CONSERVING TROPICAL FORESTS FOR PEOPLE, THE ENVIRONMENT, AND RESPONSIBLE BUSINESSES

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Transcription:

CONSERVING TROPICAL FORESTS FOR PEOPLE, THE ENVIRONMENT, AND RESPONSIBLE BUSINESSES

The Benefits TFF Provides People who live in or near tropical forests The local and global environment Businesses that use or produce wood products

Tropical Forests are Disappearing earthobservatory.nasa.gov

Causes of Deforestation Deforestation in 2000-10 (thousand ha per year) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Africa Latin America Asia Urban Expansion Infrastructure Mining Subsistence Agriculture Commercial Agriculture

Worldwide concern was rising in the 1980s regarding the rapid loss of tropical forests

Initiating Change In 1989, a workshop was organized with experts from industry, conservation, and science. Smithsonian Institute, Dr. Thomas Lovejoy World Bank, Dr. Marc Dourojeanni UNESCO, Dr. Kuswata Kartawinata Princeton University, Dr. Stephen Hubbell Government of Nigeria, Dr. Philip R.O. Kio World Wildlife Fund, Robert Buschbacher Georgia-Pacific Corporation, Walter Jarck US Forest Service, Dr. Frank Wadsworth Rainforest Alliance, Ivan Ussach

Key Findings of the Workshop Tropical forests will be conserved only if they have economic value Blanket bans and embargos tend to depress the value of hardwoods and the forests Funds obtained from products of the tropical forests must be rechanneled into managing and regenerating those forests.

The Tropical Forest Foundation was formed in 1990 Continue the discussion and research Educate producers and users of tropical woods on these key findings Develop relationships among policy-makers, conservation and academic organizations, and industry.

TFF Training Centers

Defining best practices Developed the world s standard for Reduced Impact Logging in tropical forests.

Conventional Logging Reduced Impact Logging Improvements Achieved Through Reduced Impact Logging Practices

Measuring the avoided emissions resulting from RIL Tropical deforestation releases 20% of greenhouse gas emissions worldwide, roughly equivalent to that released by the transportation sector Reduced Impact Logging is mentioned specifically in the Verified Carbon Standard as a qualifying emissions reduction strategy Methodology currently in validation to credit RIL practitioners for avoided emissions vs CL

MARKETS ARE SHIFTING

Tropical Wood Market Share is Falling Statistics for 1995 and 2011 Plywood 75% to 25% Veneer 38% to 30% Roundwood 20% to 15% Sawnwood 10% to 10% --Source ITTO Market Information Service

Markets are Shifting Families in the emergent, established, and affluent segments will make up 37 percent of Brazilian households by 2020, compared with 29 percent in 2010 and just 24 percent in 2000. These households will account for more than 85 percent of incremental spending from 2010 to 2020 -- Boston Consulting Group

Middle Class Outside the U.S. Expected to Double By 2020 Approaching 1 Billion Households Worldwide commodity consumption will be impacted Foreign households w/real PPP incomes greater than $20,000 a year (in millions of households) 1000 800 Middle class in developing countries projected to increase 138% by 2020 vs. just 15% in developed countries in 2009 600 400 Developing countries 200 Developed countries (ex US) 0 1990 1994 1998 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council. Source: Global Insight s Global Consumer Markets data as analyzed by OGA

Middle Class in Developing Countries Could Reach 616 Million Households By 2020, Up 138% From 2009 Levels 25% of households in these countries are middle class. By 2020, this could increase to 49% and the impact on food consumption will be large Developing countries with fastest growing middle class China India Brazil Indonesia Russia Egypt Thailand Mexico Turkey Vietnam Philippines Iran Poland Nigeria 12 9 7 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 1 8 60 234 levels 2009 Proj gains by 2020 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 250 275 300 325 350 Households with real PPP incomes greater than $20,000 (in millions) Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council Source: Global Insight s Global Consumer Markets data as analyzed by OGA

Source: Global Trade Atlas

Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council Source: Global Trade Atlas

600 500 US Hardwood Lumber Exports to China China's Growing Middle Million Board Feet 400 300 200 1999-2006 US Furniture Manufacturing Shift to China and US Housing Boom 1999-2006 2006-2009 US Housing Bust and Worldwide Economic Turmoil 2 0 1 2 100 2009-2012 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Jan - Nov. 2012 Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council. Source: Hardwood Market Report 2013

Chart provided by American Hardwood Export Council Source: FII Ltd drawing on BTS Ltd & Eurostat

Markets are Shifting Substitution of hardwood plywood products Substitutes are making more inroads into applications previously dominated by hardwood plywood in the European market. -- ITTO Market Information Service

Markets are Shifting Imports are shifting from tropical countries

Markets are Shifting Fighting trade of illegal timber Japan Goho Wood, 2006 US Lacey Act amendments, 2008 EU Trade Regulations, 2013 Australian law, 2014

Markets are Shifting Laws are impacting flow of tropical woods American Hardwood Export Council meeting on October 4, foreign buyers said they are shifting to more American woods over tropicals because they are certain of the legality of American woods

Markets are Shifting Making softwoods more durable could cut demand for unsustainably logged tropical hardwoods. -- The Economist Increasing the Durability of Softwoods to Reduce Use of Tropical Hardwoods -- The Dirt

Markets are Shifting A 2008 pledge by Mayor Michael Bloomberg, Honorary ASLA, to the United Nations General Assembly that he would reduce New York s tropical hardwood use by 20 percent. Since then, NYC Parks & Recreation has stopped using tropical wood in park benches. San Francisco, Santa Monica, and Baltimore ban the use of tropical hardwoods completely for municipal projects. -- Landscape Architecture Magazine, 2013

Markets are Shifting Market reports at the National Hardwood Lumber Association 2013 Convention show that there is a growing gap between demand and available supply of temperate climate hardwoods Hardwood Market Report says that US housing starts will increase by 31% in 2014, 40.6% in 2015. The rapid market growth starting from already thin log inventories in the US will drive demand to imported supplies

Conclusions Tropical hardwoods have had a declining share of the world export markets Growth of the middle class in China, Brazil, and India is creating rapidly growing markets for wood

Conclusions Legal restrictions and inaccurate perceptions are influencing demand in US, EU The US housing market offers an opportunity over the next few years for growth in imports due to tight domestic supplies and lack of capacity

Thank You! Email: tff@tropicalforestfoundation.org Tropical Forest Foundation 2121 Eisenhower Avenue Suite 200 Alexandria, VA 22314 Phone: 703.518.8834 Fax: 703.518.8974 www.tropicalforestfoundation.org

THANK YOU!