Integration Standardized Data Access and Communications Control & Automation
Zero Net Energy (ZNE) Buildings CA policy goals All new homes are ZNE by 2020 All new commercial buildings are ZNE by 2030 State Buildings: All new, 50% existing ZNE by 2025 A variety of complementary efforts will be needed to achieve these goals, including building standards and scaled-up market offerings.
Source: New Buildings Institute, PG&E Corp. Tale of Two Buildings BOTH Zero Net Energy Solar PV Only Efficiency, Demand Response, THEN PV
Tale of Two Buildings Grid View Solar PV Only Efficiency, Demand Response, THEN PV Source: New Buildings Institute, PG&E Corp.
Existing Commercial Building Upgrade BEFORE Source: Kevin Bates, SHARP Development Co.
PASSIVE THERMAL COMFORT Source: Kevin Bates, SHARP Development Co. After
Tons 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Tenant-Centered Design: Capital Savings: Downsized HVAC system Simpler, modular systems = reduced TI Better Cash Flow: Lower vacancies Longer tenancies Higher rents Lower maintenance costs Comfortable, satisfied workers => Enhanced Profitability Existing Standard THIS 415 BUILDING Indio Source: Kevin Bates, SHARP Development Co.
New City Library Berkeley, CA Zero Net Energy, Passive Design
Accessible Cutting-Edge Energy Innovation 62-Unit Affordable ZNE Community in Woodland, CA - All-electric - Next is an energy-positive community!
Regional Energy Imbalance Market Trading excess renewables between balancing authorities EIM takes advantage of geographic diversity across the Western US Reduces curtailment and creates revenue for renewable generators Source: CAISO
Clean Energy: 400,000 Jobs in California! Source: Advanced Energy Economy, 2016
Economic Development is Central to the Sustainable Energy Transition
THANK YOU! Commissioner Andrew McAllister andrew.mcallister@energy.ca.gov