MINISTRY OF ENERGY UNLOCKING ECOWAS GAS MARKET: FROM LNG TO GAS-TO-POWER Ghana s Downstream Sector and Investment Opportunities in Gas Sector Ministry of Energy - Jacob Amuah, Director (Petroleum 12/6/2017 1 Downstream)
Outline 1. Ghana s Gas Industry Overview Value Chain, Key Players and Regulator Latest Initiatives 2. Ghana s Gas Profile Gas Reserves Gas Production Summary Current Sources Demand/Supply Deficit 3. Unlocking LNG import projects 4. Conclusion 2
Ghana s Gas Industry Overview Role The Ministry of Energy is responsible for energy policy formulation, monitoring and evaluation as well as supervision and coordination of activities of Energy Sector Agencies Vision Our Vision is to become an energy economy with reliable supply of high quality energy services for the Ghanaian economy and for export. Core functions related to the gas sub-sector: Translates Government s energy development agenda and policy directions contained in the national energy policy into strategies and programs; Ensure the reliable supply of affordable energy services to meet national demand and for export; 3
Ghana s Gas Industry Overview (Contd..) Gas Sub-sector Policies Revised Energy Sector Policy (2017) Upstream sub-sector Downstream sub-sector Power & Renewable sub-sector Gas Master Plan (2016) Natural Gas Pricing Policy (2012) 4
Ghana s Gas Industry Overview (Contd..) Key Policy Highlights and Goals (Gas Commercialization) Goal: Promotion of optimal gas exploitation and utilization for accelerated development. 5
Ghana s Gas Industry Overview (Contd..) Recommended Utilization Options in order of Priority from Gas Master Plan 1. Power Generation - Most commercially attractive with ready demand 2. Cement/Clinker Production - High level priority for cement is based on research work by KNUST 3. Industrial Co-Generation 4. CNG Vehicles 5. Petrochemical Synthesis 6
Ghana s Gas Industry Value Chain, Key Players & Regulators Value Chain upstream downstream Aggregation Exploration Production /Gathering Processing Transmission Distribution Utilization activities Seismic Survey Exploratory Drilling Appraisal Field Development Production & Reservoir Management Raw Gas Aggregation/ Gas Purchase Tie-in (TI) Gathering from all fields Gas Conditioning/ Processing Lean Gas prod Liquids prod /sales/export Transmission & Storage Compressors Reg/Metering LNG Supply SRU/Facilities Distribution Network /LDC Domestic.Lean Gas Sales WAGP Gas sales Rg LNG Sales Power Gen Industrial/PC Commercial Residential Key Payers GNPC/ IOCs responsible for Exploration Drilling/ Appraisal Gas Export System Riser / Transfer Facs GNPC/ GG/BOST GG IOCs GNPC/GG GNPC/Other Other VRA/IPPs Petrochem GPA/Gas Price Securitization TI Agreemnts/TI GatheringSystem Install/Operation Gathering Tariff Plant Installatn/ Ops/Maint Service & Maint Agreements Export Fac/Ops Liqs Pricing ProcessingTariff Pipeline /Installatn/Ops /Maintenance/ Service& Maint Agreements LNGTrnsferline TransmssnTariff CTIA, GSA /Gas Quality Dist Tariff Levies Delivered Gas Price Allocation Policy Availability of Reception Facilities Regulators T&C MoPet/PC MoPet/PC PC/MoPet PURC PURC/NPA NPA/ PURC NPA/ PURC NPA/MoPet PURC 7
Ghana s Gas Industry Latest Initiatives - Institutional Framework Commodity & Infrastructure BOST NGLs Export System GNGC Transmission System Pipeline/Tankers (LNG) Compressors Other VRA IPPs PetroC Other SUPPLY GNPC Gathering/Processing System Gathering pipelines Separators Dehydrators Sweetening Plants Compressors Gathering pipelines GNGC GPP (ProcessPlant) GNPC GNGC GNPC GNGC RMS GNPC Distribution Pipelines Other Distribution System Pipelines Pressure regulator Metering facility Heaters BOST NGLs Infrastructure (ownership and operatorship) 8 DEMAND /MARKET GNPC Commodity Agg/Shipper (Raw Gas, Lean Gas, NGLs, LNG) GNGC Gas Infrastructure (ownership and operatorship) 8
Ghana s Gas Profile Gas Reserves # Block Partners Operator Oil (bbls) Gas (bcf) 1 West Cape Three Point 1. Kosmos Energy - 30.87% 2. Tullow Ghana - 26.39% 3. Anadarko - 30.875% 4. Petro SA - 1.854% 5. GNPC - 10% Kosmos Energy Jubilee 642 Jubilee 615 2 Deepwater Tano Contract area 1. Tullow - 33.71% 2. Kosmos Energy - 22.87% 3. Anardarko - 22.87% 4. Petro SA - 2.59% 5. GNPC - 17.96% Tullow TEN 245 TEN 353 3 Offshore Cape Three Point Contract Area 1. Eni Ghana: 47.22% 2. Vitol Upstream: 37.778% 3. GNPC: 15% Eni Sankofa 173.3 Sankofa 1070 *14 other blocks with petroleum prospects at various stages of exploration 9
Ghana s Gas Profile Ghana s Gas to Power Demand 10
Ghana s Gas Profile Current Gas Sources Indigenous (from Ghana s oil fields) Imported Gas (from Nigeria through WAPCo) Both sources are currently providing approx. 210mmscfd Gas Sources - 2017 Jubilee TEN Sankofa WAPCo Gas Sources - From 2018 Jubilee TEN Sankofa WAPCo 25% 18% 23% 0% 50% 9% 25% 50% 11
Ghana s Gas Industry Overview (Contd..) Ghana s Gas Resources Indigenous Jubilee (2015, max. 120 mmscfd, Current 100 mmscfd) TEN Field (2017, 50 mmscfd) Sankofa Field (2018, 180 mmscfd) HESS Field (expected in 2022, reserves of 370 MMBO & 650 BCFG) Imported WAGP Gas from Nigeria (Contracted Vol. 123 mmscfd, Current 60 mmscfd) 12
Ghana s Gas Profile Demand/Supply Deficit Year Demand Supply Deficit Demand, Supply And Deficit Projections 2018 423 341 82 2019 500 381 119 2020 492 381 111 2021 520 381 139 2022 541 381 160 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Demand Supply Deficit 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2023 571 381 190 2024 597 381 216 Total Country Gas Supply Gap 2025 632 381 251 500 2026 669 381 288 450 400 2027 706 381 325 350 300 2028 748 381 367 2029 794 381 413 2030 842 381 461 250 200 150 100 50 0 0 461 413 367 325 288 251 216 190 119 139 160 111 82 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 13
Meeting the deficit - LNG Infrastructure Ghana has signed Agreements with: Gazprom & Others (Infrastructure and Product supply) Daily Contractual Rate - 240,000mmbtu Delivered gas price - $7.74/mmbtu FRU capacity - 20,000 m3 FSU capacity - 170,000 m3 Expected increase in Power Generation - 1,000MW Equatorial Guinea (Product supply Only) Ghana has signed a Heads-of-State agreement with Equatorial Guinea for the supply of between 150 and 200 million standard cubic feet (scf) of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) per day. Additionally: Import of 100MMSFCD ( 540MW CC capacity) from Nigeria (Gasol as the supplier via the WAGP) Mini LNG import systems sponsored by Sunon Asogli Power Plant and Trojan power plant, both IPPs in Tema. The mini LNG systems are expected to bring LNG from LNG carriers moored offshore, into the Tema port through smaller shuttle boats, requiring low draft to avoid dredging. 14
Unlocking LNG import projects - Regionalisation There is a political decision and instruments for the development of the regional market (ECOWAS Treaty and Protocol of Energy) Resources are complementary in the region which suggests strongly the benefits of an integration in a regional market (oil and gas in the east mainly and hydro in the west) Countries of the region face all the challenges of security of supply and the cost of access to electricity There are trading already ongoing in the region which demonstrates the capacity and willingness of countries to trade There is infrastructure being developed for regional trading 15
Unlocking LNG import projects - Creating Appropriate Regulatory Conditions 1. Appropriate legal framework (export of power is allowed by Electricity Act) 2. Regulatory framework has been established (licensing mechanism for authorization) 3. Available and reliable generation capacity 4. Available and reliable interconnections facilities 5. Existence of effective demands 6. Competitive cost/tariff of capacity and energy 16
Conclusion Huge potential for gas-to-power in West Africa Increasing supply deficit in the region Need for regionalization to make projects viable Need for appropriate policy and regulatory framework Governments and private sector can team up to meet growing demand for gas and power 17
Conclusion Industry is young with diverse opportunities Government and Agencies well positioned to facilitate a conducive business environment Democratic Governance with Strong legal System Joint venture Opportunities with wellestablished Ghanaian partners Business environment that ensures good returns on investment 18
P. O. Box SD40 Stadium Post Office Accra +233 302 683961/4 moen@energymin.gov.gh www.energymin.gov.gh 12/6/2017 Ministry of Energy - Jacob Amuah, Director (Petroleum Downstream) 19