Phosphorus Loading to Western Lake Erie: Trends and Sources Western Lake Erie Conference Toledo Yacht Club March 13, 28 Dr. David B. Baker National Center for Water Quality Research Heidelberg College
What are the trends in phosphorus export from northwestern Ohio watersheds draining into Lake Erie? Particulate phosphorus? phosphorus attached to suspended sediments Decreases in annual loads to Lake Erie Decreases have paralleled decreases in sediment loading Dissolved reactive phosphorus? a form of phosphorus in solution in water Let s look at the data -- Decreases between 1975-1994 Increases between 1994-27 particularly important for Lake Erie
Data from the Ohio Tributary Loading Program Program started by Heidelberg College in 1974 for Lake Erie tributaries Currently automatic sampler collections at 12 U.S. Geological Survey Stream Gages IN MI Raisin Maumee Great Miami Sampling Station Lake Erie Vermilion Grand Sandusky Cuyahoga Muskingum Scioto Major support from the Ohio Department Of Natural Resources, Division of Soil and Water Conservation 4 8 12 Kilometers W N S E
Maumee River, Suspended Solids Loads Suspended Solids, metric tons 2,5, 2,, 1,5, 1,, 5, National Center For Water Quality Research Heidelberg College 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year
Maumee River, Particulate Phosphorus Loads 3,5 Particulate Phos., metric tons 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year
Maumee River, Particulate Phosphorus Loads Sandusky River: Particulate Phosphorus Loading 3,5 7 Particulate Phos., metric tons 3, 2,5 2, 1,5 1, 5 Particulate phosphorus, m tons 6 5 4 3 2 1 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year Water Year Honey Creek, Particulate Phosphorus Loads Particulate Phos., metric tons 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 Decreases in loads of particulate phosphorus have occurred even though stream discharges have increased during the same period. 1977 1982 1987 1992 1997 22 27 Water Year
9, Maumee River, Annual Discharge Maumee River, Flow weighted sediment concentrations Annual Discharge, million m 3 8, 7, 6, 5, 4, 3, 2, 1, 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year Suspended Solids, mg/l 5 4 3 2 1 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year Partculate P. FWMC, mg/l.6.5.4.3.2.1. Particulate P Flow Weghted Mean Concentration R2 =.377 47% decrease p =.4 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year The decreases in concentrations of suspended solids and particulate phosphorus reflect the successes of the conservation tillage and buffer strip programs in northwester Ohio.
1 Maumee River, Dissolved Reactive Phos. Loads DRP loads, metric tons 8 6 4 2 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year
Maumee River, DRP, FWMC 1975-1994 1994-27 Linear (1975-1994) Linear (1994-27).12.1 DRP, FWMC, mg/l.8.6.4.2. 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year
1 Maumee River, Dissolved Reactive Phos. Loads 3 Sandusky River, Dissolved Reactive Phos. Loads DRP loads, metric tons 8 6 4 2 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year DRP loads, metric tons 25 2 15 1 5 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year DRP loads, metric tons Honey Creek, Dissolved Reactive Phos. Loads 35 3 25 2 15 1 5 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Water Year How are the DRP loads delivered? What is the source of the DRP? Why are they increasing? How can the loads be reduced?
How are the DRP loads delivered? Maumee River, Annual Hydrograph, 27 Water Year 7 6 Discharge, CFS 5 4 3 2 1 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 3 61 91 122 152 182 213 243 274 34 334 365 Month of Water Year
How are the DRP loads delivered? Maumee Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus Concentrations.25.2 DRP conc., mg/l.15.1.5. Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 3 61 91 122 152 182 213 243 274 34 334 365 Month of Water Year
How are the DRP loads delivered? Maumee River, DRP loading rate, metric tons/day DRP, metric tons/day 2 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 3 61 91 122 152 182 213 243 274 34 334 365 Month of Water Year
How are the DRP loads delivered to Lake Erie? Maumee River, DRPcumlative load, 27 WY <DRP loads are delivered to Lake Erie in storm event pulses> DRP, metric tons/day 2 18 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep 3 61 91 122 152 182 213 243 274 34 334 365 Month of Water Year 1, 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 metric tons
What is the source of the DRP? Relative Contributions of point and nonpoint sources of phosphorus to total phosphorus export from NW Ohio watersheds Maumee River Sandusky River Honey Creek Rock Creek Cuyahoga River Point Sources 7.5% 4.2% 3.% <1% 58.5% Nonpoint Sources 92.5% 95.8% 97.% >99% 41.5% Row crop agriculture has to be the source of the increases in DRP loading to Lake Erie.
Why is dissolved phosphorus loading from agriculture increasing? Fertilizer P inputs Crop removal Have phosphorus inputs increased? Manure P inputs Soil phosphorus Measured in part by soil tests. Have phosphorus soil test levels increased? P lost to streams and lakes
Tons P/Yr applied to NW and NC Ohio crops (NASS, USDA-ERS data) Tons 25 2 15 1 5 Corn Soybeans Wheat In 22: 33,332 tons P applied 83% from commercial fertilizers 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 17% from manures Tons P/Yr from livestock and layers in NW and NC Ohio (NASS, USDA-NRCS data) Tons 5 4 3 2 Cattle Milk Cows Hogs/Pigs Increasing phosphorus inputs do not appear to be a direct cause of increasing DRP export 1 Layers 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25
Long term phosphorus soil test trends for NW Ohio 12 1 Build up applications lbs/ac Bray P1 8 6 4 2 OSU Lab Logan OSU Lab Calhoun A&L Lab 196 1965 197 1975 198 1985 199 1995 2 25 Soil test values don t show large increases from 1995 to present. Appear unlikely to be a direct cause of increased DRP export.
What are the likely causes of increased dissolved phosphorus runoff from cropland? 1. Some fields likely have excessively high phosphorus soil test values. 2. Phosphorus stratification in soils under no-till and reduced till practices. 3. Increasing usage of fall and winter broadcasting of fertilizers and surface applications of manures. 4. Increasing amounts of surface runoff from fields (less water infiltration during storms events.
lbs/ac Bray P1 lbs/ac Bray P-1 16 14 12 1 8 6 4 2 1 8 6 4 2 Phosphorus Soil Test Trends (A&L Great Lakes Laboratory, Inc.) CN-SB need level 1996 1998 2 22 24 26 Maumee/Sandusky Phosphorus Soil Test Trends (Spectrum Analytic Lab) CN-SB need level 1997 1998 1999 2 21 22 23 24 25 26 NW OH SE MI NE IN Average soil test values are well above crop needs for optimum yields. Soil testing is done immediately prior to fertilizer or manure applications and represents the low point in phosphorus levels in the soil. Many farmers don t use soil testing.
Under conservation tillage and for a given soil test P, DP concentrations are greater in runoff from more poorly drained soils. (Andraski and Bundy. 23. U of Wisc.) (Poorly drained) (Well drained)
Total P (mg/l) Mean Annual TP in Runoff as a Function of Tillage Management 7. 6. 5. 4. 3. 2. 1.. 198 1982 1984 1986 Paired treatment begins 1988 199 1992 1994 Mean Annual DP in Runoff as a Function of Tillage Management Conv. No-till Reducing tillage can decrease TP in runoff Why does no-till increase DRP runoff? Dissolved P (mg/l) 1..8.6.4.2. 198 1982 1984 1986 1988 199 1992 1994 Conv. No-till but it can increase DP in runoff. (Sims and Kleinman. 26. Phosphorus.)
Soil surface Conventional tillage (soil inversion) No-till & reduced till (no soil inversion) Phos. runoff proportional to P conc. in upper inch of soil Very different phosphorus conc. In runoff ~Same standard soil test results 8 inch depth ~ Uniform phosphorus distribution in soil Stratified phosphorus distribution in soil Highest at soil surface
Standard soil testing Soil surface Stratified soil testing (uncommon in Ohio) 8 inches 2 inch 2 8 inch Great Lakes Protection Fund Grant for extensive stratified soil testing in the Sandusky Watershed. Standard soil test results used for fertilizer recommendations Less useful for phosphorus runoff estimates 8 inch depth Possible advantages for nutrient management More useful for phosphorus runoff estimates
Depth Below Surface, Inches -2-4 -6-8 -1-12 -14 Phosphorus Stratification After 2 Years of No-till, Sandusky County, OH 5 1 15 lbs/ac Bray P-1 Glenford silt loam Hoytville si cl lm Standard 8 inch soil test: Glenford 86 lbs/ac Hoytville 82 lbs/ac Jerry Cunningham, CCA Country Spring Farmers Co-op. Depth Below Surface, Inches Phosphorus Stratification After 2 Years of No-till on a Blount silt loam, Seneca County, OH -2-4 -6-8 2 4 6 8 1 lbs/ac Bray P-1 South part field North part field Standard 8 inch soil test: South field 48 lbs/ac North field 54 lbs/ac Bill McKibben, CCA Logan Labs
Fertilizer application methods Incorporation into upper soil strata Broadcast onto soil surface, often in fall winter. Fertilizer is cheaper in in the fall. More convenient for farmers. but up to 45% of broadcast phosphorus fertilizer can be lost to runoff. More common with no-till and reduced till practices.
What about method and timing of P2O5 fertilizer application for corn, soybeans and wheat in Ohio? Average percents (1996-25): P2O5 application methods (USDA-ERS) 1. Percent 8. 6. 4. 2. % acres with P2O5 application % fertilized acres with no incorporation. CORN BEANS WHEAT Average percents (1996-25): timing of P2O5 applications (USDA-ERS) Percent 1. 8. 6. 4. 2.. % acres with P2O5 application % fertilized acres with fall application % fert. acres with spring application % fert. acres with applic. at planting CORN BEANS WHEAT
Value of nutrients that moved past the monitoring stations on the Maumee and Sandusky Rivers during the 27 Water Year, based on current fertilizer costs. (Current costs: N fertilizer-$1,2 per ton as N, P fertilizer-$2,5 per ton as P. Nutrient Nitrate-N Organic-N + ammonia-n Dissolved Phosphorus Particulate Phosphorus Total Maumee R. $37,56, $19,92, $2,225, $6,875, $66,58, Sandusky R. $8,196, $3,744, $62,5 $1,795, $14,337,5
What farmers can do to reduce dissolved phosphorus in runoff? 1. SOIL TEST!!! Include to 2 inch depth samples in no-till or very reduced tillage situations. 2. Read and study the phosphorus section of the Tri-State Fertility Guide. See Figure 1 and understand critical level, maintenance limit, soil test P buildup, maintenance and drawdown ranges. 3. Where soil test P values are above the maintenance limit for crop yield goals, follow the drawdown recommendations for P 2 O 5 needs, if any. 4. Avoid surface broadcast applications of P 2 O 5 unless incorporated by some form of tillage. Options, too, are injection or banding. 5. Avoid fertilizer or manure applications on frozen soils or before intense rain storm events. 6. Manure test to quantify P nutrient value; then match manure application rate with crop needs.
What farmers can do to reduce dissolved phosphorus in runoff? 7. Add phytase enzymes to feed to enhance P nutrient utilization by hogs and chickens. 8. Use manure or soil amendments like aluminum or ferrous sulfate to stabilize dissolved phosphorus. 9. Use upland grass or tree buffers to permit greater infiltration of dissolved phosphorus in runoff. 1. Establish winter cover where growing roots can retain dissolved phosphorus in fields. 11. Where to 2 inch soil test P levels are very high (two times the maintenance limit for corn and soybeans or 12 lbs/ac Bray P1), consider a one time inversion of the soil profile; then resume conservation tillage methods.
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