General Information Energy Reserves Current Energy Policy and measures Past Energy Demand and Supply Energy outlook Energy Related Investment Major Di

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Transcription:

Country Report Nepal 1

General Information Energy Reserves Current Energy Policy and measures Past Energy Demand and Supply Energy outlook Energy Related Investment Major Difficulties and bottlenecks 2

Location 3

Facts about Nepal Total area 147,181 square km. Population around 28.51 million Lowest land 80 meters above sea level Highest 8994 m Mount Everest Mountain 35% Hills 42% Tarai plane 23% 4

Population and Household Number of household : 5,423,297(2) 5

GDP and Growth Nepal GDP Last Previous Highest Lowest Unit GDP Annual Growth Rate 7.50 0.40 8.60 0.10 percent GDP 21.20 19.80 21.20 0.50 USD Billion GDP per capita 689.50 679.30 689.50 267.2323 USD 6

Energy Mix Modern Renewables 3% Coal 4% Petroleum Products12% Electricity 3% Biomass78% Economic Survey, 2014/2015 475 PJ (11.3 mtoe) 7

Energy Reserves Nepal s economic and social development is being hampered by its inadequate energy supply. The country till now does not have its own reserves of gas, coal or oil. Some investigation work is going on. Its most significant energy resource is water or hydropower, just more than one percent of its potential 84,000 megawatts of hydropower is currently harnessed. 8

The Hydropower Development Policy, 2001 1. To generate electricity it at low cost by utilizing i the water resources available in the country. 2. To extend reliable and qualitative electric service throughout the Kingdom of Nepal at a reasonable price. 3. To tie-up electrification with the economic activities. 4. To render support to the development of rural economy by extending the rural electrification. 5. To develop hydropower as an exportable commodity. ELECTRICITY ACT, 2049 (1992) 1. Competitive environment and invite private sector 2. Build own operate and transfer (BOOT) for private sector 3. One window policy and subsidy for private sector 9

Action Plan "Action Plan on National Energy Crisis Prevention and Electricity Development Decade, 2016" To end the load shedding going on in the country and make the country able to export the power to its neighboring i countries to its optimum capacity. Load shading has ended in Kathmandu with the increase in import of electricity from India for now. 10

Facts about the hydro potential ti Total length of rivers and streams more than 45,000 km. Average rain fall 1500-2500 mm. Theoretical hydro potential 84,000 MW Economical hydro potential 43,000 MW Installed capacity around 900 MW 11

Major rivers of Nepal 12

Peak Demand Electricity it 13

Peak Demand of Electricity it 2012-13 13 2013-1414 2014-1515 2015-1616 1094.62 MW 1200.98MW 1291.1 MW 1385.3 MW 14

Load Forecast 15

Generation trend 2016-17 2015-16 900 MW 697 MW 2011-1212 747 MW 2010-11 705 MW Economic Survey 16

Upcoming Hydropower Projects Within 3 months about 45 Mega Watts Next year about 200 Mega Watts Upper Tamakoshi 456 Megawatts expected next year Source DoED 17

Import of Petroleum Products Petroleum Products in K.L. Aviation Turbine SN Fiscal Year Petrol Diesel Kerosene Fuel Furnace Oil LPG IN MT 1 2071/72 (2014 15) 15) 287,473 921,714 19,653 141,404404 883 258,299299 2 2070/71 (2013 14) 253,381 808,567 18,409 125,678 2172 232,660 3 2069/2070 (2012 2013) 223,087 721,203 24065 115,896 2456 207,038 4 2068/069(2011 2012) 202,467 653,560 41609 109,904 440 181,411 5 2067/068 (2010 2011 ) 188,082 652,764 43,399 99,990 228 159,286 18

Petroleum Issues Nepali is increasingly dependent on petroleum product for its energy requirement May be due to the increase in construction ti activities iti Should focus more on biofuels and inhouse available hydropower for energy. 19

Energy Sector of Nepal Ministry of Energy Department of Electricity Development Nepal Electricity Authority Nepal oil corporation Energy Sector of Nepal Ministry of Supply Other line Ministry Ministry of Forest and soil conservation Ministry of Agrculture Development Ministry of Livestock Development National Planning commission Investment board Nepal District Development Committee, Village Development Committee and Municipalities Others Private sector Electricity Tariff Fixation Commission Water and Energy commission Secretariat Other Organization Donors Consumer right group Cooperatives Community Electricity Group Others Alternate energy Promotion Center 20

IPPs' Hydropower Projects (Under Construction ) Developers Projects Location Capacity(KW)PPA Date 1 Upper Tamakoshi Hydropower Ltd. Upper Tamakoshi Dolkha 456000 2067.09.14 2 Green Ventures Pvt. Ltd. Likhu-IV Ramechhap 52400 2067.10.19 3 Robust Energy Ltd. Mistri Khola Myagdi 42000 2067.10.20 2073.01.15 4 Manang Trade Link Pvt. Ltd. Lower Modi Parbat 20000 2068.05.20 5 Middle Bhotekoshi Jalbidhyut Company Ltd. Middle Bhotekoshi Sindhupalchowk 102000 2068.07.28 6 Chilime Hydro Power Company Ltd. Rasuwagadhi Rasuwa 111000 2068.07.28 7 Sanjen Hydropower Company Limited Sanjen Rasuwa 42500 2068.08.19 8 Himalayan Power Partner Pvt. Ltd. Dordi Khola Lamjung 27000 2069.03.01 9 Sasa Engingeering Hydropower (P). Ltd Khani Khola Dolakha 30000 2069.03.25 10Arun Kabeli Power Ltd. Kabeli B-1 Taplejung and Panchthar 250002069 2069.03.2903 29 11 Liberty Hydropower Pvt. Ltd. Upper Dordi A Lamjung 25000 2069.06.02 12 Essel-Clean Solu Hydropower Pvt. Ltd. Lower Solu Solu Solukhumbu 82000 2070.07.15 13 Peoples' Hydropower Company Pvt. Ltd. Super Dordi 'Kha' Lamjung 49600 2071.11.13 14Nyadi Hydropower Limited Nyadi Lamjung 300002072.02.1202 15Kabeli Energy Limited Kabeli-A Panchthar and Taplejung 37600 2072.06.07 Around 1132 Megawatts 21

Major Difficulties i and bottlenecks Technical and environmental 1. Sedimentation carrying rivers flowing through the young and fragile mountain. 2. Huge difference of flow in river between the rainy and dry season 3. Effect of climate change and global warming. Mountains snow quantity is decreasing and will hamper the river flow of snow fed rivers Economic and Financial 1. Return on investment for the investor of hydropower is low 2. Time required to build the infrastructure t like roads and transmission i line leads to long project building time 3. Developer should be responsible for the roads and transmission line and as there is only one buyer NEA with whom developer should do the PPA 22

Major Difficulties and bottlenecks contd. Political and Regulatory 1. A lack of political stability, good governance and law and order issues are important factors hindering progress and economic growth. 2. Frequent changes of ministers and the government, lack of inter- governmental agency co-ordination, prolonged processes and procedures for environmental clearances from the government. 3. Long list of local demands to be fulfilled by hydropower developers. 23

Pi Priority it How to formulate energy policy Best energy policy for Nepal Nepal needs a good policy and apply it in order to develop the country so that people who are now forced to go and work outside the country for thei living can get work within the country. 24

LOGO

References [1] http://www.tradingeconomics.com/nepal/gdp-growth-annualtradingeconomics com/nepal/gdp growth annual [2] http://cbs.gov.np/image/data/population/national%20report/national%20report.pdf [3] NEA Annual Report [4] http://www.nepalenergyforum.com/hydropower-promise-in-nepal/ [5] http://www.nepaloil.com.np/import-and-sales-22.html np/import and html [6] http://www.tradingeconomics.com/nepal/gdp-growth-annual [7] http://www.mof.gov.np/uploads/document/file/economic%20survey%202015-16%20- %20English_20160812062624.pdf [8] Nepal Energy Outlook 2016: Current Status and Prospect 26 Contact :report@tky.ieej.o