Cost of Service and Public Policy. Ted Kury Director of Energy Studies, PURC

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Transcription:

Cost of Service and Public Policy Ted Kury Director of Energy Studies, PURC ted.kury@warrington.ufl.edu

Session Overview Improving Utility Sector Performance Costs to Provide Service Uniform System of Accounts Public Policy Challenges Independent Power Producers Incentives for Distributed Generation Incentives for Renewable Energy

Thinking about Improving Industry Performance Two Main Areas: Reducing costs in providing service or enhance service provided Ensuring that the prices paid (revenues collected) cover the cost of service. Work up from the end-use customer to follow the flow of money. If any link in the chain of money flows is broken, the industry performance can be jeopardized. Money is needed to make the necessary investments and maintain the current infrastructure If any link in the chain of money flows is broken, the industry is perceived to be more risky which has cost consequences. Higher interest rates or rates of return required to accept the risk If any link in the cost flows increases, it may be an indication of declining performance or an increase in uncontrollable costs

Costs to Provide Service Utility incurs costs in order to provide service Costs include day to day operations and maintenance of the system Fuel costs Personnel costs Maintenance costs Costs also include the opportunity costs of the capital used to build the assets Debt service Return on equity

Capital Costs and SOEs Debate on whether state owned enterprises need a cost of capital, as anything above operating expenditures is sometimes characterized as profit Recovery of opportunity cost of capital will increase rates Revenues may not even cover operating costs Depreciation often based on historical costs Need answers to several questions How will infrastructure be maintained? How will infrastructure accommodate growth?

Revenue Sufficiency If prices do not cover utility costs, then prices must be raised Certain groups may be protected, but not everybody can be protected from price increases Do not want to encourage uneconomic bypass If costs are not covered, then infrastructure deteriorates, outside suppliers may not be paid leading to lower levels of service Rates should be designed to reflect cost causality where possible Voltage level, time of use, location, peak load Rate increases can be tempered by efficiency enhancements and cost-minimizing operations

Cost of Service and Customers No one likes high prices, but to a consumer, prices are almost always too high Political pressure to keep prices low Cost of service is always paid by the people in the long run, but not always through their bill Revenue insufficiency leads to Lower service quality, now or in the future Inability to expand system Government subsidies lead to Higher taxes Fewer hospitals, schools, roads, etc.

Distribution, Metering, and Billing Costs Most costs drivers are fairly predictable Personnel costs Capital costs for poles, conductors, metering Technical losses (as a percent of load) Characteristics of service area Required quality and reliability The most important cost drivers are controllable to some extent Personnel costs Capital costs for poles, conductors, metering Technical losses (as a percent of load) Non-technical losses

Transmission and System Operation Costs Fairly predictable costs drivers Personnel costs Capital costs for towers, conductors, metering Technical losses (as a percent of load) Characteristics of service area Required quality and reliability Cost drivers that are controllable to some extent Personnel costs Capital costs for poles, conductors, metering Congestion and re-dispatch costs Technical losses (as a percent of load) Non-technical losses

Functions: Electricity Generation Generates power from fuel, water, or other resource for delivery to the transmission system Accounts for the largest share of costs in the electricity industry. Cost Drivers: Technology vintage, cost, and reliability Fuel cost and availability How technology and fuel are used in combination Scale at which technology is employed

Cost Profile Considerations Fuel use will depend on availability Many countries have limited fuel availability Precipitation is necessary for operation of hydro facilities Older technologies are not going to be as efficient as newer technologies Choices may be constrained by local situation or needs

Electricity Generation Costs The costs of engineering, planning, and construction can be predicted and controlled fairly well. This is especially true for well known technology-fuel combinations. The cost and availability of fuel is not so easily predicted, nor is it controllable over a long period of time. Fossil fuels such as oil and gas are governed by regional or world markets Short-term uncertainty (price and volume) can be hedged through contracts Coal, where available, has a tradition of more price certainty and predictability with long-term contracts the norm Renewable resources such as water or wind are not always available or predictable and definitely not controllable

Implementing Reforms The question now becomes: How do we reform so as to best facilitate needed improvements to provide reliable electricity service at the lowest possible cost to as many people as possible? The point of reform is to facilitate improvements in industry performance Reform the market is not a goal, but it may be a means of achieving a goal

Uniform System of Accounts Distinct accounting treatment for every expenditure Standardizes methods and aids in reporting and decision-making Ensures that costs are accounted for consistently Across the industry (comparing generation costs with generation costs) Across time (comparing 2011 expenditures with 2012 expenditures) May differ from other financial reporting standards 14

FERC Uniform System of Electric Accounts 100 199 Assets and other debits 200 299 Liabilities and other credits 300 399 Plant accounts 400 432, 434 435 Income accounts 433, 436 439 Retained earnings accounts 440 459 Revenue accounts 500 599 Production, transmission and distribution expenses 900 949 Customer accounts, customer service and informational, sales, and general and administrative expenses 15

Sample System of Accounts Structure Account 404: Amortization of Limited-Term Electric Plant Account 405: Amortization of Other Electric Plant Account 413:Expenses of Electric Plant Leased to Others Account 111: Accumulated Provision for Amortization of Electric Utility Plant Account 421:Miscellaneous Nonoperating Income Account 425: Miscellaneous Amortization 16

Roles in Determining USoA Government Accounting and reporting requires a cost Need to ensure that cost provides value to customers Regulator Primary responsibility of regulator (e.g. transparency to investors, costs required to provide service) Utility Typically has the best understanding of the availability of data 17

Introducing IPPs The introduction of Independent Power Producers is a common form of electricity market reform IPPs can provide generation diversity and cost savings to customers Important to understand exactly which costs are comparable to new producers 18

Price to Beat Bundled Cost of Service Generation Costs New Generation Costs T & D Costs T & D Costs

Net Metering Incentives Used to encourage small scale generation May be able to implement this incentive without investing in new metering technologies 300 kwh 1000 kwh

Net Metering Policy Elements Eligible technologies Participation limits for the system or from individual customers Disposition of generation in excess of consumption Costs of necessary metering technologies of interconnections Ownership of any renewable energy credits

JEA (Florida) Net Metering Policy

The Cost of Public Policy Small scale generation usually only replaces the generation component Without regulatory intervention, costs associated with distribution may be subsidized by other customers Costs are more closely aligned with incentives by crediting project with generation costs only, but this requires meters that can read flows in both directions

Feed-In Tariffs (FITs) Guaranteed payment for specific technologies (primarily renewable) over a specified time frame Payment is typically greater than retail rate for electricity Can vary by technology

Kenya Feed-In Tariff KPLC as sole buyer 20 year term 300 MW of wind energy, 500 kw to 100 MW 11 per kwh 250 MW of biomass, 500 kw to 100 MW 10 per kwh 200 MW of small hydro, up to 10 MW 8.25 to 10.5 500 MW of geothermal, up to 70 MW 8.8 per kwh 100 MW of biogas, 500 kw to 40 MW 10 per kwh 100 MW of solar 12 to 20 per kwh

Tariff Policy Decisions Meaning and importance of least cost planning Responsibility for interconnection Buyer for electricity Restrictions based on technology Advantages and disadvantages for rationing by technology Restrictions based on project size Tariff duration

South Africa Renewable Energy Auction Next phase of South Africa REFIT Fixed amount per kwh serves as a price ceiling only Suppliers bid to secure commitment to sell renewable energy Winning bids based on both price and potential for economic development

A Tale of Two FITs Kenya made the decision to control costs, and has not experienced the participation volume that they would have liked South Africa made the decision to encourage participation, but had to take steps to control costs Both countries accomplished their primary goals, accepting the limitations of the chosen policy

Conclusions There are many challenges facing utilities today Improve efficiency Integrate new sources of energy Knowledge of a utility s cost structure is critical in understanding these challenges Uniform system of accounts is an important tool to understand a utility s cost structure 31

Thank You! Ted Kury ted.kury@warrington.ufl.edu