British Computer Society Sociotechnical Specialist Group. Evening Seminar Wednesday 25 th November The Change Equation

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British Computer Society Sociotechnical Specialist Group Evening Seminar Wednesday 25 th November 2009 The Change Equation and the underlying socio-technology themes behind INPACT ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY Culture Process THE PROJECT Peter Duschinsky The Imaginist Company 1

This evening s seminar Introducing The Change Equation Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles Why do projects fail? Organisational Capability Organisational Culture Process Capability Complexity Putting it all together the INPACT Assessment Summary: INPACT and Socio-technical principles 2

Introducing The Change Equation The Change Equation shows you how to take two models: the Organisational Culture Evolution spiral the Business Process Capability ladder and combine them to provide a baseline: the Organisational Capability Indicator It then shows you how to assess the complexity and risks of a change project By analysing and quantifying the gap between Organisational Capability and Project Complexity, you can predict the likely success or failure of a change project 3

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles A work system has two aspects (Bostrom and Heinen): the SOCIAL system, which includes the people and how they fit into the structure of the Organisation Organisation SOCIAL TECHNICAL Task Bostrom and Heinen 4

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles A work system has two aspects (Bostrom and Heinen): the SOCIAL system, which includes the people and how they fit into the structure of the Organisation the TECHNICAL system, which includes the IT and automated processes, and Tasks they perform Organisation SOCIAL TECHNICAL Task Bostrom and Heinen 5

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles Successful organizational performance depends on good interaction between the social and technical systems. Paying attention to either system on its own will create problems and barriers to success Bostrom and Heinen Organisation SOCIAL TECHNICAL Task Bostrom and Heinen 6

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles An underlying principle behind the INPACT Assessment methodology is the recognition of the inherent tension between people, their aspirations and motivations (SOCIAL), and the Organisation and its demands and constraints Tension/ Alignment Organisation SOCIAL Culture TECHNICAL Process Task The success of an organisation depends on achieving a balance/ alignment between these 7

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles My contention is that: The success or failure of a change project can be predicted by looking at the complexity of the Task, in the context of the organisation s culture (SOCIAL) and process management (TECHNICAL) capability Tension/ Alignment Organisation SOCIAL Culture TECHNICAL Process COMPLEXITY Task 8

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles My contention is that: The success or failure of a change project can be predicted by looking at the complexity of the Task in the context of the organisation s culture (SOCIAL) and process management (TECHNICAL) capability Tension/ Alignment Organisation SOCIAL Culture CAPABILITY COMPLEXITY TECHNICAL Process Task 9

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles In order to predict project success or failure I needed to find ways to measure Project Complexity and Organisational Culture then I could analyse the gap ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY Culture Process THE PROJECT INPACT Integrated Process and Culture Transformation 10

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles In order to predict project success or failure I needed to find ways to measure Project Complexity and Organisational Culture then I could analyse the gap STEP 1: Map the culture of the organisation, using Warren Kinston s Culture Evolution Model 7 Imaginist 3 Dialectic 2 Structuralist 8 Systemist 4 Aligned 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Organisation 6 Empiricist EXTERNAL FOCUS (Organisation) 5 Pragmatist/ Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered INTERNAL FOCUS (Individual) ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY SOCIAL Culture Culture CAPABILITY Process TECHNICAL Process COMPLEXITY Task 11

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles STEP 1: Map the culture of the organisation, using Warren Kinston s Culture Evolution Model STEP 2: Assess the process management capability, using SEI s Process Capability Maturity Model (CMM) 7 Imaginist 8 Systemist 5. Optimised Continuing Effective process Improvement 3 Dialectic 2 Structuralist 4 Aligned 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Organisation 4. Managed Quality and Productive Measured process Improvement 3. Defined Consistent Execution Standard process 6 Empiricist EXTERNAL FOCUS (Organisation) 5 Pragmatist/ Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered INTERNAL FOCUS (Individual) ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY 2. Repeatable Stable process 1. Initial Chaotic Ad hoc process Controlled environment Software Engineering Institute SOCIAL Culture Culture CAPABILITY Process TECHNICAL Process COMPLEXITY Task 12

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles STEP 3: Assess the complexity of the task, relative to the capability of the organisation The more complex a project, the more important it is that the organisation has the capability to cope with it 7 Imaginist 8 Systemist 5. Optimised Continuing Effective process Improvement 3 Dialectic 2 Structuralist 4 Aligned 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Organisation 4. Managed Quality and Productive Measured process Improvement 3. Defined Consistent Execution Standard process 6 Empiricist EXTERNAL FOCUS (Organisation) 5 Pragmatist/ Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered INTERNAL FOCUS (Individual) ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY 2. Repeatable Stable process 1. Initial Chaotic Ad hoc process Controlled environment Software Engineering Institute SOCIAL Culture Culture CAPABILITY Process TECHNICAL Process COMPLEXITY Task Complexity Factor 80000 75000 70000 65000 60000 55000 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 72000 Beyond this point your project is too A complex complex break it project down into smaller needs projects and employ dedicated a skilled programme Not simple project team manager 32400 Simple project needs needs some experienced project project management management 10800 3600 75 480 1 2 3 4 5 6 13

Setting the context: INPACT and Socio-technical principles STEP 3: Assess the complexity of the task, relative to the capability of the organisation The more complex a project, the more important it is that the organisation has the capability to cope with it 7 Imaginist 8 Systemist 5. Optimised Continuing Effective process Improvement 3 Dialectic 2 Structuralist 4 Aligned 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Organisation 4. Managed Quality and Productive Measured process Improvement 3. Defined Consistent Execution Standard process 6 Empiricist EXTERNAL FOCUS (Organisation) 5 Pragmatist/ Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered INTERNAL FOCUS (Individual) ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY 2. Repeatable Stable process 1. Initial Chaotic Ad hoc process Controlled environment Software Engineering Institute SOCIAL Culture Culture CAPABILITY Process TECHNICAL Process COMPLEXITY Task Complexity Factor 80000 75000 70000 65000 60000 55000 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 72000 Beyond this point your project is too A complex complex break it project down into smaller needs projects and employ dedicated a skilled programme Not simple project team manager 32400 Simple project needs needs some experienced project project management management 10800 3600 75 480 1 2 3 4 5 6 14

Introducing The Change Equation The journey: 1971-1990 BT 1991-2002 BuyIT best practice group 2003 The Imaginist Company 2003-2006 National e-procurement Project 2006-2009 Change Management projects 2007-2008 Development of INPACT 2009 Publication of The Change Equation A route-map for senior managers to de-risk their IT-based change projects and improve the returns on their investment in modernisation and performance improvement 15

The challenge Why do so many projects fail to deliver the full benefits? What could I do about it? 16

Why do change projects fail to deliver? Here are some of the reasons we all know about: a focus on the technology instead of the business benefits poor specification of the system and lack of due diligence on supplier capability failure to gain senior management championship inadequate resources poor project management lack of user involvement But if we all know about the reasons, why are change projects still going wrong so often? 17

Only about 30% of change projects are successful Standish Group annual survey 2009 confirms that: Only 32% of projects deliver the full benefits, on time and within budget 44% of projects are late, over budget and deliver less than the expected benefits 24% fail completely and are abandoned before they finish! 18

More evidence of the same trend The Harvard Business School tracked the impact of change efforts among the Fortune 100 and they also found that only 30% produced a positive bottom-line improvement A recent survey of change programmes in <400 European organisations quoted by Prof. John Oakland, Emeritus Professor, Leeds University Business School found that: 90% of change programmes faced major implementation problems Only 30% delivered measurable business improvements 19

More evidence of the same trend -2 Management consultant PricewaterhouseCoopers (March 2007) claim that: 25% of IT projects succeed 25% fail and 50% are late or over budget 25% FAIL 50% PARTIALLY 25% SUCCEED SUCCEED A CIPD survey of 800 executives found that reorganisations failed to deliver real improvement in performance in 40% of cases Why do so many change projects fail to deliver? 20

Organisational Culture It turns out that success rests as much on the capability of the people in the organisation to cope with change and take advantage of new systems, as on how well the project was planned and implemented 85% of project success is dependent on factors related to people John McKean, Executive Director, Center for Information Based Competition, Ohio Even amongst successful implementations, 47% of companies reported serious challenges with end-user adoption that often put projects in jeopardy AMR Research Companies that spend less than 17% of ERP implementation budgets on training put their projects at increased risk of failure Gartner 21

Organisational Culture Organizations that concentrate on the technological aspects of ERP [Enterprise Reporting Planning systems] and ignore the "softer" components of implementation often fail. ERP is about people, not just technology, and organizations that ignore the people side run a significant risk of project failure. Gartner report: Five Key Factors for Successful ERP Implementations, 2006 The variability in the outcomes of various organisational change initiatives can be explained by the extent to which an organisation-wide commitment is present Kinnie, 1995 Poor User Adoption Increasing UK IT Project Failures, costing UK estimated 5.81 billion per year Knowledge Solutions Press Notice 4 June 2007 22

Organisational Culture There is little success in the practice of change initiatives mainly due to the difficulty of changing the basic ways of thinking within the organisation Senge, 1999 A usual barrier to change initiatives was the poor vertical and horizontal communication across the organisation Soltani & Lai, 2007 Each of the functional heads wants their piece of the pie and nobody wants to spend on someone else s need to have data from their world. They aren t focused on what s good for the whole. CIO healthcare provider: Forrester, 2005 Everything has historically been functionally aligned and the old culture of fiefdoms is still present. It s also hard to get people to understand and accept change. CIO, travel industry: Forrester, 2005 23

Assessing Organisational Culture ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY Culture Process THE PROJECT 24

Assessing Organisational Culture There is an underlying tension between the individual and the organisation Successful change needs an integrated approach encompassing people and process in a balanced approach ORGANISATION External Focus: The organisation s needs and direction Systems and processes Efficiency Point of balance THE INDIVIDUAL Internal Focus: Culture People s perceptions, attitudes, motivations, aspirations Effectiveness 25

Assessing Organisational Culture Imagine the pendulum swinging and rising at the same time ORGANISATION External Focus: The organisation s needs and direction Systems and processes Efficiency THE INDIVIDUAL Internal Focus: Culture People s perceptions, attitudes, motivations, aspirations Effectiveness 26

The Organisational Culture model That gives us the Culture Evolution Model It allows us to identify the predominant organisational culture Imaginist 7 Dialectic 3 4 8 Aligned Systemist Each point on the spiral represents a separate, definable culture Each culture builds upon the earlier ones, progressing up the spiral Structuralist 2 Empiricist 6 EXTERNAL AXIS (Organisation) 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 5 Pragmatist/Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered INTERNAL AXIS (Individual) This model indicates how well the organisation will cope with change 27

The Organisational Culture model: Level 1 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 28

The Organisational Culture model: Level 2 Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 29

The Organisational Culture model: Level 3 3 Rationalist Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 30

The Organisational Culture model: Level 3 Dialectic 3 Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 31

The Organisational Culture model: Level 4 Dialectic 3 4 Aligned Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 32

The Organisational Culture model: Level 5 4 Dialectic 3 Aligned Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 5 Pragmatist/Aligned 33

The Organisational Culture model: Level 6 4 Dialectic 3 Aligned Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Empiricist 6 5 Pragmatist/Aligned 34

The Organisational Culture model: Level 7 Imaginist 7 4 Dialectic 3 Aligned Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Empiricist 6 5 Pragmatist/Aligned 35

The Organisational Culture model: Level 8 Imaginist 7 8 Systemist 4 Dialectic 3 Aligned Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Empiricist 6 5 Pragmatist/Aligned 36

The Organisational Culture model: Level 9 Imaginist 7 8 Systemist 4 Dialectic 3 Aligned Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Empiricist 6 5 Pragmatist/Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered 37

The Organisational Culture model Imaginist 7 8 Systemist Dialectic 3 4 Aligned Structuralist 2 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Empiricist 6 5 Pragmatist/Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered EXTERNAL AXIS (Organisation) INTERNAL AXIS (Individual) 38

Assessing Organisational Culture The goal of sociotechnical design is to produce a system capable of self-modification, of adapting to change, and of making the most of creative capacities of the individual for the benefit of the organisation Elayne Coakes What are the conditions you need in order to tap into an individual s creativity? I would argue that they include: An environment of trust and empowerment Confidence in one s own identity and role in the organisation An infrastructure that encourages and rewards sharing and innovation So wouldn t it be useful if we could measure the level of trust in an organisation? We can! 39

Measuring levels of trust There are 3 dimensions of trust in an organisation Dimension 1: Relationship with my manager Dimension 3: Relationship with my peers Dimension 2: Relationship with my staff 40

Measuring levels of trust We ask 3 questions: 1. How far do you trust your boss to represent your interests, consult you when necessary and keep you fully informed? 2. How far do you trust your staff to work without your keeping an eye on them? 3. How far do you trust your colleagues to share accurate information and keep you informed about changes that might affect you? Score each of these on a scale where: 0 = not at all, 1 = not sure, 2 = mostly, 3 = totally Add these up (max 9) and convert into %, eg 3/9 = 33% Take that away from 100, so 33 100 = 67% - and that s your Distrust Factor 41

Measuring levels of trust 100% Distrust 67% Levels of trust are poor, relationships difficult = Slow or no change = Costs go up = FAILURE 0% Low People trust each other, relationships are good = Speedy change = Low cost = SUCCESS Time & Cost High The higher the levels of distrust, the more time and effort the project will require and the higher the cost, so add 67% to planned time and cost 42

Assessing Process Management ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY Culture Process THE PROJECT 43

Assessing Process Management We use the Process Capability Maturity Model (CMM) to assess the organisation s process capability the discipline and consistency with which processes are managed 1. Initial Ad hoc process 2. Repeatable Stable process 3. Defined Standard process Chaotic 4. Managed Measured process 5. Optimised Effective process Consistent Execution Controlled environment Continuing Improvement Quality and Productive Improvement Software Engineering Institute Organisations with aspects of their operation at levels 1 and 2 will find it difficult to introduce standard systems and processes 44

The Organisational Capability Indicator Combining these two assessments gives us a high level indication of the Organisational Capability That allows us to assess the organisation s capability to manage change and take advantage of modernisation and transformation projects Management Culture 1. Pragmatic/ Anarchic 2. Structuralist 3. Dialectic 4. Aligned 5. Pragmatic/ Aligned 6. Empiricist 7. Imaginist 8. Systemist 9. Pragmatic/Empowered Level 1 Low Low Low Med Business Process Capability 2 3 4 5 Low Low Med Med Med Med Med Med High High High High High High High High High High V.High High V.High V.High V.High V.High V.High 45

Assessing Project Complexity ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY Culture Process THE PROJECT 46

Remember: STEP 3: Assess the complexity of the task, relative to the capability of the organisation The more complex a project, the more important it is that the organisation has the capability to cope with it 7 Imaginist 8 Systemist 5. Optimised Continuing Effective process Improvement 3 Dialectic 2 Structuralist 4 Aligned 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic Organisation 4. Managed Quality and Productive Measured process Improvement 3. Defined Consistent Execution Standard process 6 Empiricist EXTERNAL FOCUS (Organisation) 5 Pragmatist/ Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered INTERNAL FOCUS (Individual) ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY 2. Repeatable Stable process 1. Initial Chaotic Ad hoc process Controlled environment Software Engineering Institute SOCIAL Culture Culture CAPABILITY Process TECHNICAL Process COMPLEXITY Task Complexity Factor 80000 75000 70000 65000 60000 55000 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 72000 Beyond this point your project is too A complex complex break it project down into smaller needs projects and employ dedicated a skilled programme Not simple project team manager 32400 Simple project needs needs some experienced project project management management 10800 3600 75 480 1 2 3 4 5 6 47

Let s look at some examples of failed projects to understand complexity better 48

Terminal 5 The Terminal 5 debacle is a national disgrace Daily Mail, 14 April 2008 49

So what went wrong? 1. Shortage of staff car parking spaces 2. Only one employee security checkpoint operating 3. Some staff unable to log on to the computer system 4. Hand-held communication software running slow 5. No managers on the ground to re-allocate work 6. Shortage of bar-reading storage bins Baggage handling staff late in arriving 60 staff queue to get into terminal 6am: 3 planes leave without bags Bags pile up, unattended By midday 20 flights cancelled 4pm: baggage conveyor belt grinds to a halt, BA suspends all baggage check-in The result: Over 28,000 lost bags, 700 cancelled planes and more than 150,000 disrupted passengers 50

C-Nomis 2004: HM Prison Service commissions C-NOMIS to give prison and probation officers real-time access to offenders records June 2005: the approved lifetime cost of the project is quoted as 234m March 2007: Home Secretary John Reid: the main C-NOMIS base release, encompassing full prison and probation functionality, will be available no later than July 2008" July 2007: 155m has been spent, C-NOMIS is two years behind schedule; estimated lifetime project costs are now 690m. The Ministry of Justice suspends the project 51

What went wrong? National Audit Office report: The project board accepted assurances that the project was all going well ; nobody knew what was being delivered for the money being spent There were insufficient resources and structures in place to deliver such a complex project Over time policy developed and stakeholder requirements changed, but there was no cumulative view of the impact of change requests on costs and timescales No resources were allocated to simplifying and standardising business processes across the 139 prisons and 42 probation areas, each of which had their own ways of working The Commons Public Accounts Committee report verdict: a spectacular failure in a class of its own 52

The London Ambulance Service Computer-Aided Despatch (CAD) System October 26, 1992: the London Ambulance Service CAD system goes live and fails 46 people don t get an ambulance in time and DIE! 53

What went wrong? The collapse went like this: Poorly trained staff did not update system with location and status of units The increasingly out-of-date database meant units were being despatched non-optimally and multiple units were being sent to the same calls A software bug generated a large number of exception messages and un-responded exception messages generated repeat messages Lists scrolled off the top of the screens and were lost The public repeated un-responded calls, adding to the chaos 54

What went wrong? The system ground to halt: One ambulance arrived to find the patient dead and taken away by undertakers Another ambulance answered a stroke call after 11 hours, and 5 hours after the patient had made their own way to hospital CAD system was partly disabled, but this part-manual system seized up completely Operators had to revert to a totally manual system 29 October 2002: Chief executive resigns 55

LAS: Some conclusions National Audit office report: The small software error was the straw that broke the camel's back, but the responsibility for the LAS's CAD system failure does not lie solely on the single developer who made the error or even the developing organization to which he belonged. Rather, the attitudes of key LAS members toward the project and the unreasonable restraints they placed on the project allowed the failure to occur. The lesson? In real applications there is a collision of social, human & technical systems That was 1992 HAVE WE LEARNED THE LESSON? 56

Projects don t just fail in the public sector! HP In 2004, HP's project managers knew all of the things that could go wrong with their ERP centralisation programme. But they just didn't plan for so many of them to happen at once. The project eventually cost HP $160 million in order backlogs and lost revenue more than five times the project's estimated cost. Gilles Bouchard, then-cio of HP's global operations, says: "We had a series of small problems, none of which individually would have been too much to handle. But together they created the perfect storm." There s a clue in there, somewhere 57

Have you got it? Project Complexity is EXPONENTIAL! 58

We are surrounded by exponentiality, but we do not act as if we understand it For example, compound interest: "Scientists have developed a powerful new weapon that destroys people but leaves buildings standing it's called the 17% interest rate. Johnny Carson, The Tonight Show, 1980 All that we had borrowed up to 1985 was around $5 billion, and we have paid about $16 billion; yet we are still being told that we owe about $28 billion. If you ask me what is the worst thing in the world, I will say it is compound interest. President Obasanjo of Nigeria, 2000 59

Complexity is EXPONENTIAL Population growth is growing at an exponential rate: You are here! (6,792,142,533) and consumption of resources is following close behind, so our energy usage is depleting the world s natural resources exponentially 60

Complexity is EXPONENTIAL And climate change is also following an exponential runaway profile 61

Why don t we understand exponentiality? "The greatest shortcoming of the human race is our inability to understand the exponential function. We live in a world that can change exponentially but we have brains that are hardwired to plot things out linearly - the software in our brains compels us to think about progressions as being simple arithmetic ones So as a species, and a society, we deal poorly with uncertainty in non-linear domains. Prof Albert Bartlett, emeritus Professor of Physics, University of Colorado As a consequence of this, the complexity of a project is usually UNDERESTIMATED 62

Managing Exponential Complexity If complexity is exponential, we only need 3 factors to build an exponential scale: X * Y * Z 1000000 900000 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 That won t represent all the risks, but if we select the right factors, it will give us a good indicator So what are our 3 factors? 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 X Y Z Complexity Factor 63

Assessing Project Complexity Which 3 factors? They must be: Common to all projects Quantifiable (at least to a good approximation) by stakeholders Sufficiently powerful in combination to lead to an accurate assessment of the complexity of a project The Exponential Complexity Tool uses: 1. No of Stakeholders 2. No of Processes affected 3. Time to implement (in months) 64

Assessing Project Complexity S: the number of Stakeholders involved An approximation might be: everyone represented on steering and project groups (plus some invisible stakeholders you may not have included!) P: the number of business activities or Processes that will be affected For example the number of manual processes an automation project will touch and change T: the expected implementation Timescale In months, from award of contract to planned completion of roll-out There may be a lot of other factors that will contribute to the overall project risk, but this will give us a high-level indication of whether the complexity of the project was underestimated 65

The Exponential Complexity Model Where do you think your project lies on this scale? Now do the numbers What did you find? 80000 75000 70000 65000 60000 55000 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 SIMPLE project needs some project management 300 NOT SIMPLE project needs experienced project management 3,000 COMPLEX project it needs dedicated project team 7,000 Beyond this point your project is TOO COMPLEX break it down into smaller projects and employ a skilled programme manager 30,000 Stakeholders x Processes x Time (in months) 66

Combining Capability and Complexity We put these results into the context of the project s complexity status to show the relative complexity of the project - the gap between the organisation s capability and that required to manage the project and cope with the changes it requires people to make Capability High Med Low Simple Not Simple Complex Complexity Too Complex = The project looks as if it s within your capability = This project is at risk of not realising expected benefits = This project is not within your organisation s capability 67

This is where we calculate the potential impact of all these indicators on the business case We consider the status of each of the elements identified in the assessment and calculate the impact on costs or benefits This gives us an overall impact on the project s bottom line And that s what senior managers understand! Putting it all together: The INPACT Assessment ORGANISATION 1 2 PROJECT 3 4 5 6 7 Delivery of Project Impact est. at: OTHER FACTORS 8 9 Component Management Culture Capability Maturity Capability Impact estimated at: Clarity of objectives Complexity of project Project Impact estimated at: DELIVERY OF PROJECT Visibility of process Distrust factor Benefits Realisation Relationship with suppliers IT Solution Other factors impact estimated at: Total potential impact on project timescales/costs Total potential impact on benefits Status Potential Impact Time/ Cost +% + % Benefits -% - % 68

Deliverables: Action Plan & Route Map We develop an Action Plan to overcome the barriers, mitigate the risks and help clients plan for success Organisation Component Implication Action required Management Culture The lack of information-sharing, alignment and empowerment will jeopardise the success of the project. At the very least it will mean poor take-up and a lower than planned level of benefits. A programme of interaction and dialogue across the organisation is urgently needed to improve the management culture. This needs to include increasing trust, see below. Process Capability The organisation s process capability is poor. This means that any projects which seek to standardise and improve processes to achieve greater efficiency will be very difficult to achieve. Consider carrying out a programme to raise the levels of process capability ahead of implementing the project or using the project itself to inject the necessary disciplines. In this case it is crucial for the Board to make compliance to the new processes mandatory. 69

Deliverables: Action Plan & Route Map Using the Culture Evolution model, we develop a Route-Map to improve the organisation s capability for change We ask two questions: If you are here now, where do you need to be? What will happen if you don t change? The first question identifies what needs to change The second gives you the ammunition you might need to defend the change it describes the future if you stay where you are 3 Dialectic 2 Structuralist The more mature the management culture, the better the organisation will adapt and respond to change 70

Summary: INPACT and Socio-technical principles 7 Imaginist 8 Systemist 3 4 Dialectic Aligned 6 Empiricist SOCIAL 2 Culture Structuralist 1 Pragmatist/Anarchic 5 Pragmatist/ Aligned 9 Pragmatist/ Empowered EXTERNAL INTERNAL FOCUS FOCUS (Organisation) (Individual) ORGANISATIONAL CAPABILITY Complexity Factor Culture 80000 75000 70000 65000 60000 55000 50000 45000 40000 35000 30000 25000 20000 15000 10000 5000 0 Organisation CAPABILITY COMPLEXITY Task Process Beyond this point your project is too A complex complex break it project down into smaller needs projects and employ dedicated a skilled programme Not simple project team manager 32400 Simple project needs needs some experienced project project management management 10800 3600 75 480 1 2 3 4 5 6 INPACT 72000 TECHNICAL 3. Defined Standard process Process 2. Repeatable Stable process 5. Optimised Continuing Effective process Improvement 4. Managed Quality and Productive Measured process Improvement Consistent Execution Controlled environment 1. Initial Chaotic Ad hoc process Software Engineering Institute 71

The Change Equation is now available from the Westminster University Bookshop The Imaginist Company is applying the INPACT principles in its consultancy work. The promise to our clients is: Within days, we can predict the success or failure of your change project, help you to gain ownership of the risks and provide you a route map and action plan to address them If you have a project that is being planned, or being implemented and you are worried that it is at risk of not succeeding, please contact us If you are a consultant and you have the opportunity to refer us to suitable clients, we are offering a revenue share arrangement do contact us for more details Peter Duschinsky peter@imaginist.co.uk 72