BIOEN Research Workshop D i v i s i o n s o f B i o m a s s, I m p a c t s a n d S u s t a i n a b i l i t y S ã o P a u l o, 0 6 N o v e m b e r 2012 Environmental and socioeconomic impacts associated with the production and consumption of sugarcane ethanol in South-Central Brazil Thematic Project - Process Nº: 2008/56.252-0 Bernardo F. T. Rudorff National Institute for Space Research- INPE
Principal Investigators: Bernardo Rudorff (INPE) Evlyn Novo (INPE) Co-Principal Investigators: Cláudia Almeida (INPE) Karla Longo (INPE) Saulo Freitas (INPE) Mirian Bacchi (ESALQ-USP) Claudio Barbosa (INPE) Elisabete Morais (INPE) Mauricio Alves Moreira (INPE) José Stech (INPE) João Lorenzetti (INPE) Enner Alcântara (INPE) Plínio Alvalá (INPE) Sergio Franchito (INPE) Luciano Marani (INPE) Ely Cortez (INPE) Turibio Soares Neto (INPE) Maria Cristina Forti (INPE) José Alexandre Melo Demattê (ESALQ-USP) Carlos Clemente Cerri (CENA-USP) Isaias de Carvalho Macedo (NIPE-UNICAMP) Associated Investigators : Britaldo Soares Filho (UFMG) Nelson da Cruz Gouveia (USP)
Work Packages 1. Temporal-spatial evaluation of sugarcane crop based on remote sensing images; 2. Temporal-spatial analysis of sugarcane albedo and spectral reflectance; 3. Spatial dynamic modeling to generate scenarios for sugarcane crops expansion; 4. Temporal-spatial evaluation of inland aquatic system s eutrophication in response to sugarcane expansion using remote sensing images; 5. Assessing the regional weather, climate and air chemistry composition impacts of the ethanol sugarcane production in South Central Brazil; 6. Characterization of the atmospheric chemistry composition changes and its impacts associated with sugarcane plantation and ethanol and bioelectricity plants in South Central Brazil; 7. The impacts of the Brazilian biofuel program on human health; 8. Social-economic impacts of the expansion of sugarcane activity in São Paulo State.
Work Package 1 Temporal-spatial evaluation of sugarcane crop based on remote sensing images Bernardo Rudorff - INPE
RUDORFF, B. F. T.; AGUIAR, D. A.; SILVA, W. F.; SUGAWARA, L. M.; ADAMI, M.; MOREIRA, M. A. Studies on the Rapid Expansion of Sugarcane for Ethanol Production in São Paulo State (Brazil) Using Landsat Data. Remote Sensing. 2010; 2(4):1057-1076. doi: <10.3390/rs2041057> http://www.dsr.inpe.br/laf/canasat/ WP-1
Remote Sens. 2012, 4, 3201-3214; doi:10.3390/rs4103201 WP-1 A Web Platform Development to Perform Thematic Accuracy Assessment of Sugarcane Mapping in South-Central Brazil An overall accuracy of 98% with an area estimation error of -0.5% was achieved for the sugarcane map of 2010/11.
WP-1 2006 2011 Municipality of Itápolis, SP Green harvest Pre-harvest burning
http://www.dsr.inpe.br/laf/canasat/ WP-1 Aguiar, D.A.; Rudorff, B.F.T.; Silva, W.F.; Adami, M.; Mello, M.P. Remote Sensing Images in Support of Environmental Protocol: Monitoring the Sugarcane Harvest in São Paulo State, Brazil. Remote Sens. 2011, 3, 2682-2703.
Land Use Change WP-1 Pasture Annual Crop Citrus Arboreous Vegetation
Crop Year 2003 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane
Crop Year 2011 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane
SÃO PAULO Barretos: Crop Year 2003 1 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane
SÃO PAULO Barretos: Crop Year 2011 1 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane
SÃO PAULO Araçatuba: Crop Year 2003 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane
SÃO PAULO Araçatuba: Crop Year 2011 Single Crop Double Crop Sugarcane
Adami, M.; Rudorff, B.F.T.; Freitas, R.M.; Aguiar, D.A.; Sugawara, L.M.; Mello, M.P. Remote Sensing Time Series to Evaluate Direct Land Use Change of Recent Expanded Sugarcane Crop in Brazil. Sustainability 2012, 4, 574-585.
Work Package 2 Temporal-spatial analysis of sugarcane albedo and spectral reflectance Elisabete Caia de Morais - INPE Sergio Franchito - INPE
Radiation Balance W m -2 Dissertation of Bruno Oliveira - INPE
Work Package 3 Spatial dynamic modeling to generate scenarios for sugarcane crops expansion Cláudia Almeida - INPE Britaldo Soares Filho - UFMG
Sugarcane Scenarios in the South-Central Region 2015 and 2020 Base Scenario and With Expansion Yaer 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Area (million ha) - Base Scenario 8,12 8,32 8,60 8,86 9,05 9,23 9,42 9,52 9,59 9,67 Area (million ha) - With expansion 8,12 8,32 8,60 8,86 9,05 9,50 10,10 10,95 11,70 12,70
Data base for São Paulo APP Slope >12% Conservation Units Urban ZAE Roads Not-Pav. Roads Pav. Roads Plants Road Network Land use-2006 Land use-2011
Work Package 4 Temporal-spatial evaluation of inland aquatic system s eutrophication in response to sugarcane expansion using remote sensing images Evlyn Novo - INPE Cláudio Barbosa - INPE José Luis Stech INPE João Lorenzetti - INPE
Seasonal changes and spatial distribution of the chlorophyll-a concentration classes defined according to its trophic status and associated to the hydraulic retention time Hydraulic Retention time (HR) in days versus Eutrophication Development and test of a semi-analytical model based on remote sensing data to map chlorophyll-a concentration to infere the trophic status HR = 13 HR = 22 HR = 30 HR = 10 HR = 40 HR = 35
Fator de reflectância Processing of the airborne SpecTIR hyperspectral sensor (357 bands and 3 m) acquired on 24 Oct. 2011 Atmospheric Correction; Geometric Correction; Removal of sun glint effects. 0,25 Spectum for the collected points during field work 0,2 0,15 0,1 0,05 Field work 0 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 Comprimento de onda (nm) pt 14 pt 09 pt 10 pt zero pt 08 pt 04 pt 21 pt 22 pt 23 pt 13 pt 02 pt 11
Deployment of the first SIMA (Automatic Data Collection Monitoring System) in the Ibitinga reservoir on 11 Sep. 2012 Two others SIMAs will be deployed beginning of 2013 Hourly acquisition of limnologic and meteorologic data to monitor and anticipate the trophic state Water Temperature at: 1m, 2m, 5m and 10 m. Wind Intensity
Work Package 5 Assessing the regional weather, climate and air chemistry composition impacts of the ethanol sugarcane production in South Central Brazil Karla Longo - INPE Saulo Freitas - INPE
Emission inventory considering the straw burning of sugarcane in the 3BEM - Including the sugarcane class and specific information (emission factors, combustion factors etc.) in the code of the model. Comparisson: 2006 2006 Emission estimates with 3BEM(Brazilian Biomass Burning Emission Model) operated in its traditional mode (based on hot spots) left side and the new proposed method (based on the sugarcane map of pre-harvest burning) right side. 2011 2011 Emission estimates of CO (kg/m 2 )
Work Package 6 Characterization of the atmospheric chemistry composition changes and its impacts associated with sugarcane plantation and ethanol and bioelectricity plants in South Central Brazil Karla Longo - INPE Plinio Alvala INPE Luciano Marani (INPE) Ely Cortez (INPE) Turibio Soares Neto (INPE) Maria Cristina Forti (INPE)
Determination of Emission Factors through Laboratory Measurements França, D.A.; Longo, K.M.; Neto, T.G.S.; Santos, J.C.; Freitas, S.R.; Rudorff, B.F.T.; Cortez, E.V.; Anselmo, E.; Carvalho, J.A., Jr. Pre-Harvest Sugarcane Burning: Determination of Emission Factors through Laboratory Measurements. Atmosphere 2012, 3, 164-180.
Work Package 7 The impacts of the Brazilian biofuel program on human health Nelson da Cruz Gouveia - USP
DOCTORATE THESIS OF Maria Leticia de Souza Paraiso SUPERVISED BY Prof. Dr. Nelson da Cruz Gouveia UNIVERSITY OF SÃO PAULO - FACULDADE DE MEDICINA DEPARTAMENT OF PREVENTIVE MEDICINE Evaluation of the impacts on public health of the elimination of the sugarcane burning practice in São Paulo state To be presented in June 2013
Work Package 8 Social-economic impacts of the expansion of sugarcane activity in São Paulo State Mirian R. P. Bacchi - USP
DOCTORATE THESIS OF Luiz Fernando Satolo SUPERVISED BY Dra. Mirian Rumenos Piedade Bacchi UNIVERSITY OF SÃO PAULO Escola Superior de Agricultura Luiz de Queiroz Applied Economy Impact of sugarcane sector expansion on social-economical concerns: a dynamic spatial analysis about social welfare in São Paulo state (2000-2008) Presented on 29 August 2012
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