WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION: IMPACT OF RENEWABLES AND IMPROVED COOLING TECHNOLOGIES TO 2030

Similar documents
WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION:

RENEWABLE POWER: CLIMATE-SAFE ENERGY COMPETES ON COST ALONE

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY RENEWABLE ENERGY PROSPECTS: CHINA

Update energy and power sector strategies to reflect the growing cost advantages and other benefits of renewables

RENEWABLE ENERGY: A KEY CLIMATE SOLUTION

PANAMA POWER SYSTEM FLEXIBILITY ASSESSMENT IRENA FLEXTOOL CASE STUDY

GLOBAL ENERGY TRANSFORMATION

URUGUAY POWER SYSTEM FLEXIBILITY ASSESSMENT IRENA FLEXTOOL CASE STUDY

Energy Technology Perspectives 2014 Harnessing Electricity s Potential

PARCHED POWER: WATER DEMANDS, RISKS, AND OPPORTUNITIES FOR INDIA S POWER SECTOR

DEVELOP BANKABLE RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS

Renewable energy in the water-energyfood

PROJECT FACILITY ACCESSIBLE FINANCE FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY IN DEVELOPING COUNTRIES. Photograph: AMADER

Renewables after COP-21 A global perspective. Dr. Fatih Birol Executive Director International Energy Agency

Delivering on the clean energy agenda: prospects and the role for policy

Accelerating the Global Energy Transition. Dolf Gielen and Luis Janeiro IRENA Innovation and Technology Centre

Pathways to 2050 The role of nuclear in a low-carbon Europe. 19 November 2018

Renewable Electricity Futures

Profound changes underway in energy markets Signs of decoupling of energy-related CO 2 emissions and global economic growth Oil prices have fallen pre

Medium and long-term perspectives for PV. Dr. Paolo Frankl Division Head Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency

Perspectives on the Energy Transition

The Energy Trilemma: A cost curve for emissions reductions & energy storage in the Australian electricity sector

Medium Term Renewable Energy Market Report Michael Waldron Senior Energy Market Analyst Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency

Economic and Social Council

IEA Roadmap Workshop Sustainable Biomass Supply for Bioenergy and Biofuels September 2010

Chapter 2. Case Studies: Keeping CO 2 emission at 2013 level by March 2018

OFF-GRID ENERGY ACCESS ATTAINS NEW HEIGHTS

Market outlook. Anders Runevad, Group President & CEO. London, 21 June Classification: Public

THE CASE FOR COAL THE POWER OF HIGH EFFICIENCY COAL

Renewables for Africa and for the World

Roadmap for Solar PV. Michael Waldron Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency

REmap 2030 Analysis for Ukraine

The Impact of Emissions Mitigation on Water Demand for Electricity Generation

Resources sustainability in Myanmar: Lessons from integrated assessment of water-energy nexus in neighbouring countries

Role of clean energy in the context of Paris Agreement

CONTENTS TABLE OF PART A GLOBAL ENERGY TRENDS PART B SPECIAL FOCUS ON RENEWABLE ENERGY OECD/IEA, 2016 ANNEXES

Power Markets in an Era of Low-Marginal Costs

Deep-decarbonisation of the end-use sectors: the role of renewable energy

EPA Analysis of the Waxman-Markey Discussion Draft: The American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 Executive Summary April 20, 2009

Clean energy technologies: tracking progress and the role of digitalization

Medium Term Renewable Energy Market Report 2013

Envisioning a Renewable Electricity Future for the United States

Energy transitions and climate policy

China Renewable Energy Outlook 2018

Where do we want to go?

CHAPTER 6 GLOBAL PROSPECTS FOR SDG 7

Overview of IEA Hydropower Implementing Agreement (IEA Hydro)

Global freshwater demand for electricity generation under low-carbon scenarios

Renewable Electricity Futures

Opportunities for renewable energy deployment. Dolf Gielen Director IITC

Renewable energy global trends and implementation of the South East Europe Initiative

A Coal Phase-Out Pathway for 1.5 C

Highlights and Key Results

Water Use, Electric Power, and Nuclear Energy: Environmental Stewardship. William Skaff Nuclear Energy Institute September 15, 2009

US DOE Efforts to Broaden the. Nexus

Accelerating energy innovation to achieve a sustainable future

Synergies between renewable energy and energy efficiency

The Role of Renewable Energy in China s Sustainable Energy Transition

Modelling of Australia s National Energy Guarantee

Role of bioenergy and transport biofuels in energy and climate scenarios

TIME Capital Suite 5 Capital Suite 7 IRENA Pavillion Capital Suite 5 Capital Suite 7 IRENA Pavillion

SECTOR ASSESSMENT (SUMMARY): ENERGY

Renewable energy and climate change

Harmony The role of nuclear energy meeting electricity needs in the 2 degree scenario. Agneta Rising Director General

Harmony. The global nuclear industry s vision for the future of electricity

Decarbonization pathways and the new role of DSOs

Integration of wind and solar in power systems. Cédric Philibert Renewable Energy Division International Energy Agency

23 September, 34 th AMEM, Myanmar Dolf Gielen, Director, IRENA Innovation and Technology Centre. With financial support from

Methodology for calculating subsidies to renewables

Renewables 2O18 Analysis and Forecasts to 2O23

Activities of the Working Party on Renewable Energy Technologies. Martin Schöpe, REWP Chair Lisbon 10 Oct 2017

Low Carbon Grid Study: Analysis of a 50% Emission Reduction in California

Energy & Water linkages in the power sector Implications for future planning

Renewable Energy Perspectives and Roadmaps 2010

Linking Water, Energy & Climate Change A proposed water and energy policy initiative for the UN Climate Change Conference, COP15, in Copenhagen 2009

Renewable Electricity Futures: An Investigation of 30 90% Renewable Power

11 October, 2016, Petten

3.1. Spain Solar PV On-Grid and Off-Grid Cumulative Installed Capacity,

Abstract. The renewable energy revolution

Renewable Electricity Futures

Chapter 4 Eighty Percent Reduction Scenario in Japan

GE OIL & GAS ANNUAL MEETING 2016 Florence, Italy, 1-2 February

Renewable Energy Policies in Southeast Asia. Renewable Energy Auctions: A New Paradigm for Asia ACEF, 8 June 2018

Renewable Energy Economics and Technology Status - Program 84

State-Level Modeling of. Clean Power Plan. Compliance Pathways with EPRI s US-REGEN Model

GLOBAL RENEWABLE ENERGY MARKET OUTLOOK 2013

Politique et sécurité énergétique dans le contexte des nouvelles énergies

100% Fossil Free Electricity. June 27, 2018

WATER AND THE HYDROLOGIC CYCLE

Advanced Renewable Incentive Schemes. Simon Müller Senior Analyst System Integration of Renewables International Energy Agency

Energy, Electricity and Nuclear Power Estimates for the Period up to 2050

RTE Réseau de transport d électricité shall not be liable for damages of any nature, direct or indirect, arising from the use, exploitation or

Climate Change Mitigation and Adaptation Options: The Nigerian Experience

Resiliency and the Energy-Water Nexus

New York Battery and Energy Storage Technology Consortium, Inc.

Renewable Energy Prospects for the European Union

Finding an Optimal Path to 2050 Decarbonization Goals

Global Renewable Energy Trends

Contribution of Renewables to Energy Security Cédric PHILIBERT Renewable Energy Division

THE BALTIC SEA REGION STORAGE, GRID EXCHANGE AND FLEXIBLE ELECTRICITY GENERATION FOR THE TRANSITION TO A 100% RENEWABLE ENERGY SYSTEM

Transcription:

WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION: IMPACT OF RENEWABLES AND IMPROVED COOLING TECHNOLOGIES TO This paper examines the impact of changes in cooling technologies mandated for thermal power plants and an increased share of renewable energy, on freshwater use (excluding hydropower) and on carbon emissions to year. The analysis builds on previous work undertaken by the World Resources Institute (WRI) and the International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA), and draws on the commitment made by India at the 2015 Conference of Parties (COP 21) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The analysis contributes to the growing discourse on integrating water considerations into power sector planning for thermal and renewable energy development. 1 SUMMARY The power sector contributes to and is affected by water stress. Rapid growth in freshwater-intensive thermal power generation can contribute to water stress in the areas where plants are located. Power generation is expected to account for nearly 9% of national water consumption by 2050 (in a businessas-usual scenario) growing from 1.4% in 2025 (Central Water Commission, 2015) and this figure is likely to vary quite significantly from region to region. There is a mismatch between water demand and supply when usable surface water capacity and replenishable groundwater levels are considered. Water stress is particularly acute in naturally arid regions and areas where water is also needed for other uses such as irrigation. Confronted with growing risks to water and energy security, the power sector needs long-term approaches to reduce its dependence on freshwater while also meeting other environmental objectives such as reducing atmospheric, water and soil pollution. The combination of improved power plant cooling technologies and renewable energy technologies, especially solar PV and wind, could lessen the intensity of freshwater use and carbon intensity of the power sector. In its Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC), India committed to increasing the share of non-fossil sources in its installed power capacity to 40% by. India has a related target of 175 gigawatts (GW) of renewables capacity by 2022, including 100 GW of solar PV and 60 GW of wind. As solar PV and wind power require significantly less water than conventional and other renewable sources during the operational phase, their substantial uptake could contribute to a reduction in freshwater use as well as carbon intensity of power generation. Simultaneously, phasing out once-through cooling technologies at existing power plants and restricting their installation at new thermal plants, through enforcement of the announced regulatory water use standards, will substantially reduce water withdrawal. By, the water withdrawal intensity of the electricity generation (excluding hydropower) could be reduced by up to 84%, consumption intensity by up to 25%, and CO 2 intensity by up to 4 in comparison to the 2014 baseline. Under all scenarios analysed, the Indian power sector s freshwater and CO 2 intensity (excluding hydropower) would substantially fall compared to the 2014 baseline. Even as intensities reduce, changes to absolute water withdrawal and consumption in vary. The transition from once-through to recirculating cooling systems will drastically reduce withdrawal but will increase total water consumption in most scenarios. Coupled with continuing thermal and renewable capacity development, total water consumption in is estimated to increase by up to 4 billion cubic metres (m 3 ). Measures discussed in this brief to reduce freshwater and carbon intensity complement demand-side measures, such as energy efficiency improvements, thus warranting an integrated approach to power sector planning. 1 This paper and the related methodology can be found online at http://irena.org/publications and at www.wri.org/publication.

ENERGY AND WATER INTERLINKAGES Accelerated economic growth in the past two decades in India is correlated with rapid increase in energy demand. Annual national electricity consumption has grown by more than 25% within five years (2011-2016) to 1 002 terawatt-hours (TWh). A significant portion of this is industrial consumption (42%), followed by domestic (24%) and agriculture (17%) (Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation, 2017). A major share of India s electricity (85%) is generated from fossil fuel (coal and natural gas) and nuclear plants, which rely significantly on freshwater for cooling purposes 2. Water use in the power sector is measured using two distinct metrics. Withdrawal is defined as the freshwater taken from ground or surface water sources, either permanently or temporarily, and conveyed to a place of use (Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, n.d.). Consumption refers to withdrawals that are not returned to the original source. Natural water supply sources are subject to increased overuse leading to resource depletion. WRI s India Water Tool 3 shows that 54% of India s groundwater wells face high to extremely high water stress. This is caused by erratic rainfall, irrigation pumps that run on subsidised electricity and unsustainable management of groundwater (India Water Tool and World Resources Institute, 2015). Against this background, the energy sector is expected to consume a steadily increasing share of the available water resources. The sector s relative water consumption is projected to grow from 1.4% to 9% between 2025 and 2050 (from 15 billion m 3 to 130 billion m 3 annually) (Central Water Commission, 2015). All sectors, including irrigation, energy and drinking water, see a growing demand for water. In 2050, total water demand is forecast to reach 1 400 billion m 3. The comparable annual figure for usable surface water capacity is around 690 billion m 3 and potentially replaceable annual ground water capacity amounts to 433 billion m 3 (Central Water Commission, 2015). The mismatch between demand and supply could affect the availability of water for different end uses, increasing risk of competition, particularly in water-constrained areas. Furthermore, as demand increases, water will need to be pumped from sources further away or from deeper underground, thus increasing energy demand (IRENA, 2015). For the power sector, water availability directly impacts all plants to varying degrees. WRI analysis shows that shutdowns related to water shortages in 2016 resulted in the loss of roughly 14 TWh of thermal electricity generation equivalent to the annual power use in India s North-Eastern region (WRI, 2017; Central Electricity Authority, 2017a). The present paper covers thermal and non-hydropower renewable electricity, whose operational water risks 4 differ from those of large hydropower plants. Differences arise from the extent to which water considerations are integrated into planning and plant design; water quality requirements (e.g. impact of input water temperature increase on thermal generation efficiency); resilience to variability in water supply; and the complexity of competition with other end uses (e.g. upstream and downstream impacts for large hydropower). THE ROLE OF HYDROPOWER Hydropower plays a key role in India s power sector. The development of large hydropower requires a careful consideration of the water-energy-food nexus. Water use in hydropower generation is normally associated with evaporative losses (consumption) from the reservoirs. Given the multi-purpose nature of hydropower infrastructure (e.g. irrigation, water supply, flood control), evaporative losses from reservoirs cannot always be attributed entirely to power generation. For this reason, water use in hydropower generation has been excluded from this analysis, which concentrates specifically on the freshwater intensity of thermal and solar PV, wind power and select other renewable power options. 2 A number of power plants, especially nuclear, use seawater for cooling. However, these have been excluded from this analysis, which is devoted to freshwater use in the power sector. The methodology provides details on the related assumptions (e.g. proportion of nuclear generation based on seawater cooling). The use of treated sewage water for cooling was recently mandated for thermal power plants within 50 kilometres of treatment plants (Ministry of Power, 2016). However, this is marginal at present, and insufficient data are available to assess its use to. 3 The India Water Tool is an online tool for companies and other users to understand their water risks and prioritise actions toward sustainable water management. The tool can be accessed at www.wri.org/resources/maps/india-water-tool. 4 The analysis does not account for water use in fuel processing or equipment manufacturing. 2

In response to growing concern over water shortage and its economic impact on plants, the Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEF & CC) published the rules listed below on 7 December 2015 (MoEF & CC, 2015): All thermal power plants with once-through cooling 5 are expected to install cooling towers and to achieve specific water consumption 6 of 3.5 m 3 per megawatt-hour (MWh) by December 2017 (within two years of notification). All existing plants using cooling towers shall reduce specific water consumption down to a maximum of 3.5 m 3 /MWh by December 2017 (within a period of two years of notification). New plants installed after 1 January 2017 must meet specific water consumption of 2.5 m 3 /MWh and achieve zero water discharge. 7 To comply with changes in national regulations and to mitigate operational risks, operators of existing and new thermal power plants are expected to move towards improved cooling technologies. Coupled with the growing share of solar PV and wind energy in the power generation mix, this will have a strong influence over the future water and CO 2 intensity of the non-hydroelectric power sector. The analysis presented in this paper aims to quantify these impacts. Thar desert - wind power plants and a local man leading camel caravan. India (c) Matyas Rehak Shutterstock.com 5 Once-through systems take water from nearby sources (e.g. rivers, lakes, aquifers or the ocean), circulate it through pipes to absorb heat from the steam in systems called condensers, and discharge the warmer water to the local source. 6 Amount of freshwater consumed while producing 1 MWh of electricity. 7 This requirement has been relaxed to 3 m 3 /MWh through a draft Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change notification from October 2017 (MoEF & CC, 2017 - draft). WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION 3

PATHWAYS TO POWER SECTOR GROWTH Renewable energy is a key pillar of India s strategy to meet growing electricity demand while addressing environmental and energy security objectives. Recent cost reductions in solar PV and wind technologies have made these technologies increasingly cost-competitive for capacity additions compared to conventional technologies. Renewable energy deployment in India has grown at an average rate of 9% between 2006 and 2016 (IRENA, 2017a). Total capacity reached 61 GW in 2017 with contributions from wind, solar, small hydropower, and bioenergy (Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, 2017). In its NDC, the government committed to increasing the share of non-fossil sources including hydropower in installed capacity from 30% in 2015 to 40% in (Government of India Press Information Bureau, 2015). This incorporates a target for deploying 175 GW of renewables by 2022, including 100 GW solar, 60 GW wind and 10 GW biomass (Climate Action Tracker, 2017). In its REmap study 8 for India, IRENA formulated two scenarios for the power sector s development to : the Reference 9 and REmap cases. In the former, 38% of the installed capacity would be based on renewable sources (including hydropower), while the latter envisages a share of 61% (IRENA, 2017b). The CEA in India also puts forth a generation capacity mix scenario projected to year, as illustrated in Figure 1 (CEA, 2016) 10. Figure 1. india s installed power capacity under different scenarios 100% 90% 80% 28% 38% 70% 61% 54% 60% 50% 40% 30% 72% 62% 20% 39% 46% 10% 0% Baseline 2014 IRENA Reference IRENA REmap CEA Renewable sources (including hydropower) Non-renewable sources (including fossil fuels and nuclear energy) Based on IRENA (2017b) and CEA (2017b). 8 IRENA s REmap programme determines the realisable potential for countries, regions and the world to scale up renewables. It provides a roadmap towards for countries to ensure an affordable and sustainable energy future. One of the recent REmap publications is "Renewable Energy Prospects for India" (IRENA, 2017b). The data on the Reference Case and REmap options are based on IRENA (2017b). The roadmap is subject to updates as new policies and regulations are introduced. 9 The Reference Case for is a pathway under business-as-usual conditions, while REmap reflects an accelerated deployment scenario more in line with NDC objectives. More details on the scenarios are available in the methodology. 10 2014 is the baseline year in this analysis because it is the latest year for which complete and disaggregated generation and capacity data (by source) are available in both the International Energy Agency and the CEA datasets. Furthermore, given that policies driving renewable energy and changes to cooling technologies were introduced in 2015, the 2014 baseline is considered appropriate for this analysis. 4 WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION

Renewable generation (including hydropower) would reach a 17% share in the Reference Case and a 34% share in the REmap case, compared to 15% in 2014 (Figure 2). Keeping the CEA capacity mix the same, two scenarios have been derived that vary mostly according to hydropower and coal in the generation mix (see methodology). CEA Scenarios 1 and 2 see the share of renewables grow to 38% and 54% respectively, as shown in Figure 2. Most scenarios show substantial growth in renewable generation from solar PV and wind. Solar power represents 2% in IRENA s Reference Case, rising to more than 10% under REmap and both CEA scenarios. While absolute hydropower generation is projected to rise in each scenario, its share will contract under the Reference and REmap cases, and grow to 14% (CEA Scenario 1) or even 31% (CEA Scenario 2) in. The four scenarios examined here represent a wide range of growth pathways for the power sector in India. A critical difference between the IRENA and CEA scenarios is the total estimated generation in and, respectively. As detailed in the methodology, the difference is largely due to the varying approach to energy efficiency in each scenario (a likely result of differing assumptions for economic growth, energy intensity of growth, etc). The CEA scenarios reflect electricity saving targets of 336 TWh by, as well as the retirement of older thermal generation capacity plants that would have been in operation for 40 years or more (CEA, 2016). Despite the differences in the total generation, it is assumed that the cooling technology mix would not significantly change between scenarios. The remainder of the paper analyses the water and carbon implications of the four scenarios. Figure 2. india s power generation under different scenarios by source 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 1 273 3 428 3 487 2 142 2 132 11% 5% 76% Baseline 2014 10% 4% 79% IRENA Reference 11% 1 7% 14% 4% 4% 6 IRENA REmap 0.5% 1 9% 54% CEA Scenario 1 11% 9% 31% 41% CEA Scenario 2 TWh Geothermal Solar (PV, CSP) Bioenergy Wind (onshore, offshore) Hydropower Nuclear Oil Natural Gas Coal Note: Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) accounts for a negligible share of solar generation (less than 1% in the REmap scenario). Based on data from IRENA (2016), IRENA (2017a), International Energy Agency (2014), CEA (2016), CEA (2014). WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION 5

IMPACTS ON WATER WITHDRAWAL, CONSUMPTION AND CARBON EMISSIONS Water withdrawal and consumption The current water withdrawal intensity of India s power sector (excluding hydroelectricity) is largely driven by thermal power plants using once-through cooling systems. Withdrawal intensity could be reduced by upgrading plant cooling technology (Council on Energy, Environment and Water, 2017) and by supporting the development of less water-intensive generation technologies (European Wind Energy Association, 2014; National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2015). For instance, the operational withdrawal intensity of solar PV in India is around 0.08 m 3 /MWh (primarily related to panel cleaning), which is only 0.5% of the thermal average, while for wind, the water withdrawal is zero. The quantitative analysis presented in this brief examines changes in the freshwater intensity of thermal and renewable power generation for the four scenarios presented earlier. It also estimates the total water withdrawal and consumption for different power generation options across the scenarios, based on trends in cooling technology and power plant efficiency 11. The results, referenced to a 2014 baseline, are listed below (Figure 3). IRENA» Reference» : water withdrawal intensity would decrease by about 8, and water consumption intensity would decrease by 7%. IRENA REmap : water withdrawal intensity would decrease by about 84%, and water consumption intensity would decrease by 19%. CEA Scenario 1 : water withdrawal intensity would decrease by about 71%, and water consumption intensity would decrease by 22%. CEA Scenario 2 : water withdrawal intensity would decrease by about 76%, and water consumption intensity would decrease by 25%. Figure 3. Change in water withdrawal (left) and consumption (right) intensity of thermal and non-hydropower renewable generation, by scenario (relative to 2014) m 3 /MWh 16-8 -84% -71% -76% m 3 /MWh 2.5 Water Withdrawal Intensiy 14 12 10 8 6 4 15.93 Water Consumption Intensiy 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 2.09-7% -19% -22% -25% 1.94 1.70 1.63 1.57 2 0 Baseline 2014 2.73 IRENA Reference 2.52 IRENA REmap 4.65 3.89 CEA Scenario 1 CEA Scenario 2 0 Baseline 2014 IRENA Reference IRENA REmap CEA Scenario 1 CEA Scenario 2 IRENA/WRI analysis 11 Details on the methodology, including data inputs (e.g. water and carbon intensity factors by technology), sources and assumptions, can be found in the supplementary document. 6

Compared to 2014, all scenarios see a decrease in withdrawal intensity, which is predominantly due to the shift towards improved cooling technology at thermal power plants (i.e. from once-through cooling to recirculating cooling) driven by regulations and mandates discussed earlier. Figure 4 illustrates the key drivers contributing to the change in water withdrawal intensity for each scenario. The contribution from the power mix shift rises in scenarios with a higher share of less water-intensive renewables, such as solar PV and wind (as seen in the IRENA scenarios) and lower share of coal generation (as in the CEA scenarios). Power plant efficiency improvements, based on India s new draft National Electricity Plan (CEA, 2016), also contribute, although less significantly than other factors. The difference between IRENA Reference and REmap is relatively low (2.73 and 2.52 m 3 /MWh respectively). This is because REmap considers a higher share of biomass, CSP and geothermal, all of which have high operational water needs (not considering the adoption of dry cooling technologies) that partly offset the savings achieved from a reduced share of coal within the fuel mix. Neither of the CEA cases consider CSP or geothermal, but each includes more nuclear generation, which implies high water withdrawal when plants are freshwater-cooled. Figure 4. Key drivers of change in water withdrawal intensity by scenario 0% IRENA Reference IRENA REmap CEA Scenario 1 CEA Scenario 2-10% -20% -30% -40% -50% -60% -70% -80% -90% -10.9% -25.7% -16.5% -51.9% -67.8% -55. -2.4% -4.1% -3.1% Power mix shift Cooling technology improvement Plant efficiency enhancement -24.2% -48.9% -2.4% IRENA/WRI analysis. Note: excludes large hydropower. Compared to the 2014 baseline, the overall consumption intensity decreases across all scenarios. The contributing factors are shown in Figure 5. The IRENA Reference scenario shows a minor reduction compared to 2014 due to the growth of wind and solar PV which reduce consumption. This is in part offset by the rise in consumption from existing thermal plants switching cooling technology, and from new thermal capacity commissioned by. By contrast, a greater reduction occurs in the REmap scenario as the share of solar PV and wind grows further and coal generation reduces. The drivers are similar for CEA scenarios, although reductions are more significant given greater renewable energy penetration in the generation mix as seen earlier in Figure 2. In the long term, the water dependency of power generation will not fall without a major shift in the power mix together with the deployment of more advanced cooling technologies such as dry cooling. WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION 7

Figure 5. Key drivers of change in water consumption intensity by scenario 5% 0% IRENA Reference 2.5% IRENA REmap 2% CEA Scenario 1 1.9% CEA Scenario 2 1.8% -5% -7.5% -10% -15% -2.1% -19.7% -22.8% -25.9% -20% -25% -30% -1.1% Power mix shift Cooling technology improvement Plant efficiency enhancement -1% -0.6% IRENA/WRI analysis. Note: excludes large hydropower. Carbon emissions Increasing the share of non-fossil fuel based electricity is a key component of India s NDC submitted at COP 21. Across all scenarios analysed, a strong decrease in the carbon intensity of power generation can be seen (Figure 6). Compared to the 2014 baseline, adopting IRENA scenarios would reduce emissions intensity by up to 36% in. The CEA scenarios are more aggressive and see a reduction of up to 4. In India, where the power sector is expected to continue to expand as the demand for electricity increases and universal access is achieved, reduction in the carbon dioxide (and water) intensity help rein in absolute increases. Figure 6. Change in carbon dioxide intensity of power generation, by scenario gco 2 /kwh 1000 900-2 -36% -40% -4 Emissions Intensity 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 901 693 572 543 514 100 0 Baseline 2014 IRENA Reference IRENA REmap CEA Scenario 1 CEA Scenario 2 IRENA/WRI analysis; 2014 data based on CEA, 2017c. 8

ABSOLUTE WATER AND CARBON SAVINGS India s energy demand is expected to double, while electricity demand is expected to almost triple by compared to 2014 (IRENA, 2017c) leading to absolute increases in water consumption and carbon dioxide emissions in some scenarios. However, the lower intensity values achieved through improved cooling technologies and higher shares of solar PV and wind will help realise relative savings in both water and carbon across all scenarios. Absolute water withdrawal, excluding hydropower, is projected to decrease in all scenarios compared to 18 billion m 3 in 2014. Under the IRENA Reference case, freshwater withdrawal could decrease by half in, largely due to the elimination of once-through systems, representing a reduction of 9 billion m 3 of freshwater withdrawn. Compared to the IRENA Reference Case, water withdrawal is projected to decrease further by 813 million m 3 under the REmap scenario as savings from solar PV and wind increase. Compared to 2014, the absolute withdrawals are projected to reduce by 9.5 billion m 3 under CEA Scenario 1 a nd over 12 billion m 3 under CEA Scenario 2. Absolute water consumption is projected to increase in all scenarios compared to 2014, except for CEA Scenario 2, which is projected to see a reduction of 52 million m 3 despite the doubling of the total generation through to year. The primary driver for this reduction is the increase in share of renewable energy and a reduction in electricity generation from coal. In comparison, CEA Scenario 1 is projected to see water consumption rise by over 620 million m 3 in. In the case of the IRENA Reference Case and REmap, an increase of over 4 billion m 3 and 3 billion m 3 is projected respectively in compared to 2014. Regarding carbon dioxide emissions, in the IRENA Reference Case a rise of more than 1 billion tonnes of CO 2 (tco 2 ) is estimated compared to 2014. Adopting REmap options is projected to limit the increase to approximately 82% (840 million tco 2 ). CEA scenarios are projected to create an even bigger impact on carbon dioxide emissions, reducing them by between (30 million tco 2 ) (Scenario 1) and 26% (around 270 million tco 2 ) (Scenario 2). Higher share of renewable energy + Higher efficiency of cooling technologies Water consumption intensity (m 3 /MWh) up to -25% evaporation Carbon intensity (gco 2 /kwh) up to -4 Water withdrawal intensity (m 3 /MWh) up to -84% WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION 9

CONCLUDING REMARKS This paper has analysed the implications of a changing power mix and improving power plant cooling technologies, both driven by policy action, on water withdrawal, consumption and carbon emissions in the power sector. Four scenarios were considered using previous research conducted by IRENA, WRI and India s CEA. The results of the analysis have shown that: The adoption of improved cooling technologies, as well as the deployment of a higher share of wind and solar PV, could substantially decrease water withdrawal and consumption intensity of non-hydropower generation; The shift in the power mix towards renewable energy, especially solar PV and wind, is estimated to contribute greatly to a reduction in consumption intensity while cooling technology change is the primary driver of reduction in withdrawal intensity; Absolute water withdrawal is lower despite an increase in power generation due to the transition of thermal plants to recirculating cooling. However, in three out of four scenarios analysed, there is an increase in overall water consumption mainly due to increasing aggregate power generation capacity up to the years and ; The growth in power sector emissions is projected to decrease across all scenarios analysed, contributing to meeting India s international and national climate commitments. Continuous policy and regulatory support is required to achieve both water and carbon benefits. On both counts, dedicated policies and mandates have already been introduced - including time-bound targets. However, their effective implementation and enforcement will be crucial to meeting the targets. Furthermore, the magnitude of the impacts presented here demonstrates the importance of integrating water considerations, including associated risks, into power sector planning strategies. Investments in less water-intensive and low carbon technologies offer a pathway to managing the power sector while meeting environmental and energy security objectives. This paper looks at one part of the water-energy nexus puzzle in the context of India s power sector. Hydropower generation, a key feature of India s generation mix, is itself exposed to water risks associated with resource availability, climate uncertainties and complex interactions between upstream and downstream end uses (WRI, 2018). This paper concentrated on thermal generation and non-hydropower renewables. It acknowledges that an analysis of hydropower is necessary to capture relevant water-energy risks more comprehensively and to integrate into planning processes alongside quantitative analysis such as the one presented in this brief. The analysis presented here is intended to contribute to a wider discourse on the importance of integrating water considerations. The overall objective is to gain a better understanding of the effectiveness of different measures in reducing freshwater consumption and therefore in reducing the water-dependency of the power sector over the medium term. 10

REFERENCES Details about the methodology used in this brief can be found online at http://irena.org/publications/2018/jan/water-use-in-india- Power-Impact-of-renewables-to- Central Electricity Authority (CEA) (2017a), Load generation balance report, 2017-18, retrieved from www.cea.nic.in/reports/ annual/lgbr/lgbr-2017.pdf CEA (2017b), Executive summary, power sector, September 2017, retrieved from www.cea.nic.in/reports/monthly/ executivesummary/2017/exe_summary-09.pdf CEA (2017c), CO 2 baseline data for the Indian power sector, May 2017, retrieved from http://cea.nic.in/reports/others/thermal/ tpece/cdm_co2/user_guide_ver10.pdf CEA (2016), Draft national electricity plan, 2016, retrieved from www.cea.nic.in/reports/committee/nep/nep_dec.pdf CEA (2014), Executive summary, power sector, retrieved from www.cea.nic.in/reports/monthly/executivesummary/2014/exe_ summary-12.pdf Central Water Commission (CWC) (2015), Water and related statistics, April 2015, retrieved from www.cwc.gov.in/main/ downloads/water%20&%20related%20statistics%202015.pdf Climate Action Tracker (2017), India,, last updated 18 September 2017, retrieved from http://climateactiontracker.org/countries/ india.html Council on Energy, Environment and Water (2017), Implications of shared socio-economic pathways for India s long-term electricity generation and associated water demands, retrieved from http://ceew.in/pdf/ceew%20-%20implications%20of%20 Shared%20Socio%20Economic%20Pathways%20for%20India s%20 Longterm%20Electricity%20and%20Associated%20Water%20 Demands%206Sep17.pdf European Wind Energy Association (2014), Save water with wind energy, retrieved from https://windeurope.org/fileadmin/files/ library/publications/reports/saving_water_with_wind_energy. pdf Government of India Press Information Bureau (2015), India s Intended Nationally Determined Contribution is balanced and comprehensive: environment minister, retrieved from http://pib. nic.in/newsite/printrelease.aspx?relid=128403 India Water Tool and World Resources Institute (WRI) (2015), India water tool, data retrieved from www.wri.org/blog/2015/02/3- maps-explain-india%e2%80%99s-growing-water-risks International Energy Agency (IEA) (2014), India, electricity and heat for 2014, retrieved from www.iea.org/statistics/statisticssearch/re port/?year=2014&country=india&product=electricityandheat International Renewable Energy Agency (IRENA) (2017a), Renewable Energy Statistics 2017. IRENA, Abu Dhabi. IRENA (2017b), REMAP Renewable Energy Prospects for India. IRENA, Abu Dhabi. IRENA (2016), Roadmap for a Renewable Energy Future. REmap results by country - status as of March, 2016. IRENA, Abu Dhabi. IRENA (2015), Renewable Energy in the Water, Energy and Food Nexus. IRENA, Abu Dhabi. Ministry of Environment, Forest and Climate Change (MoEF & CC) (2015), Environment (Protection) Amendment Rules, 2015. Notification S.O. 3305(E), 7 December 2015, retrieved from www. moef.gov.in/sites/default/files/thermal%20plant%20gazette%20 scan.pdf MoEF & CC (2017 draft), Notification S.O. 3337(E), 16 October 2017, retrieved from http://nwm.gov.in/sites/default/files/ INDC%20report%202015%20for%20water%20resources.pdf Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) (2017), Physical Progress (Achievements), web page, viewed on 21 December 2017, retrieved from http://mnre.gov.in/mission-and-vision-2/ achievements/ Ministry of Power (2016), Amendments in the Tariff Policy to ensure 24X7 affordable Power for All, retrieved from http://powermin. nic.in/sites/default/files/webform/notices/press_brief_on_ AMENDMENTS_IN_TARIFF_POLICY.pdf Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (2017), Energy Statistics, 2017, retrieved from www.mospi.nic.in/sites/ default/files/publication_reports/energy_statistics_2017r.pdf. pdf National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) (2015), Water Impacts of High Solar PV Electricity Penetration, retrieved from https://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy15osti/63011.pdf Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (n.d.), Water withdrawals, retrieved from https://data.oecd.org/water/ water-withdrawals.htm WRI (2018), Parched Power: Water Demands, Risks and Opportunities for India s Power Sector, World Resources Institute, retrieved from http://www.wri.org/publication/parched-power WRI (2017), Droughts and blackouts: how water shortages cost India enough energy to power Sri Lanka, World Resources Institute, retrieved from www.wri.org/blog/2017/07/droughtsand-blackouts-how-water-shortages-cost-india-enough-energypower-sri-lanka WATER USE IN INDIA S POWER GENERATION 11

CONTRIBUTING AUTHORS: Rabia Ferroukhi, Divyam Nagpal, Verena Ommer, Celia García-Baños (IRENA), Tianyi Luo, Deepak Krishnan and Ashok Thanikonda (WRI). ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS This report benefited from reviews and input by Dr. D.K. Khare (Ministry of New and Renewable Energy, India), Pankaj Batra (Central Electricity Authority, India), Ashwin Gambhir (Prayas Energy Group), Caroline Lee (International Energy Agency), Shilp Verma (IWMI-Tata Water Policy Program), Deepak Gupta (Shakti Sustainable Energy Foundation). WRI colleagues O. P. Agarwal, Karl Hausker, Aaron Kressig, Jennifer Layke, Michelle Manion, Apurba Mitra, Betsy Otto, Srinivasan Sundaresan, Laura Malaguzzi Valeri and Lijin Zhong, as well as IRENA colleagues Gayathri Prakash, Hameed Safiullah, Miljan Todorovic and Nicholas Wagner also provided valuable support. IRENA and WRI 2018 Unless otherwise stated, material in this publication may be freely used, shared, copied, reproduced, printed and/or stored, provided that appropriate acknowledgement is given of IRENA and WRI as the joint sources and copyright holders. Material in this publication that is attributed to third parties may be subject to separate terms of use and restrictions, and appropriate permissions from these third parties may need to be secured before any use of such material. ISBN: 978-92-9260-055-6 DISCLAIMER This publication and the material herein are provided as is. All reasonable precautions have been taken by IRENA and WRI to verify the reliability of the material in this publication. However, neither IRENA, WRI, nor any of their officials, agents, data or other third-party content providers provide a warranty of any kind, either expressed or implied, and they accept no responsibility or liability for any consequence of use of the publication or material herein. The information contained herein does not necessarily represent the views of the Members of IRENA. The mention of specific companies or certain projects or products does not imply that they are endorsed or recommended by IRENA or WRI in preference to others of a similar nature that are not mentioned. The designations employed and the presentation of material herein do not imply the expression of any opinion on the part of IRENA or WRI concerning the legal status of any region, country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of frontiers or boundaries 12