Analysis of Project Management Survey Data

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September 4, 2002 Analysis of Project Management Survey Data This preliminary analysis was performed by Glenn Black, Associate with Process Quality Associates Inc. based upon data supplied by Mr. Xxxxxx, Project Manager, Xxxx Xxxxxxxx, Cape Town, South Africa on Sept. 3 rd, 2002. 1. Executive Overview a. If these survey results are typical for all project management areas within Xxxx Xxxxxxxx, then Xxxx Xxxxxxxx s system is Fair (overall score of 69%) in project management excellence. b. While 1980's were about Quality, the 1990's were about mergers, acquisitions, and globalization. c. PQA predicts the 2000 decade will probably be defined by velocity. While most organizations are operating at a JIT Velocity Factor of between 30 to 60, the world-class organizations have achieved a level of 2 to 3. d. Project Management (PM), engineering, and order entry/production scheduling systems can have a significant effect on these JIT Velocity Factors. Some organizations have been successful in improving PM velocity by 10% to as high as 50%. e. To further improve the current project management system, it is recommended that the following six areas be the focus for further development and improvement: i. Lack of measurement systems and tracking can allow a project to wander at great cost. (Question # 5, 9, 31). ii. iii. Launching of projects, understanding the stakeholders and all their needs, and the stated/implied constraints needs better control (Question # 13, 21, 30, 54, 59, 68) People see the current system as too much of the wrong bureaucracy (too

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 2 of 12 much in some areas, too little in others, people interact in a free spirit and a somewhat un-coordinated way) (Question # 51, 75, 76, 96). iv. Calculate your JIT Velocity Factor for the overall organization, and the impact of PM on that Factor. Take appropriate actions to improve. v. Investigate CCPM when Sr. Management and the project team members are both ready to get serious about projects. Currently, there is inadequate motivation to achieve optimum project results (based on these survey results). vi. Awareness training on CCPM may help Xxxx Xxxxxxxx achieve the necessary critical mass necessary to launch a CCPM implementation. 2. Analysis a. Figure 1 shows the frequency distribution for the frequency of occurrence of the various Project Management Undesireable Effects (PMUE s). The mode (most frequently occurring score) is a score of 3 which is Significant negative effects when compared to most organizations. b. Figure 2 shows the frequency distribution for the severity scores of the various Project Management Undesireable Effects (PMUE s). This defines how badly that PMUE disturbs the normal PM system, the deliverables, and the expectations of the various stakeholders (ie. customers, employees, suppliers, etc.) The mode (most frequently occurring score) is a score of 3 which is Significant negative effects. c. Figure 3 shows the overall satisfaction raw scores for the various PMUE s. As can be seen, the maximum score observed was 12 (out of a maximum possible of 25), the minimum is 4 (the absolute minimum possible is 1.0), the mode is 9, and the average is 8.36. There is significant variability in the individual scores (ie. Coefficient of Variation is 27.5%, suggesting that there are a number of clear focal points for improvement). This distribution would generally be considered stunted (ie. Abnormally narrow), which would be expected if these were averaged scores, or people were somewhat ambivalent, jaded, or no longer care (ie. Everything trends to average ). This bears further investigation.

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 3 of 12 The overall satisfaction score is 69.3% which is Fair. d. Figure 4 shows the Box & Whisker plots for the Occurrence scores in the 7 subfamilies involved in Project Management. Note that while all families have the same mean scores, while Output and Environment have the least variability, The Family Inputs has the greatest variability. e. Figure 5 shows the distribution of Severity scores for the 7 Project Management families. Again, the Inputs family has significant variation, while all the other factors have minimal distributions, but do have outliers. Since there are no 5" scores (ie. Stunted distribution), the 4" scores should be investigated as significant risks in the PM system. f. Figure 6 shows the distribution of the overall satisfaction scores for the 7 different Families that make up Project Management. Note again, that all factors have the same median value of 9. Again, this is an abnormal, stunted distribution and symmetry. It appears it may be group think or politically incorrect to answer anything but median answers. g. Figure 7 shows the family of distributions for the various frequency of occurrence scores. There is insufficient variability in the data (ie. Stunted distributions) to draw many conclusions. However, there is clearly a skewed distribution for the Occurrence Frequency Score of 2 (ie. The thin blue cross is the average value, the centre of the median notch in the bar shows the median value. The long tail of the distribution is at the low Severity scores end of the distribution). This tends to suggest that for Xxxx Xxxxxxxx, there are many more high severity risks than low severity risks within the PM system. This is an uncommon situation, and bears further investigation. If this data are universally true at Xxxx Xxxxxxxx (an abnormal or unusual situation), this represents a quantum increase in the overall PM system risk, and should therefore be assessed for system modification possibilities, or at least be managed more closely than other organizations with the opposite skewing of distributions (the normal, expected situation). 3. Opportunity for Improving a. Due to the generally stunted distributions, there is some doubt on the interpretation of the data. b. Assuming the answers given are representative of the entire PM system, there is

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 4 of 12 minimal driving force for change. All that can be probably accomplished is small changes and improvements on the edges of the system. Unless employees, stakeholders, and customers are currently highly motivated, and world-class orientated workers, attempts at significant change in the PM system will probably be resisted or ignored. c. If management is able to show stakeholders that there are significant benefits to be achieved in better PM, or that it is politically correct to discuss PM system problems, then there may be opportunities to improve the PM systems and the overall results currently achieved. For further analysis, training, or implementation assistance, feel free to contact Process Quality Associates Inc. at +1 (519) 667-1720 (Toll Free 1-800-837-7046), or e-mail pqa@pqa.net. Feel free to visit our Critical Chain Project Management website at http://www.pqa.net/ccpm/w05001001.html for more information on this powerful tool.

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 5 of 12 Yours truly, Glenn Black B.A.Sc. P.Eng. CQE CQA President Process Quality Associates Inc. GB:ad 02BR04001B02.wpd

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 6 of 12 80 Histogram for Occurrence Scores frequency 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 Rarely Continuously Occurrence Scores Figure 1 Histogram of Occurrence Scores

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 7 of 12 80 Histogram for Severity Scores frequency 60 40 20 0 1 2 3 4 5 Inconsequential Severity Score Critical Figure 2 Histogram of Severity Scores

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 8 of 12 60 50 Histogram for Score frequency 40 30 20 10 0 0 5 10 15 20 25 No problem Score Severe Problems Figure 3 Frequency Histogram of Overall Priority Score

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 9 of 12 Occurrence Scores Box-and-Whisker Plot Family Input Resources Methods People Outputs Environment Measurements 1 2 3 4 5 Rarely Occurrence Scores Continuously Figure 4 Box & Whisker Plot of Occurrence Scores for the 7 Project Management Families

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 10 of 12 Severity Box-and-Whisker Plot Family Inputs Resources Methods People Outputs Environment Measurements 1 2 3 4 5 Inconsequential Severity Score Critical Figure 5 Box & Whisker Plot of Severity Score for the Project Management Families

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 11 of 12 Satisfaction Scores (Box-and-Whisker Plot) Family Inputs Resources Methods People Outputs Environment Measurement 1 6 11 16 21 26 Excellent Poor Score Figure 6 Box & Whisker Plot of Overall Satisfaction with the 7 Families for Current Project Management System

Analysis of Project Management Survey Data Page 12 of 12 Rarely Box-and-Whisker Plot Occurrence Scores 2 3 4 Usually 1 2 3 4 5 Inconsequential Severity Scores Critical Figure 7 Box & Whisker Plot for Occurrence Frequency Scores vs. Severity Scores