Twin hub. Intermodal rail freight Twin hub Network North West Europe

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Twin hub Intermodal rail freight Twin hub Network North West Europe Ekki Kreutzberger and Rob Konings Twin hub network: an innovative concept to boost competitiveness of intermodal rail transport to the hinterland, 6 and 7 February, Amsterdam Research Institute OTB

Content of presentation General intermodal challenge The bundling challenge Twin hub concept Promising Twin hub networks Twin hub project The Rotterdam bundle challenge 2

Challenge (intermodal) transport 3

Intermodal rail transport is highly relevant High growth rates of freight transport (50% between 2000 and 2020) Impossible to accommodate growth mainly by truck transport (current share is about 75% in the EU) Rail transport is relatively? sustainable (e.g. climate, pollution, noise, accidents, infrastructure, space) Societal aims: increase share intermodal rail and barge transport In Rotterdam the aim is to increase rail share from 11% to 20% in 2033. In Antwerp to 15% in 2020. Commercial aims: Intermodal rail transport is a growth market for the railway sector 4

Intermodal rail transport is only modestly competitive Growth share intermodal rail transport is hampering Good quality only (according to the European project IQ): In corridors with large flows From and to large nodes In some well organized regions Rail is typically chosen because of low costs, but numerous railway companies / intermodal rail operators cannot cover their costs Capacity restrictions in rail network at large nodes, in large seaports in particular 5

Relevance of the performances 6

Conclusion for intermodal transport: Operational improvements Continuously in search for appropriate innovations: Network design (mainly services): Bundling of rail flows Train roundtrips Pre- and post-haulage Spatial organization (locations of terminals and customers) Node design (services and infrastructure) Vehicle design Business and organisational design 7

The bundling challenge 8

Basic bundling choices Many intermodal rail flows are too small for direct train services also from and to large nodes Complex bundling is required for many relations A C LEGEND: Direct bundling Partially loaded trains Fully loaded trains Begin-and-end-terminal Kreutzberger, 1998 Complex bundling B A B D Detour and perhaps local rail transport Detour and perhaps local rail transport C A C Higher loading degree Transhipment or other type of exchange Higher loading degree Transhipment or other type of exchange More end terminals D B D 9

Relevance of the performances Larger trainloads -> lower costs per load unit (most important for train costs) Costs per LU (Euro) 1800 1600 1400 1200 1000 800 600 400 200 100 percent 90 percent 80 percent 70 percent 60 percent 50 percent 40 percent 0 100m 200m 300m 400m 500m 600m 700m Length of train (m) Higher frequencies -> lower costs of shipper: E.g. interest costs for goods in circulation Storage costs at the shippers locations Higher network connectivity -> shorter distances pre- and post-haulage -> lower door-to-door costs More efficient use of infrastructure -> less land use and lower infrastructure and hence transport costs per load unit 10

Basic bundling choices Direct Hub-and-spoke Line Fork Trunk-feeder network network network network network (= BE network) (= HS network) (= L network) (= TCD network) (= TF network) Source: Kreutzberger, 2008 Only trunk rail network Trunk rail and local rail network (with full trainloads) (with full and small trainloads) 11

The advantages of HS bundling HS network: larger trainloads * Direct network Hub-and-spoke network HS network: higher transport frequencies * Direct network Hub-and-spoke network Begin End Begin Hub End terminals terminals terminals terminals Begin End Begin Hub End terminals terminals terminals terminals HS network: smaller transport network volumes required * Direct network Hub-and-spoke network * Than in direct network Begin End Begin Hub End terminals terminals terminals terminals Source: Kreutzberger, 2011 12

Physical choices within HS networks Shunting of wagons (formerly including containers) Crane transhipment of containers at a terminal Megahub Antwerp Source: Interferryboats, 2004 13

Physical choices for HS bundling Exchanging single wagons on gravity shunting yard is relative expensive and time consuming Exchanging wagon groups on flat (or gravity) shunting yard is acceptable for costs and time, but only suitable for flows which are large enough to fill a wagon group Transhipping load units at true hub terminal is acceptable for costs and time and also suitable for smaller flow sizes than required in wagon group trains 14

Twin hub concept 15

Twin hub concept Bundle rail flows of Rotterdam and Antwerp and of smaller seaports Transport Dutch load units in Antwerp trains wherever they have or could have a strong market position Transport Belgian load units in Rotterdam trains wherever they have or could have a strong market position Complementary corridors in acknowledgement of seaport competition Move load units between inland terminals and different ( west ) seaports in the same train Organize such bundling by means of hub-and-spoke- (= HS-) networks Two hubs, in regions Antwerp and Rotterdam (= gravity points of flows) The Twin hub concept enlarges the service area of each hub increasing the advantages of HS bundling 16

Twin hub concept LEGEND = terminal = hub terminal Antwerp = hub terminal Rotterdam = services via hub Antwerp = services via hub Rotterdam = services beyond NWE 17

Twin hub concept Train services via hub Rotterdam Amsterdam Train services via hub Rotterdam Amsterdam Rotterdam Rotterdam Vlissingen Moerdijk Moerdijk Vlissingen Zeebrugge Antwerp Zeebrugge Antwerp Train services via hub Antwerp Amsterdam Train services via hub Antwerp Amsterdam Rotterdam Rotterdam Moerdijk Vlissingen Moerdijk Vlissingen Zeebrugge Antwerp Zeebrugge Antwerp LEGEND= train services to/from European inland terminals 18

Twin hub concept Avoid inefficient types of operations. Therefore: Each train and load unit only visits 1 hub No exchange of single wagons. Instead: Rail-rail transshipment of load units between trains Exchange of wagon groups between trains No local trains with relative small trainloads 19

Twin hub concept Twin hub: Cooperation between competitors seaports countries rail operators Currently: Intermodal hub-and-spoke bundling by train is typically restricted to: seaports within 1 country 1 rail firm or family of rail firms Twin hub: open to new actors to participate 20

Twin hub project 21

Twin hub project Lasts almost 4 years Budget more than 5,5 million Euros Partners: 4 universities 4 rail operators 2 seaports 3 consultants Advisory group Four work packages: 1) Identification of promising Twin hub networks 2) Business plan pilot, pilot, monitoring pilot, innovative booking system 3) Twin hub infrastructure on the long term 4) Societal benefits 22

Identification of Twin hub networks 23

Approaches to identify promising Twin hub networks 1. On the basis of flows (combination of flows) (TU Delft) 2. On the basis of a new bundling tool (cost minimization) (TU Delft) 3. On the basis of the Euro Terminal model (VUB, Brussels) 4. Modal shift analysis for (1) and (2) 24

Bundling of flows in the terminal-terminal matrix Bundling in the hinterland (e.g. L bundling) * The flows in this table are fictive ones. Pink cell = reference flow. Day A/B is to say that the train arrives at the end terminal on the day after departure. 25

Bundling of flows in the terminal-terminal matrix Bundling in 1 seaport (e.g. HS bundling) (in case of only 2 rail also L bundling is possible, as in current operations) * The flows in this table are fictive ones. Pink cell = reference flow. Day A/B is to say that the train arrives at the end terminal on the day after departure. 26

Bundling of flows in the terminal-terminal matrix Twin hub bundling: Of flows of several seaports plus UK (not shown here) * The flows in this table are fictive ones. Pink cell = reference flow. Day A/B is to say that the train arrives at the end terminal on the day after departure. 27

Concrete identification of promising Twin hub networks Criterion: 3 departures per week and direction 600m train length 20,000 TEU or more per year in two directions, of which at least 6,500 TEU in the minor direction To be achieved by e.g. loading degrees of 90% in one and 60% in the other direction 28

Regions that can be served by Twin hub services (in 1.000 TEU) between seaports Rotterdam / Antwerp and Germany / Czech republic / Poland, 2010 Bron: Konings e.a., 2012 29

Regions that can be served by Twin hub services (in 1.000 TEU) between seaports Rotterdam / Antwerp / Greater London and Germany / Czech republic / Poland, 2010 Bron: Konings e.a., 2012 30

Conclusions Twin hub network: First steps to identify promising Twin hub networks seem to confirm: Twin hub networks allows to access more inland-terminals by bundling Rotterdam en Antwerp flows, which otherwise will go by road (increase of network connectivity) Twin hub network increases size of trainloads Twin hub network increases service frequency All to be confirmed by cost optimization models and to be proven in the project pilot 31

The Rotterdam bundle challenge 32

Bundling challenge in seaports Rotterdam Increasing number of rail terminals (within and outside of MV 2) L bundling not sufficient to integrate flows to trainloads Solutions: barge, feeder train, hub-and-spoke bundling (= HS) HS is very promising, especially based on hub terminal But Rotterdam has no hub terminal Antwerp Missing rail links to reach the seaport Smaller seaports Get attached tot the train services of the large seaports By barge and by rail (multi-destination trains to the hub terminals of the large seaports) 33

Potential locations hub terminal for Rotterdam flows MAASVLAKTE Corridor neutral hub, periphery KIJFHOEK Corridor neutral hub, centre VALBURG Corridor specific hub MOERDIJK Corridor neutral hub, periphery ANTWERP Corridor specific hub DUISBURG Corridor specific hub 34

Criteria to analyse potential hub locations Corridor neutral: -> bundling easier than corridor specific -> outplacement of port functions easier than corridor specific -> useful for other seaports, contrary to corridor specific Periphery (e.g. Moerdijk) -> less optimal than centre Periphery (Mvt): -> only suitable for bundling of Mvt flows (= future maybe 80% of all Rotterdam flows), contrary to centre 35

Questions? 36