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Transcription:

RAILWAYS April 2010

RAILWAYS April 2010 Contents Advantage India Market overview Industry Infrastructure Investments Regulatory framework Opportunities Industry associations 2

ADVANTAGE INDIA Advantage India Indian Railways is the world's fourth-largest rail network, with a total track length of nearly 64,000 km. Indian Railways is a profitable and operationally efficient Public Sector Undertaking (PSU) under the Ministry of Railways, Government of India. Profitable operations One of the largest rail networks in the world Key driver of economic activity The Indian Railways network transports 18 million passengers and more than 2 million tonnes of bulk freight daily. With a workforce of about 1.5 million, Indian Railways is the world s second-largest employer. Catalyst for large-scale employment opportunities Advantage India Significant government investments Promotes national integration Indian Railways closely connects all regions through a single transport network. The Indian Government is planning significant investments for the modernisation and development of India s rail infrastructure. 3

RAILWAYS April 2010 Contents Advantage India Market overview Industry Infrastructure Investments Regulatory framework Opportunities Industry associations 4

MARKET OVERVIEW Market overview With a presence spanning more than 150 years, Indian Railways has played an integral role in the development of India s industrial and economic landscape. In terms of route length, India s rail network is the fourth largest in the world. Indian Railways has a total network of about 64,000 km (route km), spread across 8,000 stations. Indian Railways possesses 225,000 wagons, 45,000 coaches and 8,300 locomotives and operates more than 18,000 trains daily. Indian Railways accounts for 2.3 per cent of the country s GDP. Comparison of rail network with other countries Countries Network length (km) Number of employees United States 226,706 187,000 Russia 84,158 11,28,000 China 63,637 20,67,000 India 63,327 14,06,000 Canada 57,042 34,000 Germany 33,897 2,31,000 France 29,488 1,66,000 South Africa 24,487 36,000 Japan 20,050 1,32,000 Australia 9,639 13,000 Source: White paper on Indian Railways, December 2009, Indian Railways website, http://www.indianrailways.gov.in/deptts/planning/whitepaper/white%20paper_eng_submitted%20to%20parliament.pdf, accessed 24 January 2010. 5

MARKET OVERVIEW Market overview performance of freight and passenger traffic (1/2) Indian Railways transports about 40 per cent of India s total freight traffic and 20 per cent of the country s passenger traffic. The freight segment of Indian Railways accounts for about 70 per cent of overall revenues. Between 2004 and 2009, suburban and nonsuburban traffic increased by 851.95 million and 992.05 million, respectively. From 2008 to 2009, freight traffic recorded an increase of 4.97 per cent over the previous year. Between April and November 2009, freight traffic was recorded at 573.5 million tonnes. In million tonnes 900 700 500 602.12 Growth in freight traffic 666.51 727.75 793.89 833.31 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007 08 2008 09 Source: White paper on Indian Railways, December 2009, Indian Railways website, http://www.indianrailways.gov.in/deptts/planning/whitepaper /White%20Paper_Eng_SUBMITTED%20To%20Parliament.pdf, accessed 24 January 2010. 6

MARKET OVERVIEW Market overview performance of freight and passenger traffic (2/2) Passenger traffic during the same period increased at 6.05 per cent on a year-on-year basis. Between April and November 2009, passenger traffic was recorded at 4,849.8 million. In million 8,500 6,500 4,500 Growth in passenger traffic 6,645.00 5,832.39 6,333.73 5,475.50 7,046.91 2,500 500 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007 08 2008 09 Source: White paper on Indian Railways, December 2009, Indian Railways website, http://www.indianrailways.gov.in/deptts/planning/whitepaper/ White%20Paper_Eng_SUBMITTED%20To%20Parliament.pdf, accessed 24 January 2010. 7

MARKET OVERVIEW Growth drivers Government expenditure on rail infrastructure has increased The government has increased the allocation of funds to Indian Railways to US$ 3.49 billion (INR 167.52 billion) in the budgetary estimates (BE) for 2010 11, indicating a rise of about US$ 0.19 billion (INR 9.5 billion) from the 2009 2010 BE. Private sector s participation in the development of railway infrastructure has increased The private sector s contribution to railway projects has increased from 0.26 per cent in the Tenth Five Year Plan (2002 07) to 19.2 per cent in the Eleventh Five Year Plan (2007 2012). Indian Railways has allowed private sector entities to operate container trains. Till date, concession agreements have been signed with 16 firms for the provision of container services. Freight and passenger traffic have witnessed growth Freight traffic has increased at a CAGR of 8.38 per cent and passenger traffic has increased at a CAGR of 6.26 per cent between 2003 04 and 2008 09. 8

MARKET OVERVIEW Key trends The scope of public private partnerships (PPPs) has increased For the improvement and enhancement of rail infrastructure, the Ministry of Railways has proposed the development of 50 world-class stations on PPP mode. Some of the recent PPP projects undertaken/under implementation include the construction of DFCs, modernisation of metro stations and manufacture of rolling stock including coaches, wagons and locomotives through SPVs. International investment has increased Demand for urban mass transportation has risen Indian Railways has attracted investments from overseas through strategic alliances with various countries across the globe. Bombardier Transportation, a subsidiary of Swiss-based Bombardier Inc, has set up a new facility in Savli, South Gujarat, to cater to orders worth US$137 million secured from the Delhi Metro Rail Corporation (DMRC). Further, the company plans to double its production from January 2010 and aims to introduce eight metro trains (32 metro cars) required for the Delhi Metro project. With demand for urban mass transportation systems in India rapidly increasing, the GoI has introduced a number of Metro rail projects in the country to improve connectivity within cities. Metro projects have already been initiated in Delhi, Kolkata, Bengaluru, Chennai, Hyderabad and Mumbai. Development of Metro projects is now being proposed for cities such as Jaipur, Lucknow, Ludhiana and Kanpur. 9

MARKET OVERVIEW Key trends status of Metro projects in India Name of the project Delhi Mass Rapid Transit System Delhi Metro Phase-II to Gurgaon Cost of the project (US$ billion) Phase I: 2.18 Phase II: 0.11 Length of the project (km) Phase 1: 65.1 Phase II: 121.76 0.32 14.47 July 2010 Kolkata Metro Rail Project 1.01 14.67 2014 15 Bengaluru Metro Rail Project 1.33 33.00 Hyderabad Metro Project 1.58 71.6 Early 2013 Mumbai Metro Project Phase-II 1.59 31.87 2015 Due date of completion Phase I: Commissioned in November 2006 Phase II: Expected to be completed before the Commonwealth Games, scheduled to kick off in October 2010 Due for completion by December 2011, with 7 km expected to be completed in March 2010 Chennai Metro Rail Project 3.04 45.04 Between 2014 and 2015 Source: Ministry of Urban Development FY09 annual report. Note: This is an indicative list. 10

MARKET OVERVIEW Key players Rail projects in India have typically been the domain of the public sector. However, several PSUs and private players are involved in allied activities of Indian Railways (track laying and maintenance, maintenance of coaches and wagons, construction of bridges, stations, signalling and telecommunication works). Company Container Corporation of India Limited Dedicated Freight Corridor Corporation of India Limited Rail Vikas Nigam Limited RailTel Corporation of India Limited Punj Lloyd Gammon Infrastructure Limited Kalindee Rail Nirman Engineers Sources: Relevant company annual reports and websites Note: This is an indicative list. 11 Key projects/services offered The company is setting up a multi-model logistics park (MMLP) in Rajasthan. DFC project Surat Hazira new line (Gujarat); Bharuch Samni Dahej gauge conversion (Gujarat); Delhi Rewari gauge conversion of second line, Rewari Phulera Ajmer gauge conversion Creation of Optical Fibre Cable-based communication infrastructure for train operations Construction of an elevated Metro rail viaduct in Delhi; construction of a 300-km dedicated eastern corridor Partial design and construction of 4.725 km viaduct; East-West corridor for Kolkata Metro Rail Corporation Limited Installation of signalling for doubling of railway line between Gooty- Pullampet section; gauge conversion of VilluPuram-Mayiladuthurai section; installation and commissioning of signalling and telecommunication facilities at NTPC

RAILWAYS April 2010 Contents Advantage India Market overview Industry Infrastructure Investments Regulatory framework Opportunities Industry associations 12

INDUSTRY INFRASTRUCTURE Industry infrastructure (1/2) Rolling stock * Year 2004 05 2005 06 2006 07 2007 08 2008 09 Total Wagons (four-wheeler units) 19,992 18,681 21,933 22,753 24,115 107,474 Diesel multiple units 36 27 57 33 38 191 Electric multiple units (EMUs) 145 176 251 193 535 1,300 Main line electric multiple units (MEMUs) 88 88 64 33 64 337 Coaches 2,623 2,684 2,881 3,101 3,193 14,482 Electric locomotives 90 129 150 200 220 789 Diesel locomotives 121 148 186 222 257 934 13

INDUSTRY INFRASTRUCTURE Industry infrastructure (2/2) On an average, 220 km of new lines are added on an annual basis. Wagons (four-wheeler units) have increased at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.80 per cent over the past five years. Between 2008 and 2009, 797 km of railway lines have been electrified with an investment of US$ 0.16 billion (INR 7.80 billion). Year 2004 05 Growth in fixed infrastructure (in km) 2005 06 Sources: White paper on Indian Railways, December 2009, Indian Railways website, http://www.indianrailways.gov.in/deptts/planning/whitepaper/white%20paper_eng_submitted%20to%20parliament.pdf, accessed 24 January 2010; Railways: Economic Survey 2008-09, Government of India: Union budget and economic survey website, http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2008-09/chapt2009/chap97.pdf, accessed 14 January 2010. * Includes replacement of rolling stock 14 2006 07 2007 08 2008 09 Total New lines 150 180 250 156 357 1,093 Gauge conversion 779 744 1,082 1,549 563 4,717 Doubling 282 231 386 426 363 1,687 Railway electrification 320 170 361 502 797 2,150

INDUSTRY INFRASTRUCTURE Government initiatives the Dedicated Freight Corridors In order to augment capacity and enhance the quality of services, Indian Railways has initiated its most ambitious project the Dedicated Freight Corridors (DFCs). Dedicated Freight Corridor: The Dedicated Freight Corridor Corporation of India Limited, is a special purpose vehicle (SPV) set up under the administrative control of the Ministry of Railways, responsible for implementing the DFC project. The SPV aims at constructing dedicated freight lines along the eastern (Ludhiana to Dankuni) and western sides (Mumbai to Dadri/Tughlakabad) of India, encompassing a length of 3,287 km Total cost of the project is US$ 10.33 billion (INR 496.2 billion). Funds for the project will be arranged through internal generation, domestic/external borrowings and multilateral agencies. Construction work on the DFC has commenced, and the project is scheduled for completion in 2016 17. Source: Railways: Economic Survey 2008-09, Government of India: Union Budget and Economic Survey website, http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2008-09/chapt2009/chap97.pdf, accessed 24 January 2010. 15

INDUSTRY INFRASTRUCTURE Government initiatives other measures (1/2) Freight incentive schemes Indian Railways offers upgrades and frequent traveller schemes to commuters, in order to encourage them to travel via rail. Wagon Investment Scheme Indian Railways launched the Wagon Investment Scheme in 2005 to offer freight rebates and supply a guaranteed number of rakes for a period of seven to 15 years for different types of wagons. Izzat scheme For people working in the unorganised sector and having a monthly income of less than or equal to INR1,500, Indian Railways has launched the Izzat scheme of uniformly priced monthly seasons tickets (MSTs) at INR 25. The issue of MSTs under the Izzat scheme commenced from August 1, 2009. 16

INDUSTRY INFRASTRUCTURE Government initiatives other measures (2/2) Key modernisation initiatives The very small aperture terminal (VSAT) hub system (a two-way satellite ground station) has been installed to ensure rail connectivity in remote areas. Integrated security systems have been implemented in trains and at railway premises. Modern signalling system, a train protection warning system and a special railway safety fund have been introduced for passenger security. E-ticketing and unreserved ticketing services (UTS) have been introduced to facilitate faster and flexible issue of online and unreserved tickets. As of November 2009, UTS were available at 2,911 locations with about 6,239 counters across the country. Automatic ticket vending machines have been installed at 375 locations. Passenger facilities and catering services have also seen improvement. Of the 594 stations identified for upgrade in passenger amenities through the Model Station Scheme, 426 stations have already been modernised. The Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation has been set up to provide catering services, economy hotels and food plazas at major stations. Source: Railways Economic Survey 2008-09 and 2009-10, Government of India: Union Budget and Economic Survey website, http://indiabudget.nic.in/es2008-09/chapt2009/chap97.pdf, accessed 11 March 2010. 17

RAILWAYS April 2010 Contents Advantage India Market overview Industry Infrastructure Investments Regulatory framework Opportunities Industry associations 18

INVESTMENTS Investments According to the Planning Commission s estimates, investment in Indian Railways in the Eleventh Plan is likely to be about US$ 54.54 billion, as compared to US$ 24.93 billion in the Tenth Plan. Projected investment in the Indian Railways during the Eleventh Plan 2007 08 2008 09 2009 2010 2010 11 2011 12 Total Eleventh Plan Rolling stock 67,550 77,860 89,710 103,160 119,010 457,290 Capacity augmentation 65,820 85,060 110,090 142,660 185,060 588,700 Safety and other works 138,740 160,530 185,970 21,5700 250,350 951,290 Investment in PSUs 16,010 17,290 18,670 20,160 21,780 93,900 DFCs 11,310 20,460 37,040 62,940 123,250 255,000 Metro rail projects 42,820 48,430 53,780 59,310 67,570 271,910 Total INR million 342,250 409,640 495,250 603,930 767,010 2,618,080 Total US$ million 7,130.20 8,534.16 10,317.70 12,581.87 15,979.37 54,543.33 Source: Projections of investment in Infrastructure during the Eleventh Plan, Secretariat for Infrastructure, Planning Commission website, www.infrastructure.gov.in/pdf/inv_projection.pdf, accessed 26 January 2010. 19

RAILWAYS April 2010 Contents Advantage India Market overview Industry Infrastructure Investments Regulatory framework Opportunities Industry associations 20

POLICY AND REGULATORY FRAMEWORK Regulatory framework Indian Railways is a department, which is owned and controlled by the Ministry of Railways, Government of India. Indian Railways is divided into 16 zonal offices, each of which is divided into 68 divisions. The Railways Board administers the Indian Railways operations and project management. 21

RAILWAYS April 2010 Contents Advantage India Market overview Industry Infrastructure Investments Regulatory framework Opportunities Industry associations 22

OPPORTUNITIES Opportunities (1/3) The provision of rail connectivity to special economic zones (SEZs) can create significant potential The government is planning to provide rail and port connectivity to enhance the competitiveness of SEZs. The government also foresees tremendous potential in joint venture partnerships and strategic alliances for linking SEZs to railheads and ports. Government investments are creating significant construction opportunities for companies The government is planning substantial investments in the Indian Railways to modernise India s rail infrastructure, thereby creating avenues for growth for companies involved in the manufacture of wagons and coaches and construction of bridges and stations. The government has proposed the development of 50 world-class stations in the recent Budget 2009 2010. The government also plans to set up a new factory at the Kanchrapara-Halisahar railway complex to manufacture EMU/MEMU/Metro coaches. 23

OPPORTUNITIES Opportunities (2/3) Private sector participation has increased According to Planning Commission s estimates, investments in Indian Railways during the Eleventh Plan is likely to be US$ 54.5 billion, of which 19.2 per cent is expected to be contributed by the private sector. The DFC project offers significant potential for PPPs in the form of a build, operate and transfer (BOT)-annuity contract package. Further, the development of MMLP and rail-side warehouses and the construction of rails over bridges also present investment opportunities to private players. New projects are in the pipeline The government also plans to set up new passenger terminals in the metros to meet the increasing requirements of passenger traffic and the ever-increasing demand for trains. 24

OPPORTUNITIES Opportunities (3/3) Freight traffic has tremendous growth potential The freight component of the Indian Railways includes nine commodities coal, iron and steel, iron ore (both for export and domestic steel plants), other raw material for steel plants, cement, food grain, fertiliser, petroleum products and container traffic. The rise in the freight business of the Indian Railways is directly proportional to an increase in demand for such commodities. 25

RAILWAYS April 2010 Contents Advantage India Market overview Industry Infrastructure Investments Regulatory framework Opportunities Industry associations 26

INDUSTRY ASSOCIATIONS Industry associations Ministry of Railways Rail Bhavan, New Delhi Website: www.indianrailways.gov.in Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation Ltd 9th Floor, Bank of Baroda Building, 16, Parliament Street, New Delhi 110001. Phone: 011-23311263/64 Fax: 011-23311259 27

INDUSTRY ASSOCIATIONS Note Wherever applicable, numbers in the report have been rounded off to the nearest whole number. Conversion rate used: US$ 1= INR 48 28

RAILWAYS April 2010 DISCLAIMER India Brand Equity Foundation ( IBEF ) engaged Ernst & Young Pvt Ltd to prepare this presentation and the same has been prepared by Ernst & Young in consultation with IBEF. All rights reserved. All copyright in this presentation and related works is solely and exclusively owned by IBEF. The same may not be reproduced, wholly or in part in any material form (including photocopying or storing it in any medium by electronic means and whether or not transiently or incidentally to some other use of this presentation), modified or in any manner communicated to any third party except with the written approval of IBEF. This presentation is for information purposes only. While due care has been taken during the compilation of this presentation to ensure that the information is accurate to the best of Ernst & Young and IBEF s knowledge and belief, the content is not to be construed in any manner whatsoever as a substitute for professional advice. Ernst & Young and IBEF neither recommend nor endorse any specific products or services that may have been mentioned in this presentation and nor do they assume any liability or responsibility for the outcome of decisions taken as a result of any reliance placed on this presentation. Neither Ernst & Young nor IBEF shall be liable for any direct or indirect damages that may arise due to any act or omission on the part of the user due to any reliance placed or guidance taken from any portion of this presentation. 29