The Future of HealthCare Information Technology

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HST.921 / HST.922 Information Technology in the Health Care System of the Future, Spring 2009 Harvard-MIT Division of Health Sciences and Technology Course Directors: Dr. Steven Locke, Dr. Bryan Bergeron, Dr. Daniel Sands, and Ms. Mirena Bagur The Future of HealthCare Information Technology John P. Glaser, PhD Vice President and CIO Partners HealthCare March 5, 2009

Three Major Components of the Future Interoperable electronic health records Personalized medicine Connected care

Scope of the Outpatient Care Problem For Every: 1000 patients coming in for outpatient care 1000 women with a marginally abnormal mammogram 1000 patients who qualified for secondary prevention of high cholesterol There Appear to Be: 14 patients with life-threatening or serious ADEs 360 who will not receive appropriate follow-up care 380 will not have a LDL-C, within 3 years, on record

Impact of LMR Results Manager Physician Users 355 Physician rating (1=Strongly agree, 5 = Strongly disagree) care improvement Physician rating Reduce malpractice 2.1 Physician rating Useful 1.9 Critically abnormal results highlighted per month 120 Sub-critical abnormal results highlighted per month 600 1.8 CIO Magazine Awards Submission, Partners, 2006

A Problematic Medication Order

Serious Medication Error Rates Before and After CPOE Events/1000 Patient-days 12 10 8 6 4 2 Delta = -55% p <.01 Phase I Phase II 0 Serious Medication Errors Bates, Effect of Computerized Physician Order Entry and a Team Intervention on Prevention of Serious Medication Errors JAMA 1998.

The Impact of Clinical Data Exchanges Could be Significant Nationwide implementation of standardized healthcare information exchange could: Save $337B over ten years Achieve breakeven during year five of implementation At steady state, net benefit is estimated to be: Providers $34B Radiology Centers $8B Payers $22B Pharmacies $1B Laboratories $13B Public Health $0.1B Source: Center for Information Technology Leadership, Partners HealthCare, 2004.

EHR Return on Investment More Effective 1 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 EMR Investment $40,700 $5,700 $5,700 $5,700 $5,700 Savings/Opportunities 2 $11,498 $22,995 $22,995 $22,995 $22,995 Net -$29,202 $17,295 $17,295 $17,295 $17,295 Cumulative Net -$29,202 -$11,907 $5,388 $22,683 $39,978 Less Effective 1 Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 EMR Investment $40,700 $5,700 $5,700 $5,700 $5,700 Savings/Opportunities 2 $6,325 $12,650 $12,650 $12,650 $12,650 Net -$34,375 $6,950 $6,950 $6,950 $6,950 Cumulative Net -$34,375 -$27,425 -$20,475 -$13,525 -$6,575 1 More effective model uses top documented physician savings/opportunities; less effective model achieves least savings/opportunities 2 Only half of benefits achieved in first year

EHR Benefits Increased billing capture 14% Decreased billing errors 13% Chart pull savings 5% Transcription savings 5% ADE prevention 15% Radiology savings 15% Lab savings 4% Drug savings 29% Wang, et. al. A Cost-Benefit Analysis for Ambulatory-Care Electronic Medical Records in Primary Care. American Journal of Medicine 2003

EHR Physician Satisfaction 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% I I am better able to provide high quality care than with paper records 42% 36% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% This EMR has reduced my risk of making errors 47% 30% 20% 15% 30% 20% 25% 22% 10% 0% Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree 3% 2% N/A 10% 0% Strongly Agree 1% Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree 4% N/A 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 23% This EMR has reduced the amount of paperwork that I do 30% 30% 14% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 23% 48% This EMR fits well into my clinical workflow 21% 10% 0% Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree 2% N/A 10% 0% Strongly Agree 6% Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree 1% N/A

US EMR Adoption Courtesy of The Commonwealth Fund. Used with permission.

Effectiveness of Use

Regional Interoperability Efforts are Struggling

American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 $31B in physician and hospital financial incentives for EHR adoption $40K to $60K/physician $2M-$11M/hospital Incentives require meaningful use eprescribing Clinical data exchange Quality measures reporting $300M for states to develop interoperability and adoption plans Loans/grants for physicians to cover EHR costs Health Information Extension Program to provide adoption assistance for small physician practices and hospitals

Clinical and Research Questions Research Why do some patients with asthma respond to steroid treatment while others do not? Why does a mutation in Huntington s gene cause a lethal defect? Why do some patients with diabetes have few complications even with poor control whereas others with good control have severe complications? Clinical Can I lower my cholesterol by diet alone of should I start on an anti-cholesterol drug now? Will a third line anti-cancer drug be more effective as a first line drug with a patient with lung cancer?

A Vision for Personalized Medicine EHR with clinical decision support Genomic research with high capacity IT Integrated genomic and phenotypic data repository Facilitated translational research leading to Diagnostic discovery Drug development Improved individualized medicine & pre / post symptomatic disease management

Informatics for Integrating Biology and the Bedside (I2B2)

i2b2 Hive

Extraction of Structure from Notes

Tissue Sample Collection Courtesy of Dana-Farber Cancer Institute. Used with permission.

Costs of High Throughput Clinical Research

Post Market Medication Surveillance Source: Brownstein, J. S. et al. The Tell-Tale Heart: Population-Based Surveillance Reveals an Association of Rofecoxib and Celecoxib with Myocardial Infarction. PLoS ONE 2(9): e840. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0000840. 2007 Brownstein et al; license CC BY.

Underlying Drivers Point to Accelerated Growth Cost / Base Pair 1 1995 0.1 1998 0.01 0.001 0.0001 2005 Images removed due to copyright restrictions: Cover of Nature 437 (27 October 2005): The HapMap Project. Photo of a gene chip device. 0.00001 0.000001 2010 ~$1,000 Genome 0.0000001 2015 Values in chart are approximately sourced from: Chan, E. Y. Advances in sequencing technology. Mutation Research 57 (2005): 13-40.

Significant Growth in Genetic Tests 1,300 1,200 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 Diseases for which testing is available 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Figure by MIT OpenCourseWare. See Hudson, K., et al. "Oversight of US Genetic Testing Laboratories." Nature Biotechnology 24 (2006): 1083-1090. Data from Gene Tests database, 2005, http://www.genetests.org.

Clinician Systems Enterprise Service Bus From PGP LMR Decision Support Event/Workflow Engine Patient Data Warehouse CPOE Patient Genome Browser Genetics Runtime Services Data Access Assessment Engine Knowledge Access Result Receiver Master Order Catalog Genetic Test Coverage PEPR Family History, Genetic-based Problems To Pt Data Warehouse PEAR Genetic-based Drug Allergies CDR Genetic Test Reports State Mgmt. Genetic Assessments GMR Genetic Markers Bus. Rules Mgmt. Sys. GVIE Genetics Reference & Authoring Svcs. Gene Insight Ensemble VariantWire Patient Genetic Profile

Personalized Medicine Adoption Challenges Medical science Clinical guidelines Retrofitting electronic health records Reimbursement Provider/patient education Privacy

Access to Your Medical Record

Courtesy of American TeleCare. Used with permission.

Dermatology e-visit Screenshot and photo of RelayHealth removed due to copyright restrictions. See http://www.relayhealth.com.

Web 2.0 Patient Communities Courtesy of PatientsLikeMe. Used with permission.

Summary Responding to the needs of the healthcare sector will require that we focus on the following IT capabilities: Interoperable electronic health records Personalized medicine Connected care We have some challenges and issues to address. However, the progress of the last five years should encourage us.

MIT OpenCourseWare http://ocw.mit.edu HST.921 / HST.922 Information Technology in the Health Care System of the Future Spring 2009 For information about citing these materials or our Terms of Use, visit: http://ocw.mit.edu/terms.