Processing Multitemporal TM Imagery to Extract Forest Cover Change Features in Cleveland National Forest, Southern California

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Processing Multitemporal TM Imagery to Extract Forest Cover Change Features in Cleveland National Forest, Southern California John Rogan and Janet Franklin San Diego State University Thanks to Lisa Levien: USDA Forest Service- Sacramento Dar Roberts: UC Santa Barbara

Introduction and Background * Forest cover change mapping * Research Question: Can Multitemporal Spectral Mixture Analysis techniques be effectively used to accurately map forest cover changes in southern California? * Specifically: - What categories of forest cover change can be mapped using MSMA techniques?

Vegetation Disturbance

Conceptual Schema of Spectral Mixture Model SOIL SHADE GV NPV

Study Site

Descanso: June 1990 Descanso: June 1996 Disturbance

Random Sampling Design Field Sampling Protocol Stratified Adaptive Cluster Sampling Design Stratification Stratification Change Sample Plot No Change Change 1 Change 2 Sample Plot Change 3

Methods Data Preprocessing Radiometric normalization and Absolute atmospheric correction Spectral Mixture Analysis Endmember selection: Image Vs Reference Spectral Unmixing: Shade, Soil, GV, NPV and RMS Image-differencing Classification: Maximum Likelihood Vs Decision Tree Accuracy Assessment: Contingency Matrix

1996 TM Endmember Evaluation Classification Change Map Accuracy Assessment 1990 TM Image Endmember Selection Reflectance Retrieval Classification Reference Spectra Endmember Evaluation Reference Endmember Selection SMA Soil T1 Shade T1 GV T1 NPV T1 Soil T2 Shade T2 GV T2 NPV T2 Derive Change Fractions Soil Shade GV NPV Fraction Analysis

FOREST CHANGE CLASS NO CHANGE VEGETATION INCREASE VEGETATION DECREASE CHANGE IN NON- VEGETATED AREAS FRACTION CHARACTERISTICS AND DYNAMICS Consistent shade, soil, NPV and GV fractions over time Increase in GV and possible increase in shade in vegetation due to plant-architectural shade Decrease in Soil and NPV over time due to increased ground cover by vegetation Decrease in GV and plant-architectural Shade Increase Soil and NPV due to decreased vegetation ground cover over time Decrease in GV due to land clearing and construction Increase in Shade, Soil and, possibly NPV

Endmembers used to Model 90-96 Scenes 250 Soil 200 Rescaled Reflectance 150 100 GV Soil Endmember Selection NPV 50 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 TM Band Shade

Shade 1990 Fractions GV NPV Soil RMS RGB: Soil, GV, NPV

Shade 1996 Fractions GV NPV Soil RMS RGB: Soil, GV, NPV

FRACTION ANALYSIS Regrowth and Deforestation Regeneration No Change GV 1990 Deforestation GV 1996 Red = GV 1990 Blue, Green = GV 1996

Results Contingency Matrix: Maximum Likelihood Classification REF CLASS CORRECT PRODUCER S USER S KAPPA TOTALS TOTALS ACC. ACC. Water 37 30 26 70.27% 86.67% 0.82 Recharge No Change 19 30 20 45.45% 66.67% 0.52 Vegetation 44 30 17 70.83% 56.67% 0.48 Increase Vegetation 24 30 21 80.77% 70% 0.63 Decrease Change in 26 30 14 73.68% 46.67% 0.38 Nonvegetated areas Totals 150 150 98 65% 0.5667

Results Contingency Matrix: Decision Tree Classification REF CLASS CORRECT PRODUCER S USER S KAPPA TOTALS TOTALS ACC. ACC. Water 33 30 26 78.79% 86.87% 0.82 Recharge No Change 44 30 23 52.27% 76.67% 0.66 Vegetation 27 30 20 74% 66% 0.59 Increase Vegetation 25 30 23 92% 76.67% 0.72 Decrease Change in 21 30 16 76% 53% 0.45 Nonvegetated areas Totals 150 150 108 72% 0.65

Results and Discussion Sources of Error--- Spectral confusion- (Topography) Reservoirs: Very Accurate Urban Change: Difficult to adequately characterize using MSMA Veg Decrease: Very Accurate (Fire Scars) Veg Increase: Moderately Accurate- Phenological/ Precipitation differences

Conclusions and Future Work Multitemporal Spectral Mixture Analysis Highly accurate in depicting changes in forest cover: Soil, NPV and GV are sensitive to interdate change in natural cover Decision Tree Classifier outperformed a Conventional Maximum Likelihood Classifier by 10% overall and by an average of 9% for each cover change class Inclusion of ancillary data sets to reduce spectral confusion and texture images to enhance accuracy