Energy Solutions: Capturing growth through global systems integration Javier Cavada, President, Energy Solutions, Executive Vice President 1 Wärtsilä 29 September 2016 Javier Cavada
Renewables rapidly increasing, Non-OECD countries dominate power plant investments OECD Gross annual capacity additions (GW) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2016 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Gas Other flexible capacity Batteries Wind Solar Others Non-OECD Gross annual capacity additions (GW) 400 350 300 250 200 150 100 50 0 2016 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Gas Other flexible capacity Batteries Wind Solar Others Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance Note: Flexible capacity includes power storage, demand response and other potential resources. Others include: coal, oil, nuclear, hydro and other renewables than wind or solar 2
GAS AND LIQUID FUELLED POWER PLANTS, MARKET SHARE, 500 MW PLANTS WITH UNITS >5 MW We are well positioned in the gas and liquid fuelled power generation market 2015 H1 2016 Wärtsilä 8 % Wärtsilä 16% Others 10 % Ansaldo 10% TOTAL 29.5 GW General Electric 38% Others 2% Mitsubishi 17% TOTAL 11.8 GW General Electric 37% Mitsubishi 15% Siemens 19% Siemens 28% Source: McCoy Power Report, Includes GT-based gas and liquid-fuelled <500 MW power plants with prime movers above 5 MW, Includes estimated output of steam turbines for combined cycles (factor 0.5 for industrial turbines, 0.25 for aeros), Oil & Gas projects not included. Other combustion engines not included data not available. 3
GAS AND LIQUID FUELLED ENGINE POWER PLANTS, MARKET SHARE IN MW, UNITS >5MW And are the market leader in engine power plants 2014 2015 Other internal combustion engines 30% Other internal combustion engines 21% TOTAL 3,464 GW TOTAL 3,084 GW Wärtsilä 70% Wärtsilä 79% Source: Diesel & Gas Turbine Worldwide 2015 Power Generation Survey 4 Wärtsilä 29 September 2016 Javier Cavada
ENGINE POWER GENERATION OPTIMISED GENERATION + + SOLAR GENERATION + SMART POWER GENERATION + SOLAR GENERATION ENERGY SYSTEM MANAGEMENT SYSTEM STABILITY 5
WE ARE THE GLOBAL SYSTEMS INTEGRATOR North America: Smart Power Generation 6
No new traditional baseload Gas needed to support renewable integration North America: Cumulative installed capacity (GW) 1 600 1 400 1 200 1 000 800 600 400 200 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 North America: Gross capacity additions (GW) 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 Traditional baseload Gas Wind Solar Other Batteries Other flexible capacity Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Traditional baseload = coal, oil, nuclear, hydro, Other = geothermal, biomass, other REs Other flexible capacity = demand response and other potential sources (e.g. Gas-fired combustion engine power plants) 7 Wärtsilä 29 September 2016 Javier Cavada
WE ARE THE GLOBAL SYSTEMS INTEGRATOR South America: Smart Power Generation LNG infrastructure Solar PV Hybrid solutions System integration in decentralised grids 8
Significant power capacity investments needed to meet demand growth South America cumulative installed capacity (GW) 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 South America s power consumption and installed capacity is expected to more than double in the next 20 years An estimated $430 billion of investment needed to meet that demand 200 100 0 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 2032 2034 Traditional baseload Gas Wind Solar Other Batteries Other flexible capacity Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance, Traditional baseload = coal, oil, nuclear, hydro, Other = geothermal, biomass, other REs Other flexible capacity = demand response and other potential sources (e.g. Gas-fired combustion engine power plants) 9
We have won five major power plant projects in Argentina Regulatory changes and policy incentives supporting new power generation investments Wärtsilä Smart Power Generation plants will strengthen the national grid with reliable power Wärtsilä s dual-fuel technology will help our customers cope with the varying supply of natural gas 10
WE ARE THE GLOBAL SYSTEMS INTEGRATOR Europe: Smart Power Generation LNG infrastructure Hybrid solutions Nuclear emergency gensets 11
Investments in small-scale LNG projects are expected to grow Small-scale LNG project investments per segment, excluding China (MEUR) 1 500 1 250 1 000 750 500 250 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 LNG Satellite terminals for gas power plants Mini liquefaction plants Satellite & Bunkering terminals/barges Small liquefaction plants Small/Medium scale terminals LNG peak shaving plants Sources: Visiongain, Transparency market research & Wärtsilä in-house market study 12 Wärtsilä 29 September 2016 Javier Cavada
CONVENTIONAL + SMALL-SCALE VALUE CHAIN OFFSHORE SERVICE VESSEL (OSV) PLATFORM SUPPLY VESSEL (PSV) FLOATING STORAGE & (REGESIFICATION) UNIT (FSRU/FSU) POWER PLANT OIL & GAS PLATFORM POWER PLANT SMALL LNG CARRIER LARGE TERMINAL POWER PLANT RELIQUEFACTION UNIT LNG CARRIER RELIQUEFACTION UNIT REGASIFICATION UNIT LNG PEAK SHAVING PLANT SATELLITE TERMINAL BUNKERING TERMINAL LNG FUELLED PASSENGER SHIP MINI LIQUEFACTION PLANT STORAGE AND REGASIFICATION BARGE POWER BARGE POWER PLANT SATELLITE TERMINAL LNG FUELLED CARGO SHIP BUNKERING VESSEL SATELLITE AND BUNKERING TERMINAL LBG FILLING STATION BIOGAS LIQUEFACTION PLANT BUNKERING TERMINAL SMALL LIQUEFACTION PLANT SMALL LNG CARRIER JETTY SMALL/MEDIUM TERMINAL LNG FILLING STATION 13 Wärtsilä 29 September 2016 Javier Cavada
LNG satellite terminal in Raahe, Finland A turnkey contract to supply a LNG receiving terminal, scheduled to be operational in April 2018 The LNG will be supplied to Raahe by trucks from Wärtsilä s first LNG terminal installation, the Tornio Manga facility in Northern Finland By switching from LPG to LNG the customer will be able to decrease the emissions of its steel mill 14
WE ARE THE GLOBAL SYSTEMS INTEGRATOR Africa: Smart Power Generation Solar PV System integration in decentralised grids 15
Installed capacity is expected to nearly triple by 2030 Almost 600 million people in sub-saharan Africa lack access to electricity To reach 70-80% electrification level by 2040, about $490 billion of capital for new generating capacity, plus another $345 billion for transmission and distribution is needed Africa installed capacity 2015 47% 2% 1% 1% TOTAL 137 GW 49% Africa installed capacity 2030 10% 12% 40% 1% TOTAL 361 GW 37% Traditional baseload Gas Wind Solar Other Source: GlobalData, McKinsey Powering Africa, Traditional baseload = coal, oil, hydro, nuclear, Other = biomass, geothermal 16
WE ARE THE GLOBAL SYSTEMS INTEGRATOR Middle East & Asia: Smart Power Generation LNG infrastructure Solar PV Hybrid solutions System integration in decentralised grids 17
Solar is shifting to emerging markets where we have a strong presence Large scale solar PV gross capacity additions, GW 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 5 GW/y 27 GW/y 48 GW/y 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 Chile Australia Mexico Brazil RoW Latin America SE Asia MEA India Japan US Europe China Our competitive edge Global turnkey capability Global sales network and strong customer base in areas with significant solar energy potential Unique solar hybrid solutions with ultra-flexible engines capable of following rapid changes in solar output Complete project development and financing services Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance (Large scale > 1 MW plant capacity) 18
Our hybrid power plant solutions enable significant fuel savings 19 Wärtsilä 29 September 2016 Javier Cavada
250 MW Smart Power Generation + 46 MW solar PV in Jordan Wärtsilä delivered the tri-fuel 250 MW smart power generation plant in 2014 The plant has been operated in peaking mode, following the typical daily demand curve of a hot country The 46 MW solar PV plant will produce electricity in the daytime, saving fuel and cutting the carbon footprint of the power plant and the whole grid 250 MW ENGINE UNIT 46 MW SOLAR PV UNIT INTERCONNECTING CABLES 20
ENERGY SOLUTIONS VISION Customers recognize us as the best energy solution provider worldwide. We are fast, innovative, reliable and offer a broad range of environmentally sound solutions. We are the most attractive brand to work with, for our customers and our people. 21
REALISING OUR VISION Speed Fast response to customers needs Simplicity Focus on value adding activities Growth Identify new business opportunities and develop the markets towards our technology 22 Wärtsilä 29 September 2016 Javier Cavada
CAPTURING GROWTH THROUGH GLOBAL SYSTEMS INTEGRATION LNG INFRASTRUCTURE ENGINE POWER PLANTS Wärtsilä SOLAR PV AND ENGINE-SOLAR HYBRID POWER PLANTS
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