Arizona s Climate Change Action Plan Kurt Maurer Arizona Department of Environmental Quality
Governor Napolitano s Executive Order 2005-02 Signed by Governor Napolitano on February 2, 2005 Arizona and Western States have particular concerns about the impacts of climate change and climate variability on our environment, including the potential for prolonged drought, severe forest fires, warmer temperatures, increased snowmelt, reduced snow pack and other effects. Actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, including energy efficiency, conserving natural resources and developing renewable energy sources, may have multiple benefits, including economic development, job creation, cost savings, and improved air quality.
Current State Climate Action
Governor Napolitano s Executive Order 2005-02 A two-fold charge: Establish a baseline inventory and forecast of greenhouse gas emissions in Arizona Produce an action plan to reduce Arizona s greenhouse gas emissions
Arizona GHG Emissions Inventory & Forecast Arizona s GHG emissions increased by nearly 56% between 1990 and 2005 (from 59 MMT to 93 MMT) Arizona s GHG emissions are projected to increase to roughly 148% over 1990 levels by 2020 (to 147 MMT) and 200% by 2040 (to 179 MMT) Arizona has the fastest GHG emissions rate of growth in the U.S.
State GHG Emissions Growth Rates % GHG over 1990 levels 160% 140% 120% 100% 80% 60% 40% 20% AZ CA CT ME NC NM NY OR PS/ WA RI 0% -20% 1990 2000 2010 2020
Arizona GHG Emissions, by sector Arizona Res/Comm Fuel Use 5% Transport 39% Industrial Process 5% Waste 2% Agric. 5% US Res/Comm Fuel Use 9% Transport 26% Industrial Process 8% Waste 4% Agric. 7% Industrial Fuel Use 6% Electricity 38% Industrial Fuel Use 14% Electricity 32% Electricity Use/Production and Transportation together account for roughly 77% of Arizona s total
Arizona CCAG Process The CCAG established five sector-based Technical Work Groups (TWGs) to develop GHG reduction options: Energy Supply Residential-Commercial-Industrial Use Transportation and Land Use Agriculture and Forestry Cross-Cutting Issues
Climate Change Action Plan Comprehensive set of 49 policy options Early and aggressive action Implement as a set, to extent practicable, to achieve maximum GHG emissions reductions possible www.azclimatechange.gov
CCAG Recommendations 49 recommendations, focused on: Reducing energy demand and increasing energy efficiency Increasing production and use of renewable energy Increasing alternative fuels and technologies for vehicles Reducing fuel use Expanding carbon sinks Reducing vehicle emissions Reporting GHG emissions and giving credit for reductions Capping and trading GHG emissions Setting a state goal: reduce Arizona s GHG emissions to 2000 level by 2020 and to 50% below 2000 level by 2040
Governor Napolitano s Executive Order 2006-13 Established Climate Change Executive Committee Contained specific directives, including: Develop a GHG emissions reporting mechanism and establish a multi-state registry Adopt the Clean Car Program Convert state vehicle fleet to low-ghg-emissions vehicles Set goal to reduce state s GHG emissions to 2000 levels by 2020 and to 50% below 2000 levels by 2040
AZ Goal: 2000 Levels by 2020 and 50% Below 2000 levels by 2040 200 AZ GHGs Reference Case MMTCO2e AZ Goal: 2000 levels by 2020, 50% below 2000 levels by 2040 150 100 50 0 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 Year
Climate Change Executive Committee Workgroups began meeting in February to develop strategies for implementing CCAG recommendations Draft implementation strategies submitted to ADEQ in May-June Final implementation strategies to be submitted to Governor in August
Western Climate Initiative Signed February 26, 2007 by Washington, Oregon, California, Arizona and New Mexico Builds on West Coast Governors Global Warming Initiative (WA, CA & OR) and Southwest Climate Change Initiative (AZ & NM) Allows other states (and tribes, Canadian Provinces and Mexican states) to observe and join
WCI Participants Original Members: AZ, CA, NM, OR, WA New Members: UT, BC, Manitoba Observers: AK, CO, KS, NV, WY Ontario, Quebec, Saskatchewan Sonora
WCI Regional Goal Announced August 22, 2007, regional goal is reduce GHG emissions in the West to 15% below 2005 by 2020 Regional goal blends and does not replace individual state and provincial goals Goal statement and metrics located at www.westernclimateinitiative.org/eweb editpro/items/o104f13006.pdf
Original WCI States & Goals Arizona: 2000 by 2020; 50% below 2000 levels by 2040 California: 2000 by 2010; 1990 by 2020; 80% below 1990 by 2050 New Mexico: 2000 by 2012; 10% below by 2020; 75% below by 2050 Oregon: 1990 by 2010; 10% below by 2020; 75% below by 2100 Washington: 1990 by 2020; 25% below 1990 by 2035; 50% below 1990 by 2050
New WCI Members New members must have aggressive emissions reduction goals and commit to take comparable actions (i.e., adopt clean car standards) Utah Will adopt state goal by May 2008 British Columbia 10% below 1990 levels by 2020 Manitoba 1990 levels by 2012; 6% below 1990 by 2020 Observers Alaska, Colorado, Kansas, Nevada, Wyoming, Ontario, Saskatchewan, Sonora
Criteria for New WCI Entrants Must have adopted an economy-wide GHG reduction goal that reflects a level of effort consistent with that of the WCI partners Must have developed or be developing a comprehensive multi-sector climate action plan to achieve the goal Must have committed to adopt GHG tailpipe standards for passenger vehicles Must be participating in The Climate Registry
WCI Work Plan Developing the Market Mechanism: Meetings roughly every two months between September 2007 August 2008 Will coordinate with California s Market Advisory Committee and other ongoing state efforts (i.e., Oregon) Stakeholder outreach to be done by individual states
Western Climate Initiative Web site: www.westernclimateinitiative.org
The Climate Registry Multi-state/national GHG emissions registry Created by WRAP, CCAR, ECR (NESCAUM states) and Midwestern (LADCO) states Purpose: Provide a common GHG currency and minimize the reporting burden Provide baseline protection Includes tribes Canadian provinces and Mexican states can be invited to join
The Climate Registry States