HOMER as a Marine Corps Pre-Deployment Tool To Evaluate Power Solutions. Brandon Newell Captain, USMC

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Transcription:

HOMER as a Marine Corps Pre-Deployment Tool To Evaluate Power Solutions Brandon Newell Captain, USMC Advisor: Dr. Sherif Michael Co-Advisor: Dr. Dan Nussbaum 1

MY BACKGROUND NPS - June 08 NREL Internship Summer 09 Afghanistan MEAT Sept 09 Expeditionary Energy Office Oct 10 2

E 2 O Expeditionary Energy Office (E 2 O) Commandant s Vision: Be the premier, selfsufficient expeditionary force, instilled with an ethos, that efficient use of vital resources equate to increased combat effectiveness. Reduce Fuel/Water Moved Around the Battlefield ExFOB 3

HOMER Micropower Optimization Tool Developed at NREL Now privately owned Simulation of micropower systems Optimization driven by cost analysis 4

HOMER Schematic Diagram Solution Space 5

THESIS Thesis Question: Can HOMER be utilized as a pre-deployment tool to meet the Marine Corps need to evaluate power solutions for unique locations? Answer: YES, If it is CALIBRATED 6

kw LOAD Company Power Profile Austere 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 Billeting (20) Maintenance (1) Supply Medical (Corpsman/IDC) MWR COC Shower (2)/Laundry Unit DFAC (3) Comm FOB Totals 2 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Time

Controlled Experiments Two Experiments on campus Objectives: Measure power production over one month and compare HOMER s modeled production. Calibrate HOMER s variables to the particular system. 8

Controlled Experiments San Francisco Monterey 9

Controlled Experiments Grid-tied-PV system 11.48kW PV Pacific Gas &Electric Wind-PV system 60 W PV panel (Powerfilm) 50 W PV panel (Kyocera) 400 W wind turbine (AirX) 10

Grid-tied-PV Period Apr 2 May 1, 2010 Equipment (56) Kyocera 205W panels (3) SunnyBoy SB3800U Inverters - Assembled in 2006. System Rated Power 11.48kW Measured Energy: 1270 kwh for the month 11

Grid-tied-PV Critical Variables Azimuth Slope Temp Effects Economics Solar Resource 231 degrees 15 degrees Ignored Ignored NASA (monthly avg) Converter Eff. 94.5% Derating Factor 80% 12

Grid-tied-PV PV Usable Energy (kwh) Accuracy Measured Data 1270 HOMER Model 1612 +27% Possible Sources of Inaccuracy: Temperature Effects Solar Irradiance Estimates Performance of System 13

Grid-tied-PV Kyocera KD205GX Data Sheet Homer Inputs: 14

Grid-tied-PV PV Usable Energy (kwh) Accuracy Measured Data 1270 HOMER Model 1612 +27% Add Temp Effects 1539 +21% 15

Solar Irradiance (W/m 2 ) Solar Irradiance (W/m 2 ) Grid-tied-PV 1000 HOMER Estimated Solar Irradiance 1000 Actual Solar Irradiance 900 900 800 800 700 700 600 600 500 500 400 400 300 300 200 200 100 100 0 0 50 100 150 First Six Days (1 hr intervals) 0 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 First Six Days (2 min intervals) Compare HOMER s Estimated Irradiance to Actual Irradiance: HOMER is 9% Higher. 16

Grid-tied-PV PV Usable Energy (kwh) Accuracy Measured Data 1270 HOMER Model 1612 +27% Add Temp Effects 1539 +21% Add True Solar Irradiance 1483 +17% 17

Grid-tied-PV Derating Factor (DF) in HOMER Accounts for: Dust on the panels Wiring losses Deviation from optimal power point Default: 80% Precise Calibration Vary DF Outcome: 68.5% 18

Grid-tied-PV PV Usable Energy (kwh) Accuracy Measured Data 1270 HOMER Model 1612 +27% Add Temp Effects 1539 +21% Add True Solar Irradiance 1483 +17% Vary Derating Factor 1270 -- 19

ExFOB Experimental Forward Operating Base (ExFOB) Simulate forward deployed force energy and water demands and to test and evaluate alternative solutions to meet their needs. - Demand Reduction - Alternative Power 20

ExFOB Selected Power Equipment PowerShade Solar Field Shelter ZeroBase Energy Regenerator GREENS Solar Power System NEST Solar Light Trailer 21

ExFOB COMPANY EQUIPMENT Rated Pwr No. of Panels Pwr/System No. of Systems Pwr/Company PowerShade 1 kw 1 1 kw 2 2 kw GREENS 200 W 8 1.6 kw 3 4.8 kw ZeroBase 240 W 5 1.2 kw 3 3.6 kw NEST 175 W 4.7 kw 10 7 kw Total 17.4 kw 22

ExFOB Selection: March Quanitco, Virginia 23

ExFOB Demonstration: May Morocco 24

ExFOB Deployment: October Helmand Province 25

Combine All 4 Systems - Slope 0⁰ - No Temp Effects - Inverter Efficiency (90%) ExFOB = LOW BOUND ExFOB Results Quantico (kwh) Morocco (kwh) Afghanistan (kwh) PV Combined 1645 2074 1984 Percent of Load 19% 24% 23% 26

ExFOB Model Each PV System Separately: Slope Temp Effects Inverter Efficiency Solar Shade 0⁰ N Default GREENS 30⁰ Y 92% ZeroBase 45⁰ N Default NEST 55⁰ N Default 27

ExFOB ExFOB Results Quantico (kwh) Morocco (kwh) Afghanistan (kwh) PV Combined 1645 2074 1984 Percent of Load 19% 24% 23% Individual Solar Shade 191 223 240 GREENS 671 726 769 ZeroBase 430 449 501 NEST 822 839 940 2114 2272 2484 Percent of Load 24% 26% 29% 28

ExFOB ExFOB Results Afghanistan (kwh) PV Combined 1984 Why Does It Matter? 23% vs 29% of the Monthly Ld? Fuel Percent of Load 23% Individual Solar Shade 240 GREENS 769 ZeroBase 501 NEST 940 2484 Percent of Load 29% 29

ExFOB Method Fuel (L) 23% 3402 8.2%Increase in Fuel Demand 29% 3145 -Reduction in fuel demand = reduction in risk of IED -Critical Information to Logisticians and Cost Estimators 30

SUMMARY HOMER should be utilized as a pre-deployment tool Calibration is the key Effective use of HOMER throughout the ExFOB process could have contributed to a more effective evaluation of equipment 31

Questions? 32