Theo Notteboom ITMMA - University of Antwerp and Antwerp Maritime Academy

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THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN SEAPORTS AND THE INTERMODAL HINTERLAND IN LIGHT OF GLOBAL SUPPLY CHAINS: EUROPEAN CHALLENGES Theo Notteboom ITMMA - University of Antwerp and Antwerp Maritime Academy Research Round Table, Paris, 10-11 April 2008 Seaport Competition and Hinterland Connections

Ports live in a turbulent world

Global supply chains, port selection and hinterland connections The focus on standalone physical attributes of a port does not mirror the reality of (global) supply chains. European ports are increasingly competing not as individual places that handle ships but as crucial links within (global) supply chains A port s competitiveness becomes increasingly dependent on external co-ordination and control by outside actors.

Key hinterland developments The immediate hinterland as the backbone for port rivalry in a gateway region Shifts in cost basis Gateway regions increasingly vie for distant contestable hinterlands The North-South balance in perspective Transhipment hubs under scrutiny and its impact on inland freight distribution The challenge of the periphery Port competition and the role of upstream ports

Time costs of the goods Shifts in cost basis? Inventory costs linked to the holding of safety stocks Indirect logistics costs linked to the aggregated quality within the transport chain and the These three cost categories have gained in significance: - more high value products (time costs) - reliability and capacity considerations next to pure cost considerations (increasing time buffers?) - flexible network design offering various routing alternatives ( not all eggs in one basket )

Gateway port Transhipment/interlining port (transhipment incidence >75%) Gateway port also handling substantial transhipment flows Logistics core region Multi-port gateway region Inland corridor Main shipping route 8 Multi-port gateway regions 1. Rhine-Scheldt Delta 2. Helgoland Bay 3. UK SE Coast 4. Spanish Med 5. Ligurian Range 6. Seine Estuary 7. Black Sea West 8. South Finland 9. Portugese Range 10. North Adriatic 11. Gdansk Bay 11 Americas 3 1 2 6 Americas 10 7 9 5 4 Main shipping route Middle East Far East

Source: Notteboom & Rodrigue (2005) Port competition is changing Port regionalization is unfolding

Algeciras Hamburg-Le Havre range 2005 (1996) % of population EU27= 32% (32%) % of GDP EU27= 40% (46%) % of TEU traffic EU27= 43% (39%) The North-South balance in perspective Iso-distance zone 500 km Hamburg Zeebrugge Rotterdam Antwerp Bremerhaven Le Havre Algeciras-Livorno range 2005 (1996) % of population EU27= 27% (26%) % of GDP EU27= 32% (31%) % of TEU traffic EU27= 16% (16%) Marseille Genova La Spezia Livorno Barcelona Valencia

1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Share in TEU throughput West-Med Transhipment hubs under scrutiny and its impact on inland freight distribution The market shares of ports in the West Mediterranean. Ports grouped according to the diversion distance from the main shipping route (1975-2007) West-Mediterranean ports with one-way diversion distance > 250 nm West-Mediterranean ports with one-way diversion distance 100-250 nm West-Mediterranean ports with one-way diversion distance < 100 nm 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

The challenge of the periphery Evolution of the share of the market leader in the multi-port gateway region (in %) 1985 1995 2007 Trend for market share of leader Main challengers in the periphery RS Delta 62.6 61.8 50.3 Decreasing, leader unchanged (Rotterdam) Zeebrugge (+), Amsterdam (-), Flushing (?) Helgoland Bay 54.0 65.2 66.8 Increasing, leader unchanged (Hamburg) Wilhelmshaven ( ), Cuxhaven (x) UK SE Coast 48.1 54.3 47.3 Fluctuation, leader unchanged (Felixstowe) London Gateway ( ), Bathside Bay-Harwich ( ) Spanish Med 52.2 49.3 53.4 Fluctuation, change in leader (Valencia overtook Barc.) - Ligurian Range 48.2 30.0 45.6 Fluctuation, change in leader (Genoa overtook Leghorn) - Seine Estuary 80.8 89.0 94.3 Increasing, leader unchanged (Le Havre) - Black Sea West n.a. n.a. 90.4 Increasing, leader unchanged (Constanza) - South Finland n.a. 60.3 40.9 Decreasing, change in leader (Kotka overtook Helsinki) Kotka (+) Portugese Range 57.9 58.4 48.7 Recent decrease, leader unchanged (Lisbon) Sines (+) North Adriatic 50.5 41.3 41.3 Fluctation, change in leader (Venice overtook Ravenna) Trieste (+) Gdansk Bay 100.0 99.6 86.4 Decreasing, leader unchanged (Gdynia) - (+) (some) terminal(s) already in operation; strong results (-) (some) terminal(s) already in operation; moderate results ( ) Terminal under construction (?) No container terminal yet, planning phase (x) Container terminal was planned, but plans abandonned or rejected Dibden Bay (X), Teesport (?)

1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 Share in TEU throughput Le Havre-Hamburg range Port competition and the role of upstream ports Evolution of the market shares in the Le Havre-Hamburg range 100% 90% 80% 70% Small and medium-sized coastal ports Large coastal ports 60% 50% Small and medium-sized upstream ports Large upstream ports 40% 30% 20% 10% 0%

THE ROLE OF RELEVANT ACTORS IN THE STRUCTURING OF HINTERLAND NETWORKS

Policy push and market pull in achieving a modal shift and co-modality Public interest/attention to intermodal offer High Moderate Actual intermodal results Low Awareness phase Big bang modal shift policy Peak in expectations Period of disillusion Market-driven incremental implementation of intermodal offer TIME Plateau of max. intermodal potential Modal shift Policy push phase Co-modality Market pull phase

Co-operation, logistics integration and market pull in the intermodal offer Coordination and cooperation is needed to form an integrated intermodal service that complies with the requirements imposed by the supply chains that pass through the port Van Der Horst and De Langen (2008): categories of arrangements to improve coordination: - the introduction of incentives (e.g. a bonus or penalty), - the creation of an inter-firm alliance (e.g. through the introduction of standards for quality and service or a joint capacity pool) - changing the scope of the organization (e.g. through vertical integration or the introduction of a chain manager) - collective action (e.g. through the governance by a port authority or a concerted action by a branch association)

The logistics environment is changing Logistics integration is unfolding SEA (IN/OUT) PORT HINTERLAND (OUT/IN) Maritime transport Transhipment & storage Rail Shipping line Stevedoring companies Railway companies Inland shipping Value-added activities Inland barge operators Logistic service providers Road haulage Trucking companies Shipping agent Freight forwarder Logistic service provider

Vertical integration: towards DHL or ABX Logistics vessels?

Market players Paper discusses involvement of market players in inland transportation - Shipping lines - Terminal operators - Rail operators - Barge operators - Etc Functional integration is partly result of customer demand, not only a result of the search for revenue, cost control or efficient use of capacity=> relation integration-competition?

New role for port authorities Beyond the traditional role of landlord port authorities M facturing Network Road/Rail/ Barge Distribution Centre Road/Rail/ Barge/ Port Deep Sea Short-Sea Port Road/Rail/ Barge/ Distribution Centre Road/Rail Retail Network Seaports need to reach into the chain in both directions Anchor logistics actors with decision power Enhance integration of the port in broader networks

New role for port authorities Seaports as active logistics nodes: how? (Landlord) port authorities should broaden their role as facilitator Larger autonomy of port management, more flexibility and possibilities to take participations with other companies (link with port governance) The port authority can be a catalyst even when its direct impact on cargo flows is limited.

Key issues Competitive battle among ports will increasingly be fought ashore. Quite a number of actors try to play the first violin in this battle Relation integration, coordination and competition? Port investments should not be treated in isolation Success of a port strongly affected by the ability of the port community to fully exploit synergies with other transport nodes and other players within the logistics networks of which they are part.

Key issues Port authorities can be catalysts in improving the porthinterland interface and the structuring of hinterland networks, even though their direct impact on the routing of cargo flows is limited. Terminals, both in seaport as well as in inland ports, are expected to increase their role in supply chains, given increasing levels of vertical integration in the market and an increasing pressure on capacity (scarcity). =>Pricing tools + push operational considerations =>High interest from market players and investors

Thank you for your attention! theo.notteboom@ua.ac.be