Competition Policy Monopoly Competition Other. Bundling. Patrick Legros

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Transcription:

Bundling Patrick Legros / 33

Introduction Sale of two or more products in fixed (or variable) combination Related to tie-in-sales (can buy 2 only if already bought ) hardware-software, printer-ink, tv-channels, restaurant-menus, libraries-portfolio subscriptions Pure (only the bundle is sold) vs. mixed bundling (the individual components and the bundle are sold). Variations premium: buy bundle at a higher price, e.g. open source software vs. commercial packages cross-couponing: buy and get a coupon to buy 2 at a lower price 2 / 33

Cases Jefferson Parish (tying: hospital and exclusive contract with anesthesiology practice) Tetra-Pak (packaging equipment and cartons) GE-Honeywell (avionics and airplanes) BSkyB (digital TV and hannels) Microsoft (OS+browser+media player) Recent DP on art.82 Tying, bundling may have exclusionary effects if. there is pre-existing dominance 2. the products tied or bundled are distinct 3. the practice is likely to have foreclosure effects 4. there is no efficiency or objective justification for the practice 3 / 33

Chicago View: There is only one monopoly If monopoly price on is p and there is competition on 2 (price c). Bundle price p leads to a profit of p c: but then consumers who buy 2 are willing to pay p c for : no need to bundle. No possibility of leveraging market power: only if 2 is competitive. Ignores heterogeneity of consumers Value of incremental good may differ accross consumers (Stigler 963): goods, 2, agents i, j, valuations 2 Total i 8 2.5 0.5 j 7 3 0 individual pricing 4 5 4 / 33

A Guide to the Literature Monopoly Stigler (968): pure bundling (block booking of movies), price discrimination. Adams-Yellen (976): introduce mixed bundling MacAfee-McMillan-Whinston (989): conditions on distributions for which bundling is optimal for a monopoly Rochet-Chon (998), Armstrong (996): generalize previous results Whinston (990), Nalebuff (2002): entry deterrence 5 / 33

Competition Spulber (979): Hotelling Cournot (838), Matutes-Regibeau (992): (complementary) single product firms, incentives to bundle or to be compatible. Armstrong-Vickers (200), Rochet-Stole (2002): one-stop shopping for multi-product firms Armstrong-Vickers (2006): one or two-stop shopping 6 / 33

Optimality of Bundling and Correlation of Values Adams-Yellen (976): examples where bundling is optimal for a monopoly; suggest negative correlation in values leads to bundling. McAfee-McMillan-Whinston (989): monopoly two goods with marginal costs c, c 2 consumers have valuations (v, v 2 ) with distribution F. Conditional distribution G i (v i v j ) Marginal distribution H(v i ) Pure bundling dominated (absent other considerations...) by mixed bundling: offer prices p, p 2, P B for individual purchases and bundle Issue of monitoring of purchases (can the monopoly prevent to buy goods and 2 separately? If not, p B < p + p 2 is necessary.) 7 / 33

When is Bundling Optimal? Idea Start from optimal individual prices (ignoring the possibility of bundling) p i. Introduce bundle at price p B = p + p 2, and increase price of 2 to p2 + ɛ. Then Bundling becomes preferred by agents who purchased both goods initially. Check that profit is larger. (Idea refined and simplified by Armstrong) 8 / 33

Optimal individual prices, max pi (p i c i ) p i dh i (v i ): p i solves Consumer v prefers bundling if H i (p i ) (p i c i )h i (p i ) = 0 v + v 2 p B max{v i p i } i Starting from p B = p + p 2, consumer buys bundle only if v p and v 2 p 2. Effect of increasing p 2 to p 2 + ɛ?. Gains ɛ on consumers who buy 2 2. Lose some consumers who bought 2 before 3. gains consumers who buy the bundle since p B < p + p 2 + ɛ: need p 2 v 2 0 and p v ɛ 0 9 / 33

v 2 Buy Bundle p 2 p v

v 2 p 2 + ɛ Buy Bundle p 2 p ɛ p v

v 2 () (3) Buy Bundle p 2 + ɛ p 2 (2) p ɛ p v

v 2 gains ɛ gains p () (3) Buy Bundle p 2 + ɛ p 2 (2) loses p 2 p ɛ p v 3 / 33

If v, v 2 are i.i.d., then () + (2) 0 for small ɛ. Hence, total effect is positive (since (3) is first-order): with i.i.d. valuations, bundling is optimal. Generally, the condition for ɛ > 0 to yield a net gain is p 0 [( G 2 (p 2 x)) g 2 (p 2 x)(p 2 c 2 )]h (x)dx+ (p c ) [ G 2 (p 2 p )] h (p ) > 0 With i.i.d., boils down to H (P )[( H 2 (p 2 )) h 2 (p 2 )(p 2 c 2 )] + (p c )( H 2 (p 2 ))h (p ) > 0 4 / 33

Leverage and Exclusion Remember Chicago view: not possible to leverage monopoly power into a competitive market. But what if the other market is not competitive (e.g., oligopolisitic)? Whinston (990), Choi-Stefanadis (200), Carlton-Waldman (2002), Nalebuff (2004) Entry deterrence because shifting to entrant offering only on product is more costly when the incumbent offers a bundle (foregoes the other good!) Leveraging most effective when valuations are positively correlated: opposite situation of when bundling for PD is likely to be optimal (negative correlation of values) Intuition: if positive correlation, an entrant offering only one product is at a disadvantage. 5 / 33

Nalebuff, QJE 2004 Incumbent produces and 2 at zero cost Entrant can enter either or 2, entry cost E Consumers have valuations v [0, ] 2, i.i.d., uniformly distributed Independent monopoly prices max p p p dv p = /2, total profit = /2 At these prices, an entrant can get the whole market by pricing just below /2: hence an entrant gets half the total profit of the monopoly if it enters. As long as E /4, there is entry. What if the incumbent sells only a bundle at price p B =? 6 / 33

Pure Bundling Effect Now, an entrant (say in 2) has to set a price low enough that consumers get a positive surplus and are compensated from foregoing the consumption of (since is only offered in a bundle) By setting a price y for 2, the entrant can attract all consumers v for which v 2 y and v 2 y v + v 2 Hence demand facing the entrant is ( y) 2, and his entry price maximizes y( y) 2 leading to y = /3 and a profit of 4/27, which is strictly less than the profit of /4 he fetches when the incumbent does not use a bundle. Pure bundling effect : using pure bundle makes entry more difficult because of the higher opportunity cost of consumers to shift to the entrant. 7 / 33

Bundle Discount Effect But things are even better for the incumbent because by offering the bundle at a discount w.r.t. independent prices, it also increases his profit Indeed, if the bundle price is x, the demand facing a monopoly incumbent is x ( ) dv 2 dv + ( x) = x 2 /2 0 x v leading to a monopoly price of x = 2/3 Since the bundle price is lower, the entrant will make even less profits at any price: by optimizing on bundling profits the incumbent makes entry more difficult! 8 / 33

Incentives to decrease x even more. Indeed, incumbent foregoes some monopoly profits in exchange for entry deterence: the first effect is second order, the second effect is first order. Positive correlation helps: suppose for instance that v A = v B, then with a bundle price of, an entrant in the 2 market pricing at y attracts consumers v 2 y and v y. If y /2, there is no demand, if y = /2, there is a measure zero of agents, if y /2, the demand is limited to the segment [(y, y), ( y, y)], that is a measure 2y. Compare this with the case of perfect negative correlation: with a price of y, the entrant gets the segment [(0, ), ( y, y)], that is a measure y What if entrant can enter in both markets at the same time? Need to consider competition between multiproduct firms 9 / 33

Competition Welfare consequences under uniform and nonlinear pricing quite different, as when consumers do one stop shopping versus multi-stop shopping Most general approach: Armstrong-Vickers (2006) 20 / 33

One-Stop Shopping Two firms at 0 and on Hotelling line Consumers are horizontally (x) and vertically differentiated (θ): x U[0, ], transportation cost t, and θ F ; x, θ i.i.d. Consumer: u(θ, q) pq Firms: schedule T (q) Given T (q), consumer gets utility and firm A s market share is v(θ, T ) = max u(θ, q) T (q) q s(v A, v B ) = 2 + u A u B 2t 2 / 33

Efficient pricing As long as consumers always buy the products, the unique symmetric equilibrium is attained when T (q) = t + i c iq i Proof. Show that marginal cost pricing is profit maximizing in two-part tariffs 2. It follows that all equilibria are of the form T (q) = π + cq 3. Show that T (q) = t + cq is an equilibrium 4. Show that T (q) = π + cq cannot be a symmetric equilibrium 22 / 33

Show : mc Pricing is Optimal In Two-Part Tariffs W.l.o.g., consider a one product world If T (q) = f + pq, the indirect utility is v(p) = max q u(q) pq Optimal quantities are q(p) and v (p) = q(p), or v(p) = v(c) p c q(x)dx Let π = f + pq(p) the profit; consider the schedule T (q) = f + cq, such that v(c) f = v(p) f. Then the firm makes more profit π > π: π = f = v(c) v(p) + f = p c q(x)dx + f > pq(p) + f 23 / 33

Show 2: Equilibria are T (q) = π + cq Consider an equilibrium where utility from consumption of A and B are v A f A and v B f B As long at these utility levels are the same the market shares of the firms are the same. From step, there exists f such that by deviating to T (q) = f + cq firm A gives the same utility level to consumers but makes higher profits. 24 / 33

Show 3-4: T (q) = t + cq is the unique symmetric equilibrium Step 3 Suppose A deviates to T (q) = f + cq Profit is Step 4 and is maximum for f = t f ( 2 + t f ) 2t Suppose another equilibrium T (q) = f + cq with f t and industry profit π = f /2 Suppose A deviates to T (q) = f + cq ( ) Profit of A is f 2 + f f 2t maximum at f = f +t 2 f 25 / 33

Welfare with One-Stop Shopping Total surplus and profits are higher with two-part tariffs than uniform prices Consumer surplus may be lower (e.g., if demand functions are linear in prices) with two-part tariffs. 26 / 33

Two-Stop Shopping (MR 992, AV 2006) Now, consumers can mix and match Consider two products for each firm Hotelling for both and 2: consumer x = (x, x 2 ), density f on [0, ] 2 Shopping cost z: z = is like one-stop shopping, z = 0 means that there is no cost of mixing brands, z small wrt t For given prices p, p 2 the bundle is offered at discount δ 27 / 33

Graphical Representation Buy from A: p A + pa 2 δa + t(x + x 2 ) Buy A, B 2 : p A + pb 2 + t(x + x 2 ) z Buy from B: p B + pb 2 δb + t(2 x x 2 ) Buy A 2, B : p B + pa 2 + t(x 2 + x ) z Role of Bundling Excessive loyalty : the discount makes one-stop shopping more likely. Excessive marginal prices : usual Hotelling problem, amplified the lower is the discount offered in the bundle. 28 / 33

In a Symmetric Equilibrium (z = 0) 2 δ 2t A, B 2 2 + δ 2t B A 2 δ 2t A 2, B 0 2 + δ 2t 29 / 33

If A increases prices by ɛ and discount by 2ɛ: no change for one stop shoppers but two stop shoppers buy from B more often 2 δ 2t A, B 2 2 + δ 2t B A 2 δ 2t A 2, B 0 2 + δ 2t 30 / 33

If A decrease the price of p : 2 δ 2t A, B 2 2 + δ 2t B A 2 δ 2t A 2, B 0 2 + δ 2t 3 / 33

Find Equilibrium Integrate along the red lines In equilibrium, profits, surplus and consumer surplus are larger with bundling than no bundling if the hazard rates have a large enough variation. For instance holds for uniform distribution. 32 / 33

Other Other Information goods (Bakos-Brynjolfsson 999, 2000): LLN, bundling decreases heterogeneity; benefit to bundle increasing in its size. Budget constraints and pecuniary externalities for scientific publishing (McCabe 2002, Edlin-Rubinfeld 2004, Jeon-Menicucci 2006, Dewtripont et al. 2006). Empirical Work G. Crawford: Cable TV (+4% profits, -3.3% CS) P. Leslie: Broadway theaters (cf Estelle) 33 / 33