Conditions for Project Success: Economic and Social Feasibility of PES. Michael Richards

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Conditions for Project Success: Economic and Social Feasibility of PES Michael Richards Training Workshop on Payments for Ecosystem Services (PES) and Reducing Emissions from Deforestation and Forest Degradation (REDD+) 8 August 2011

Ideal Conditions for PES ES supply threat - demand Willingness and capacity to pay Resource management actions can address supply problem Policy, legal & governance framework, especially compliance Clear land tenure and ES property rights Low land use opportunity costs Strong participation and social benefits Support from honest brokers

Some common pitfalls of PES projects Overestimation of gross revenue: demand, price & volume Underestimation of costs, especially transaction costs Weak understanding of opportunity costs Poor understanding of additionality (especially carbon) Weak impact assessment and monitoring Ignoring better ways of achieving environmental objectives

Financial Feasibility of Ecosystem Service Provision Net financial value = sale price less project transaction & implementation costs Compare to land use opportunity cost (+ profit) Resource managers: return to labour and/or capital (resource scarcity?) Effect on risk? Cost of alternative source of ES Pricing of similar deals

Transaction Costs Caused by risk or uncertainty need to mitigate or prevent risks Currently high since legal, policy & institutional framework weak or evolving Scale is vital - aggregation strategy if lots of small suppliers Red tape Build on existing projects/institutions Cost-sharing, e.g., partnership between private/state/local actors Good practice project cycle management especially M & E

PES Projects need Honest Brokers to: Assess ecosystem service products and values Help write project proposal (PDD) Establish relationships and rapport with potential buyers Ensuring contract is in sellers best interests (negotiate it?) Provide risk management advice / services Help ensure equity and other positive social impacts Support validation against Standards

REDD Opportunity Scoping Exercise -ROSE What is ROSE? Tool to prioritize types of REDD+ projects - prefeasibility analysis Expert workshop followed by research of key legal and policy constraints to project development ROSE studies conducted in Ghana, Tanzania and Uganda

ROSE expert workshop 2-3 day meeting of 15-20 experts from range of sectors and institutions Not a representative group of stakeholders not appropriate for community representatives

ROSE stages Define REDD+ project types Decide criteria Score or rank project types against criteria Identify highest potential project types Brainstorm legal, policy and institutional constraints Brainstorm responses to constraints Brainstorm potential project sites Research study into legal and policy constraints Write integrated ROSE report

Define REDD+ project types Combination of: ecosystem type land tenure and institutional basis main deforestation or degradation threats For example: Tanzania: miombo woodland under Community Based Forest Management in Morogoro region with charcoal and farming as main threats Uganda: well-stocked tropical high forest under Collaborative Forest Management and where illegal logging is the main threat

Criteria participants should decide about 10 Level of deforestation threat (additionality) Opportunity cost of alternative land use Clarity of carbon property rights (tree tenure) Security/clarity of land tenure Size of forest areas/ aggregation potential Biomass or carbon level of forest Poverty reduction or community benefits Potential for replicability or scaling up Governance issues Others

Uganda ROSE 7 high potential project types Ecosystem type Institutional-tenure basis Main DD driver(s) Tropical high forest Nature Reserves/National Parks Unregulated pit sawing (well-stocked) Private, CFM Unregulated pit sawing, farming Tropical high forest Collaborative Res. Manag., private Pit sawing, agric./grazing (low-stocked) Customary/communal Agriculture, firewood & poles Collaborative forest management Agriculture, logging Woodland Community Wildlife Areas, private Charcoal, grazing, agriculture Customary/Communal Charcoal, agriculture

Social Feasibility - participation is in project self-interest Environmental goals depend on social feasibility Participation: local knowledge in project design; ownership support; leakage mitigation Free, Prior and Informed Consent (FPIC) increasingly demanded Market access via CCB and other multiple benefit standards Ethical/legal: complying with international laws and conventions Reduced transaction costs Publicity (PR)

UN Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples Full participation in all project stages Respect for rights of autonomy and self-determination Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC) Customary management practices on traditional lands

Free, Prior, and Informed Consent (FPIC) CONSENT: Communities right to give or withhold consent to measures affecting their lives, resources, livelihoods, etc. FREE: independent of project influence PRIOR: before any project implementation INFORMED: Communities must be provided with: project information in native language independent legal and technical advice ex-ante social impact assessment

Some Challenges for FPIC Who has right to give consent? (can be unclear) Cost Time Independent information and advice Community representatives how representative? Difficulty of consent to uncertain outcomes

Resources on Carbon Project Feasibility/Standards Verified Carbon Standard (VCS) www.v-c-s.org The Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) http://cdm.unfccc.int/reference/index.html The Katoomba Incubator: Feasibility Assessments http://www.katoombagroup.org/incubator/resources.php ROSE: http://www.foresttrends.org/documents/files/doc_2431.pdf USAID Forest Carbon Calculator Tool http://winrock.stage.datarg.net/m3/carbonreporting/welcome The Climate, Community, and Biodiversity (CCB) Standards http://www.climate-standards.org/ Guidance for forest carbon (REDD+) projects: http://forest-trends.org/publications/building_forest_carbon_projects

Asante sana! Questions and Discussion Michael Richards The Katoomba Incubator mrichards@forest-trends.org www.forest-trends.org