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2011 EDMC HANDBOOK of ENERGY & ECONOMIC STATISTICS in JAPAN CONTENTS Japan Chapter I. Energy and Economics 1.Economic Indices... 4 ( 1 ) GDP and Major Energy Related Indicators... 5 ( 2 ) National Accounts (2000 The chain linking method)... 6 ( 3 ) Household Economy, Domestic Trade... 8 ( 4 ) Investment... 9 ( 5 ) Indices of Industrial Production, Producers Shipments & Inventory... 10 ( 6 ) Money and Banking... 11 ( 7 ) Population, Labor and Price... 12 ( 8 ) Foreign Trade... 14 2.Outline of Energy Supply and Demand... 16 ( 1 ) Trends in Energy Demand and GDP... 17 ( 2 ) GDP Elasticity of Energy Demand... 17 ( 3 ) Energy Balance Table(F.Y.2008)... 18 ( 4 ) Energy Balance Table(F.Y.2009)... 20 ( 5 ) Energy Balance Table(F.Y.2009, detail)... 22 ( 6 ) Trends in Primary Energy Supply... 30 ( 7 ) Business Cycle and Energy Demand in the Industrial Sector... 31 ( 8 ) Economic Growth and Energy Supply and Demand... 32 3.Primary Energy Supply and Final Energy Consumption... 34 ( 1 ) Sectoral Shares of Final Energy Consumption... 35

(2) ( 2 ) Energy Supply and Demand... 36 ( 3 ) Energy Supply and Demand (Shares)... 38 ( 4 ) Final Energy Consumption by Sector... 40 ( 5 ) Final Energy Consumption by Source... 42 ( 6 ) CO2 Emission by Sector... 44 ( 7 ) CO2 Emission Table (F.Y.2009)... 46 ( 8 ) Greenhouse Gas Emission of Japan... 47 4.Energy Prices... 48 ( 1 ) Crude Oil Import CIF Price Trend... 49 ( 2 ) Import CIF Prices... 50 ( 3 ) Energy Price Indices... 52 ( 4 ) Unit Energy Prices... 54 ( 5 ) Small Amount and Retail Prices... 56 ( 6 ) Wholesale Prices of Oil Products... 58 Chapter II. Energy Demand by Sector 1.Industrial Sector... 60 ( 1 ) Trends in Energy Consumption of Manufacturing Industries and Indices... 61 ( 2 ) Trends in Energy-IIP Intensity by Industry... 61 ( 3 ) Indices of Industrial Production, Agriculture Forestry & Fisheries and Construction Industry Related Activities... 62 ( 4 ) Production of Major Raw-Materials... 63 ( 5 ) Industrial Energy Consumption and Energy Intensity... 64 ( 6 ) Industrial Energy Consumption by Source... 66 ( 7 ) Energy Consumption of Manufacturing... 68 ( 8 ) Indices of Production of Manufacturing (Value added Weight IIP)... 70 ( 9 ) Energy Intensity of Manufacturing (IIP basis)... 72 (10) Factor Analysis of Energy Consumption in Manufacturing (IIP basis)... 74 (11) Production of Manufacturing (68SNA)... 76 (12) Production of Manufacturing (93SNA)... 78 (13) Energy Intensity of Manufacturing (Production basis, 68SNA)... 80 (14) Energy Intensity of Manufacturing (Production basis, 93SNA)... 82 (15) Factor Analysis of Energy Consumption in Manufacturing (Production basis)... 84

CONTENTS(3) 2.Residential Sector... 86 ( 1 ) Private Consumption, Number of Household and Residential Energy Consumption... 87 ( 2 ) Residential Energy Consumption by Use... 88 ( 3 ) Residential Energy Consumption by Source... 90 ( 4 ) Residential Energy Consumption per Household by Use... 92 ( 5 ) Residential Energy Consumption per Household by Use and Source... 94 ( 6 ) The Diffusion of Home Appliances... 96 ( 7 ) Cooling Degree Days by City... 98 ( 8 ) Warming Degree Days by City... 100 ( 9 ) Monthly Average Temperature in Tokyo... 102 (10) Fluctuation in the Residential Energy Consumption by Use... 104 (11) Energy-related Household Consumption Expenditure... 105 (12) Improvement in Energy Efficiency of Home Electric Appliances... 106 3.Commercial Sector... 108 ( 1 ) Trends in Commercial Energy Consumption, GDP and Floor Space... 109 ( 2 ) Commercial Energy Consumption by Use... 110 ( 3 ) Commercial Energy Consumption by Source... 112 ( 4 ) Commercial Energy Consumption by Business Type... 114 ( 5 ) Commercial Energy Consumption per Floor Space by Use... 116 ( 6 ) Commercial Energy Consumption per Floor Space by Source... 118 ( 7 ) Floor Space in the Commercial Sector by Business Type... 120 ( 8 ) Factor Analysis of Commercial Energy Consumption... 122 4.Transportation Sector... 124 ( 1 ) Trends in Transportation Demand and GDP... 125 ( 2 ) Trends in Transportation Energy Consumption and GDP... 125 ( 3 ) Transportation Energy Consumption by Mode... 126 ( 4 ) Volume of Transportation by Mode... 128 ( 5 ) Energy Intensity by Mode... 130 ( 6 ) Air and Rail Kilometers Traveled... 132 ( 7 ) Vehicle Kilometers Traveled by Type... 133 ( 8 ) Vehicle Stock (Gasoline-Powered Motor Vehicle)... 134 ( 9 ) Vehicle Stock (Diesel-Powered Motor Vehicle)... 136 (10) Vehicle Stock by Fuel... 138 (11) New Vehicle Sales and Vehicle Fuel Efficiency... 140

(4) (12) Factor Analysis of Freight Energy Consumption... 142 (13) Factor Analysis of Passenger Energy Consumption... 142 Chapter III. Supply and Demand by Source 1.Supply and Demand of Coal... 144 ( 1 ) Trends in Coal Supply... 145 ( 2 ) Coal Supply... 146 ( 3 ) Imports of Coal by Country... 148 ( 4 ) Sales of Coal by Industry... 151 2.Supply and Demand of Oil... 152 ( 1 ) Trends in Sales of Petroleum Products... 153 ( 2 ) Supply and Demand of Crude Oil... 154 ( 3 ) Production of Petroleum Products... 156 ( 4 ) Exports of Petroleum Products... 158 ( 5 ) Imports of Petroleum Products... 160 ( 6 ) Imports of Crude Oil by Region and Country... 162 ( 7 ) Sales of Petroleum Products... 164 ( 8 ) Demand of Petroleum by Sector... 166 ( 9 ) Supply and Demand of LPG... 168 (10) Oil Stockpiling Level at the end of period... 170 3.Supply and Demand of Town Gas and LNG... 172 ( 1 ) Trends in Sales of Town Gas by Sector... 173 ( 2 ) Supply and Demand of Natural Gas and LNG... 174 ( 3 ) Production of Town Gas by Source... 176 ( 4 ) Town Gas Demand, Number of Users and Consumption per User... 178 ( 5 ) Sales of Town Gas by Sector... 180 ( 6 ) Imports of LNG by Country... 182 4.Supply and Demand of Electric Power... 184 ( 1 ) Trends in Electric Power Generation... 185 ( 2 ) Trends in Electric Power Demand... 185 ( 3 ) Installed Capability of Electric Generating Plants... 186 ( 4 ) Electric Power Generation... 188 ( 5 ) Electric Power Demand... 190 ( 6 ) Large Industrial Power Demand by Industry (Electric Utilities Total)... 192

CONTENTS(5) ( 7 ) Consumption of Auto-Producer s Power by Industry... 194 ( 8 ) Fuel Requirement for Power Generation (Major Power Companies Total)... 196 ( 9 ) Thermal Efficiency, Annual Load Factor and System Peak Load (Average of Major Power Companies)... 197 (10) Major Nuclear Power Plants... 198 5.New Energies... 200 ( 1 ) New Energy Supply... 201 ( 2 ) Installed Capacity of Cogeneration System... 202 ( 3 ) Sales Amount of Solar System... 204 ( 4 ) Sales Amount of Solar System by Use... 205 ( 5 ) Potential of New Energy... 206 ( 6 ) Installed Capacity of Photovoltaics, Wind Power, and Waste Power... 207 Chapter IV. Long Range Term Statistics 1.GNP and Energy Consumption... 210 2.GNP Elasticity of Primary Energy Supply... 211 3.GNP and Energy Consumption (1885~2009)... 212 4.Economic and Price Indicators (1871~2009)... 220 5.Primary Energy Supply (1880~2009)... 230 Chapter V. Outlooks 1.ACNRE* Energy Supply and Demand Subcommittee-Outlook for Energy Supply and Demand in 2030-August 2009 (ACNRE*=Advisory Committee for Natural Resources and Energy)... 240 ( 1 ) The Economic Structure in Japan in 2030... 241 ( 2 ) Outlook for Energy Demand and Supply in 2030... 242 2.ACNRE Basic Plan Committee - Outlook for Energy Supply and Demand in 2030 (from Energy Basic Plan) - June 2010... 243 3.IEE, Japan*Short-term Energy Outlook (Dec.2010) (IEE, Japan*=The Institute of Energy Economics, Japan)... 245 ( 1 ) Macroeconomic Outlook and Others (Basic Case)... 245 ( 2 ) Domestic Primary Energy Supply (Basic Case)... 246 ( 3 ) Final Energy Consumption (Basic Case)... 247

(6) 4.IEE, Japan Asia / World Energy Outlook 2010... 248 ( 1 ) Major Assumptions... 248 ( 2 ) The Reference Scenario Results... 248 ( 3 ) The Technologically Advanced Scenario Results... 249 ( 4 ) Energy Outlook through 2050... 249 ( 5 ) GDP... 250 ( 6 ) Primary Energy Consumption (by Region)... 251 ( 7 ) Primary Energy Consumption (Coal)... 252 ( 8 ) Primary Energy Consumption (Oil)... 253 ( 9 ) Primary Energy Consumption (Gas)... 254 (10) Final Energy Consumption(by Region)... 255 (11) Final Energy Consumption(Electricity)... 256 (12) CO2 Emissions... 257 (13) Automobile Ownership... 258 (14) World s Energy Outlook... 259 (15) Asia s Energy Outlook... 260 (16) China s Energy Outlook... 261 (17) India s Energy Outlook... 262 5.IEE, Japan Long - term Energy Outlook for Japan (as part of Asia / World Energy Outlook 2010)... 263 ( 1 ) List of Main Assumptions... 263 ( 2 ) Macro Economic Indicators (Reference Case)... 264 ( 3 ) Domestic Primary Energy Supply (Reference Case)... 265 ( 4 ) Domestic Primary Energy Supply (Tech. Adv. Case)... 266 ( 5 ) Final Energy Demand (Reference Case)... 267 ( 6 ) Final Energy Demand (Tech. Adv. Case)... 268 ( 7 ) Case Comparison... 269

CONTENTS(7) World 1.GDP, Population, Primary Energy Consumption and CO2 Emission... 275 2.Primary Energy Consumption... 276 3.Primary Energy Consumption (Coal)... 278 4.Primary Energy Consumption (Oil)... 279 5.Primary Energy Consumption (Natural Gas)... 280 6.Primary Energy Consumption (Nuclear)... 281 7.Primary Energy Consumption (Hydro)... 282 8.Primary Energy Consumption (Combustible Renewables and Waste)... 283 9.Electric Power Generation... 284 10.Power Generation by Source (2008)... 285 11.Final Energy Consumption (Total)... 286 12.Final Energy Consumption (Industry)... 287 13.Final Energy Consumption (Transportation)... 288 14.Final Energy Consumption (Residential, Commercial, Agriculture, etc.)... 289 15.Final Energy Consumption (Non-Energy)... 290 16.Final Energy Consumption (Electricity)... 291 17.Electricity Shares in Final Energy Consumption... 292 18.CO2 Emission... 293 19.World Population... 294 20.Real GDP... 296 21.Real GDP (Purchasing Power Parity base)... 298 22.Nominal GDP... 299 23.GDP Deflators... 300 24.Exchange Rates... 301 25.Purchasing Power Parity Rates... 302 26.Primary Energy Consumption per Capita... 303 27.Real GDP per Capita... 304 28.Nominal GDP per Capita... 305 29.CO2 Emission per Capita... 306 30.Primary Energy Consumption per Real GDP... 307 31.Primary Energy Consumption per Nominal GDP... 308 32.CO2 Emission per Real GDP... 309 33.CO2 Emission per Primary Energy Consumption... 310 34.Vehicle Ownership... 311

(8) 35.Vehicle Ownership per 1000 people... 312 36.Comparison of BP, UN and IEA Statistics for Primary Energy Consumption... 313 37.Crude Oil Production (2005~2009)... 314 38.Natural Gas Production (2005~2009)... 316 39.Coal Production (2005~2009)... 318 40.Uranium Production (2005~2009)... 320 41.Oil Proved Reserves at the end of 2009... 322 42.Natural Gas Proved Reserves at the end of 2009... 324 43.Coal Proved Reserves at the end of 2009... 326 44.Uranium Proved Reserves at the end of 2008... 328 45.International Trade of Crude Oil and Petroleum Products 2009... 330 46.International Trade of Natural Gas 2009... 332 47.International Trade of Hard Coal 2007... 334 48.Official Selling Price & Spot Price of Crude Oil... 336 49.CIF Price of Crude Oil... 338 50.Comparison of Premium Leaded Gasoline Prices... 339 51.Comparison of Electric Power Prices... 340 52.New and Renewable Energy Supply by Source... 342 53.Forecast of World Population... 344 Appendix Appendix I 1.Outline of Energy Supply and Demand (METI Energy Balance Table)... 348 ( 1 ) Energy Balance Table (2008)... 348 ( 2 ) Energy Balance Table (2009)... 350 ( 3 ) Total Primary Energy Supply... 352 ( 4 ) Domestic Primary Energy Supply... 352 ( 5 ) Final Energy Consumption by Source... 354 ( 6 ) Final Energy Consumption by Sector... 354 2.Abbreviation of the Sources of Statistics... 356 3.List of References... 357 ( 1 ) List of References : Japan... 357 ( 2 ) List of References : World... 359

CONTENTS(9) Appendix II 1.Energy Calories (Japan)... 361 2.CO2 Emission Coefficient by Source... 362 3.Unit Conversion Table... 363 ( 1 ) Weight... 363 ( 2 ) Cubic Capacity... 363 ( 3 ) Heat and Power... 364 ( 4 ) Approximate Conversion Ratio... 364 ( 5 ) A Prefix... 364 Appendix III JAPANESE CONTENTS... 365