Global Market Pulp Statistics

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Transcription:

Global Market Pulp Statistics Bleached Kraft Pulp November Data 217

Global Statistics for Bleached Kraft Market Pulp The statistics in this file is based on EPIS (European Pulp Industry Sector) data, distributed monthly. The data covers bleached paper grade sulphate market pulp, including fluff kraft pulp. The EPIS statistics is divided into softwood and hardwood pulp. To separately analyse the global softwood and hardwood segments, will hopefully give a more correct picture of the market. Bleached Softwood Kraft Market Pulp The statistics includes 92% of the global supply. Included are: Canada, USA, Sweden, Finland, Norway, Austria, Germany, Argentina, Chile, Japan and New Zealand. From 217 is France included. Bleached Hardwood Kraft Market Pulp The statistics includes 73% of the global supply. Included are: Canada, USA, Sweden, Finland, Norway, France, Spain, Brazil, Chile, South Africa, Japan, Korea and New Zealand. From 217 is Portugal included 218-1-2 2

Global Statistics for Bleached Kraft Market Pulp Summary table November 217 Bleached Softwood Kraft Market Pulp Delivered volume November 217: 1 985 t, -3% from November 216 Jan-Nov 217: 21 943 t, +3% from Jan-Nov 216 Shipment-to-capacity ratio November 217: 93%, Jan-Nov 217: 93% Bleached Hardwood Kraft Market Pulp Delivered volume November 217: 2 148 t, -4.2% from November 216 Jan-Nov 217: 23 268 t, +4% from Jan-Nov 216 Shipment-to-capacity ratio November 217: 9%, Jan-Nov 217: 9% Producers stocks of market pulp In November, the global producers stocks of bleached kraft market pulp remained unchanged at 35 days of supply. Stocks of softwood kraft pulp decreased by 1 day to 29 days, and hardwood kraft remained unchanged at 42 days of supply. 218-1-2 3

Global Shipments Divided by Main Market Bleached Kraft Market Pulp, January - November 217 Shipments in 1 tonnes Market Region Bl SW Kraft Change* Bl HW Kraft Change* Total EU nations 6 194 +.3% 8 127 -.1% Other Europe 576 +.7% 69-19.% North America 4 13 +5.3% 2 886 -.2% Latin America 1 7-11.% 1 925 +2.% Japan 927 +5.6% 83 +16.5% Other Asia 8 584 +4.3% 8 345 +8.4% Africa 339 +15.7% 232-4.% Oceania 178 +9.1% 92-3.5% Total 21 944 +2.7% 23 268 +3.7% *) Change from the same period last year Data include BSKP from France and BHKP from Portugal Source: EPIS 218-1-2 4

Shipment-to-Capacity Ratio Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp 11 Annual average in % 11 Monthly shipment-to-capacity ratio in % 1 1 9 9 8 8 7 7 6 6 Shipment-to-capacity November 217: 93% Jan Nov 217: 93% 5 '12 '13 14 '15 '16 5 25 27 29 211 213 215 217 218-1-2 5

Shipment-to-Capacity Ratio Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp Annual average in % Monthly shipment-to-capacity ratio in % 11 1 9 8 7 6 5 '12 '13 14 '15 '16 11 1 9 8 7 6 5 Shipment-to-capacity November 217: 9% Jan Nov 217: 9% Data include Portugal 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Source: EPIS 218-1-2 6

Shipment-to-Capacity Ratio Bleached Softwood and Hardwood Kraft Pulp 12 months average 1 98 96 94 92 9 88 86 84 82 8 12 months average shipment-to-capacity ratio in % Softwood kraft ratio Hardwood kraft ratio Data including November 217 23 25 27 29 211 213 215 217 218-1-2 7

Producers Inventories in Days of Supply Bleached softwood and hardwood kraft market pulp 6 Inventories in days of supply 5 Bl hardwood kraft 4 3 2 Bl softwood kraft 1 Data including November 217 26 28 21 212 214 216 218-1-2 8

Producers Inventories in Days of Supply Bleached softwood kraft market pulp 5 Inventories in days of supply 45 4 35 3 25 2 15 1 Bl softwood kraft Average: 29 +/- 3 days 5 Data including November 217 26 28 21 212 214 216 218-1-2 9

Producers Inventories in Days of Supply Bleached hardwood kraft market pulp 6 5 Inventories in days of supply Bl hardwood kraft 4 3 2 Average: 38 +/- 4 days 1 Data including November 217 26 28 21 212 214 216 218-1-2 1

Shipment-to-stock ratio Bleached Softwood and Hardwood Kraft Pulp 2, Shipment-to-stock ratio 1,8 1,6 1,4 BHKP ratio BSKP ratio 1,2 1,,8,6,4 Data including November 217 1999 21 23 25 27 29 211 213 215 217 218-1-2 11

Estimation November Producers Inventories of Market Pulp Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp 2 Producers stocks in 1 tonnes 15 Other countries 1 USA 5 Canada 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 Source: EPIS Data including October 217 + estimation November 217 218-1-2 12

Seasonal changes in the Softwood Kraft Stocks Monthly changes, based on moving average, last five years Calculation includes November 217 data Global stock change (1 tonnes) 15 128 1 73 83 92 5 17 15-5 -1-17 -59-7 -39-31 -15-13 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 218-1-2 13

Estimation November Producers Inventories of Market Pulp Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp 3 Producers stocks in 1 tonnes 25 2 15 1 Other countries 5 USA Latin America 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 Source: EPIS Data including October 217 + estimation November 217 218-1-2 14

Seasonal changes in the Hardwood Kraft Stocks Monthly changes, based on moving average, last five years Calculation includes November 217 data 3 2 Global stock change (1 tonnes) 291 237 1 19 66 47-1 -2-17 -84-8 -96-159 -31-14 -3 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 218-1-2 15

NBSK Price vs Producers Inventories Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp 3 Producers stocks 25 (in 1 tonnes) 2 15 1 5 NBSK price (in US$/tonne) 12 1 8 6 4 2 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 Data including November 217 218-1-2 16

Total Shipments of Market Pulp Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp 2 Deliveries of bl softwood kraft pulp in 1 tonnes 1 8 1 6 1 4 Shipments November 217/16: -3.1% Shipment Jan-Nov 217/16: +2.7% Shipment-to-capacity November 217: 93% 1 2 Monthly data Annual average 1 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Source: EPIS Data including November 217 218-1-2 17

Total Shipments of Market Pulp Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp Deliveries of bl hardwood kraft pulp in 1 tonnes 2 4 2 2 2 1 8 1 6 1 4 1 2 1 8 Shipments November 217/16: -4.% Shipments Jan-Nov 217/16: +3.7% Shipment-to-capacity November 217: 9% Monthly data Annual average 6 25 26 27 28 29 21 211 212 213 214 215 216 217 Source: EPIS Data including November 217 218-1-2 18

Shipments of Softwood Kraft Pulp to China Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp From all suppliers except Russia Shipments in tonnes 6 5 4 3 2 1 Data including November 217 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 218-1-2 19 Source: EPIS

Shipments of Hardwood Kraft Pulp to China Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp 8 Shipments in tonnes 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Data including November 217 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 28 21 212 214 216 Source: EPIS 218-1-2 2

Total Shipments of Market Pulp Bleached Softwood Kraft Pulp 12 months moving average, various destinations 8 Monthly shipments in tonnes, 12 months moving average 7 6 5 4 3 W Europe North America Asia excl Japan 2 1 Data including November 217 1999 21 23 25 27 29 211 213 215 217 218-1-2 21

Total Shipments of Market Pulp Bleached Hardwood Kraft Pulp 12 months moving average, various destinations 8 7 6 5 4 Monthly shipments in tonnes, 12 months moving average W Europe Asia excl Japan 3 2 North America 218-1-2 22 1 Data including November 217 1999 21 23 25 27 29 211 213 215 217