Competition in the Global Beef Industry. Clint Peck, Director, Beef Quality Assurance Montana State University

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Transcription:

Competition in the Global Beef Industry Clint Peck, Director, Beef Quality Assurance Montana State University

The competition is TOUGH

10 Largest Cattle Populations India Brazil China USA EU Argentina Australia Russia Mexico Canada 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Source: USDA - 2006

Major Beef Producing / Consuming Countries PRODUCTION U.S.A. Eu.. Union Brazil China Argentina Australia Mexico Russia Canada CONSUMPTION U.S.A. Eu.. Union Brazil China Argentina Russia Mexico Japan * USDA Foreign Agricultural Service - 2007

Major beef exporting countries 2003 Australia Brazil U.S.A. New Zealand Canada Argentina Uruguay 2006 Brazil Australia New Zealand Canada Argentina Uruguay U.S.A. * USDA Foreign Agricultural Service - 2007

Top 10 Beef Importing Regions % of world imports United States 31% Russia 12% U.E. 25 10% Eastern Med. 10% Japan 9% Other Far East 6% Mexico 4% South Korea 4% South America 3% Canada 2% * USDA Foreign Agricultural Service - 2007

The major drivers of U.S. beef imports???

Live-Cattle Slaughter Prices in Selected Countries* 86.00/cwt Compiled by Clint Peck April 2006, World Meat Congress, Brisbane (*USD/cwt approx.) 60.00/cwt 46.00/cwt 42.00/cwt 39.00/cwt 35.00/cwt 32.00/cwt

Ground Beef = 59%* of all fresh beef eatings in the U.S. *NPD Group s National Eating Trends Service 2004

What differentiates U.S. S.A. beef from the rest of the world? Mississippi West Virginia Montana Hawaii

CORN, baby Corn!

Grass Countries Uruguay *Argentina Oceania Brazil

The Australian Cattle Weakening prices due to persistent drought and high feed costs. Industry Export demand boosted by the absence of competitors. 2003-2006 2006 Strong growth in feedlot sector. 2007 24% drop in on-feed #s

Australian beef exports by destination 2005 909,400 tonnes USA 35.2% TRQ = 378,214 MT & no In quota tariff Over-quota tariff = 26.4% Other 5.3% Japan 44.5% Korea 11.7% Taiwan 3.3% Source: Meat & Livestock Australia

Tropic of Capricorn

The Brazilian Cattle Industry Est. 190 Million Head - Low cost of production - 97% grass-fed - Vast room for expansion - Poor infrastructure - FMD, FMD, FMD - Low productivity

Nelore 85% of Brazil s s beef genetics

Brazil --- Less than 1% of cattle are finished by grain-based feeding

Corn and the The Principle of the Three Ps #1 - People #2 - Poultry #3 - Pigs

And then there s s the fourth P Pfuel

Sugar cane ethanol Ethanol extracted from sugar cane yields about 830% more fuel than the fossil fuels used to produce it.* * Brazil's Road to Energy Independence Washingtonpost.com Sunday, August 20, 2006

Driving Cattle North By 2010, in the state of Sao Paulo 800,000 hectares of cattle pasture will convert to sugar cane.* *Brasil International Gazeta, March 9, 2005

12 million head of cattle The Uruguayan Cattle Industry

Uruguay 80% of production is exported. 78% of fresh beef exports go to NAFTA countries - Anabolics/growth hormones are banned. - Animal protein banned in feed. - FMD / BSE Free 20,000 mt U.S. TRQ 2006 - Importers of Uruguayan beef paid nearly $100 million to the U.S. Treasury in over-quota tariffs.

Expanding Markets Mexico Japan -- cooked meat and offals (thermally processed) Increasing U.S. / E.U. presence

The Argentine Cattle Industry 55 Million head

The Pampas The Pampas 190,000 sq miles (OK, AR, MO) Supports 31 mil head of cattle

Argentine Beef 80% English genetics FMD, FMD, FMD NHTC foe E.U. Evolving to grain fed

Cattle Feeding 100 feedlots that market approximately 300,000 of the 13 million cattle slaughtered / year. Supplement 1% of body weight on pasture for the last 120 days before slaughter.

25,000 head & expanding?? 52% - Tyson 24% - Cactus Feeders 24% - Cresud,, SA

Argentina Exports 28,000 metric tons/year of high quality ( Hilton Quota ) bone-in and boneless cuts.

Carnivore Heaven!!! In Argentina a vegetarian is like a duck out of water. Carlos Menem, former president of Argentina

But, what is QUALITY BEEF???

QUALITY beef Consistently satisfies customer expectations for eating & preparation characteristics and value. Is s harvested and processed under strict inspection systems that ensure it is safe, wholesome, and correctly labeled & properly packaged.

Quality Beef?

Traceability

"Traceability is the non-negotiable negotiable foundation of trust. Without traceability how can you be held accountable for what you produce? How else can you be rewarded for what you produce? Marcos Fava Neves,, University of São Paulo professor of food marketing strategy. World Meat Congress, Brisbane, April 2006

Challenges and Advantages for U.S. Beef Producers - Traceability - Competition for Land & Water - A Global Outlook - Cost of Production - Uniformity & Consistency of Product - High Quality Beef - Infrastructure - Productivity

In today's world, the competition is no longer between farmers the competition is between treasuries. -João Vinicis Pratini de Moraes Former Brazilian Ag Minister

Cualquier persona tiene una pregunta? Does anyone have a question? Clint Peck 406-896 896-90689068 cpeck@montana.edu