GLOBALE ENERGIEWENDE WUNSCHDENKEN ODER REALITÄT? Christine Lins Executive Secretary

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GLOBALE ENERGIEWENDE WUNSCHDENKEN ODER REALITÄT? Christine Lins Executive Secretary christine.lins@ren21.net

GLOBALE ENERGIEWENDE WUNSCHDENKEN ODER REALITÄT? NOTWENDIGKEIT

REN21 Renewables 2017 Global Status Report The report features: Global Overview Market & Industry Trends Distributed Renewable Energy for Energy Access Investment Flows Policy Landscape NEW: Enabling Technologies and Energy Systems Integration Energy Efficiency Feature: Deconstructing Baseload

In 2016 investors were able to acquire more renewable energy capacity for less money. Newly installed renewable power capacity set new records in 2016, with 161 gigawatts (GW) added, increasing the global total by almost 9% relative to 2015. For the fifth consecutive year, investment in new renewable power capacity was roughly double the investment in fossil fuel generating capacity, reaching USD 249.8 billion. 2016 was the third year in a row where global CO 2 emissions from the energy sector remained stable despite a 3% growth in the global economy and an increased demand for energy.

2016 Renewables hitting new records driven by solar PV and wind Power capacity additions by fuel 2016 Coal Solar PV Wind Gas Renewables 0 50 100 150 200 Additions (GW) Renewables breaking an all-time record accounting for two thirds of global net capacity additions; For the first time PV becoming the global leader in net capacity growth before coal.

Renewable Energy Champions

Power Sector By year s end, renewables comprised an estimated 30% of the world s power generating capacity and 24.5% of global electricity demand

Heating and Cooling Modern renewable energy supplies approx. 9% of total global heat demand. In 2016, the vast majority of renewable heat continued to be supplied by biomass, with smaller contributions from solar thermal and geothermal energy. Deployment of renewable technologies in this market continued to be constrained by factors such as comparatively low fossil fuel prices and a relative lack of policy support.

Transport In 2016, liquid biofuels provided around 4% of world road transport fuels, which account for the majority of transport energy use. Biogas use in transport grew substantially in the United States and continued to gain shares of the transportfuel mix in Europe. Further electrification of the transport sector has the potential to create a new market for renewable energy and to facilitate the integration of variable renewable energy.

Global Investment in Renewable Energy Global new investment in renewables was USD 241.6 billion in 2016 Developing/emerging economies invest nearly as much in renewables as developed countries

Solar PV 75 GW of solar PV capacity was added worldwide Global solar PV capacity totaled 303 GW Forecast 2017: 100 GW

Solar PV China added 34.5 GW (up 126% over 2015), increasing its total solar PV capacity 45% to 77.4 GW, far more than that of any other country Forecast China 2017: 50 GW

Wind Power 55 GW of wind power capacity added Global total increased 12% to 487 GW

Wind Power At least 24 countries met 5% or more of their annual electricity demand with wind power Enough global capacity to meet 4% of total electricity consumption

Renewable Energy in the World As of 2015, renewable energy provided an estimated 19.3% of global final energy consumption

100% Renewables: Pipe dream or reality? 114 experts interviewed Conservative, moderate, progressive perspectives Giving their opinion on: feasibility of 100% renewable energy future macro-economic impact of such a future All regions of the world represented Not prescriptive but a starting point for debate 12 Great Debates

Overview of the Results the 12 Great Debates

Historic projections fall short solar PV

Policy design should optimise system value of variable renewable deployment Level of VRE penetration Distributed resources integration System services Generation time profile Technology mix Location Integrated planning Grids Flexible resources planning & investments Generation Storage System and market operation Demand shaping

Conclusions Record installed capacity, however progress not fast enough to reach Paris Agreement goals Energy transition is happening in the power sector. For 100 % renewable energy to become reality, all renewable energy technologies need to be deployed and more focus needs to be put on heating & cooling as well as transport. Fossil-fuels need to be kept in the ground, fossil-fuel subsidies need to be phased out. Policy matters: system approach needed for linking power, heating and cooling as well as transport sector.

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