Shanghai Metals Market The Leading Metals Information Provider in China China Nickel Chain Analysis, -212 Hot topic The analysis on supply and demand balance of nickel in The forecast of the price trend in related nickel products The current situation of downstream participant such as refined nickel, and information about industries of NPI, stainless steel, battery and electroplating etc. Copyright SMM. All Rights Reserved en.smm.cn
Background On macro front, the European debt crisis, expectation of Chinese tightening monetary policies are all negative for nickel prices. Coupled with foreign and domestic weak stainless steel markets, nickel prices fell as low as USD 2,2/ mt in August, a new low for. Due to its strong financial attribute, most of list nickel as a top investment product. Because of the existence of domestic NPI, nickel prices are more impacted by the fundamentals compared with other base metals prices. SMM has launched China Nickel industrial analysis since 28. Leveraging on our great experience and rich data in this field, this report with comprehensive analysis of nickel ores, refined nickel, NPI and stainless steel, is not only a great significance to nickel insiders both at home and abroad but also a valuable reference to the future change. Unit 1 kt 3 25 2 15 1 5 Imports Data of Laterite Nickel Ores 21-Apr. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sept. Oct. Nov. Dec. Jau. Feb. Mar. Apr. 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 Indonesia Philippines Others Source China Customs, SMM Unit kt 25 2 15 1 5 2.1 5.4 9.1 Metal Volume of China NPI By Variety 2.1 5 1.8 1.9 4.4 12.5 13.7 14.8 17.8 Nov. 21 Dec. 21 Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. Source;SMM 1.9 5.4 9%~15% 4%~8% 1.5~2.% Comparison of domestic NPI Production Costs and SMM Unit RMB/mt 1# Refined Nickel Prices 22 1.8 6.3 6.7 2 Core data Apparent consumption of domestic nickel; Price changes, imports and exports data of refined nickel; Apparent consumption and price changes, imports and exports data of nickel ores; Domestic NPI price changes, purchasing NPI prices from steel mills, domestic NPI output data, NPI imports and exports data; Stainless steel price changes, and inventory changes. 18 16 14 Mar 1 Mar. 3 Source SMM Mar. 7 Mar. 9 Mar. 11 Mar. 15 Mar. 17 Mar. 21 Mar. 23 Mar. 25 Mar. 29 Refined nickel prices converted from 1%-15% NPI costs Refined nickel prices converted from 4%-6% NPI costs SMM1#refined nickel Mar. 31 2
Table of Contents Apparent Consumption of Laterite Nickel Ores Unit 1 kt 4 3 2 1 Janu. 21 Feb. 21 Mar. 21 Apr. 21 May 21 June. 21 Jul. 21 Aug. 21 Sept. 21 Oct. 21 Nov. 21 Dec. 21 Jan. Feb. Laterite nickel ore imports Use of inventories Apparent consumption Source: SMM, China Customs Unit mt 2 15 1 5 Imports Data of Refined Nickel 21-Feb. 35% 3% 25% 2% 15% 1% 5% % Jan. 21 Feb. 21 Mar. 21 Apr. 21 May 21 Jun. 21 Jul. 21 Aug. 21 Sept. 21 Oct. 21 Nov. 21 Dec. 21 Jau. Feb. Refined nickel imports Refined nickel exports Net imports Source China Customs, SMM 1. Preface and Summary 1.1 Macro Economy Overview 1.1.1 Features of China Economic Operation 1.1.2 Recovery Process of Major Foreign Economies 1.1.3 Outlook of China and Global Economies 212 1.1.3.1 Outlook of Global Economy 212 1.1.3.2 Outlook of China Economy 212 1.2 Overview 1.2.1 Overview of China Non-Ferrous Metal 1.2.2 Overview of China Nickel 1.2.3 Chinese Nickel Chain 2. Supply 2.1 Overview of China Nickel Products Supply 2.1.1 Output of China Nickel Products by Category 2.1.2 Global Proportion of China Nickel Output by Year 2.1.3 Proportion of China Nickel Output in Global Output 2.2 Nickel Ore Supply in China 2.3 Refined Nickel Supply in China 2.3.1 Overview of Refined Nickel Supply 2.3.2 Nickel Output by Company 2.3.3 Details of China Newly-Added Nickel Capacity 2.3.4-212 Output Forecast by Company 2.3.5 Brief Introduction of China Nickel Producers 2.3.5.1 Jinchuan Group 2.3.5.2 Jilin Jien Nickel Co., Ltd. 2.3.5.3 Yuanjiang Nickel Co., Ltd. 2.3.5.4 Sichuan Ni & Co Guorun New Materials Co., Ltd. 2.3.5.5 Jiangxi Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd. 2.3.5.6 Guangxi Yinyi Mining and Metallurgy Technology Co., Ltd. 2.3.5.7 Inco New Nickel Materials (Dalian) Co., Ltd. 2.4 Nickel Pig Iron (NPI) Supply (Please refer to Part Six) 3. Consumption 3.1 Overview 3.2 Analysis of Nickel Demand from Stainless Steel 3.2.1 Global Stainless Steel Output by Country 3.2.1.1 Proportion of China Stainless Steel Output
by Variety 21-3.2.2 China Stainless Steel Output 3.2.2.1 Output at 1 Main China Stainless Steel Mills by Quarter (Jan.-Sept. ) 3.2.2.2 Proportion of China Stainless Steel Output by Variety 3.2.2.3 Nickel Consumption in Chinese Stainless Steel 3.2.2.4 Overview of China Stainless Steel Imports and Exports 3.2.2.5 Capacity of China Stainless Steel Mills and New Expansion Projects 3.2.2.6 Forecast on China Stainless Steel Output -215 3.2.3 Nickel Consumption in China Electroplating 3.2.3.1 Brief Induction of Electroplating 3.2.3.2 Nickel Consumption in Electroplating and Forecast 3.2.4 Nickle Consumption in China Battery 3.2.4.1 Overview of Nickel for Battery Production 3.2.4.2 Export Volume and Quota for Secondary Battery 3.2.4.3 Forecast of China Battery Exports 3.2.4.4 Forecast on Nickel Consumption in Battery 3.2.5 Nickel Consumption in China Nickel Alloy 3.2.5.1 Overview of Nickel Alloy 3.2.5.2 Proportion of Nickel Alloy Output by Variety 3.2.5.3 Forecast on Nickel Consumption in Nickel Alloy 21-3.2.5.4 Forecast on Nickel Consumption in Other Industries 4. Imports and Exports 4.1 Overview of Nickel Imports and Exports 4.1.1 Overview of Refined Nickel Imports and Exports 4.1.1.1 Refined Nickel Imports Comparison by Country 4.1.1.2 Refined Nickel Imports by Enterprise 4.1.2 Analysis of Refined Nickel Exports 4.2 Nickel Ores and Concentrates 4.2.1 Imports Overview 4.2.1.1 Sea Freight Charge Trends 4.2.2 Imports of Nickel Ores and Concentrates 4.2.2.1 Imports of Nickel Ores and Concentrates by Country (Jan. Sept. ) 4.2.2.2 Imports of Nickel Ores and Concentrates by Customs (Jan. Sept. ) 4.2.2.3 Major Importers of Nickel Ores and Concentrates (Jan. Sept. ) 4.2.2.4 Laterite Nickel Ore Port Inventories 4.2.2.5 Storage Fees of Nickel Ore at China Main Ports 4.2.2.6 FOB Price Trends for Laterite Nickel Ore 4.2.2.7 FOB Pricing Model for Laterite Nickel Ore (Jan. Sept. ) 4.2.2.8 Exploitation Costs of Laterite Nickel Ore 4.3 NPI 4.3.1 Overview of NPI Imports 4.3.2 Overview of NPI Exports 4.3.2.1 Impacts of Exports Policy on NPI Exports 4.4 Imports and Exports Policy 5. Price Review and Forecast 5.1 Review and Outlook of Laterite Nickel Ore Price Trend 5.2 NPI 5.3 Refined Nickel 5.3.1 Overview of Refined Nickel Price Trend 5.3.2 Forecast on Refined Nickel Price Trend 212 5.3.2.1 Supply and Demand 5.3.2.1.1 Production Overview of Global New Nickel Projects 6. China NPI Data and Analysis 6.1 Overview of China NPI 6.2 Distribution of China NPI Producers 6.2.1 Overview and Characteristics of China NPI Producer Distribution 6.2.2 Distribution and Quantities of China Blast Furnace NPI Producers 6.2.3 Distribution and Quantities of China Electric Arc Furnace NPI Producers 6.3 Capacity and Output of China NPI Producers 6.3.1 Capacity of China NPI Producers 6.3.2 Major New NPI Expansion Projects 21-6.3.3 NPI Output (Jan.-Sept. ) 6.3.4 Output and Proportion of Various Specification NPI (Jan.-Sept. ) 6.4 Analysis of Major China NPI Producers 6.4.1 Distribution and Output of Main Blast Furnace NPI Producers 6.4.2 Distribution and Output of Main Electric Arc Furnace NPI Producers 6.5 China NPI Cost Analysis 6.5.1 Blast Furnace NPI Producers 6.5.2 Electric Arc Furnace NPI Producers 6.5.3 Comparison of Blast Furnace & Electric Arc Furnace NPI Costs and LME Nicekel Prices 6.6 Application Ratio of Nicekle in Stainless Steel 7. Major Events 4
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