A GREENER REVOLUTION IN MALAWI

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A GREENER REVOLUTION IN MALAWI Next steps toward soil rehabilitation and productivity SIEG SNAPP Professor, Soils and Cropping Systems Ecologist Department of Plant, Soil and Microbial Sciences (517) 282-5644 snapp@msu.edu

A GREENER REVOLUTION IN MALAWI BACKGROUND Malawi has been heralded as ground zero for a green revolution in Africa. A commitment to agricultural subsidies has substantially increased access of smallholder farmers to modern varieties of maize and inorganic fertilizer. The question is whether this investment has translated into improvements in maize productivity, and in turn, has this led to improvements in food security and acted as an engine of growth for the agricultural sector. There has been considerable research evaluating the impact of subsidies on the agricultural private sector, determining factors that influence the effectiveness of subsidy implementation, and the sustainability of the subsidy (Jayne et al., 2013; Ricker-Gilbert et al., 2013). However, the fundamental issue is soil productivity; indicated by maize response to fertilizer, and the quality and quantity of food, fodder and fuel produced over time. This is at the foundation of sustainability. New evidence shows this is in jeopardy, and Michigan State University proposes interventions for rehabilitation of soil productivity in Malawi. Malawi appears to have reached a tipping point, where soil organic matter (SOM) is below minimum levels. There are multiple lines of evidence that on many farms soil organic matter status has degraded to a level that no longer supports maize growth or responsiveness to fertilizer. The tipping point level for soil organic matter has been proposed to be 1.2% (equivalent to 0.7% organic carbon) based on long-term experiments in West Africa, and this was the same level associated with an on-farm household soil survey carried out recently in Zambia (W. Burke et al., unpublished data). This is lower than the level of soil organic matter associated with poor maize marginal productivity returns to fertilizer across a Kenya chronosequence of smallholder fields (Marenya and Barrett, 2009). That is, soil organic matters levels below 3% were associated with years of continuous crop use, and with very poor maize yield as well as modest yield response to fertilizer. FIGURE 1A. Change in Net Primary Productivity (NPP) over 14 years (2000 2013 NASA MODIS MOD17A3), on agricultural land. 2

WHAT IS THE EVIDENCE FROM MALAWI? 1. Country-wide integrated household surveys provide one set of data. Maize response to fertilizer is much lower than expected. Surveys of tens of thousands of households have documented farmer-reported maize yield gains of about 10 kg grain per kg of fertilizer nutrients applied (Table 1). This is less than half of the expected response, and 20% of typical agronomic trial response (Snapp et al., 2014). 2. At the macro-scale, there is another line of evidence: over a decade of remote-sensing data tracks aboveground biomass productivity on agricultural lands in Malawi. The agricultural lands are dominated by maize, so this provides one measure of maize productivity from 2000 2013. In striking contrast to the expected gains in crop productivity, a steady decline in net primary productivity of agricultural lands has been observed (Figure 1A and Figure 1B; unpublished data, J. Messina et al. 2015). This is despite the major subsidy investments that have been made in Malawi. It is also surprising in view of reported gains in maize yields (FAO crop estimates; Sanchez, 2015). 3. The final line of evidence is from measurement of soil organic carbon status over a 22-year time period. In 1989 and 1990, soil profile characterization was carried out at thousands of sites across Malawi, on natural and agriculturally managed lands. This country-wide sampling grid was revisited over the 2013 and 2014 time period to collect soil samples, record land use, and conduct soil analyses, including soil organic carbon. Laboratory and spatial analyses of the data from the Machinga district in Southern Malawi has been completed. This is the first report from the six districts where the resampling exercise was conducted. A comparison of soil C status in 1990 to that found in 2013 documents declines in soil organic C on the vast majority of the sampled agricultural lands in Machinga (Figure 2; Placid Mpeketula PhD dissertation research). Biophysical properties that we expect to influence soil organic C include topographical position, soil texture, precipitation, temperature and elevation. Beyond these factors, land management is a major factor influencing soil organic C. Land that has been farmed continuously since 1990 has lost 0.3 units of soil C while natural areas have apparently gained modest amounts of soil C over the same time period. This data set provides a unique opportunity to better understand the relationship of land use to soil organic C. Analyses are underway to evaluate the role of land conversion from woodland to crop production and intensification of agricultural use, including the role of continuous cropping. It is urgent to reverse the soil degradation trend in Malawi. Agricultural development will not be successful unless this is addressed, nor will investments in agricultural subsidies achieve returns in a sustainable manner. To build SOM requires sufficient organic matter inputs, particularly from plant roots. About 80% of SOM is derived from roots, and leguminous roots are preferentially converted to SOM (Kong et al., 2005; Kong and Six, 2010; Puget and Drinkwater, 2001). Aboveground biomass such as from crop residues is important for erosion control and as a crop nutrient source, but does not play a major role in building SOM. Animal manure is another important source FIGURE 1B. Net Primary Productivity (NPP) status over 14 years (2000 2013 NASA MODIS MOD17A3), on agricultural land. 3

of organic matter with proven SOM building properties (Snapp et al., 2010b). The vast majority of smallholder farmers in Malawi (85% in one survey) do not have access to livestock manure (Snapp et al., 1998). Disturbance due to tillage is often portrayed as reducing SOM, but recent meta-analyses of hundreds of experimental studies have brought about a paradigm shift in our understanding (Powlson et al., 2014; Ugarte et al., 2014). No-till is consistently associated with increases in soil C at the soil surface (0-5cm), but not lower in the profile, where in fact tillage is consistently associated with increases in soil C lower in the profile (20-30 cm) (Powlson et al., 2014). Reducing disturbance combined with mulch on the soil surface markedly improves water capture and soil productivity but what is key is the presence of organic inputs as a management practice to supports FIGURE 3. Doubled up legume system with groundnut as an gains in soil organic matter (Ugarte et al., 2014). Further, understory and pigeon pea as an intercrop overstory. there is evidence that mixed quality residues with Photo by Jim Richardson biochemistry that includes nitrogen-enriched, labile and recalcitrant compounds from legumes and shrubs are much the most effective means to build SOM (Puget and Drinkwater, 2001; Snapp et al., 1998). In Malawi, sustained effort to improve soil organic C is required, and there is a growing body of evidence that the surest way to achieve this is to promote leguminous plants with life-forms that are shrubby or viney (Table 2). These can provide substantial amounts of biomass over an 8 24 month time period (Snapp et al., 2010a). In comparison, annual food legumes are grown for about four months and have a high harvest index, which minimizes residue biomass as about half the plant is harvested. The aboveground residues produced by leguminous shrubs and vines such as pigeon pea, mucuna, climbing beans and tephrosia are nitrogen-enriched and of mixed quality biochemistry, with 3 to 5 MG biomass per ha (Snapp et al., 1998; 2010a). Root biomass measurements have recently been conducted for pigeon pea grown on over 40 fields in Central Malawi, where biomass ranged from 0.9 to 2.0 MG biomass per ha. This is expected to translate into improved soil organic C, although the variability is high onfarm, and detection of accumulation over time is difficult with the exception of longer-term research station trials where gains of 15% or more have been demonstrated (Beedy et al., 2010; Snapp et al., 2010a). Year Survey N-use Efficiency (kg maize/kg N applied) Reference 2006, 2009, 2010 IHS-II, IHS-III, AISS-I and AISS-II 5.3-8.8 Ivanyna, 2015 2009, 2010 IHS-III, AISS-I and AISS-II 6.6-11.5 Ricker-Gilbert and Jayne, 2011 2006, 2007, 2009 Random sample of 450 farmers in central and southern Malawi 9.0 Holden and Lunduka, 2010 TABLE 1. Nationally representative Malawi household survey data on farmer recall of maize grain yield and inputs applied per plot, used to calculate marginal production response to nitrogen fertilizer. Adapted from Snapp et al, 2014. 4

The benefits of pigeon pea, grown in mixtures with maize or as a doubled up legume system (pigeon pea and an understory of soybean or groundnut), rotated with maize, have been proven in country-wide trials (Snapp et al., 2010a; 2014). The climate resilience gains are particularly marked when maize hybrids are grown with targeted fertilizer, in rotation with doubled up legume and mucuna rotations. This has been shown to not only improve maize fertilizer response by 50% or more, but also to dramatically enhance yield stability. NEXT STEPS Over the long-term, technologies such as residue mulch systems, agroforestry and intensified livestock systems that support manure production are expected to play a role in building soil productivity in Malawi. Knowledge of soil erosion control is also urgently needed, including planting on the contour, building bunds to control water flow and related management practices all require widespread education efforts. These are investments that we recommend the Malawi government extension make a priority, and innovative education approaches such as farmer field school and ICT be pursued. Annual Food Legume Semi-Perennial Food Legume Green Manure Agroforestry Value Soybean Bean Cowpea Groundnut Climbing bean (vine) Pigeon Pea (shrub) Mucuna pruriens (vine) Tephrosia vogelli (shrub) -protein food Poor 1 None Biomass for forage Low Low- - biomass (not animal fodder) Improve soil fertility Low Low- - Good intercrop Low 2 Low 3 Low 2 Established market Variable Low to None None Maturity Period Short Long Long Long Long Labor demand Low Low TABLE 2. Legume life-forms and example species grown in Malawi agriculture and the value of associated products. Adapted from Mhango et al, 2013. 1. Requires extended cooking to detoxify 2. Competition for water is high, particularly by viney growth types 3. Competition for light is high, viney growth type suppresses intercrop 5

To complement these long-term investments, we propose immediate research and extension attention be given to multipurpose legumes such as pigeon pea and climbing bean (as the only food producing and soil building legumes, Table 2). Initial evidence suggests these are promising, economically feasible approaches to building soil organic matter to ensure a response to fertilizer and improved maize seeds. These multipurpose crops we call pulse plus systems, which have been uniquely shown to rehabilitate soils under poorly resourced environments, mitigating risk and enhancing returns to inputs a necessary basis for farmers to adopt intensified production in a highly variable climate. We have fine-tuned pulse plus systems over two decades of research using crop modeling and participatory action research trial conducted country-wide in Malawi (Snapp et al., 2010a; 2014b). Soil carbon measurements have been initiated, but wide spread evaluation of impact on soil properties is urgently required. Curriculum is under development at MSU working closely with LUANAR and University of Malawi, along with Malawi Government Extension. What is needed next is for the curriculum to be taught in university courses, and used as the basis for extension education material that is disseminated through cell phone technical cards, farmer field school training of trainers, to reach agro-input dealers and farmers through country-wide extension demonstrations. This is critical for training the next generation of agricultural scientists, educators and farmer-tofarmer capacity building.u FIGURE 2. Soil carbon status over twenty-three years (1989-1990 FAO soil characterization pits revisited and soil sampled in 2013-2014), at sites that vary in land use from natural vegetation to continuous cropping. 6

REFERENCES Beedy, T.L., S.S. Snapp, F.K. Akinnifesi and G.W. Sileshi. 2010. Long-term impact of Gliricidia sepium intercropping and inorganic fertilizer on soil organic matter fractions in maize-based cropping systems. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 138:139-146. Chikowo, R., Zingore S, Nyamangara J. Bekunda M, Messina J, Snapp S.S. 2014. Approaches to reinforce crop productivity under water-limited conditions in sub-humid environments in Africa. In: Sustainable Intensification to Advance Food Security and Enhance Climate Resilience in Africa (Lal R, Mwase D, Hansen F, Eds). Springer. 235-253pp. Jayne, T.S., D. Mather, N.M. Mason and J. Ricker-Gilbert. 2013. How do fertilizer subsidy programs affect total fertilizer use? A synthesis of evidence on crowding in/out in sub-saharan Africa. Agric. Econ. 44:687-703. Kong, A.Y.Y., J. Six, D.C. Bryant, R.F. Denison, and C. van Kessel. 2005. The relationship between carbon input, aggregation and soil organic carbon stabilization in sustainable cropping systems. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 69:1078-1085. Kong, A.Y.Y., and J. Six. 2010. Tracing root vs. residue carbon into soils from conventional and alternative cropping systems. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 74:1201-1210. Marenya, P.P. and C.B. Barrett. 2009. State-conditional fertilizer yield response on Western Kenyan farms. Amer. J. Agric. Econ. 91:991-1006. Mhango, W. S.S. Snapp and G. Y. Kanyama-Phiri. 2013. Opportunities and constraints to legume diversification for sustainable cereal production on African smallholder farms. Regenerative Agriculture and Food Systems 28:234-244. Ricker-Gilbert, J., N.M. Mason, F.A. Darko and S. T. Tembo. 2013. What are the effects of impact subsidy programs on maize prices? Evidence from Malawi and Zambia. Agric. Econ. 44:671-686. Powlson, D.S., C.M. Stirling, M.L. Jat, B.G. Gerard, C.A. Palm, P.A. Sanchez and K.G. Cassman. 2014. Limited potential of no-till agriculture for climate change mitigation. Nature Climate Change. 4:678-683. DOI: 10.1038/ NCLIMATE2292 Puget, P. and L.E. Drinkwater. 2001. Short-term dynamics of root- and shoot-derived carbon from a leguminous green manure. Soil Sci. Soc. Am. J. 65:771-779. Sanchez, P.A. 2015. En route to plentiful food production in Africa. Nature Plants, 1:1-2 DOI: 10.1038/NPLANTS.2014.14 Snapp, S.S. M.J. Blackie, R.A. Gilbert, R. Bezner-Kerr, and G.Y. Kanyama-Phiri. 2010a. Biodiversity can support a greener revolution in Africa. PNAS 107: 20840-20845. Snapp, S.S., L. Gentry, and R.R. Harwood. 2010b. Management intensity not biodiversity the driver of ecosystem services in a long-term row crop experiment. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 138:242-248. Snapp, S.S., T.S. Jayne, W. Mhango, T. Benson and J. Ricker-Gilbert. 2014. Maize yield response to nitrogen in Malawi s smallholder production systems. Working Paper 9. Malawi Strategy Support Program. IFPRI. Snapp, S.S., P.L. Mafongoya and S. Waddington. 1998. Organic matter technologies to improve nutrient cycling in smallholder cropping systems of Southern Africa. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 71:187-202. Ugrate, C. M., H. Kwon, S.S Andrews, and M.M. Wander. 2014. A meta-analysis of soil organic matter response to soil management practices: An approach to evaluate conservation indicators. J. Soil Water Conserv. 69:422-430. Snapp, S.S., R. Bezner Kerr, A. Smith, M. Ollenburger, W. Mhango, L. Shumba, T. Gondwe and G.Y. Kanyama- Phiri. 2014b. Modeling and participatory, farmer-led approaches to food security in a changing world: a case study from Malawi. Scheresse 24:350-358. 7