The promise of concentrators. JUNBA Symposium January 13 th, 2009 Steve Horne,CTO SolFocus inc.

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Transcription:

The promise of concentrators JUNBA Symposium January 13 th, 2009 Steve Horne,CTO SolFocus inc.

Today s talk Brief introduction to SolFocus Concentrator Photovoltaics (CPV) What are they? (introduction, history) Characteristics SolFocus approach The industry s potential

Introduction SolFocus: Manufacturer of Photovoltaic Concentrators (CPV) 3 ½ years old Silicon Valley startup Combination VC, strategic backing ($100M) Now 130 people Product in test. 4 field sites ( Ca, Hi, Az, Spain ) Preparing to ramp manufacturing

Motivation: Unique combination of: Unprecedented Climate change issues, awareness Favorable economic trends Technically feasible solutions

What is CPV? Devices using optics to concentrate a LARGE area of sunlight on to a SMALL area of solar cell. Typical concentration ratios 150X 500X 1200X (some in 10x to 30x range) Image:Reuk Co Image: SunWind Solar

Why CPV? Most economical technology in areas of High Direct Radiation. Reduces use of expensive photovoltaic material with inexpensive optics Uses established high volume industries for technology & methods (automotive, electronics)

Two fundamental approaches Refractive: with lenses Reflective: with mirrors

Many years under development but little commercial success

So why now? They were: Unreliable Cooling problems Materials problems Not economical Low efficiency cells Expensive tracking requirements Concentrator tax DNI only Breakthrough: Triple Junction cells Non Imaging Optics

Triple Junction Cell 3 coupled cells, each tuned to a different part of the solar spectrum not Silicon based 40% efficiency demonstrated. Theoretical max efficiencies in low 70% (+) GaInP 2 GaAs (-) Ge

Non Imaging Optics Science of efficient photon transport. Disregards order of light rays. Allows high concentration Compact, low cost optics Wide acceptance angles. ( Kaleidoscope example )

CPV characteristics High power density Mid 20% efficiency now. Over 33% with new generation cells but with Narrow Field of View CPV performs best in areas of high direct radiation, or DNI Mediterranean climates -close to 40% of the world s population centers

CPV characteristics Scalable from hundreds of kw to GW CSP feasible in large project sizes only Thin film: low to moderate sizes Silicon: low to medium sizes

SolFocus CPV product SF-1000

Design constraints Hot, arid climates. Must use air cooling only. Short thermal path to minimize cell temperatures Long lifetime Passive cooling. No fans, plumbing, chilling, heat exchangers absolutely stable cooling. Not conditionally stable. Low system level costs Large acceptance angle High volume manufacturing design (repeated assemblies of small concentrators). Very active cost modeling from the start of the project. High efficiency High concentration Reflective optics Two step development: First make a manufacturable concentrator Second, maximize it s efficiency

Resultant system Arrays of Cassegranian, reflective concentrators One cell per mirror Simple to manufacture Forgiving optics; little alignment needed Secondary mirror Primary mirror Solar cell Optical Rod

Advantages Mirrors: allow higher efficiencies Approx practical η: Fresnels 83%; Mirrors >88% Mirrors allow higher concentration Easily manufactured at very high volumes

Advantages Small modular concentrators allow high volume Low parts count: simpler supply chain Mfg in many places possible Critical manufacturing steps in factory, not field

What else is crucial? Proving Reliability In-House Reliability Team Harsher Reliability Protocols Than Standards Cost control Very rich cost model developed early Environmental life cycle analysis University partner 19

SF-1000 status Meeting or Exceeding Performance Goals Three Test Sites Completed First Commercial Site at ISFOC 500 kw TUV Certification Complete First CPV Panel to Achieve CEC Listing Ready to start manufacturing ramp ) C D ts a (W r e w o P 7000 6500 6000 5500 5000 4500 4000 Puertollano Array DC Peak Power 3500 3000 1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 0 1 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 Array # 7 1 2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 0 2 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2

Next steps: Sell, install, learn Increased volumes are key to competitiveness

Last: Will this industry be successful? Problem: While costs, reliability, ROI look world class, we re playing catch-up CPV

Symptoms of growing robustness Approximate number of CPV companies Approximate number of high performance cell manufacturers 2004 2008 5 25 3 15 Approximate capitalization $25M $1000M Installed base <0MW 5MW

Take Home CPV no longer in the lab: has been field proven In appropriate areas, will be least cost solution. High volume manufacturing is coming. Let s go build it 24

Thank you!