HPC ATM simulator for the performance assessment of TBO

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HPC ATM simulator for the performance assessment of TBO L.Camargo, R.Dalmau, S.Ruiz and X.Prats Presenter: Dr. Sergio Ruiz Introduction Theoretical background HPC-ATM Simulator Test case: ATM case Agenda Benchmarking results for decentralized components Benchmarking results for centralized components 2

3 Introduction Introduction 4 High Performance Computing (HPC) Massive datasets & Complex simulations

Introduction 5 High Performance Computing (HPC) Air traffic management 6 Theoretical background

Introduction 7 Cluster of computers Introduction 8 Robustness Scalability Reliability Failure tolerance Etc. High Performance Computing (HPC) (representing a system in real operations)

Introduction 9 Airlines NM/ ANSPSs Airlines BDT SBT RBT 4D Trajectories Trajectory-based operations High Performance Computing (HPC) 10 HPC-ATM Simulator

ATM Performance 11 Current ATM safety layers 12 ASM (Definition of routes and FLS) è Very long-term and static strategic de-confliction of flights ATFCM (capacity and resilience mgnt) ATC separation provision Safety nets (when present) Incident or accident

Future (ideal) ATM safety layers 13 ATFCM (dynamic capacity, complexity and resilience mgnt) Strategic trajectory de-confliction (new ATM layer) ATC separation provision Safety nets Incident or accident TBO-BASED ATM MODEL 14 Collaborative flight planning: exchange and negotiation of 4D Trajectories COORDINATION

Centralised / decentralised decision making 15 Origin/Des8na8on pairs and schedules ATC staffing and capacity constraints De-centralised is better to find the optimal trajectories Trajectory Planning Aircraft operator 1 User-preferred de-conflicted trajectories (negotiation process) Trajectory Planning Aircraft operator n BDT SBT APACHE-TAP Project Traffic and Capacity overview Planning Demand and capacity balance Micro-modelling Strategically de-conflicted trajectories Complexity and risk assessment Airspace Planning Sector optimisation* (minimise complexity) Strategic de-conflicted trajectories with acceptable complexity and safety levels Meso- and macromodelling Set of op8mal trajectories and sector configura8ons to assess ATM performance *At FAB or EUwide level RBT Centralised / decentrilised decision making 16 Centralized view is better to control the safety, complexity and trajectory synchronization at network level

HPC ATM Simulator 17 18 HPC-ATM Simulator Test case

Experiment setup (basic test-case) 19 1319 flights operated with Airbus A320 over ECAC Data was obtained from the Eurocontrol Demand Data Repository 2 (DDR2) Cost index and payload: 45 Kg/min and 81% max payload Two profiles: Conventional: direct routes with current FL Scheme Continuous: direct routes with continuous vertical operations, including continuous cruise climbs 5 nodes, one (1) master and four (4) slaves. Intel Xeon 5148-2.33 GHz processor 1Gb RAM Small scale HPC trial Decentralized results (AUs) 20 C = F + CI T

Decentralized results (AUs) 21 Decentralized results (AUs) 22

Decentralized results (AUs) 23 Centralized results (NM/ANSPs) 24 (63%) (42%)

Centralized results (NM/ANSPs) 25 Centralized results (NM/ANSPs) 26

Summary and Conclusions A software architecture for HPC has been presented as a test-bed to simulate and assess ATM scenarios in a timely manner and with large datasets. Some KPIs have been implemented for the assessment of the airlines operational efficiency (fuel, emissions, flight duration, total cost, among others) and the network safety (number of conflicts and their distribution in FLs). 27 The ATM simulator has been tested with a particular case study to show the ability to (preliminary) reproduce future de-centralized and centralized decisions, in particular, de-centralized trajectory optimization (e.g., done onboard) and centralized traffic and conflict analysis (e.g., performed by the Network Manager). Summary and Conclusions 28 The results of the case study assessment show that a continuous vertical profile may impact positively to operational efficiency of AUs (in particular to the individual and total fuel consumptions and to flying times) The AUs could benefit from around 1% of cost reduction and around 2% trip-time less (fuel and emissions remained similar) However, on a network level, the implementation of continuous trajectories might decrease the safety and capacity levels because of the notable increase of the number of potential traffic separation conflicts and traffic complexity. The number of conflicts has increased from 321 conflicts in case of conventional vertical profiles to 746 conflicts in case of continuous operations, which suggests an increase in the complexity of the traffic that in turn could lead to major safety degradation.

Next Steps 29 The anticipation of the trajectory de-confliction and traffic de-complexion tasks through a collaborative negotiation and with a performance-driven optimization of the traffic operations shall allow to reduce the air traffic complexity and to mitigate the potential traffic separation losses. For that purpose, next research steps to build in the ATM simulator will include strategic de-confliction and de-complexion mechanisms and more advanced performance KPIs. This also contemplates the parallelization (with the HPC architecture presented) of some traffic de-confliction tasks to reduce the computational burden of such highly combinatorial problem. Concurrent multi-access relational database could be the foundation of the mixed decentralised/centralised architecture providing to it the ability of processing data on a full network level. ATM simulator and the HPC software architecture integrated with the SWIM communication so that the computer slaves can be anywhere 30

HPC ATM Simulator 31