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FIELD RESEARCH CORPORATION FOUNDED IN 1945 BY MERVIN FIELD 601 California Street, Suite 900 San Francisco, California 94108 415-392-5763 Tabulations From a Survey of California Registered Voters about Reelecting President Obama and November 2012 General Election Voting Preferences between Obama and His Major GOP Challengers - prepared for the- Capitol Alert and the Sacramento Bee December 1, 2011

Introduction This volume presents the statistical data developed from a Field Poll survey of registered voters in California about their views on re-electing President Obama and November 2012 general election voting preferences between Obama and his major GOP challengers. The survey was conducted by The Field Poll among a representative sample of 1,000 registered voters in California conducted by telephone in English and Spanish November 15-27, 2011. In order to cover a broad range of issues and still minimize respondent fatigue, the overall sample was divided into two random subsamples of 485 and 515 voter each on some questions. Sampling The sample was developed from telephone listings of individual voters selected randomly from a listing of statewide voter registration rolls. Once a voter s name and telephone had been selected interviewers are attempted only with the specified voter. Interviews can be conducted on either the voter s landline or cell phone, depending on the source of the telephone listing from the voter file and the preference of the voter. In this survey 775 interviewers were derived from landline sample listings and 225 from cell phone listings. Prior to the start of data collection, professionally-trained telephone interviewers were briefed with regard to the survey s proper calling and interviewing procedures by the Study Director. This session provided both interviewers and supervisors with an overview of the study and includes a question-by-question review of all items in the survey. Interviewers then completed survey interviews by telephone through the computer-assisted telephone interviewing (CATI) system. CATI controls the telephone scripts read to individual respondents by displaying the appropriate questionnaire items and their valid response code alternatives in their proper sequence on computer screens at each interviewer's booth. The interviewer then reads each question aloud to the respondent from the screen and enters each respondent's pre-coded answer category through the keyboard directly to a computer disk. All answers are automatically stored in computer memory. In order to bring hard-to-reach respondents into the survey, up to six attempts (an initial call plus five callbacks) were made to each telephone number selected for inclusion into the sample. Callbacks were made at different times and on different days to increase the probability of finding voters available for the interview. Where possible, appointments are made at specified dates and times to maximize convenience and cooperation rates.

Data Processing The data file resulting from CATI interviewing is itself virtually error-free. Even so, a final series of data checks were performed by means of a specially designed cleaning program that scrutinizes each respondent record for internally inconsistent information. Once the data were determined to be clean and error-free, the overall sample was weighted to align it to its proper statewide proportions by demographic characteristics of the state s registered voter population.

Guide to Reading the Tables The following is an explanation of the detailed statistical tabulations contained in this report: The question or questions upon which the data are based is shown at the top of each table Tables are percentaged vertically with the raw percentage base appearing at the top of each column. The data have been weighted to known parameters of the statewide registered voter population. All percentages and frequencies reported in each table are therefore weighted tabulations. In instances where percentages are calculated on small bases (e.g., when the base is fewer than 100 respondents) the reader is urged to interpret the data with caution, since results are subject to larger levels of sampling error. Throughout the tables an asterisk is used to denote a value of less than 1/2 of 1%. A hyphen indicates zero value. On some tables the percentages may add to more than 100% due to multiple mentions. s of subgroups used in the tabulations may add to less than the total number of respondents due to some respondents not reporting that characteristic.

Subgroup Definitions The following are some of the definitions applicable to some of the voter subgroups reported in this volume: Area Southern California: Northern California: Coastal Counties: Inland counties: Los Angeles, Orange, Riverside, San Bernardino, San Diego, Imperial, Santa Barbara, Ventura, Kern, and San Luis Obispo counties all other 48 California counties San Diego, Orange, Los Angeles, Ventura, Santa Barbara, San Luis Obispo, Monterey, Santa Cruz, San Mateo, San Francisco, Contra Costa, Alameda, Marin, Napa, Solano, Sonoma, Santa Clara, Mendocino, Humboldt and Del Norte counties all other 38 California counties Region Los Angeles: San Diego/Orange: Other South: SF Bay Area: Central Valley: Other North: Los Angeles County San Diego County and Orange counties San Bernardino, Riverside, Imperial, Ventura, Santa Barbara, and San Luis Obispo San Francisco, Marin, Napa, Sonoma, Solano, Contra Costa, Alameda, Santa Clara, San Mateo Butte, Colusa, Fresno, Glenn, Kern, Kings, Madera, Merced, Placer, Sacramento, San Joaquin, Shasta, Stanislaus, Sutter, Tehema, Tulare, Yolo, and Yuba Alpine, Amador, Calaveras, Del Norte, El Dorado, Humboldt, Inyo, Lake, Lassen, Mariposa, Mendocino, Monterey, Modoc, Mono, Nevada, Plumas, San Benito, Santa Cruz, Sierra, Siskiyou, Trinity, and Tuolumne

Estimates of Sampling Error In any survey based on a sampling, there is some sampling error introduced into the data by the process of sampling itself. When the sample has been drawn using random processes, it is possible to apply probability principles to determine the potential range of such error. While survey samples of human populations rarely, if ever, meet all of the criteria theoretically required for the application of these principles, it is customary to use them as an approximation of error that is introduced as a result of sampling. The table below shows the range of error that is associated with samples of various sizes, assuming the use of the 95% confidence level, which is customary for most public opinion surveys. For example, if 50% of the overall sample of 1,001 registered voters answered yes to a specific question, this statistic would have a sampling error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. This means that there is a 95% chance that had the overall population of registered voters statewide been interviewed using the same questionnaire and methods, the results of such a census would yield a result between 46.9% and 53.1%. The same procedure can be used to estimate the sample error ranges of any other statistic contained in this report. Approximate percentage distribution of replies to question Approximate sample size 10% 30% 50% 70% 90% 100 +/- 6.0 +/- 9.2 +/- 10.0 +/- 9.2 +/- 6.0 300 +/- 3.5 +/- 5.3 +/- 5.8 +/- 5.3 +/- 3.5 500 +/- 2.7 +/- 4.1 +/- 4.5 +/- 4.1 +/- 2.7 1000 +/- 1.9 +/- 2.9 +/- 3.1 +/- 2.9 +/- 1.9 There are many other possible sources of error other than sampling variability in this and any other public opinion survey. Different results could occur because of differences in question wording, sequencing, the rigor with which sampling procedures were implemented, or through undetected errors or omissions in sampling, interviewing or data processing. The overall design and execution of the survey minimized the potential for these other sources of error.

Questions Asked Thinking about the country overall, do you think things in the U.S. are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things are seriously off on the wrong track?* Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? Barack Obama s term as President ends next year. Are you inclined or not inclined to vote to re-elect Obama as President? (IF INCLINED OR NOT INCLINED) How strong is your desire (to re-elect) (not to re-elect) Obama very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? Suppose that former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama?* Suppose that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President Republican Newt Gingrich or Democrat Barack Obama?* Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Obama is doing in handling the nation's economy?* After next year s elections, do you think the country would have a better chance of solving its economic problems with Barack Obama as President, with the Republican party nominee as President, or wouldn t it make much difference?* * asked of a random subsample of registered voters. All other questions of the total sample.

Q1. Thinking about the country overall, do you think things in the U.S. are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things are seriously off on the wrong track? : Registered voters (form A) Region Area Party Regis. Ethnicity Voted ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------------------- Gen. North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- White Elec- ----------- ----------- San S.F. tral Non- non- tion South North In- Diego/ Othr Bay Val- Other Part/ Hisp- La- Asian/ ----- Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South Area ey North Dem Rep Other anic tino Black Other 2008 ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 285 200 322 163 130 78 67 82 97 31 210 170 105 308 102 22 43 412 Weighted 485 291 194 343 142 126 87 70 98 80 24 213 150 122 306 103 26 44 403 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Right 92 57 35 69 23 32 8 17 20 12 4 58 8 26 48 21 11 13 75 direction 19.0 19.7 18.1 20.2 16.3 25.1 9.5 24.6 19.9 14.8 15.9 27.1 5.5 21.6 15.6 20.3 41.9 29.1 18.6 Wrong track 340 202 138 232 108 77 70 48 65 60 19 119 134 87 235 68 13 20 287 70.1 69.4 71.0 67.7 75.9 61.3 80.4 68.4 66.8 75.1 79.8 55.7 89.2 71.7 76.8 65.8 49.5 46.0 71.2 No opinion 53 32 21 42 11 17 9 5 13 8 1 37 8 8 23 14 2 11 41 10.9 10.9 10.9 12.2 7.8 13.6 10.1 7.0 13.2 10.1 4.3 17.1 5.4 6.7 7.5 13.9 8.6 24.9 10.2

Q1. Thinking about the country overall, do you think things in the U.S. are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things are seriously off on the wrong track? : Registered voters (form A) Obama Re-elect ----------------------------- Not Gender Age Political ideology Re-elect Re-elect ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Some- Some- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng what/ what/ Fe- 65 or serv- serv- the lib- lib- Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older ative ative Road eral eral -gly Strng strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 244 241 86 57 81 116 145 122 54 185 56 68 114 82 50 181 58 Weighted 485 228 257 92 60 107 113 113 108 56 195 57 69 120 84 55 166 59 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Right 92 48 45 17 12 26 22 15 7 8 43 11 23 49 17 6 7 14 direction 19.0 21.0 17.3 18.4 20.2 24.0 19.9 13.4 6.9 14.4 21.9 19.0 34.1 41.1 20.2 10.0 4.0 23.2 Wrong track 340 159 181 65 38 80 72 85 95 39 128 37 41 56 50 45 155 35 70.1 70.0 70.1 70.9 63.0 75.2 63.6 74.8 87.4 70.0 65.6 65.1 59.6 46.5 59.1 80.3 93.5 58.4 No opinion 53 21 32 10 10 1 19 13 6 9 25 9 4 15 17 5 4 11 10.9 9.0 12.5 10.7 16.8 0.8 16.6 11.7 5.7 15.6 12.6 15.9 6.3 12.5 20.7 9.7 2.5 18.3

Q1. Thinking about the country overall, do you think things in the U.S. are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things are seriously off on the wrong track? : Registered voters (form A) Union Education Household Income Status Marital Status ----------------------- ---------------------------- ----------- ----------------- H.S. Some Parent of Grad- Col- Post Mar- Separ Child Phone Type uate lege/ Col- Grad- Less More ried/ Divor Never Under 18 ----------- or Trade lege uate Than $20 $40 $60- Than Yes, Live Wido Mar- ----------- Land- Cell- Total less Sch'l Grad Work $20K -40K -60K $100K $100K Any No Tgthr -wed ried Yes No line phone ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 82 163 136 101 68 76 70 118 91 80 396 301 71 109 115 369 373 112 Weighted 485 83 159 138 101 71 71 66 123 98 77 400 308 61 114 138 346 364 121 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Right 92 18 26 29 19 17 14 15 24 20 21 71 58 10 24 28 65 62 30 direction 19.0 21.1 16.6 21.1 19.1 23.3 19.6 23.4 19.6 20.2 27.3 17.8 18.9 16.3 21.3 20.0 18.7 17.1 24.9 Wrong track 340 51 117 100 69 44 48 44 91 67 48 284 218 44 75 100 240 260 80 70.1 61.0 74.0 72.1 68.2 61.8 67.4 66.4 73.9 68.1 62.6 71.1 71.0 72.3 66.2 72.2 69.4 71.4 66.1 No opinion 53 15 15 9 13 11 9 7 8 11 8 44 31 7 14 11 41 42 11 10.9 17.8 9.5 6.8 12.7 14.9 13.0 10.1 6.5 11.7 10.2 11.0 10.0 11.4 12.5 7.8 11.9 11.5 9.0

Q1. Thinking about the country overall, do you think things in the U.S. are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel things are seriously off on the wrong track? : Registered voters (form A) Inclination to Support GOP Tea Party Occupy Protest Presidential Nominee Religion Born Again Identification Movement ID ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- Support Not Support Pro- ----------- ----------- test- Some- Someant/ Not what/ what/ Othr Cath- Othr No At Not Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Chrst olic Relig Pref. Yes No A lot Some All A lot Some Much -gly Strng Strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 210 123 66 86 132 353 72 142 243 92 112 259 120 78 75 151 61 Weighted 485 197 128 72 88 124 361 63 140 257 92 115 257 112 81 80 151 61 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Right 92 30 20 18 24 20 72 3 18 69 19 35 38 4 15 11 50 12 direction 19.0 15.2 16.0 25.1 27.1 16.1 20.1 5.5 12.7 26.9 20.5 30.4 14.6 3.7 18.5 13.8 33.2 19.8 Wrong track 340 152 91 45 52 95 245 59 110 153 62 65 196 105 63 56 81 35 70.1 77.4 71.2 62.3 58.5 76.4 67.9 93.4 78.9 59.5 67.2 56.6 76.3 93.5 77.3 69.5 54.0 57.8 No opinion 53 15 16 9 13 9 44 1 12 35 11 15 23 3 3 13 19 14 10.9 7.5 12.8 12.6 14.4 7.5 12.1 1.1 8.4 13.6 12.2 12.9 9.0 2.8 4.2 16.6 12.8 22.5

Q2. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? : Registered voters Region Area Party Regis. Ethnicity Voted ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------------------- Gen. North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- White Elec- ----------- ----------- San S.F. tral Non- non- tion South North In- Diego/ Othr Bay Val- Other Part/ Hisp- La- Asian/ ----- Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South Area ey North Dem Rep Other anic tino Black Other 2008 ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 580 420 681 319 253 162 144 192 182 67 447 330 223 624 215 49 99 867 Weighted 1000 601 399 710 290 260 179 145 202 165 49 440 309 251 614 223 53 100 851 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Approve 480 286 194 379 101 148 73 60 120 60 19 316 44 120 255 118 49 61 407 48.0 47.6 48.7 53.4 34.7 56.9 40.7 41.7 59.2 36.3 39.5 71.8 14.3 47.9 41.5 52.7 91.7 61.1 47.8 Disapprove 439 270 170 278 161 92 92 75 69 89 23 90 246 104 313 85 4 26 381 43.9 44.9 42.5 39.1 55.6 35.3 51.5 51.5 34.3 53.8 46.1 20.4 79.5 41.3 51.0 38.0 8.3 26.4 44.7 No opinion 81 46 35 53 28 20 14 10 13 16 7 34 19 27 46 21-12 64 8.1 7.6 8.8 7.4 9.7 7.8 7.8 6.8 6.5 9.9 14.4 7.8 6.3 10.8 7.5 9.3-12.5 7.5

Q2. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? : Registered voters Obama Re-elect ----------------------------- Not Gender Age Political ideology Re-elect Re-elect ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Some- Some- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng what/ what/ Fe- 65 or serv- serv- the lib- lib- Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older ative ative Road eral eral -gly Strng strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 498 502 170 129 160 253 287 214 112 419 113 142 267 179 100 349 105 Weighted 1000 469 531 183 141 212 237 225 200 116 426 116 142 265 189 111 330 104 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Approve 480 213 267 96 76 107 107 93 23 29 226 83 118 258 141 22 5 54 48.0 45.5 50.2 52.6 54.1 50.5 45.3 41.2 11.6 25.2 53.1 71.8 83.1 97.2 74.9 19.7 1.6 51.4 Disapprove 439 219 220 69 57 86 108 118 169 76 154 20 20 2 26 63 320 29 43.9 46.8 41.4 37.4 40.2 40.5 45.7 52.5 84.7 65.8 36.1 17.2 14.1 0.6 14.0 56.2 96.8 27.6 No opinion 81 36 45 18 8 19 21 14 7 10 46 13 4 6 21 27 5 22 8.1 7.7 8.4 10.0 5.7 8.9 9.0 6.3 3.7 9.1 10.8 11.0 2.9 2.2 11.0 24.1 1.6 21.0

Q2. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? : Registered voters Union Education Household Income Status Marital Status ----------------------- ---------------------------- ----------- ----------------- H.S. Some Parent of Grad- Col- Post Mar- Separ Child Phone Type uate lege/ Col- Grad- Less More ried/ Divor Never Under 18 ----------- or Trade lege uate Than $20 $40 $60- Than Yes, Live Wido Mar- ----------- Land- Cell- Total less Sch'l Grad Work $20K -40K -60K $100K $100K Any No Tgthr -wed ried Yes No line phone ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 175 324 273 222 129 161 132 245 209 174 812 628 147 214 243 754 776 224 Weighted 1000 176 323 280 215 133 154 127 250 221 177 808 636 128 228 290 707 757 243 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Approve 480 76 147 141 115 78 72 64 115 108 90 383 295 56 127 138 341 354 126 48.0 43.3 45.4 50.4 53.3 58.7 46.5 50.2 46.1 49.0 50.6 47.3 46.4 43.9 55.6 47.4 48.2 46.7 52.0 Disapprove 439 72 152 121 90 42 61 51 116 102 72 361 289 59 86 127 313 349 90 43.9 41.2 47.1 43.2 41.7 31.3 39.4 40.2 46.6 46.1 40.5 44.7 45.5 46.3 37.6 43.6 44.2 46.2 36.9 No opinion 81 27 24 18 11 13 22 12 18 11 16 64 52 13 16 26 54 54 27 8.1 15.6 7.5 6.4 5.0 9.9 14.1 9.6 7.3 5.0 8.9 8.0 8.2 9.8 6.8 9.0 7.6 7.1 11.1

Q2. Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President? : Registered voters Inclination to Support GOP Tea Party Occupy Protest Presidential Nominee Religion Born Again Identification Movement ID ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- Support Not Support Pro- ----------- ----------- test- Some- Someant/ Not what/ what/ Othr Cath- Othr No At Not Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Chrst olic Relig Pref. Yes No A lot Some All A lot Some Much -gly Strng Strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 407 256 141 196 245 755 130 289 532 198 263 493 120 78 75 151 61 Weighted 1000 387 264 149 200 238 762 121 293 543 193 272 490 112 81 80 151 61 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Approve 480 142 131 86 121 80 400 10 73 377 135 181 146 6 17 50 127 28 48.0 36.6 49.6 57.7 60.8 33.5 52.6 7.8 25.0 69.5 69.9 66.3 29.7 5.1 20.7 62.5 84.4 45.5 Disapprove 439 221 105 51 62 141 298 107 193 124 41 70 306 99 59 22 14 22 43.9 57.2 39.6 34.2 31.2 59.3 39.1 88.0 66.1 22.9 21.2 25.9 62.4 88.8 72.9 27.2 9.6 36.7 No opinion 81 24 29 12 16 17 63 5 26 42 17 21 39 7 5 8 9 11 8.1 6.3 10.8 8.1 8.0 7.3 8.3 4.2 8.9 7.7 8.9 7.8 7.9 6.2 6.4 10.3 6.0 17.8

Q3a. Barack Obama's term as President ends next year. Are you inclined or not inclined to vote to re-elect Obama as President? Q3b. How strong is your desire to re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? Q3c. How strong is your desire to not re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? : Registered voters Region Area Party Regis. Ethnicity Voted ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------------------- Gen. North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- White Elec- ----------- ----------- San S.F. tral Non- non- tion South North In- Diego/ Othr Bay Val- Other Part/ Hisp- La- Asian/ ----- Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South Area ey North Dem Rep Other anic tino Black Other 2008 ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 580 420 681 319 253 162 144 192 182 67 447 330 223 624 215 49 99 867 Weighted 1000 601 399 710 290 260 179 145 202 165 49 440 309 251 614 223 53 100 851 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Inclined 454 256 199 353 101 137 61 54 123 62 18 316 32 106 250 109 48 47 399 45.4 42.5 49.7 49.7 34.8 52.5 33.9 37.3 60.9 37.4 37.0 71.9 10.3 42.1 40.7 48.7 90.2 47.5 46.9 Very strong 265 151 114 213 52 83 35 32 77 30 10 197 17 51 143 59 37 28 237 26.5 25.2 28.6 30.1 17.9 31.8 19.5 21.9 37.9 18.2 19.6 44.9 5.5 20.3 23.3 26.6 70.6 28.0 27.8 Somewhat 155 83 72 115 40 41 23 17 39 26 8 109 11 36 90 39 7 17 133 strong 15.5 13.8 18.1 16.3 13.7 15.9 12.7 11.8 19.5 16.0 16.4 24.7 3.5 14.2 14.6 17.5 13.0 16.9 15.6 Not too 32 21 11 23 9 13 3 5 6 5 1 10 4 18 16 10 3 3 28 strong 3.2 3.5 2.7 3.3 3.0 4.8 1.7 3.6 3.1 2.8 1.0 2.2 1.3 7.2 2.5 4.7 6.6 2.7 3.2 No opinion 2-2 1 1 - - - 1 1-1 - 1 2 - - - 2 0.2-0.4 0.1 0.2 - - - 0.4 0.4-0.2-0.3 0.2 - - - 0.2 Not inclined 442 280 161 279 163 89 104 79 64 85 21 69 259 114 319 79 1 33 371 44.2 46.7 40.4 39.3 56.2 34.1 58.1 54.5 31.5 51.8 42.9 15.7 83.8 45.3 52.0 35.3 2.5 33.3 43.6 Very strong 330 203 127 203 128 56 82 56 52 69 15 41 220 69 251 47 1 21 290 33.0 33.8 31.8 28.5 44.1 21.7 46.0 38.6 25.8 41.5 30.8 9.3 71.2 27.6 40.8 21.2 2.5 21.5 34.0 Somewhat 78 55 22 54 23 23 17 15 6 13 4 23 27 27 50 22-6 52 strong 7.8 9.2 5.6 7.6 8.1 8.7 9.7 10.5 2.9 7.7 7.7 5.3 8.9 10.8 8.1 9.7-5.8 6.1 Not too 30 18 12 19 10 8 4 6 6 4 2 5 10 15 16 9-6 26 strong 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.7 3.6 3.0 2.0 4.4 2.8 2.5 4.4 1.1 3.3 6.0 2.6 4.0-6.0 3.0

Q3a. Barack Obama's term as President ends next year. Are you inclined or not inclined to vote to re-elect Obama as President? Q3b. How strong is your desire to re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? Q3c. How strong is your desire to not re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? : Registered voters Obama Re-elect ----------------------------- Not Gender Age Political ideology Re-elect Re-elect ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Some- Some- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng what/ what/ Fe- 65 or serv- serv- the lib- lib- Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older ative ative Road eral eral -gly Strng strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 498 502 170 129 160 253 287 214 112 419 113 142 267 179 100 349 105 Weighted 1000 469 531 183 141 212 237 225 200 116 426 116 142 265 189 111 330 104 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Inclined 454 201 253 91 57 103 108 94 17 21 205 83 127 265 189 - - - 45.4 42.8 47.7 49.8 40.1 48.6 45.8 42.0 8.6 18.0 48.2 72.2 89.4 100.0 100.0 - - - Very strong 265 110 156 42 33 59 70 61 15 9 102 46 94 265 - - - - 26.5 23.4 29.3 22.9 23.4 27.6 29.7 27.3 7.4 7.8 23.8 40.1 65.7 100.0 - - - - Somewhat 155 72 83 40 19 40 27 29 2 7 83 33 30-155 - - - strong 15.5 15.4 15.6 21.5 13.7 18.8 11.4 13.1 1.2 6.2 19.5 28.5 20.9-82.2 - - - Not too 32 18 14 9 4 5 11 3-5 20 4 3-32 - - - strong 3.2 3.9 2.6 4.9 3.0 2.2 4.7 1.3-4.0 4.6 3.6 2.4-16.9 - - - No opinion 2 1 1 1 - - - 1 - - 1-1 - 2 - - - 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 - - - 0.3 - - 0.2-0.5-0.8 - - - Not inclined 442 207 235 73 61 93 105 109 179 90 148 13 11 - - 111 330-44.2 44.2 44.2 39.7 42.9 43.8 44.4 48.5 89.7 77.7 34.7 11.6 7.6 - - 100.0 100.0 - Very strong 330 153 178 41 40 63 82 103 164 68 85 7 7 - - - 330-33.0 32.5 33.5 22.2 28.4 29.8 34.7 45.8 82.1 58.7 19.9 5.8 4.8 - - - 100.0 - Somewhat 78 40 37 27 17 15 15 4 13 13 44 4 4 - - 78 - - strong 7.8 8.6 7.0 14.9 11.8 6.9 6.4 1.8 6.4 11.4 10.3 3.3 2.8 - - 69.7 - -

Q3a. Barack Obama's term as President ends next year. Are you inclined or not inclined to vote to re-elect Obama as President? Q3b. How strong is your desire to re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? Q3c. How strong is your desire to not re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? : Registered voters Union Education Household Income Status Marital Status ----------------------- ---------------------------- ----------- ----------------- H.S. Some Parent of Grad- Col- Post Mar- Separ Child Phone Type uate lege/ Col- Grad- Less More ried/ Divor Never Under 18 ----------- or Trade lege uate Than $20 $40 $60- Than Yes, Live Wido Mar- ----------- Land- Cell- Total less Sch'l Grad Work $20K -40K -60K $100K $100K Any No Tgthr -wed ried Yes No line phone ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 175 324 273 222 129 161 132 245 209 174 812 628 147 214 243 754 776 224 Weighted 1000 176 323 280 215 133 154 127 250 221 177 808 636 128 228 290 707 757 243 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Inclined 454 68 136 129 119 67 73 57 112 108 89 356 266 60 126 125 327 340 114 45.4 38.5 42.3 46.2 55.4 50.4 47.5 44.8 44.7 49.1 50.1 44.0 41.9 46.6 55.2 43.2 46.3 44.9 47.0 Very strong 265 43 75 70 77 38 46 27 67 63 52 212 165 38 61 80 185 203 62 26.5 24.3 23.1 25.2 35.6 28.5 29.7 21.3 26.9 28.4 29.3 26.3 26.0 29.6 26.6 27.5 26.1 26.9 25.5 Somewhat 155 18 51 47 38 21 25 28 38 33 31 117 85 19 51 37 117 113 42 strong 15.5 10.5 15.8 16.7 17.7 15.8 16.2 21.8 15.1 14.9 17.7 14.5 13.3 14.6 22.3 12.8 16.6 15.0 17.3 Not too 32 6 11 10 4 8 2 2 6 13 6 25 16 2 13 8 24 23 9 strong 3.2 3.6 3.3 3.7 2.0 6.1 1.0 1.8 2.3 5.7 3.2 3.1 2.5 1.9 5.9 2.8 3.4 3.0 3.8 No opinion 2 - - 2 - - 1-1 - - 2-1 1-2 1 1 0.2 - - 0.5 - - 0.5-0.3 - - 0.2-0.5 0.4-0.2 0.1 0.3 Not inclined 442 83 153 123 79 44 65 55 117 100 74 364 308 52 77 137 304 344 98 44.2 47.2 47.5 44.1 36.6 33.1 42.4 43.6 46.7 45.3 41.5 45.0 48.4 40.9 33.7 47.3 43.0 45.5 40.1 Very strong 330 57 112 94 65 31 50 41 85 72 47 279 230 47 48 88 243 265 66 33.0 32.4 34.7 33.5 30.0 23.2 32.4 32.2 34.2 32.5 26.4 34.5 36.1 36.9 21.2 30.2 34.3 35.0 27.1 Somewhat 78 15 33 20 9 10 10 13 20 18 20 58 52 3 22 33 45 52 25 strong 7.8 8.6 10.3 7.3 4.1 7.4 6.3 9.9 8.0 8.3 11.2 7.2 8.2 2.5 9.8 11.4 6.3 6.9 10.4

Q3a. Barack Obama's term as President ends next year. Are you inclined or not inclined to vote to re-elect Obama as President? Q3b. How strong is your desire to re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? Q3c. How strong is your desire to not re-elect Obama - very strong, somewhat strong or not too strong? : Registered voters Inclination to Support GOP Tea Party Occupy Protest Presidential Nominee Religion Born Again Identification Movement ID ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- Support Not Support Pro- ----------- ----------- test- Some- Someant/ Not what/ what/ Othr Cath- Othr No At Not Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Chrst olic Relig Pref. Yes No A lot Some All A lot Some Much -gly Strng Strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 1000 407 256 141 196 245 755 130 289 532 198 263 493 120 78 75 151 61 Weighted 1000 387 264 149 200 238 762 121 293 543 193 272 490 112 81 80 151 61 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Inclined 454 126 130 83 114 70 385 10 60 366 137 172 126 2 7 50 134 11 45.4 32.5 49.4 55.9 57.3 29.2 50.5 7.8 20.5 67.5 71.0 63.3 25.6 1.8 8.7 62.0 89.2 18.3 Very strong 265 84 67 53 62 44 221 5 28 223 97 95 60 2 1 18 94 5 26.5 21.6 25.4 35.5 31.0 18.6 29.0 4.1 9.5 41.2 50.4 34.9 12.3 1.8 1.2 22.9 62.7 7.6 Somewhat 155 36 49 26 44 19 136 5 23 121 30 69 51-2 23 38 4 strong 15.5 9.2 18.6 17.7 22.0 8.0 17.9 3.7 7.8 22.3 15.6 25.2 10.5-2.4 28.1 25.3 7.3 Not too 32 7 14 4 7 6 26-9 20 10 7 14-4 9 2 2 strong 3.2 1.7 5.4 2.7 3.5 2.6 3.4-3.2 3.7 5.0 2.6 2.8-5.2 10.9 1.2 3.4 No opinion 2 - - - 2-2 - - 2-2 - - - - - - 0.2 - - - 0.8-0.2 - - 0.3-0.6 - - - - - - Not inclined 442 233 103 44 62 150 292 109 203 111 29 67 324 109 61 17 11 23 44.2 60.2 38.9 29.4 31.0 62.8 38.3 89.5 69.2 20.5 15.0 24.7 66.0 97.4 75.4 21.0 7.4 38.3 Very strong 330 194 66 31 40 129 201 104 155 62 19 41 253 96 47 7 4 11 33.0 50.1 24.9 20.8 19.9 54.2 26.4 85.8 52.9 11.4 9.9 15.0 51.7 86.1 57.9 9.2 2.5 18.7 Somewhat 78 30 25 6 16 15 63 4 35 30 6 16 52 7 10 8 5 6 strong 7.8 7.7 9.6 4.2 8.1 6.3 8.2 3.1 12.1 5.6 3.3 5.9 10.6 6.3 12.2 9.6 3.2 10.4

Q9a. Suppose that former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form A) Region Area Party Regis. Ethnicity Voted ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------------------- Gen. North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- White Elec- ----------- ----------- San S.F. tral Non- non- tion South North In- Diego/ Othr Bay Val- Other Part/ Hisp- La- Asian/ ----- Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South Area ey North Dem Rep Other anic tino Black Other 2008 ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 285 200 322 163 130 78 67 82 97 31 210 170 105 308 102 22 43 412 Weighted 485 291 194 343 142 126 87 70 98 80 24 213 150 122 306 103 26 44 403 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Romney 196 123 73 119 77 36 49 33 29 41 7 21 124 51 150 32 1 9 165 40.4 42.2 37.8 34.8 54.1 28.8 56.7 46.5 29.9 51.4 31.1 9.8 82.6 42.3 49.1 30.7 5.1 20.8 40.9 Obama 241 143 98 189 52 77 33 32 57 32 10 171 19 50 134 59 24 23 201 49.6 49.2 50.4 55.1 36.5 61.0 38.1 45.7 58.3 39.7 41.3 80.2 12.8 41.4 43.9 56.8 94.9 52.1 49.8 Undecided/ 48 25 23 35 13 13 4 5 12 7 7 21 7 20 22 13-12 38 other 9.9 8.6 11.9 10.1 9.4 10.2 5.1 7.8 11.9 8.9 27.6 10.0 4.6 16.3 7.1 12.6-27.1 9.3

Q9a. Suppose that former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form A) Obama Re-elect ----------------------------- Not Gender Age Political ideology Re-elect Re-elect ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Some- Some- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng what/ what/ Fe- 65 or serv- serv- the lib- lib- Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older ative ative Road eral eral -gly Strng strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 244 241 86 57 81 116 145 122 54 185 56 68 114 82 50 181 58 Weighted 485 228 257 92 60 107 113 113 108 56 195 57 69 120 84 55 166 59 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Romney 196 88 108 35 22 32 44 64 95 33 62 4 2 2 4 29 151 10 40.4 38.5 42.1 37.7 36.3 29.9 39.0 56.2 87.9 59.3 31.7 6.7 2.8 1.4 5.2 52.3 90.6 17.7 Obama 241 109 132 46 30 67 55 43 8 18 107 44 63 118 78 15 2 28 49.6 48.0 51.1 49.9 49.5 63.0 48.3 38.2 7.3 32.9 55.0 77.2 92.0 97.8 92.5 26.5 1.5 47.9 Undecided/ 48 31 17 11 9 8 14 6 5 4 26 9 4 1 2 12 13 20 other 9.9 13.5 6.8 12.4 14.2 7.0 12.7 5.6 4.7 7.8 13.3 16.1 5.2 0.8 2.2 21.3 7.9 34.4

Q9a. Suppose that former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form A) Union Education Household Income Status Marital Status ----------------------- ---------------------------- ----------- ----------------- H.S. Some Parent of Grad- Col- Post Mar- Separ Child Phone Type uate lege/ Col- Grad- Less More ried/ Divor Never Under 18 ----------- or Trade lege uate Than $20 $40 $60- Than Yes, Live Wido Mar- ----------- Land- Cell- Total less Sch'l Grad Work $20K -40K -60K $100K $100K Any No Tgthr -wed ried Yes No line phone ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 82 163 136 101 68 76 70 118 91 80 396 301 71 109 115 369 373 112 Weighted 485 83 159 138 101 71 71 66 123 98 77 400 308 61 114 138 346 364 121 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Romney 196 34 65 57 39 24 26 27 56 38 22 171 143 22 29 55 141 161 36 40.4 41.4 41.1 41.2 38.5 34.0 37.2 41.1 45.4 38.2 28.2 42.8 46.4 36.1 25.8 39.9 40.7 44.1 29.4 Obama 241 41 77 69 52 41 36 33 59 50 51 185 138 33 70 71 169 170 70 49.6 49.8 48.7 50.1 51.4 57.2 51.3 50.8 47.7 51.1 65.7 46.3 44.7 53.7 61.3 51.2 48.9 46.8 58.4 Undecided/ 48 7 16 12 10 6 8 5 8 10 5 43 27 6 15 12 36 33 15 other 9.9 8.7 10.2 8.7 10.0 8.8 11.5 8.1 6.9 10.7 6.1 10.9 8.8 10.2 12.9 8.9 10.3 9.2 12.2

Q9a. Suppose that former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form A) Inclination to Support GOP Tea Party Occupy Protest Presidential Nominee Religion Born Again Identification Movement ID ----------------------------- ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- Support Not Support Pro- ----------- ----------- test- Some- Someant/ Not what/ what/ Othr Cath- Othr No At Not Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Chrst olic Relig Pref. Yes No A lot Some All A lot Some Much -gly Strng Strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 485 210 123 66 86 132 353 72 142 243 92 112 259 120 78 75 151 61 Weighted 485 197 128 72 88 124 361 63 140 257 92 115 257 112 81 80 151 61 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Romney 196 116 39 19 22 74 122 52 98 41 9 20 159 102 59 16 2 17 40.4 58.6 30.9 26.7 24.8 60.0 33.7 83.4 70.1 15.8 9.8 17.6 61.9 91.5 72.5 19.4 1.1 28.7 Obama 241 69 71 45 56 39 202 7 28 190 76 74 79 6 14 56 142 24 49.6 34.8 55.9 62.0 63.7 31.6 55.8 10.6 20.2 73.9 82.9 64.1 30.9 5.5 16.7 69.7 94.0 38.6 Undecided/ 48 13 17 8 10 10 38 4 14 27 7 21 18 3 9 9 7 20 other 9.9 6.6 13.3 11.2 11.4 8.5 10.4 6.0 9.7 10.3 7.3 18.3 7.2 3.0 10.8 10.9 4.9 32.6

Q9d. Suppose that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Newt Gingrich or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form B) Region Area Party Regis. Ethnicity Voted ----------------------- ----------------------------------- ----------------- ----------------------- Gen. North/South Coast/Inlnd Cen- White Elec- ----------- ----------- San S.F. tral Non- non- tion South North In- Diego/ Othr Bay Val- Other Part/ Hisp- La- Asian/ ----- Total Cal Cal Coast land LA Ornge South Area ey North Dem Rep Other anic tino Black Other 2008 ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 515 295 220 359 156 123 84 77 110 85 36 237 160 118 316 113 27 56 455 Weighted 515 310 205 367 148 134 92 75 104 85 25 227 159 129 308 120 27 56 448 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Gingrich 182 121 61 118 64 39 41 36 23 35 8 20 130 32 128 28-20 157 35.3 39.0 29.8 32.3 42.9 29.1 44.2 48.1 22.0 41.7 31.4 8.8 81.5 24.9 41.4 23.4-36.4 35.1 Obama 282 157 125 214 69 78 46 30 72 43 13 185 20 78 152 78 24 30 247 54.8 50.7 61.0 58.2 46.3 58.0 50.4 39.8 69.3 50.9 51.3 81.5 12.3 60.4 49.2 65.0 89.4 54.4 55.1 Undecided/ 51 32 19 35 16 17 5 9 9 6 4 22 10 19 29 14 3 5 44 other 9.9 10.4 9.2 9.5 10.9 12.9 5.4 12.2 8.6 7.4 17.3 9.7 6.2 14.8 9.4 11.6 10.6 9.2 9.8

Q9d. Suppose that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Newt Gingrich or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form B) Obama Re-elect ----------------------------- Not Gender Age Political ideology Re-elect Re-elect ----------- ----------------------------- ----------------------------- ----------- ----------- Strng Mod. Mid. Some- Some- Con- Con- of Mod. Strng what/ what/ Fe- 65 or serv- serv- the lib- lib- Stron Not Not Stron Unde- Total Male male 18-29 30-39 40-49 50-64 Older ative ative Road eral eral -gly Strng strng -gly cided ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 515 254 261 84 72 79 137 142 92 58 234 57 74 153 97 50 168 47 Weighted 515 242 273 91 81 106 124 112 91 60 231 59 74 145 105 56 164 45 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Gingrich 182 101 81 21 33 37 44 47 77 43 56 4 1 1 3 34 137 7 35.3 41.7 29.7 23.1 40.2 34.7 35.3 41.6 84.2 71.6 24.3 7.6 1.7 0.5 2.9 61.3 83.6 14.8 Obama 282 127 155 61 40 55 64 62 10 9 141 53 70 142 98 10 7 26 54.8 52.6 56.7 66.3 49.7 51.9 52.0 55.4 10.4 15.5 60.9 89.5 94.8 97.8 93.3 18.6 4.1 56.6 Undecided/ 51 14 37 10 8 14 16 3 5 8 34 2 3 2 4 11 20 13 other 9.9 5.7 13.6 10.6 10.1 13.4 12.7 2.9 5.3 12.8 14.8 2.9 3.4 1.7 3.9 20.2 12.3 28.6

Q9d. Suppose that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Newt Gingrich or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form B) Union Education Household Income Status Marital Status ----------------------- ---------------------------- ----------- ----------------- H.S. Some Parent of Grad- Col- Post Mar- Separ Child Phone Type uate lege/ Col- Grad- Less More ried/ Divor Never Under 18 ----------- or Trade lege uate Than $20 $40 $60- Than Yes, Live Wido Mar- ----------- Land- Cell- Total less Sch'l Grad Work $20K -40K -60K $100K $100K Any No Tgthr -wed ried Yes No line phone ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 515 93 161 137 121 61 85 62 127 118 94 416 327 76 105 128 385 403 112 Weighted 515 93 164 142 114 61 84 61 127 123 100 409 328 67 114 152 361 393 122 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Gingrich 182 28 61 60 33 16 29 17 45 50 35 146 120 25 34 54 127 142 40 35.3 29.7 37.1 42.3 29.3 26.0 34.9 27.7 35.5 40.7 34.9 35.6 36.5 37.8 30.1 35.7 35.3 36.1 32.9 Obama 282 52 78 76 76 40 39 40 69 65 59 219 177 34 71 80 202 211 71 54.8 55.5 47.8 53.4 66.5 65.0 46.8 66.0 54.4 53.1 59.0 53.6 53.8 50.4 62.2 52.6 55.9 53.8 58.0 Undecided/ 51 14 25 6 5 5 15 4 13 8 6 44 32 8 9 18 32 40 11 other 9.9 14.7 15.1 4.3 4.2 9.0 18.3 6.3 10.1 6.2 6.1 10.8 9.7 11.8 7.7 11.6 8.8 10.1 9.1

Q9d. Suppose that former House Speaker Newt Gingrich became the Republican nominee and was running against Democrat Barack Obama in the general election for President. If the election were being held today and these were the candidates for whom would you vote for President - Republican Newt Gingrich or Democrat Barack Obama? : Registered voters (form B) Tea Party Occupy Protest Religion Born Again Identification Movement ID ----------------------- ----------- ----------------- ----------------- Protestant/ Not Othr Cath- Othr No At Not Total Chrst olic Relig Pref. Yes No A lot Some All A lot Some Much ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== ===== Unweighted 515 197 133 75 110 113 402 58 147 289 106 151 234 - - - - - Weighted 515 190 137 77 111 115 400 58 153 285 101 157 233 - - - - - 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 - - - - - Gingrich 182 97 37 23 25 53 128 51 84 40 13 30 132 - - - - - 35.3 51.1 27.3 29.3 22.5 46.7 32.1 88.2 55.2 14.0 12.4 18.8 56.6 - - - - - Obama 282 79 82 49 72 49 233 4 49 221 77 114 82 - - - - - 54.8 41.7 59.7 63.4 65.1 43.0 58.2 6.8 32.0 77.6 76.3 72.6 35.0 - - - - - Undecided/ 51 14 18 6 14 12 39 3 20 24 12 13 19 - - - - - other 9.9 7.2 13.0 7.3 12.5 10.3 9.8 5.1 12.8 8.4 11.4 8.5 8.3 - - - - -