FUTURE PLANS AND DEVELOPMENT OF SOUTH AFRICA S PORTS - Logan Naidoo, GM Capital Projects, Transnet Port Terminals 23 May 2012
SA PORTS FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS Presentation Content Company Overview Recent Port Investment Achievements Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS) Future Port Investment Plans PAGE 2
TRANSNET STATE OWNED COMPANY (SOC) LTD delivering freight reliably PAGE 3
SA PORTS FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS Company Overview Recent Port Investment Achievements Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS) Future Port Investment Plans PAGE 4
TPT 10-YR CAPEX HISTORY (Rm) Investment climbed from R131m in 2001/02, peaking at R3.2bn in 2008/09 TPT Investment (R2,363m) (5 years: 2001/02 to 2005/06) TPT Investment (R10,277m) (5 years: 2006/07 to 2010/11) Port concessioning dilemma Infrastructure backlog catchup & expansion drive Global recession & investment cutbacks 131 492 380 584 776 1740 2087 3200 2337 913 2001/02 2002/03 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 RMG Pier 1 (2007) Auto-gate NCT (2009) PAGE 5
MEGA PROJECTS UNDERTAKEN AT TPT OVER PAST 5 YEARS Each project increased port capacity Pier 1: 720K TEU RTG/RMG Terminal, commissioned in Durban [R1.9bn] DCT (P2): Expansion and Re-configuration up to 2.9M TEUs [R1.5bn] CTCT: Expansion up to 1.0M TEUs and conversion to RTGs [R4.3bn] Ngqura: Greenfields port and terminal development. 800K TEUs, 2-berth, deep water CT [R8bn] SLD IOT: Expansion up to 60mpta. Transnet investment is R8.1bn, TPT s investment is [R1.2bn] RCB DBT: Partial refurbishment programme, limited by terminal viability [R800m] PE Bulk: Refurbishment of manganese plant to 4.2mtpa. [R600m] PAGE 6
SA PORTS FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS Company Overview Recent Port Investment Achievements Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS) Future Port Investment Plans PAGE 7
MARKET DEMAND STRATEGY IN SUMMARY The impact of infrastructure development will be felt nation-wide R300bn Transnet-wide capital investment programme over next 7-years Expanding rail, port and pipeline infrastructure Increase in capacity to meet market demand Continued financial stability and strength Significant productivity and operational efficiency improvements Shift from road to rail reducing the cost of doing business and carbon emissions Enabling economic growth Job creation, skills development, localisation, empowerment and transformation opportunities Commodity split (Rbn) 9 24 26 25 Divisional split (Rbn) 201 30 3 32 4 47 4 151 33 11 GFB Export Coal Export Iron Ore Containers (Ports) Piped Products Break Bulk Bulk Other TFR TRE TNPA TPT TPL Other TPT will invest R33bn PAGE 8
MDS will enable growth in key commodities and will position South Africa globally as a key thermal coal exporter an increasingly important 4 th largest supplier of iron ore to China the leading manganese exporter globally the leading logistics hub for sub-saharan Africa a globally recognised benchmark for container and heavy haul operations PAGE 9
MARKET DEMAND STRATEGY (MDS) Total Transnet ZAR300bn, TPT ZAR33bn 2012/13-2018/19, peaking to ZAR9.5bn in 2016/17 Boomtime Ends Global recession Market Demand Strategy R33bn TPT 7yr Investment Plan 3200 2337 913 1137 2551 4138 3492 7670 9545 2812 2670 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 7 Richards Bay corridor Export coal line ZAR32.1bn Port Terminals: ZAR12.4bn Sishen -Saldanha Export iron ore ZAR25.4bn Port Terminals: ZAR5.82bn Durban Multi Product Pipeline ZAR9.4bn Port Terminals: ZAR7.4bn Cape Town Port Terminals: ZAR465ml Eastern Cape Dry Bulk ZAR25.5bn Port Terminals: ZAR6.7bn PAGE 10
MDS INVESTMENTS FOR TPT Port View, Replacement Vs Expansion, Infra Vs Equipment TPT 7-year Capex Plan: R 33bn Total ETC 7 Year Plan Year 1 2012/13 Year 2 2013/14 Year 3 2014/15 Year 4 2015/16 Year 5 2016/17 Year 6 2017/18 Year 7 2018/19 Total (R'm) 32 878 2 551 4 138 3 492 7 670 9 545 2 812 2 670 Civil / Infrastructure vs Cargo Handling Equipment: Cargo Handling Equipment: R 11 758m (36%) Civil / Infrastructure: R 21 119m (64%) CTN: R 465m (1%) SAL: PE: R 527m (2%) R 5 819m (18%) NCT: R 5 877m (18%) RBY: R 12 419m (38%) 6% Replacement: R 9 591m (29%) EL: R 332m (1%) PAGE 11
SA PORTS FUTURE DEVELOPMENT PLANS Company Overview Recent Port Investment Achievements Transnet Market Demand Strategy (MDS) Future Port Investment Plans PAGE 12
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Saldanha Bay PAGE 13
Bulk Terminal: Phase 1 60 mtpa (complete) 90 000 000 80 000 000 70 000 000 60 000 000 50 000 000 40 000 000 30 000 000 20 000 000 10 000 000 0 Iron Ore Bulk (Demand vs Capacity - Tons) Phase 1c complete Phase 2 Break-Bulk Terminal 3.0 mtpa Bulk Terminal: Phase 2 Increased stack; new Tipplers & Berths + Ship Loader (83 mtpa) 3 500 000 3 000 000 2 500 000 2 000 000 1 500 000 1 000 000 500 000 - SLD MPT (Demand vs Capacity - Tons) Break-Bulk Terminal 1x new Berth 4.0 mtpa PAGE 14
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Cape Town PAGE 15
Break-bulk Terminal 0.4 mtpa Container Terminal Phase 2a: 1.0m TEU Phase 2b: 1.4m TEU Container Terminal Phase 3a: 2.0m TEU Phase 3b: > 2.0m TEU Agri Terminal 0.4 mtpa 900000 CT Agri RORO(Demand vs Capacity - Tons) 800000 700000 600000 500000 400000 300000 200000 100000 0 CT Containers (Demand vs Capacity - TEUs) 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 600 000 400 000 200 000 Phase 2a T/S > 14days Phase 2a T/S@ 10days Phase 2b 1.4m TEUS > 2020-2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 PAGE 16
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port Elizabeth PAGE 17
Container Terminal 0.5m TEU s Break-bulk Terminal 0.9 mtpa Bulk Terminal 4.2 mtpa (5.5 mtpa with reduced dwell time) 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 PE RORO (Demand vs Capacity - units) 2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 6 000 000 PE Bulk (Demand vs Capacity - tons) RORO Terminal 150 000 FBU s 5 000 000 4 000 000 3 000 000 2 000 000 1 000 000 600 000 PE Containers (Demand vs Capacity - TEUs) 0 2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 4-high straddles to increase stack 1 000 000 800 000 600 000 400 000 PE Break-Bulk (Demand vs Capacity - tons) 100 000 200 000-2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 0 2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 PAGE 18
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Ngqura BEFORE: Coega River mouth Nov-2002 AFTER: 2010 Ngqura Container Terminal Futuristic Expansion Options PAGE 19
Container Terminal 2011/12: 0.660m TEU 2012/13: 0.800m TEU Ngqura Containers (Volume Forecast) 1 800 000 1 600 000 1 400 000 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 600 000 400 000 200 000 0 Phase 2a 1.5 m TEU 2011/12 (LE) Phase 2b trigger (2MTeus) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 Container Terminal 2013/14: 1.260m TEU 2014/15: 1.500m TEU New Manganese Terminal 10-12 mtpa 20 PAGE 20
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of East London PAGE 21
Port of East London Break-bulk Terminal 0.2 mtpa Container Terminal 0.15m TEU s 100 000 90 000 80 000 70 000 60 000 50 000 40 000 30 000 20 000 10 000 - EL Containers (Volume Forecast - TEUs) 2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 RORO Terminal 139 000 FBU s 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 Bulk Terminal 0.5 mtpa 0 2011/12 (LE) EL Bulk (Volume Forecast - Tons) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 160 000 140 000 120 000 100 000 80 000 60 000 40 000 20 000 0 2011/12 (LE) EL RORO (Volume Forecast - FBUs) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 250 000 200 000 150 000 100 000 50 000 0 2011/12 (LE) EL Break-Bulk (Volume Forecast - 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 PAGE 22
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Durban PAGE 23
Agri Terminal 1.47 mtpa RORO Terminal 520 000 FBU s Break-bulk Terminal 0.4 mtpa 1 600 000 1 400 000 1 200 000 1 000 000 800 000 600 000 400 000 200 000 0 Durban Agri (Volume Forecast tons) Container Terminal 0.230m TEU Break-bulk Terminal 1.3 mtpa Pier 1 Container Terminal 0.76m TEU 2 500 000 DBN Break-Bulk MW & Point (Volume Forecast - tons) Pier 2 Container Terminal 2.5m TEU 2 000 000 1 500 000 1 000 000 Durban Container Terminals (P1 & P2 demand combined) 6 000 000 Pier 1 expansion into Salisbury 5 000 000 Island 4 000 000 3 000 000 2 000 000 1 000 000 - Pier 2 Berth Deepening 2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2012/13: 2.86m TEU - P1 = 0.76m & P2 = 2.1m (crane rails) 2013/14: 3.26m TEU - P1 = 0.76m & P2 = 2.5m (Berth Deepening) 2017/18: 4.50m TEU - P1 = 2.0m (Salisbury Island) & P2 = 2.5m 2018/19: 5.00m TEU - P1 = 2.0m & P2 = 3.0m (BD completed & N/Q lengthened) 500 000 0 600 000 500 000 400 000 300 000 200 000 100 000 0 2011/12 (LE) 2011/12 (LE) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 DBN RORO(Volume Forecast vs Capacity) 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 PAGE 24
Durban Containers - Current Layout - 2012 Salisbury Island Navy Base DCT Pier 2 DCT Pier 1 DCT Reconfiguration Study 2011 PAGE 25
Durban Containers Future Layout - 2019 Consolidated Salisbury Island Navy Base Interim upgrade of Pier 1 + 2 Rail Terminals Pier 1 with new Salisbury Island infill and deep-water berths Total cost: R 6.3b Pier 2 with deepened berths 203-205 and new tandem cranes Total cost: R 5.6b DCT Reconfiguration Study 2011 PAGE 26
Durban Containers Long Term Potential Layout New rail terminals and back-of-port facilities Infill between Pier 1 and Pier 2. Durban Container Terminal reconfigured to RMG operation DCT Reconfiguration Study 2011 PAGE 27
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Durban: Dual-Hoist Tandem-lift STS Cranes on order Manufactured by ZPMC in Shanghai, China STS Crane #1 & #2 (Final Assembly) STS Crane #3 (under construction) PAGE 28
FUTURE EXPANSION PLANS FOR DURBAN Ex Durban International Airport (DIA) Site Port of Durban Mondi Sapref Refinery Isipingo Old Durban Airport Umlazi N2 Freeway Toyota Factory PAGE 29
FUTURE PLANS FOR DURBAN Artist s View of the new Dig-Out Port at ex-dia Site Port of Durban New Dig-Out Port Breakwater and Entrance Channel Liquid Bulk Terminal Container Terminals Automotive Terminal PAGE 30
MDS - PORT EXPANSION PLANS Port of Richards Bay PAGE 31
Millions Millions Millions Millions Dry Bulk Terminal Imports: 8.3 mtpa Break-bulk Terminal 7.4 mtpa Exports: 12.9 mtpa General: 6.3 mtpa (incl 2.0mt of Coal) Magnetite (801): 4.0 mtpa Woodchips (804): 2.6 mtpa 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1-14 12 10 8 R/Bay DBT Imports (Forecast vs Capacity) 11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 R/Bay DBT Mineral Exports (Forecast vs CD West Development Chrome (1.6mtpa) 6 12 10 8 6 R/Bay Break-Bulk - 4 2 3.0 11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 R/Bay DBT Woodchip Exports (Forecast vs Capacity) 4 2 Volume forecast R/bay Break- Bulk 2.5 2.0 0 11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 MPT has 6 dedicated berths (3 each at 6 & 7 Series). Terminal uses Berth 804 (woodchip) & 705 (DBT exports). It is assumed that these 2 additional berths will be used 25% of the time, resulting in an additional half berth. Based on current cargo dwell time, additional storage may be required in 2013. 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 11/12 (LE) 12/13 13/14 14/15 15/16 16/17 17/18 18/19 PAGE 32
RICHARDS BAY EXPANSION PLANS Feasibility Studies Underway R12.4 bn investments expected PAGE 33
MDS SOME KEY EXECUTION CHALLENGES The R300bn investment programme will be felt nation-wide Caring for the Environment Global Market Stability Safety is #1 on Projects Stimulation of Local Business Access to Skills & Job Creation Stakeholder Management PAGE 34
MARKET DEMAND STRATEGY (MDS) Total Transnet ZAR300bn, TPT ZAR33bn 2012/13-2018/19, peaking to ZAR9.5bn in 2016/17 Boomtime Ends Global recession Market Demand Strategy R33bn TPT 7yr Investment Plan 3200 2337 913 1137 2551 4138 3492 7670 9545 2812 2670 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 7 Richards Bay corridor Export coal line ZAR32.1bn Port Terminals: ZAR12.4bn Sishen -Saldanha Export iron ore ZAR25.4bn Port Terminals: ZAR5.82bn Durban Multi Product Pipeline ZAR9.4bn Port Terminals: ZAR7.4bn Cape Town Port Terminals: ZAR465ml Eastern Cape Dry Bulk ZAR25.5bn Port Terminals: ZAR6.7bn PAGE 35