CLIMATE CHANGE INVESTMENT IN THE PACIFIC INTEGRATION IS KEY TO EFFECTIVENESS.

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CLIMATE CHANGE INVESTMENT IN THE PACIFIC INTEGRATION IS KEY TO EFFECTIVENESS. Prepared by Rhona McPhee and Kate Duggan Presented Thursday 16 February 2016

THE RATIONALE FOR INVESTING IS COMPELLING All Pacific Island countries are vulnerable to the impacts climate change None has been a significant contributor to the problem All face challenges in identifying options, and resourcing and building systems to respond and adapt.

RISKS VARY ACROSS THE REGION Uncertainty El Nino and La Nina variability still dominant could get more intense? Already seeing successive intense tropical cyclones - in exposed latitudes And major changes to rainfall patterns across the region Mounting risks from ocean acidification, rising temperatures, warming oceans and increased flood and fire hazards - across the region Long term threat of intensifying storms, storm surge and sea level rise to atoll nations and coastal communities

PEOPLE ARE EXPOSED TO THESE RISKS Large proportions of island populations - live and work along the coasts Cities, administrative centers and critical infrastructure - often located in highly exposed locations Most people s livelihoods are weather-sensitive Climate change is compounding other development challenges threatening infrastructure, food and water security Changes to rainfall and temperature patterns - expose more people to water and vector borne diseases.

AUSTRALIA S APPROACH Pacific is a priority for Australia s aid program - climate change is a significant development issue Australian climate finance commitments in Paris and at the Pacific Islands Forum - now focused on delivery Priorities are two-fold: 1. to increase the quantum of investment; and 2. quality of outcomes, and focus on: o Demand driven - Pacific development priorities and the risks o Building on past experience / current investments o Broadening our engagement beyond aid o Australia s strengths and where it aligns with demand.

EVIDENCE BASE - STOCKTAKE Climate change stocktake (2016) national policies, institutions, programs, partners and investment Baseline - to assist Posts develop aligned climate change investment portfolios in their key aid investment sectors Complementing a major redesign of regional resilience investment portfolio Here we present findings - and propose some core principles for climate finance in the region.

SOURCES OF FINANCE Pacific Island countries lack good direct access to international climate change finance several are seeking accreditation Countries are heavily dependent on indirect finance - from a range of donors and the development banks and external delivery partners The bulk of investment is public - could shift with increased private investment in renewable energy Limited internal investment (either public or private) A very large number of projects - a few donors and the banks provide the bulk - but there are several other donors providing small amounts The GCF is emerging as a major investor.

WHERE/HOW IS IT BEING DELIVERED? Fiji 6.35% Cook Islands FSM 4.30% 0.99% Tuvalu 4.69% Samoa 14.11% Tonga 6.50% Solomon Islands 4.23% Kiribati 3.37% PNG 8.14% Palau 0.03% Vanuatu 6.92% Regional 24.75% Multi-country 15.62% A large proportion through regional and multi-country programs A relatively small proportion delivered direct to countries and in investment partnerships with governments A relatively small proportion going to PNG, contrasting - the relative success of Samoa Fairly evenly spread across the other countries.

WHAT IS THE FOCUS? Policy, Gov, Resilience 30.91% Infrastructure 14.96% Finance 0.24% Science, Info, EWS 7.81% Community 7.58% Energy 19.33% DRR, Recovery 19.18% Large proportion in: Numerous (regional) adaptation programs policy and governance Infrastructure largely in response to build back better demand following successive extreme events Energy largely through the GCF and aligning with priorities to reduce imported petroleum fuels Climate/DRR projects - emerging in response to recent extreme events.

INVESTMENT FOCUS? Few targeted investments to integrate climate change in sectors other than infrastructure and energy e.g. health and education A small number of programs have a primary focus on community development and resilience dominance of coastal and DRR A small proportion is spent in the categories of climate science and information services; and enabling access to finance Australia dominates in climate science and information services (through regional programs).

BARRIERS TO EFFECTIVENESS In assessing this landscape- the stocktakes identified numerous barriers to effective climate change programs we wish to highlight 2: 1. There is a challenge in connecting climate finance with mainstream development processes at all levels 2. There is a challenge in accessing high quality, tailored climate knowledge and skills to inform mainstream development decisions

CONNECTING TO MAINSTREAM DEVELOPMENT Despite large donor investment portfolios - difficulty aligning climate finance with country priorities and development processes: WHY? Range of climate change plans and commitments but few clearly articulated priorities or investment-ready proposals to take to the market For efficiency reasons, donors invest through regional programs which tend to be one-size fits all - disconnected from national institutions Climate change not always a development priority in domestic politics or programs flows to resource allocation Human (and material) resources available to climate change agencies and in the sectors, have not kept pace with the risks or urgency.

CONNECTING TO DEVELOPMENT Climate change institutions lack authority and mandate alienates sectors and disconnects climate finance from mainstream development sectors. Community climate change action primarily implemented by civil society groups - limited (but improving) connection to development planning processes and budgets Few formal coordination mechanisms within and between countries These factors have led to fragmented, uncoordinated investment landscape - not systematically addressing key climate risks, information needs and priorities.

CONNECTING TO KNOWLEDGE/SKILLS Despite investment in climate information services in the Pacific region over many years, these remain largely inaccessible to the people who need them Pacific climate change and met agencies lack mandate/skills to migrate/broker knowledge from science agencies to sectors, communities and businesses The knowledge is commonly not owned by Pacific Island countries and communities Knowledge sharing not a high priority in some science agencies Need good, systematic national plans for long-term skills development in climate change

PLAYING TO AUSTRALIA S STRENGTHS How we do business in the region - unique presence and set of relationships across the whole region - influence through both our policy engagement (including multilats) Our aid investment in the region covers key development sectors, presents opportunities for integration and coordinated investment Key position (with NZ) as a member of regional organisations and donor with an ability to influence and invest in localised climate services Extensive learnings from large trials and pilots; and climate information services.

BUT WHAT DO WE NEED TO DO DIFFERENTLY Internal cohesion - mutually reinforcing linkages between global / regional investments and bilateral Promote and resource integration of climate change in key development sectors - connected to development processes more than mainstreaming Continue to focus on being clear and transparent about the outcomes we seek and how we report them adaptive learning with partners Be robust and transparent about the approach we use to account for our climate change expenditure

WHAT ELSE? Shift from providing information about the hazards themselves to impact-based, applied information and demand driven applications Promote gender equality in decision making and action on climate change Recognising the strengths of different organisations and potential new partnerships, continue to collaborate as a community of practice national stakeholders, donors, civil society, regional orgs Building on our strengths in the region, and the new evidence base our forward programs will prioritise coherence, adaptive learning and connection with Pacific development priorities and information needs to support resilience and low carbon development.