Nigeria Transportation Infrastructure Report April 2013
Table of Contents Abbreviations and Acronyms... 4 List of Charts... 5 List of Tables... 8 Executive Summary... 9 1.0 Introduction... 10 1.1 Industry Definition and Scope... 10 2.0 Nigeria Macroeconomic Analysis... 11 2.1 Economic... 11 2.2 Political... 13 2.3 Socio Cultural Setting... 15 3.0 Industry Overview... 18 3.1 History & Evolution - Overview... 18 3.1.1 Roads... 19 3.1.2 Railways... 20 3.1.3 Airports... 23 3.1.4 Seaports/Waterways... 25 3.2 Global and Regional Trends... 27 3.2.1 Global Outlook... 30 3.2.1.1 Road Transportation... 32 3.2.1.2 Rail Transportation... 32 3.2.1.3 Air Transportation... 33 3.2.1.4 Maritime Transportation... 33 3.2.2 Africa Regional Outlook... 34 3.3 Nigeria Transportation Industry Overview... 36 3.3.1 Roads... 38 3.3.1.1 Federal Roads... 40 3.3.1.2 State Roads... 41 3.3.2 Railways... 42 2
3.3.3 Airports... 44 3.3.4 Seaports/Waterways... 49 4.0 Industry Analysis... 58 4.1 Transportation Infrastructure Value Chain Analysis... 58 4.1.1 Earth Moving and Construction Equipments... 58 4.1.2 Infrastructure Construction Materials... 61 4.1.2.1 Steel... 62 4.1.2.2 Cement... 68 4.1.2.3 Asphalt/Bitumen... 75 4.2 Construction and Infrastructure Industry... 78 4.2.1 Transportation Infrastructure... 79 4.3 Market Analysis Road Infrastructure... 80 4.3.1 Federal Roads... 82 4.3.2 State Roads... 85 4.3.3 Road Maintenances... 92 4.4 Market Analysis Railway Infrastructure... 94 4.5 Market Analysis Airport Infrastructure... 101 4.6 Market Analysis Seaport/Waterways Infrastructure... 108 5.0 Industry Regulatory Environment... 117 5.1 Road Infrastructure... 117 5.2 Railway Infrastructure... 119 5.3 Airport Infrastructure... 122 5.4 Seaport/ Waterways Infrastructure... 123 5.5 Public Private Partnership in Nigeria... 127 6.0 Company Focus... 130 6.1 Dangote Cement Plc... 130 6.1 Julius Berger Plc... 137 3
Abbreviations and Acronyms APGA APC ARTIN AfDB ACN BRIC BRICS BRINC BOAC CPC CBN COREN FNDP FDI FERMA FAAN FCT GDP GSP IDA ICDs ICAO ICRC LAMATA LNG LPC NBS NRC NPA NSC NCAA NCMDCA NIMASA NAMA NAIB NIWA OSGOF PDP PPP PIB RSSC SURCON WSA All Progressive Grand Alliance All Progressive Party African Regional Transport Infrastructure Network African Development Bank Action Congress of Nigeria Brazil, Russia, India, China Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa Brazil, Russia, India, Nigeria, China British Overseas Airways Corporation Congress for Political Change Central Bank of Nigeria Council of Regulatory of Engineering in Nigeria First National Development Plan Foreign Direct Investment Federal Road Management Agency Federal Airport Authority of Nigeria Federal Capital Territory Gross Domestic Product Gross State Product International Development Association Inland Container Depots International Civil Aviation Organization Infrastructure Concession Regulatory Commission Lagos Metropolitan Area Transport Authority Liquefied Natural Gas Lagos Ports Complex Nigeria Bureau of Statistics Nigeria Railway Corporation Nigeria ports Authority Nigeria Shippers Council Nigeria Civil Aviation Authority National Council of Managing Directors of Licensed Custom Agents Nigeria Maritime Administration and Safety Agency Nigeria Aerospace Management Authority Nigeria Accident Investigation Bureau Nigeria Inland Waterways Authority Office of the Surveyor General of the Federation People Democratic Party Public Private Partnership Petroleum Industrial Bill Road Support Service Centers Surveyors Council of Nigeria World Steel Association 4
List of Charts Chart 1.1 Nigeria GDP Growth Rate per Quarter 9 Chart 1.2 Nigeria Annual Economy Size and GDP Growth Rate 10 Chart 1.3 Nigeria Population Size and Growth 11 Chart 1.4 Africa Growth Rate 11 Chart 1.5 Nigeria Population Distribution 14 Chart 1.6 Nigeria Income Distribution 15 Chart 3.1 Road Contribution to GDP 18 Chart 3.2 Railway Systems in Nigeria 19 Chart 3.3 Fatalities recorded in plane crashes in Nigeria from 1969 till date 22 Chart 3.4 GDP Growth: Developed Economies vs BRICS 26 Chart 3.5 CBP World Trade Volume Index 28 Chart 3.6 Global Transportation Industry Value 29 Chat 3.7a Global Transportation Industry Segmentation 29 Chat 3.7b Global Transportation Industry Segmentation 30 Chart 3.8 Distributions of Nigerian Roads by Ownership 37 Chart 3.15: Nigeria Rail Way System 41 Chart 3.9 Nigerian Airports 43 Chart 3.10 Number of Passages that flew through Airports 1993-2009 45 Chart 3.11 Nigeria Air Traffic 46 Chart 3.11: Major Nigerian Ports 51 Chart 3.12: Cargo Throughputs (tonnage) at Nigerian Ports 53 Chart 4.1: Transportation Infrastructure Value Chain 56 Chart 4.1: Construction Machinery Industry 57 Chart 4.2: Global Steel capacity vs supply vs demand 60 Chart 4.3: Top Steel Producing Countries (2011) 61 Chart 4.4: Geographical Steel Production 62 Chart 4.5: Geographical Steel Consumption 62 Chart 4.6: Steel Exports to Africa 63 Chart 4.7: Volatility of Contract Prices 64 Chart 4.8: Nigeria Iron & Steel Imported Value ($USm) 65 5
Chart 4.9: Major importers of Steel to Nigeria (2006-2011) 66 Chart 4.10: Global Cement Production Capacity and Consumption (2006-2011) 67 Chart 4.8: World Cement Production by Countries and Region (2011) 68 Chart 4.11: Market Share (mill. tonnes of top five global cement producers) 69 Chart 4.12: Region wise Split of Cement Capacity by Global Players (Million tons) 70 Chart 4.13: Nigeria Cement Production, Consumption and Capacity (Million tons) 71 Chart 4.14: Market Share of Nigerian Major Cement Manufacturers 72 Chart 4.15: Comparison of production cost (USD per tonne) of cement 72 Chart 4.16: Nigeria Construction Industry Data 75 Chart 4.17: Nigeria Capital Investment Data 75 Chart 4.18: Nigeria Infrastructure Industry Value 76 Chart 4.19: Nigeria Capital Investment Data 77 Chart 4.20: Nigeria Capital Investment Data 77 Chart 4.21: Nigerian Road & Bridges Infrastructure Value 78 Chart 4.22: Road Density in Selected Locations 79 Chart 4.23: Average annual expenditures on road transport by country, 2001 05 80 Chart 4.24: Nigeria Road Network 81 Chart 4.25a: Distribution of Nigerian States based on GDP and Population Density 84 Chart 4.25b: Distribution of Nigerian States based on GDP and Population Density 84 Chart 4.26: Map of Akwa Ibom 86 Chart 4.27: Map of Rivers State 87 Chart 4.28: Map of Lagos State 88 Chart 4.29: Freight (mill ton km) of goods on Nigerian Rail lines 93 Chart 4.30: Passengers transported on Nigerian Rail lines between 1980-2007 93 Chart 4.31: Nigerian Railway Infrastructure Value 94 Chart 4.32: Nigeria Railway Extension and Developments Plan 96 Chart 4.33: Route Km and Land Area in Nigeria States 97 Chart 4.34: Nigeria Airports Infrastructure Industry Value 99 Chart 4.35: Number of passengers through Nigerian Airports (1980 1996) 101 Chart 4.37: Air Freight in Nigeria (1980 1996) 102 Chart 4.38: Number of Passengers through Nigerian Airports (2003 2009) 104 Chart 4.39: Domestic Aviation Debt in 2009 106 6
Chart 4.40: Domestic Aviation Market Share 2009 106 Chart 4.41: Cargo Throughput in Nigeria Seaports (1995-2010) 110 Chart: 4.42 Tonnage (millions) and Number of Vessels through Nigerian Seaports 111 Fig 1: Dangote Africa Operations 129 Fig 2: Dangote Cement Performance Analysis Dangote Cement 130 Fig 3: Dangote Cement Deports/Warehouses 131 Fig 4: Dangote Cement Financial highlights (2008 2012) 132 Fig 4: Julius Berger Financial highlights (2008 2011) 137 7
List of Tables Table 3.1: GDP growth rates of Selected Regions and Countries 25 Table 3.2 GDP growth rate in Selected African Countries 27 Table 3.3: Nigeria Budgetary Allocation Source: Nigeria Budget Office 35 Table 3.3: Estimated Size of Road Networks in Nigeria (2007) 38 Table 3.4: List of Airports Nigeria 44 Table 4.1 Leading Global Earth Equipment Manufacturing Companies 57 Table 4.1: Construction Equipment Project Range 58 Table 4.2 Top Steel Manufacturing Companies 61 Table 4.3: Road Projects and Facilities Lagos State (May 2007 March 2011) 90 Table 4.4: State of Abuja and Lagos International Airports 103 Table 4.5 List of International Airliners and their Routes 105 Table 4.6 List of Local Airliners 105 Table 4.7 Nigerian Major Ports 108 Table: 4.8 Types of Berth Nigerian Ports 109 Table: 4.9 Selected Ports and their Berth Types 109 Table 1.Financial Performance of Nigeria s Key Cement Producers 134 8