Market opportunities for Queensland agribusiness from FTAs with China, Japan and South Korea. Queensland Production

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Market opportunities for Queensland agribusiness from FTAs with China, Japan and South Korea Queensland Production

Scope Australia recently signed Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) with China (June 2015), Japan (July 2014) and South Korea (April 2014). These agreements substantially reduce or remove tariffs on a range of Australian food and agribusiness export products including beef, grains, horticulture, seafood and processed foods, which together represent a large share of Queensland s total agricultural production and exports. This document provides an overview of stage 1 of a two stage project. The overarching objective of the whole project is to identify where there are the strongest opportunities arising from the FTAs and what barriers exist to realising these opportunities. Principally, the focus of identifying opportunities has been on the four broad agribusiness sectors of beef, grains, horticulture and seafood/aquaculture, including both unprocessed and processed products. The purpose of Stage 1 is to take a data view on opportunities from the three FTAs and undertake consultations with Queensland agribusiness stakeholders on opportunities and barriers. Stage 2 will investigate, in more detail, the specific opportunities identified and focus on in-market consultations in China, Japan and South Korea which are expected to lead to the generation of trade and investment leads. 2

Contents This document presents an overview of Queensland s agricultural and seafood/aquaculture production by value for the three years 2011-12 to 2013-14. This provides a baseline understanding of the agricultural commodities in which Queensland is strongest and which commodities are growing or declining. Snapshot of production 4 Broadacre crops 5 Fruits and nuts 6 Vegetables 7 Seafood and aquaculture 8 First round processing 9 3

Snapshot of production Table 1.1 shows that the total value of Queensland agriculture has been above $10 billion for the three years presented and has been growing over this time. Cattle and calves is the largest sector by value across all three years, representing 37% of the total value in 2013-14. This is followed by broadacre crops, fruit, nuts and vegetables. Poultry, eggs and pigs are also significant contributors to the total production value of Queensland agriculture. The sectors which are relatively small by comparison to NSW and Victoria are milk, wool, sheep and lambs. Table 1.1: Value of Queensland s total agricultural and seafood/aquaculture production Value of production ($m), current dollars 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Broadacre crops 3,060 2,979 2,715 Fruit and nuts 940 1,136 1,064 Vegetables for human consumption 920 1,041 970 Nurseries, cut flowers, cultivated turf 315 314 293 Hay and silage 88 114 119 Total value of crops 5,323 5,584 5,160 Cattle and calves 3,450 3,461 3,890 Poultry 430 461 494 Pigs 212 216 262 Sheep and lambs 59 39 61 Other 28 26 31 Total value of livestock slaughtered 4,178 4,203 4,738 Milk 260 245 231 Eggs 159 168 190 Wool 115 100 80 Total value of livestock products 534 514 502 Seafood/aquaculture 268 277 280 Total value of agricultural production 10,303 10,577 10,679 Source: ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2011-12; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2012-13; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2013-14; ABARES Australian fisheries and aquaculture statistics 2014. Note: Totals may differ from the sum of individual items due to rounding. 4

Broadacre crops Table 1.2 provides a further breakdown of broadacre crops. Overall, the value of broadacre has declined over the three years presented. The table shows that the non-cereal crops of sugar cane and cotton dominate with almost 70% of the total value in 2013-14. The cereal crops of wheat and sorghum make up the bulk of the cereals sub-category and 22% of the total broadacre value in 2013-14. Table 1.2: Value of Queensland broadacre crop production Value of production ($m), current dollars 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Sugar cane 1,080 1,072 1,165 Cotton 981 677 698 Pulses 137 195 118 Peanuts 20 16 16 Other oilseeds 16 15 7 Canola 1 0 0 Other non-cereal crops 36 14 11 Total value of non-cereal crops 2,271 1,990 2,014 Wheat 413 512 339 Sorghum 279 360 261 Maize 51 51 44 Barley 40 47 50 Oats 4 3 1 Rice 0 - np Other cereal crops for grain or seed 4 16 6 Total value of cereal crops 789 989 701 Total value of broadacre crops 3,060 2,979 2,715 Source: ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2011-12; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2012-13; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2013-14. Note: Totals may differ from the sum of individual items due to rounding. np = not available for publication but included in totals 5

Fruits and nuts Table 1.3 provides a further breakdown of fruit and nut production. The table shows that the top five products were collectively worth over $700m in 2013-14 67% of the total value of fruit and nuts produced. Macadamia is the only nut of any significant value. Table 1.3: Value of Queensland fruit and nut production Value of production ($m), current dollars 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Bananas 415 457 323 Avocadoes 77 112 139 Strawberries 81 72 103 Mandarins 71 78 78 Mangoes 50 53 69 Macadamias 53 54 58 Grapes 18 51 56 Apples 33 45 30 Oranges 4 3 5 Nectarines 3 3 3 Peaches 2 2 3 Pears 0 1 1 Cherries 0 0 0 Other orchard fruit and nuts 52 48 52 All other fruit 83 158 144 Total 940 1,136 1,064 Source: ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2011-12; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2012-13; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2013-14. Note: Totals may differ from the sum of individual items due to rounding. Note: The value of Queensland pineapple production for 2013-14 was $56.97 million, data was not available for the 2011-12 or 2012-13 periods. 6

Vegetables Table 1.4 provides a further breakdown of vegetable production, while Table 1.5 provides a further breakdown of the other vegetables category. The tables show that tomatoes were the biggest commodity in 2013-14, followed by melons, beans, sweet potatoes, mushrooms, capsicum, sweet corn and potatoes. Table 1.4: Value of Queensland vegetable production Value of production ($m), current dollars 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Tomatoes 163 218 134 Melons 59 70 78 Capsicum 55 59 59 Potatoes 43 72 43 Lettuce 38 70 39 Mushrooms 37 20 60 Carrots 22 27 18 Onions 27 21 18 Other 476 486 521 Total 920 1,041 970 Source: ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2011-12; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2012-13; ABS 7503.0 Value of Agricultural Commodities Produced, Australia, 2013-14. Note: Totals may differ from the sum of individual items due to rounding. Table 1.5: Value of Queensland other vegetable production Value of production ($m), current dollars 2013-14 Beans (including runner & French) 71 Sweet potatoes 68 Sweet corn 47 Zucchini and button squash 39 Spring onions and shallots 33 Pumpkin 32 Broccoli 21 Broccolini 21 Chillies 19 Asian vegetables 17 Spinach - baby 13 Cauliflowers 10 Celery 10 Eggplant 8 Cucumbers 8 Cabbages 6 Parsley 3 Beetroot 2 Silverbeet 2 Peas - fresh 2 Parsnips 2 Leek 1 Brussel sprouts 1 Peas - processing 0 Swedes - All other vegetables 85 Total value of other vegetables 521 Note: The vegetables included in this table are those for which annual data are not available for 2011-12 through to 2013-14. 7

Seafood and aquaculture Table 1.6 provides a further breakdown of seafood and aquaculture production. Wild-caught products make up around 70% of the value of Queensland seafood. Across both the wild-caught and aquaculture sectors, prawns are the most valuable species group. In the wild-caught sector, coral trout are the most valuable fish species with production worth $27.5 million in 2013-14. This was only slightly more than the most valuable fish species in the aquaculture sector, barramundi (with production worth $25.1 million in 2013-14). Table 1.6: Value of Queensland seafood and aquaculture production Value of production ($m), current dollars 2011-12 2012-13 2013-14 Wild-caught Coral trout 23.7 24.6 27.5 Barramundi 13.8 9.4 7.5 Mullet 4.3 5.1 4.2 Other 30.4 28.1 25.2 Total fish 72.2 67.1 64.3 Prawns 59.7 68.4 70.1 Crab 31.3 29.7 30.0 Rock lobster and bug 15.6 17.8 20.2 Total crustaceans 106.6 115.9 120.3 Scallop 6.1 11.7 5.4 Squid 0.8 0.7 0.7 Total molluscs 6.9 12.3 6.1 Total wild-caught 185.7 195.3 190.7 Aquaculture Barramundi 21.3 19.7 25.1 Silver perch 0.9 1.1 1.1 Barcoo grunter 0.4 na na Aquarium fish 0.5 0.7 0.7 Total fish 23.0 21.5 26.9 Prawns 56.8 56.6 59.0 Redclaw 0.8 0.7 0.7 Total crustaceans 57.6 57.6 59.7 Oyster 0.5 0.5 0.5 Total molluscs 0.5 0.5 0.5 Other 1.4 2.5 2.0 Total aquaculture 82.5 81.8 89.1 Total production 268.2 277.1 279.8 Source: ABARES Australian fisheries and aquaculture statistics 2014. Note: Totals may differ from the sum of individual items due to rounding. na = not available 8

First round processing Table 1.7 below shows the value of first stage processing for selected food and fibre commodities shown in the above tables. The table shows that 80% of the gross value of food and fibre processing in Queensland is within the meat and sugar industry. Table 1.7: Gross value of production first round processing of food and fibre primary industries Value of production ($m), current dollars 2011-12 2012-13 Meat processing 1,603 1,617 Sugar processing 672 607 Fruit and vegetables processing 189 204 Milk and cream processing 137 129 Flour mill and feed processing 67 88 Seafood processing 66 65 Cotton ginning 112 77 Total value 2,846 2,787 Source: Queensland Government, 2014, Queensland AgTrends 2014-15; taken from ABS data. Note: Totals may differ from the sum of individual items due to rounding. 9

General use restriction This report is prepared solely for the Department of Agriculture and Fisheries and Trade and Investment Queensland by Deloitte Access Economics (DAE). This report is not intended to and should not be used or relied upon by anyone else and we accept no duty of care to any other person or entity. The report has been prepared for the purpose of identifying the opportunities for Queensland agribusiness from the Free Trade Agreements with China, Japan and South Korea. You should not refer to or use our name or the advice for any other purpose. General information only This presentation contains general information only, and none of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, its member firms, or their related entities (collectively the Deloitte Network ) is, by means of this presentation, rendering professional advice or services. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your finances or your business, you should consult a qualified professional adviser. No entity in the Deloitte Network shall be responsible for any loss whatsoever sustained by any person who relies on this presentation. About Deloitte Deloitte refers to one or more of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, a UK private company limited by guarantee, and its network of member firms, each of which is a legally separate and independent entity. Please see www.deloitte.com/au/about for a detailed description of the legal structure of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited and its member firms. Deloitte provides audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services to public and private clients spanning multiple industries. With a globally connected network of member firms in more than 150 countries, Deloitte brings world-class capabilities and high-quality service to clients, delivering the insights they need to address their most complex business challenges. Deloitte has in the region of 225,000 professionals, all committed to becoming the standard of excellence. About Deloitte Australia In Australia, the member firm is the Australian partnership of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu. As one of Australia s leading professional services firms. Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu and its affiliates provide audit, tax, consulting, and financial advisory services through approximately 6,000 people across the country. Focused on the creation of value and growth, and known as an employer of choice for innovative human resources programs, we are dedicated to helping our clients and our people excel. For more information, please visit our web site at www.deloitte.com.au. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation. Member of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited 2016 Deloitte Access Economics Pty Ltd 10