Global Survey on Internet Security and Trust. April 16, 2018

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Transcription:

Global Survey on Internet Security and Trust April 16, 2018

Methodology

Methdology, Part 1 This survey was conducted by Ipsos on behalf of the Centre for International Governance Innovation (CIGI), the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) and the Internet Society (ISOC) between December 29, 2017, and March 5, 2018. The survey was conducted in 25 economies Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Egypt, France, Germany, Great Britain, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Kenya, Mexico, Nigeria, Pakistan, Poland, Russia, South Africa, Republic of Korea, Sweden, Tunisia, Turkey and the United States and involved 25,262 Internet users. Twenty-one of the economies utilized the Ipsos Internet panel system while Tunisia was conducted via CATI, and Kenya, Nigeria and Pakistan utilized face-to-face interviewing, given online constraints in these economies and the length of the poll. The inclusion of Russia is new to this year s poll.

Methdology, Part 2 In the US and Canada respondents were aged 18-64, and 16-64 in all other economies. For 2018, the economies of Russia and South Africa have been added to the BRICS definition, which previously only included Brazil, India, and China (BIC). For analytic purposes, the BRICS data is tracked against the BIC data from previous surveys, though the comparison is not direct. Approximately 1,000+ individuals were surveyed in each economy and are weighted to match the population in each economy surveyed. The precision of Ipsos online polls is calculated using a credibility interval. In this case, a poll of 1,000 is accurate to +/- 3.5 percentage points. For those surveys conducted by CATI and face-to-face, the margin of error is +/-3.1, 19 times out of 20. BRICS = Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa APAC = Asia Pacific LATAM = Latin America

Privacy and Security

Across most economies, fewer say they are more concerned about online privacy than said so last year, led by a decline in APAC (51%, down 9 points) Total 22% 30% 52% TOTAL CONCERNED 2017 2016 2014 55% 57% 64% LATAM 30% 32% 63% 64% 63% 81% Middle East/Africa 34% 27% 61% 55% 60% 69% BRICS 24% 34% 58% 63% 64% 76% APAC 16% 34% 51% 60% 59% 67% North America 16% 32% 48% 56% 53% 59% G-8 Countries 14% 29% 43% 51% 52% 56% Europe 14% 29% 42% 49% 50% 51% Much more concerned Somewhat more concerned Total Concerned Q1. How concerned are you about your online privacy compared to one year ago?(select one) Base: All Respondents Total 2014 (n=23,376); Total 2016 (n=24,143), Total 2017 (n=24,750); 2018 (n=24,750)

Among those more concerned, cyber criminals & internet companies continue to be primary sources of concern, with the relative positioning of these sources largely unchanged since last year. Global Total A Great Deal / Somewhat 2017 2016 Cyber criminals 56% 25% 81% 82% 79% Internet companies 34% 40% 74% 74% 72% Other internet users 28% 38% 66% 67% 66% Your government 30% 33% 63% 65% 60% Companies in general 21% 40% 61% 62% - Foreign governments 25% 33% 58% 61% 57% Employers 16% 32% 48% 49% 48% A great deal Somewhat A great deal/ Somewhat Q2. To what extent have the following sources contributed to your being more concerned than last year about your online privacy? Base: Much/ Somewhat More Concerned About Online Privacy 2016 (n=13,867); 2017 (n=12,468); 2018 (n=12,956)

Internet companies are a relatively stable source of concern, although significantly more North Americans (+5 points) say these companies are a source of concern. A Great Deal / Somewhat 2017 2016 Total 34% 40% 74% 74% 72% North America 37% 42% 79% 74% 74% BRICS 39% 38% 78% 74% 75% LATAM APAC Middle East/Africa G-8 Countries Europe 34% 31% 38% 31% 30% 42% 43% 36% 42% 43% 76% 74% 74% 74% 73% A great deal Somewhat A great deal/somewhat 73% 75% 76% 76% 74% 70% 73% 72% 70% 69% Q2. To what extent have the following sources contributed to your being more concerned than last year about your online privacy? [Internet companies] Base: Much/ Somewhat More Concerned About Online Privacy 2016 (n=13,867); 2017 (n=12,956); 2018 (n=12,956)

Latin American Economies tend to avoid certain web applications most, while North Americans and the Middle East and North African economies tend to be most likely to selfcensor what they say online Total North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRICS Middle East/Afric a Base: All Respondents n=24,750 n=2,001 n=2,001 n=6,048 n=8,072 n=8,048 n=4,049 n=5,775 Avoiding opening emails from unknown email addresses 43% 42% 48% 41% 43% 40% 44% 37% Avoiding certain Internet sites 36% 33% 48% 33% 31% 31% 40% 38% Using antivirus software 36% 30% 49% 32% 39% 30% 47% 32% Changing your password regularly 31% 29% 33% 26% 32% 26% 32% 33% Avoiding certain web applications 30% 24% 37% 25% 27% 23% 34% 31% Cutting down on the amount of biographically accurate information you divulge online 28% 22% 34% 25% 28% 22% 29% 24% Self-censoring what you say online 20% 24% 19% 13% 20% 16% 18% 25% Doing fewer financial transactions online 14% 11% 17% 9% 14% 9% 17% 15% Changing who you communicate with 13% 12% 13% 8% 11% 8% 13% 15% Making fewer on-line purchases 12% 11% 13% 9% 11% 9% 13% 13% Closing Facebook and other social media accounts, etc. 10% 11% 9% 7% 9% 8% 11% 10% Using the Internet less often 7% 6% 7% 4% 5% 4% 7% 11% None of these 20% 28% 10% 26% 20% 30% 12% 18% Q3. How have you changed anything about how you behave online compared to one year ago? (Please select all that apply.) Base: All Respondents Total 2018 (n=24,750)

More say it is getting easier (43%), not harder (9%), to buy goods and services online. However, fewer say it s getting easier to surf the internet with the knowledge that content is not being censored. Global Total 2017 Easier 2016 Easier Buying goods and services online 43% 47% 9% 42% - Find the content you seek 42% 49% 9% 41% 46% Access websites in a quick manner 40% 51% 9% 40% 45% Keep software up to date 38% 52% 10% 38% - Access local content and web sites 36% 56% 8% 35% 42% Rely on your favorite website to be online and working 33% 57% 10% 33% 39% Count on reliable mobile Internet service 32% 54% 13% 32% 38% Sending or receiving emails to or from foreign addresses 29% 59% 11% 29% 35% Access foreign content and web sites 28% 58% 14% 28% 36% Use encrypted communications 26% 60% 13% 27% - Use voice over IP (VoIP) 24% 63% 13% 25% - Surf the internet with the knowledge that content is not being censored 24% 56% 19% 25% 29% Q5. Compared to one year ago, would you say that it is easier or harder to do the following things on the internet: Base: All Respondents Total 2018 (n=24,235) Easier Same Harder

Trust

Overall, I trust the Internet By Regional Economy Total 14% 59% 73% BRICS 16% 62% 78% LATAM 19% 59% 78% APAC 12% 63% 75% Middle East/Africa 21% 51% 72% Europe 10% 62% 72% North America 10% 61% 71% G-8 Countries 9% 60% 69% Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly/Somewhat agree Q7 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements: Base: All Respondents 2018 (n=24,962); 2017 (n=24,225) BIC (not BRICS)

India, Pakistan, Kenya, Nigeria, Mexico, Indonesia and Brazil emerging economies have a very high number of respondents indicating that they strongly agree that they trust the internet overall. 35% 37% Strongly agree 30% 29% 14% 13% 18% 22% 4% 12% 12% 10% 10% 17% 8% 7% 9% 7% 14% 11% 8% 11% 13% 3% 3% 10% Q7 To what extent do you agree or disagree with the following statements: Base: All Respondents 2018 (n=24,962); 2017 (n=24,225)

Cybercriminals contribute the most to the distrust of the internet. However, there is a lot of blame to go around, with a majority saying each of these entities at least somewhat contributes to distrust. Cyber Criminals 46% 34% 80% Social Media Companies 18% 50% 68% Governments 18% 43% 61% Foreign Governments 18% 43% 61% Internet Service Providers 13% 45% 58% e-commerce Platforms 12% 45% 57% Search Engines 13% 44% 57% Strongly Agree Somewhat Agree Strongly/Somewhat Agree Q8. To what extent do you agree or disagree that the following contribute to your distrust in the Internet? : Base: All Respondents who do not completely trust the internet (n=21,503)

Social media companies are identified as a source of distrust the most in North America and the Middle East and Africa, with significantly lower levels in the BRICS and Asian Pacific economies. Total 18% 50% 68% North America 22% 51% 73% Middle East/Africa 25% 46% 71% LATAM 21% 48% 70% Europe 19% 50% 69% BRICS 19% 48% 66% G-8 Countries 18% 46% 65% APAC 13% 51% 64% Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly/Somewhat agree Q8. To what extent do you agree or disagree that the following contribute to your distrust in the Internet? : Base: All Respondents who do not completely trust the internet (n=21,503)

E-commerce platforms, tied for the least most common source of distrust with search engines, are a more common point of distrust in Latin America, the Middle East and Africa and the BRICS, suggesting potential barriers to adoption. 31% 25% 6% 69% 69% 70% 70% 65% 67% 67% 62% 62% 62% 62% 56% 57% 57% 58% 58% 58% 51% 53% 49% 44% 45% 45% 42% 35% 7% 37% 7% 37% 8% 35% 11% 37% 12% 41% 10% 36% 17% 48% 9% 48% 9% 50% 7% 47% 11% 48% 10% 48% 10% 53% 8% 47% 15% 46% 16% 57% 6% 50% 15% 48% 19% 51% 16% 47% 22% 46% 23% 56% 14% 55% 15% 57% 45% 12% Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly/Somewhat agree Q8. To what extent do you agree or disagree that the following contribute to your distrust in the Internet? : Base: All Respondents who do not completely trust the internet (n=21,503)

Among those who distrust the internet, the leading reason continues to be that they believe it is not secure, though less feel this way compared to last year (-17 points). Global Total 2017 The Internet is not secure 48% 65% The Internet is too uncontrolled 32% - The Internet is not reliable The Internet is controlled by corporate elites The Internet does not allow me to communicate privately The Internet is controlled by my government The Internet is controlled by foreign governments 25% 23% 21% 21% 20% 40% 29% 27% - 26% The Internet does not allow me to access the content I want 10% 11% Other 5% 9% None of the above 14% - Q7a. Why else do you distrust the Internet? Base: Those Who Distrust Internet 2018 (n=21,081); 2017 (n=10,168)

BRICS and those in the Middle East/ Africa are generally more inclined to distrust the Internet for a variety of reasons. Total North America LATAM Europe APAC G-8 Countries BRICS Middle East/Afric a Base: All Respondents n=21,081 n=1,810 n=1,591 n=5,512 n=7,095 n=7,412 n=4,143 n=4,117 The Internet is not secure 48% 47% 44% 42% 48% 44% 50% 51% The Internet is too uncontrolled 32% 24% 25% 31% 35% 31% 34% 32% The Internet is not reliable 25% 16% 32% 22% 20% 19% 25% 35% The Internet is controlled by corporate elites 23% 22% 23% 23% 17% 20% 21% 26% The Internet does not allow me to communicate privately 21% 19% 24% 25% 16% 23% 25% 18% The Internet is controlled by my government 21% 18% 17% 17% 18% 16% 18% 26% The Internet is controlled by foreign governments 20% 12% 19% 17% 14% 15% 18% 27% The Internet does not allow me to access the content I want 10% 5% 7% 6% 12% 6% 12% 12% Other 5% 6% 8% 4% 4% 5% 5% 4% None of the above 14% 21% 9% 18% 15% 20% 11% 10% Q7a. Why else do you distrust the Internet? Base: Those Who Distrust Internet 2018 (n=21,081)

Trust and E-commerce

Six in ten (60%) global residents are likely to use mobile payment systems on their smartphone in the next year, up slightly since 2017 (57%). Just 7% of internet users globally do not own a smartphone. Very likely Somewhat likely 29% 31% Total Likely 2018 2017 60% 57% Not very likely Not at all likely 15% 19% Total Unlikely 2018 2017 34% 35% I don t own a smartphone 7% Q14. How likely are you to use mobile payment systems on your smartphone in the next year? Base: All Respondents Total 2018 (n=25,262); 2017 (n=24,225)

Propensity to use online payment systems on mobile phones varies greatly by economy, with mostly emerging economies topping the list. 93% 94% % likely to use mobile payments 62% 64% 65% 68% 69% 71% 73% 75% 75% 76% 78% 79% 83% 60% 29% 31% 36% 36% 39% 41% 41% 43% 45% Q14. How likely are you to use mobile payment systems on your smartphone in the next year? Base: All Respondents Total 2018 (n=25,262)

Two in ten (17%) say they never buy goods or services, down 5 points since last year. This means that a growing proportion (83%, up 5 points) make online purchases. 2017 Never 17% 22% Once a month 49% 47% Two to five times a month 25% 23% More than five times a month 8% 7% Less than once a month 1% 0% Q15. How frequently do you buy goods or service online? Base: All Respondents 2018 (24,235)

Close to half of those living in the BRICS and APAC regions frequently buy goods or services online. 2017 Total 33% 31% APAC BRICS Europe G-8 Countries North America LATAM 26% 31% 34% 37% 44% 43% 42% 45% 37% 35% 31% 22% % Two Or More Times Per Month Middle East/Africa 19% 19% Q15. How frequently do you buy goods or service online? Base: All Respondents 2018 (24,235)

Among those who never shop online, the key reason they do not is a lack of trust, stable from last year. Fewer say it s because it s too expensive to shop online, or that they re not able to make online payments. 2017 I do not trust shopping online I have heard bad things about online shopping It is too difficult to shop online It is too expensive to shop online I am not able to make online payments I do not find what I look for 25% 20% 20% 16% 15% 50% 49% 25% 19% 23% 21% 17% Services do not deliver to my location No Internet availability when I need it Other Q16. Why do you not purchase goods or service online? Base: Never Buy Goods or Services Online 2018 (n=3,942) 8% 7% 17% 8% 8% 14%

Significant reductions in distrust as an inhibitor of e-commerce occurred in Brazil, Germany, and Great Britain; however, these gains were largely offset by a significant increase in distrust in Egypt, the United States, Canada and Indonesia. Percentage Points Difference in distrust 2017 to 2018 20 8 3 3 3 2 3 9 3 11 0 0 3 11 2 5 0 7 1-6 -9-2 -7-3 -18-14 Japan Great Britain Brazil China Germany India Italy France Sweden Republic of Korea Q16. Why do you not purchase goods or service online? Base: Never Buy Goods or Services Online 2018 (n=3,942) Indonesia Nigeria Australia Kenya Canada Turkey Mexico Pakistan South Africa United States Hong Kong Egypt Poland Russia Tunisia Total

At four in ten (38%), free e-commerce services top the list as the most important factor in determining choice of an online e-commerce platform. Location of the platform is relatively less important to most people. I prefer e-commerce services that are free 38% I prefer e-commerce services with the most available functions 31% I prefer e-commerce platforms that have the most users 31% I prefer local e-commerce platforms 28% I prefer e-commerce platforms from developed countries 17% I prefer foreign e-commerce platforms 9% I prefer e-commerce platforms from developing countries 6% Other 13% Q18. Please select the most important factors in your choice of an online e-commerce platform: Base: (n=20,307)

A strong majority (78%), though less than a year ago (-4 points), agree that the origin of the good or service effects what they buy although most only somewhat agree that it s important. A growing proportion (22%, up 4 points) say it s not important. Strongly agree 25% Total Agree 2018 2017 78% 82% Somewhat agree 53% Somewhat disagree 17% Total Disagree 2018 2017 Strongly disagree 5% 22% 18% Q20. Do you agree or disagree that when shopping online, where the good or service is made affects what you buy? Base: Buy Goods or Services Online at Least Once Month 2018 (n=20,307); 2017 (n=18,551)

Technological Progress

A majority of citizens in every Regional Economy agree that technological advancements outweigh the costs. Those in BRICS are most likely to agree, as they were last year. LATAM (82%) is up 9 points. 2017 Total 23% 49% 72% 68% BRICS 29% 54% 82% 80% LATAM 32% 50% 82% 73% Middle East/Africa 36% 44% 80% 77% APAC 21% 55% 76% 74% Europe 15% 49% 64% 61% G-8 Countries 14% 47% 61% 58% North America 13% 45% 58% Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly/Somewhat agree 59% Q34. A lot of new digital technologies, such as 3D printing and driverless cars, could lead to a drastically different economy. These technologies could make things cheaper for consumers, but they could also eliminate jobs across a variety of sectors, including manufacturing and transportation. Do you agree or disagree that the benefits of rapid technological advances such as 3D printing and driverless cars outweigh the costs? Base: All Respondents (n=25,262)

Agreement that new technology is worth the costs is the highest in emerging economies, such as Egypt (92%), China (90%), Indonesia (90%), India (88%), Kenya (87%) and Brazil (87%). 57% 58% 59% 61% 47% 52% 54% 50% 47% 43% 42% 45% 40% 37% 11% 12% 15% 14% 8% 11% 11% 87% 87% 88% 90% 90% 92% 84% 74% 76% 76% 77% 77% 79% 69% 70% 71% 66% 66% 51% 14% 52% 54% 65% 47% 54% 33% 49% 42% 62% 47% 51% 31% 55% 58% 67% 46% 59% 50% 28% 43% 37% 56% 32% 26% 11% 31% 18% 24% 22% 9% 24% 16% 36% 17% 72% 49% 23% Strongly agree Somewhat agree Strongly/Somewhat agree Q34. A lot of new digital technologies, such as 3D printing and driverless cars, could lead to a drastically different economy. These technologies could make things cheaper for consumers, but they could also eliminate jobs across a variety of sectors, including manufacturing and transportation. Do you agree or disagree that the benefits of rapid technological advances such as 3D printing and driverless cars outweigh the costs? Base: All Respondents (n=25,262)

Among those who disagree that the benefits outweigh the costs, the main reason continues to be that the potential loss of employment is too great. 2017 The potential loss of employment is too great 48% 45% New technologies often lead to more problems than they solve 36% 30% The pace of change is too much for people to reasonably keep up with 35% 30% They increase income inequalities 31% - New technologies hardly ever work right 22% 16% Other 5% 7% None of the above 15% 17% Q35. Why do you disagree that the benefits of these new types of technological advances outweigh the costs? Base: Disagree Benefits Outweigh Costs (n=7,013)

Concern over the loss of employment due to technological progress is particularly acute in African economies, with Tunisia, South Africa, Nigeria and Kenya making up four of the top five most concerned economies. 88% 24% 25% 29% 32% 36% 36% 39% 39% 40% 40% 42% 43% 44% 48% 52% 52% 54% 54% 54% 58% 60% 64% 71% 48% 13% Q35. Why do you disagree that the benefits of these new types of technological advances outweigh the costs? Base: Disagree Benefits Outweigh Costs (n=7,013)

In terms of what can be done to manage disruptive transitions, governmentprovided training programs and skills development initiatives are cited as the most popular option (42% -- up from 37% in 2017). Government training programs 42% 2017 37% Consider the social implications of new technologies Corporate training programs Minimum income guarantee Individuals should education themselves Governments should tax and redistribute Governments should tax robots Governments should regulate technology to slow its Other None of the above 4% 39% 39% 34% 33% 26% 17% 15% 18% 39% - 31% 31% - - 10% 6% 18% Q36. What steps should be taken to deal with the potentially negative effects of technological change? * not asked in China Base: Disagree Benefits Outweigh Costs (n=7,012)

Developed Economies generally want to tax and spend, while emerging economies generally want to cut taxes to facilitate growth and create jobs Total 30% 34% 36% North America 38% 41% 22% G-8 Countries 36% 37% 26% Europe 35% 38% 27% APAC 32% 39% 29% BRICS 24% 32% 44% Middle East/Africa 23% 28% 49% LATAM 21% 26% 53% Governments should increase taxes on technology companies in order to help pay for social programs and services Governments should keep tax levels on technology companies where they are Governments should lower taxes on technology companies in order to encourage growth and create jobs Q42 Which of the following statements is closest to your point of view Base: All Respondents (n=25,259)

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