Financial results Q3 2017

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Transcription:

Financial results Q3 2017 9 November 2017 Cyfrowy Polsat S.A. Capital Group

Disclaimer This presentation may include forward-looking statements, understood as all statements (other than statements of historical facts) regarding our financial results, business strategy, plans and objectives pertaining to our future operations (including development plans related to our products and services). Such forward-looking statements do not constitute a guarantee of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties which may affect the fulfilment of these expectations, as by their nature they are subject to many factors, risks and uncertainties. The actual results may be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forwardlooking statements. Even if our financial results, business strategy, plans and objectives pertaining to our future operations are consistent with the forward-looking statements included herein, this does not necessarily mean that these statements will be true for subsequent periods. These forward-looking statements express our position only as at the date of this presentation. We expressly disclaim any obligation or undertaking to publish any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein in order to reflect any change in our expectations, change of circumstances on which any such statement is based or any event that occurred after the date of this presentation.

Agenda 1. Key events in Q3 17 2. Operating results 3. Financial results 4. Summary and Q&A

1. Key events in Q3 17

Key events RATING Moody s Investors Service upgrades the rating outlook for Cyfrowy Polsat Group to positive Very good operating results due to the success of the multiplay strategy 5

2. Operating results

2.1 Broadcasting and TV production segment

Viewership of our channels in Q3 17 Polsat Group and Polsat s main channel are the viewership leaders in the commercial group Good start of the autumn programming Audience shares Main channels Thematic channels 12.0% 11.7% 12.5% 12.6% 8.3% 6.1% 5.3% Polsat TVN TVP2 TVP1 POLSAT TVN TVP 24.5% Dynamics of audience share results 24.4% 24.3% 22.7% 21.9% 19.7% 19.9% 20.3% Q3'16 Q3'17 11.1% 11.3% Polsat Group TVN Group TVP Group Other CabSat Other DTT Source: NAM, All 16 49, all day, SHR%, including Live+2 (1), internal analysis Note 1: Audience shares that include both live broadcasting and broadcasting during 2 consecutive days (i.e. Time Shifted Viewing - shifting in time of the consumption of content broadcasted on TV in real time by recording it on a storage medium (e.g. digital video recorder) to be viewed at a later time.) 8

mpln mpln Position on the advertising market in Q3 17 Slight decrease in TV advertising and sponsorship market Dynamic growth of revenue from advertising and sponsorship of TV Polsat Group against a flat advertising market Our share in the TV advertising and sponsoring market increased to 28.6% Market expenditures on TV advertising and sponsorship -0.2% (CAGR: -0.1%) 811 815 809 Q3'15 Q3'16 Q3'17 Revenue from advertising and sponsorship of TV Polsat Group (1) 221 222 231 Q3'15 Q3'16 Q3'17 Source: Starcom, preliminary data, airtime and sponsorship; TV Polsat; internal analysis Note: (1) Revenue from advertising and sponsorship of TV Polsat Group according to Starcom s definition 9

Viewership of our channels in 9M 17 Viewership in line Audience shares Main channels Thematic channels with the long-term strategy 12.4% 12.5% 12.0% 11.9% 6.6% 6.1% 7.7% Polsat TVN TVP2 TVP1 POLSAT TVN TVP 24.7% Dynamics of audience share results 24.5% 24.4% 22.7% 22.3% 20.4% 20.3% 19.5% 9M'16 9M'17 10.8% 10.5% Polsat Group TVN Group TVP Group Other CabSat Other DTT Source: NAM, All 16 49, all day, SHR%, including Live+2 (1), internal analysis Note 1: Audience shares that include both live broadcasting and broadcasting during 2 consecutive days (i.e. Time Shifted Viewing - shifting in time of the consumption of content broadcasted on TV in real time by recording it on a storage medium (e.g. digital video recorder) to be viewed at a later time.) 10

mpln mpln Position on the advertising market in 9M 17 Stable TV advertising and sponsorship market Revenue from TV advertising and sponsorship of TV Polsat Group grew faster than the market Our share in the TV advertising and sponsoring market increased to 27.2% Market expenditures on TV advertising and sponsorship +1.2% (CAGR: +0.6%) 2,802 2,851 2,836 9M'15 9M'16 9M'17 Revenue from advertising and sponsorship of TV Polsat Group (1) +7.0% (CAGR: +3.4%) 722 757 772 9M'15 9M'16 9M'17 Source: Starcom, preliminary data, airtime and sponsorship; TV Polsat; internal analysis Note: (1) Revenue from advertising and sponsorship of TV Polsat Group according to Starcom s definition 11

Financial results of the broadcasting and TV production segment mpln Q3 15 Q3 16 Q3 17 YoY change Q3 17vs Q3 15 Revenue 283 321 306-5% 8% Operating costs (1) 198 195 215 10% 9% EBITDA 86 128 91-29% 6% EBITDA margin 30.4% 39.9% 29.9% -10.0pp -0.5pp Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis Note: (1) Costs exclude depreciation, amortization, impairment and liquidation 12

2.2 Services to individual and business customers

(thous. customers) Continuation of the multiplay strategy Effective strategy results in faster sales and stable increase in the number of customers of the multiplay offer by 210K YoY The number of RGUs owned by smartdom customers increased to 4.31m 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 0 Number of multiplay customers +17% 1,374 1,444 1,234 21% 24% 25% Q3'16 Q2'17 Q3'17 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% Low churn level, mainly due to our multiplay strategy # of multiplay customers saturation of customer base with multiplay customers (%) Churn 8.5% 8.6% 8.8% Q3'16 Q2'17 Q3'17 14

Stable growth in contract services Increase in the number of contract services by 512K YoY 248K YoY of additional mobile telephony RGUs mainly due to the favorable effect of our multiplay strategy, temporarily supported by intensified migration of customers from the prepaid segment Pay TV RGUs increased by 203K YoY (effect of multiroom and paid OTT) Further growth in Internet access RGUs by 61K YoY +4% 13.02m 13.42m 13.53m 1.7m 1.8m 1.8m 4.7m 4.8m 4.9m 6.6m 6.8m 6.9m Q3'16 Q2'17 Q3'17 Internet Telefonia komórkowa Pay Płatna TV telewizja Mobile telephony 15

Contract ARPU dynamics temporarily impacted by RLAH regulation (ARPU in PLN) Assuming a stable level of roaming revenue, contract ARPU would have increased by 1.2% YoY in Q3 17 Historically ca. 30% of retail roaming revenue was generated in Q3 the influence of RLAH on ARPU should decrease in consecutive quarters Effective upselling of products, carried out as part of our multiplay strategy, continues to be reflected by growing RGU saturation per customer 95 90 85 80 75 70 65 60 55 50 88.6 89.6 2.22 89.7 1 88.4 2.31 2.34 Q3'16 Q3'17 Q3'17 ARPU +1.2% -0.2% RGU/Customer 250% 150% Note: (1) assuming a stable level of roaming revenue 16

(ARPU in PLN) Growing ARPU, stable prepaid base Stable prepaid base of 2.9m services, reflecting the actual number of users Dynamically growing ARPU as a result of cleansing the customer base of the so-called one time users and also thanks to the end of registration-related promotions 3.53m 2.85m 2.88m Q3'16 Q2'17 Q3'17 Pay Telefonia TV komórkowa Internet Mobile telephony 18.7 +8.0% 20.5 20.2 Q3'16 Q2'17 Q3'17 17

3. Financial results

Results of the Group revenue 2,388 0% 2,391 EBITDA 957-11.1% 851 Q3'16 Q3'17 Q3'16 Q3'17 LTM FCF 1,544 +1.5% 1,567 net debt/ebitda LTM 2.83x Q3'16 Q3'17 Q3'17 Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis 19

(mpln) (mpln) Revenue and EBITDA change drivers Revenue EBITDA YoY change 0% +3 m YoY change -11% -106 m 2,388 20 2,391-15 -2 957-69 -37 851 incl. roaming PLN -62 m mainly high base effect (Euro 2016) 40% 36% Revenue Q3'16 Segment of services to individual and business customers Broadcasting and TV production segment Consolidation adjustments Revenue Q3'17 EBITDA Q3'16 Segment of services to individual and business customers Broadcasting and TV production segment EBITDA Q3'17 EBITDA Margin Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis 20

(mpln) Cash flow statement in 9M 17 FCF 9M 17: PLN 1,111m -657.2 +2,087.7 CAPEX 1 /revenue 7.7% -319.6-702.0 1,336.7-945.4 +500.0-204.7-7.1 1,088.4 Cash and cash equivalents at the beginning of the period Net cash from operating activities Net cash used in investing activities Payment of interest on loans, borrowings, bonds, finance lease Repayment of loans and borrowings capital Bonds redemption and early redemption fee Loans and borrowings inflows Dividend payment Other Cash and cash equivalents at the end of the period Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis Note: (1) Expenses on the acquistion of property, plant and equipment and intangible assets 21

FCF cumulation of payments in Q3'17 mpln Q3 17 9M 17 Adjusted FCF after interest Net cash from operating activities 568 2,088 Net cash used in investing activities -290-657 Payment of interest on loans, borrowings, bonds, finance lease -114-320 FCF after interest 165 1,111 annual UMTS fee, coupon for CP bonds high EBITDA coupon for CP bonds RLAH effect through EBITDA Advance payments for sports content Acquisition of subsidiary -2-2 UMTS fee Adjusted FCF after interest 163 1.109 coupon for CP bonds 366 458 480 466 163 Q3'16 Q4'16 Q1'17 Q2'17 Q3'17 LTM PLN 1,567 m Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis 22

(mpln) The Group s debt mpln Carrying amount as at 30 September 2017 Combined Term Facility 9,887 Revolving Facility Loan 500 Series A Notes 1,007 Leasing and other 26 Gross debt 11,420 Cash and cash equivalents 1 (1,088) Net debt 10,332 EBITDA LTM 3,647 by instrument type Notes 9% Debt structure 3 Banking debt 91% Debt maturing profile 3 by currency 7,439 PLN 100% Total net debt / EBITDA LTM 2.83 Weighted average interest cost 2 3.4% 1 This item comprises cash and cash equivalents, including restricted cash, as well as short-term deposits. 2 Prospective average weighted interest cost of the Combined SFA (including the Revolving Facility Loan) and the Series A Notes, excluding hedging instruments, as at 30 September 2017 assuming WIBOR 1M of 1.66% and WIBOR 6M of 1.81%. 3 Nominal value of the indebtedness as at 30 September 2017 (excluding the Revolving Facility Loan and leasing) 261 1,068 1,173 1,000 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 Combined SFA Series A Notes Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis 23

4. Summary and Q&A

Summary Very good operating and sales results in both business segments Consistent implementation of the company s financial policy reflected in a positive rating from Moody s Development of numerous Christmas season offers to continue the pursuit of the effective multiplay strategy 25

5. Additional information

Results of the segment of services to individual and business customers mpln Q3 17 YoY change Revenue 2.140 1% Operating costs (1) 1.387 8% EBITDA 760-8% EBITDA margin 35.5% -3.6pp In spite of the adverse influence of the Roam Like At Home regulation, total revenue continues to grow, owing to higher revenue from sale of equipment as well as growing wholesale revenue. At the same time, higher roaming traffic usage translates into substantially higher technical and interconnect (IC) costs. Distribution, marketing, customer relation management and retention costs are also increasing. Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis Note: (1) Costs exclude depreciation, amortization, impairment and liquidation 27

Results of the broadcasting and TV production segment mpln Q3 17 YoY change Revenue 306-5% Operating costs (1) 215 10% Results of the segment under pressure from the high base effect resulting from the financial success of UEFA EURO 2016 broadcast by TV Polsat in Q2'16 and Q3 16. EBITDA 91-29% EBITDA margin 29.9% -10.0pp Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis Note: (1) Costs exclude depreciation, amortization, impairment and liquidation 28

Revenue structure mpln Retail revenue 588 Wholesale revenue 563 265 Sale of equipment 221 1,494 1,584 6% 5% 20% Decrease of retail revenue was primarily due to lower revenue from voice services. Several factors contributed to the erosion of revenue from voice services, in particular the full implementation of the Roam Like at Home regulation, the change in the model of offering equipment to retail customers, a lower number of prepaid activations, which is related to the statutory obligation of prepaid SIM registration. The decrease in retail revenue was partially compensated by higher revenue from pay TV and higher revenue from mobile Internet access services. Increase in wholesale revenue primarily as a result of growing revenue from IC settlements. Dynamic growth of wholesale revenue was significantly distorted by the effect of a high base in the comparative period, as in Q3 16 wholesale revenue comprised additional revenue related to the multichannel monetization of sports rights to the EURO UEFA 2016 tournament. Other revenue 44 20 121% Higher revenue from sale of equipment, mainly due to higher revenue from installment plan sales of equipment related to the increasing share of this model in the equipment sales, as well as to our customers increased demand for more advanced and expensive devices. Q3'17 Q3'16 Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis 29

Operating costs structure Depreciation, amortization, impairment and liquidation Technical costs and cost of settlements with telecommunication operators Cost of equipment sold Content cost Distribution, marketing, customer relation management and retention Salaries and employee-related costs Cost of debt collection services and bad debt allowance and receivables written off Other costs 3Q'17 mpln 127 130 21 6 270 252 224 203 52 50 3Q'16 323 331 429 508 529 459 15% 15% 2% 7% 11% 2% 274% 4% Decrease in amortization costs due to the termination of the amortization period of certain intangible and legal assets, acquired alongside Polkomtel in 2014, as well as lower costs of depreciation of the telecommunications infrastructure which is connected to the termination of the depreciation period of selected elements of this infrastructure. Increase in technical costs as a result of higher costs related to a significant increase in the traffic volume generated in international roaming (effect of the Roam like at home regulation), as well as higher interconnection costs related to the popularization of tariffs offering unlimited connections to other telecommunication networks. Higher content costs are due primarily to higher costs of sports rights, which was related i.a. to the broadcasting of the 2017 Men s and Women s European Volleyball Championship and the tennis grand slam US Open tournament, as well as higher costs of programming licenses related to increasing popularity of our premium programming packages among our pay TV customers. Higher distribution, marketing, customer relation management and retention costs, among others, due to the intensification of marketing campaigns and higher distribution costs, which was reflected in very good sales results. Source: Consolidated financial statements for the 9 month period ended 30 September 2017 and internal analysis 30

As a result of RLAH, domestic operators have seen substantial growth of costs in Q3 17 Implementation of the Roam Like At Home regulation has resulted in the decrease of revenue and a substantial growth of wholesale costs which are paid to foreign networks As a result, the roaming margin decreased by PLN 62m YoY Loss of retail revenue has been compensated by higher wholesale revenue only in a small degree. As a result, retail revenue decreased by PLN 21m Growth of technical costs by PLN 41m due to higher traffic volumes generated by Poles roaming abroad 31

Glossary RGU (Revenue Generating Unit) Customer Contract ARPU Prepaid ARPU Churn Usage definition (90-day for prepaid RGU) Single, active service of pay TV, Internet Access or mobile telephony provided in contract or prepaid model. Natural person, legal entity or an organizational unit without legal personality who has at least one active service provided in a contract model. Average monthly revenue per Customer generated in a given settlement period (including interconnect revenue). Average monthly revenue per prepaid RGU generated in a given settlement period (including interconnect revenue). Termination of the contract with Customer by means of the termination notice, collections or other activities resulting in the situation that after termination of the contract the Customer does not have any active service provided in the contract model. Churn rate presents the relation of the number of customers for whom the last service has been deactivated (by means of the termination notice as well as deactivation as a result of collection activities or other reasons) within the last 12 months to the annual average number of customers in this 12-month period. Number of reported RGUs of prepaid services of mobile telephony and Internet access refers to the number of SIM cards which received or answered calls, sent or received SMS/MMS or used data transmission services within the last 90 days. In the case of free of charge Internet access services provided by Aero 2, the Internet prepaid RGUs were calculated based on only those SIM cards, which used data transmission services under paid packages within the last 90 days. 32

Contact Investor Relations Łubinowa 4A 03-878 Warsaw Phone: +48 (22) 356 60 04 / +48 (22) 426 85 62 / +48 (22) 356 65 20 Email: ir@cyfrowypolsat.pl www.grupapolsat.pl