Marine Board Spring Meeting April 27, 2011 David M. Kennedy

Marine Board Spring Meeting April 27, 2011 David M. Kennedy

NOS Organization 2

NOAA Next Generation Strategic Plan

National Ocean Policy and Coastal Goal NOAA s Coastal Goal Objectives Resilient coastal communities that can adapt to the impacts of hazards and climate change Comprehensive ocean and coastal planning and management Safe, efficient environmentally sound marine transportation Improved coastal water quality supporting human health and coastal ecosystem services Safe, environmentally sound Arctic access and resource management National Ocean Policy Priority Objectives Resiliency and adaptation to climate change and ocean acidification Coastal and marine spatial planning Ocean, Coastal, and Great Lakes observations, mapping, and infrastructure Water quality and sustainable practices on land Changing conditions in the Arctic: address environmental stewardship needs 4

Coastal Resiliency Infrastructure vulnerability to: Coastal storms, especially hurricanes Storm surge inundation Sea level rise Tsunamis Solutions: Decision-support tools Technical assistance Training Management strategies for adaptation, risk communication, hazard response/recovery

Supporting Safe, Efficient, and Environmentally Sound Marine Transportation Nautical charts GPS reference stations Accurate elevations Sea-level monitoring Real-time ocean information Hydrographic surveys Integrated Ocean Observing System Shoreline mapping Tide and current measurement and prediction Coastal mapping

NOAA s Arctic Vision and Strategy Importance of an Arctic strategy for NOAA Framed around science, national security, and stewardship Need for coordination and collaboration between partners, intended to align with other initiatives Global importance of the Arctic and U.S. need for action 7

NOAA s Arctic Goals Arctic V&S Goal Forecast Sea Ice Strengthen Foundational Science to Understand and Detect Arctic Climate and Ecosystem Changes Improve Weather and Water Forecasts and Warnings Enhance International and National Partnerships Improve Stewardship and Management of Ocean and Coastal Resources in the Arctic Advance Resilient and Healthy Arctic Communities and Economies Purpose Accurate daily to decadal predictions of sea ice for safe Arctic operations and ecosystem stewardship. Improved baseline obs and understanding of Arctic climate ecosystems to reduce uncertainty of changing Arctic impacts. Ensures society can prepare for and respond appropriately to weather-related routine and extreme events. For cooperation and sharing of data, obs platforms, and intellectual resources to achieve Arctic science/ebm goals. Using sound science to support healthy, productive, and resilient ecosystems. Support with improved geospatial infrastructure, safe navigation, oil spill response readiness, and climate change adaption strategies. 8

Resilient and Healthy Arctic Communities and Economies Updating Shoreline Data GRAV-D Data Collection Hydro Survey Plans 9 NWLON Gap Analysis

Partnerships Academic Non-governmental Federal State, local and tribal Industry International

Rising Demand for NOS Services Commerce Coasts Recreation Ecosystems Science Farming Alternative Energy Private Sector

Backup Slides

The U.S. Economy and NOS Activities Coastal areas, including the Great Lakes, account for 156.6 million people and 57% of the U.S. GDP. Coastal tourism and recreation in the U.S. accounts for $70 billion of GDP. The U.S. marine transportation system provides >13 million jobs. 13

Examples of Economic Benefits $2.5 billion in annual economic benefits from the National Spatial Reference System. $14.1 to $15.6 million in annual economic benefit from the Houston-Galveston Bay Physical Oceanographic Real-Time System (PORTS ). $500 million to $1 billion in potential economic benefits from regional ocean observing systems. $437 million recovered for damage assessment. 14

Resilience: Decision Support Tools Multipurpose Marine Cadastre SLOSH Model Digital Coast Sea Level Rise Trend Analysis

Impacts of Climate Change: More intense storms Key impacts: - Ship and ground traffic delays - Economic cost of shipping service disruptions - Evacuations, debris, and infrastructure damage - Port closure Hurricane Ike Hurricane Katrina

Resiliency: Sea Level Rise Trends Key impacts: - Vulnerability of coastal communities and infrastructure - Bridge clearance - Navigation safety

Resilient and Healthy Arctic Communities and Economies Old, Sparse, and Inaccurate Geospatial Infrastructure: Nautical charts Shoreline Geodetic control Tides, water levels, and currents 18

Coastal and Marine Spatial Planning Mapping Multipurpose Marine Cadastre Case studies Technical assistance to coastal professionals

If this is 2011, what is 2031? What are the solutions? Who are you talking to? Designing now to mitigate future problems Must plan now for events in the distant future What does the port look like in fifty years?

Protecting Coastal Communities and Economies Support for coastal management Enhancing coastal resiliency Hazard assessment Oil and hazardous materials spill response Environmental mapping Marine contaminant monitoring Harmful algal bloom and hypoxia monitoring National marine sanctuaries, marine protected areas, and estuarine research reserves

Responding to Climate Change Sea-level rise Climate mitigation strategies Tools and services for coastal communities Climate change education Impacts on coral reefs Understanding threats to and opportunities in the Arctic