Estimating the Variability of Greenhouse Gas Footprints of Crude Palm Oil production in Indonesia

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Estimating the Variability of Greenhouse Gas Footprints of Crude Palm Oil production in Indonesia Wan Yee Lam 67 th Swiss LCA Discussion Forum

Sources of Variability Forest edge carbon degradation Peat soil preparation and cultivation Above and belowground carbon change from direct land use change Sources of variability of GHG footprints 1,2 Cultivation, transport and mill processing 2

Goal To quantify the spatial variability of greenhouse gas (GHG) footprints of current palm oil production (year 2015) in Indonesia, expressed as t CO 2 -eq t -1 crude palm oil (CPO) for each palm oil mill. Geographical scope Production area Scenarios for analysis Per mill ~10.1Mha 1) Province 2) Country 3) Island 3

Methods Spatially explicit Land cover map (MoF) 3 Mill distribution (GFW) 5 Peat map (GFW) 4 Yield map (Earthstat) 6 1. Carbon stock change and edge effects Baccini biomass map for non-forest classes 7 Forest carbon edge effect model 8 Allocating carbon loss beyond plantation area 25 years amortization period IPCC root: shoot ratios 9 2. Peat fire and drainage Estimated from IPCC emission factors 10 3. Cultivation, transport and mill processing Default technologies from Agri-footprint 11 No methane capture 4

Estimated mill GHG footprints current CPO production Kalimantan Sulawesi Papua Sumatra Java 5

Estimated mill GHG footprints current CPO production Kalimantan 2.5 2.9 2.9 3.9 3.9 5.3 5.3 6.3 6.3 8.2 8.2 22.8 Arranged by quartiles Sulawesi Papua Sumatra Java 6

Variability of estimated mill GHG footprints by province 7

Mill GHG footprints (t CO2-eq t-1 CPO) Contributors to average mill GHG footprint 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Indonesia Kalimantan Sumatra Papua Aboveground Belowground Edge Peat,drain Peat,fire Cultivation Transport Processing 8

Mill GHG footprints (t CO2-eq t-1 CPO) Preliminary results Do not quote Contributors to average mill GHG footprint 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Much Emissions smaller without from carbon peat stock conversion change and edge effects much higher in Papua Indonesia Kalimantan Sumatra Papua Aboveground Belowground Edge Cultivation Transport Processing 9

Mill GHG footprints (t CO2-eq t-1 CPO) Preliminary results Do not quote Contributors to average mill GHG footprint 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 GHG footprint further lowered if all methane was captured Indonesia Kalimantan Sumatra Papua Aboveground Belowground Edge Cultivation Transport Processing 10

Take home messages GHG footprints of CPO production are characterized by high variability: from 2.5 t CO 2 eq t -1 CPO in Lampung to 22.8 t CO 2 eq t -1 CPO in Kalimantan Barat. Highlights importance of peat soils and historical land use change Opportunities for improvement: methane capture, peat management Need mill level data (RSPO) Sourcing location matters!

Acknowledgements Michal Kulak Sarah Sim Mark AJ Huijbregts Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer 12

References 1. Ramdani, F., Hino, M. (2013) Land Use Changes and GHG Emissions from Tropical Forest Conversion by Oil Palm Plantations in Riau Province, Indonesia. PLoS ONE 8. 2. Reijnders, L., Huijbregts, M.A.J. (2008) Palm oil and the emission of carbon-based greenhouse gases. Journal of Cleaner Production 16, 477-482 3. Greenpeace (2015) Ministry of Forestry Land Cover 1990-2015. Retrieved from: http://www.greenpeace.org/seasia/id/global/seasia/indonesia/code/forest-map/en/data.html on 1 March 2017. 4. Global Forest Watch Commodities (2012) Indonesia Peat Lands. Ministry of Agriculture, Indonesia. Retrieved from: http://commodities.globalforestwatch.org on 1 March 2017. 5. Global Forest Watch Commodities (2015) Palm Oil Mills map. Retrieved from: http://commodities.globalforestwatch.org on 3 March 2017. 6. Monfreda, C., N. Ramankutty, and J.A. Foley, (2008) Farming the planet. Part 2: Geographic distribution of crop areas, yields, physiological types, and net primary production in the year 2000. Global Biogeochemical Cycles 22, GB1022, doi:10.1029/2007gb002947. 7. Baccini, A., Goetz, S., Walker, W., Laporte, N., Sun, M., Sulla-Menashe, D., Hackler, J., Beck, P., Dubayah, R., Friedl, M.A., Samanta, S., Houghton, R. (2012) Estimated Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Tropical Deforestation Improved by Carbon-density Maps. 8. Chaplin-Kramer, R., Ramler, I., Sharp, R., Haddad, N.M., Gerber, J.S., West, P.C., Mandle, L., Engstrom, P., Baccini, A., Sim, S., Mueller, C., King, H. (2015) Degradation in carbon stocks near tropical forest edges. Nature Communications 6, 10158. 9. IPCC (2006) IPCC 2006 Guidelines for National Greenhouse Gas Inventories Retrieved from: http://www.ipccnggip.iges.or.jp/public/2006gl/ on 12 Jun 2016. 10. Hiraishi, T., Krug, T., Tanabe, K., Srivastava, N., Baasansuren, J., Fukuda, M., Troxler, T. (2014) 2013 supplement to the 2006 IPCC guidelines for national greenhouse gas inventories: Wetlands. IPCC, Switzerland. 11. Durlinger, B., Koukouna, E., Broekema, R., van Paassen, M., Scholten, J. (2017) Agri-footprint 3.0.

Thank you for your attention.