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A closed ecosystem. Only so many sources of life-sustaining water. And all the creatures of Earth, just like the three of us circling it, all dependent on water. Dr. Jerry Linenger Astronaut/Mir, Cosmonaut 2
Going orbital A question of perspective 3
Going orbital How much for water? a. $1 liter b. $4 liter c. $4,000 liter d. $50,000 liter 4
Going orbital How much for water? a. $1 liter b. $4 liter c. $4,000 liter d. $50,000 liter (Say in unison ) it s all in the delivery 5
How many of you took a shower this morning? 6
How many of you took a shower this morning? Where did the water come from? 7
How many took a shower this morning, and where did the water come from? Scottsdale We were here. 8
Delivery across the desert A thin blue line 9
Central Arizona Project 30 years, $4 billion 10
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The year of our water rights. Governor Stephen Lewis Gila River Indian Community Supply and Demand Native Americans hold 20 percent of the basin s water rights. How they use their water will shape the future of the Southwest 14
Houston 15
16 Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Report 2015
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18 Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Report 2015
Trends in Groundwater Storage, 2003-2013 19
Trends in Groundwater Storage, 2003-2013 Map: Kaye LaFond 20
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22 Water is more visible at the United Nations climate conference in Paris than in any preceding climate summit.
Country climate plans (vague) Paris Pact (big step, 300 orgs, 87 countries) 23
Water is more visible at the United Nations climate conference in Paris than in any preceding climate summit. SDGs are framework for future #6 24
SDGs: Beyond Paris By 2030, achieve universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all By 2030, achieve access to adequate and equitable sanitation and hygiene for all and end open defecation, paying special attention to the needs of women and girls and those in vulnerable situations By 2030, improve water quality by reducing pollution, eliminating dumping and minimizing release of hazardous chemicals and materials, halving the proportion of untreated wastewater and substantially increasing recycling and safe reuse globally By 2030, substantially increase water-use efficiency across all sectors and ensure sustainable withdrawals and supply of freshwater to address water scarcity and substantially reduce the number of people suffering from water scarcity By 2030, implement integrated water resources management at all levels, including through transboundary cooperation as appropriate By 2020, protect and restore water-related ecosystems, including mountains, forests, wetlands, rivers, aquifers and lakes By 2030, expand international cooperation and capacity-building support to developing countries in water- and sanitation-related activities and programmes, including water harvesting, desalination, water efficiency, wastewater treatment, recycling and reuse technologies Support and strengthen the participation of local communities in improving water and sanitation management 25
SDGs: Beyond Paris Memorize by morning. By 2030, achieve universal and equitable access to safe and affordable drinking water for all By 2030, achieve access to adequate and equitable sanitation and hygiene for all and end open defecation, paying special attention to the needs of women and girls and those in vulnerable situations By 2030, improve water quality by reducing pollution, eliminating dumping and minimizing release of hazardous chemicals and materials, halving the proportion of untreated wastewater and substantially increasing recycling and safe reuse globally By 2030, substantially increase water-use efficiency across all sectors and ensure sustainable withdrawals and supply of freshwater to address water scarcity and substantially reduce the number of people suffering from water scarcity By 2030, implement integrated water resources management at all levels, including through transboundary cooperation as appropriate By 2020, protect and restore water-related ecosystems, including mountains, forests, wetlands, rivers, aquifers and lakes By 2030, expand international cooperation and capacity-building support to developing countries in water- and sanitation-related activities and programmes, including water harvesting, desalination, water efficiency, wastewater treatment, recycling and reuse technologies Support and strengthen the participation of local communities in improving water and sanitation management 26
27 Financing Gap
28 Water Services
29 Climate Change
30 Water Security
31 Economic Growth & Nexus
32 Water Resources
33 Economic, Social & Demographic Drivers
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coal mine 39
coal mine coal mine 40
coal mine coal mine Dry Well 41
15km drive to water coal mine coal mine Dry Well 42
CHOKE POINT: CHINA Water scarcity and energy demand in the world s fastest-growing economy 43
THREE TRENDS CONVERGING The tightening choke point between energy demand and freshwater supply jeopardizes China s economic stability. 12% rise in annual water use by 2020. In 2010, China used 30% more water than in 1990. 20% of water used in China is to produce energy from coal. By 2020, coal consumption is projected to increase by 30%. FOOD FOR THOUGHT In Ningxia Province, one of China s largest coal producers, water supplies to farmers have been cut 30% since 2008. 58% increase in total energy consumption by 2020. Chinese energy consumption has nearly tripled since 1990. 44
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46 Recycling: Water Reuse Target: 98% 2015 Central Beijing
47 Offshoring: Coal and Food Australia
Australia J. Carl Ganter/Circle of Blue All Rights Reserved 48
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India J. Carl Ganter/Circle of Blue All Rights Reserved Punjab 50
Free power Free water J. Carl Ganter/Circle of Blue 51
Big Data Punjab Department of Irrigation J. Carl Ganter/Circle of Blue 52
Vishnuprayag Severe weather & climate change 53
Dam remains at Okund Dhruv Malhotra/Contact Press Images for Circle of Blue All Rights Reserved 54
Mining J. Carl Ganter/Circle of Blue All Rights Reserved Cajamarca, Peru 55
56 Social license to operate
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Mexico Tehuacan, Mexico 58
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INDEX California Great Lakes Ogallala Aquifer 62
INDEX Brian Lehmann/Circle of Blue 63
INDEX Brian Lehmann/Circle of Blue 64
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INDEX Summer 2014 400,000 people without drinking water in Toledo, Ohio 66
WRONG KIND OF GREEN Lake Kunming 67
INDEX 68
U.S. Drought Monitor California December 1, 2015 Population Affected by Drought: 36,660,393 100 percent Abnormally Dry 69
INDEX 70
Trends 71
Trends Closing the loop Waste to power Palo Verde Nuclear Plant, Phoenix 72
Trends Closing the loop Waste to drink Singapore 73
Trends Financing water & sanitation for health, education and equity 74
Trends: Values Trends Value of water Rethinking policy, trust, and shared use 75
Trends Leadership Mongolia 76
Trends Systemic Risk Source: World Economic Forum Global Risks Report 2015 77
Trends Technology. (COP as accelerator?) 78
Trends It s news! It s now. Carbon -> Mitigation Water -> Adaptation 79
CHINA IMPACT 80
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15km drive to water coal mine coal mine Dry Well 82
15km drive to water coal mine coal mine Fast forward Dry Well 83
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Fast forward again 86
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We do not dare to drink underground water. Wu Yun 89
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94 Fast forward again (September)
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Houston we have answers. 101
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jcarl@circleofblue.org @circleofblue circleofblue.org Team Keith Schneider Matthew Welch Codi Kozacek Brett Walton Kaye LaFond Laura Herd Connor Bebb Eileen Ganter 103