RTC Mobility Plan Workshop North Central Texas Council of Governments July 9, 2015
Agenda 1. Introduction to the Metropolitan Transportation Plan (MTP) 2. New Planning Parameters 3. Emerging Planning and Policy Considerations 4. Additional Plan Topic Fast Facts 5. Financial Elements of the MTP 6. Other Discussion 2
Item 1: Introduction to the MTP 3
What is the Metropolitan Transportation Plan? Represents a blueprint for the region s multimodal transportation system Covers years 2016-2040 Responds to Regional Transportation Council goals Identifies policies, programs, and projects for continued development Guides the expenditure of federal and state transportation funds 4
Existing Metropolitan Transportation Plan Goals Mobility Improve the availability of transportation options for people and goods. Support travel efficiency measures and system enhancements targeted at congestion reduction and management. Assure all communities are provided access to the regional transportation system and planning process. Quality of Life Preserve and enhance the natural environment, improve air quality, and promote active lifestyles. Encourage livable communities that support sustainability and economic vitality. System Sustainability Ensure adequate maintenance and enhance the safety and reliability of the existing transportation system. Pursue long-term, sustainable revenue sources to address regional transportation system needs. Implementation Provide for timely project planning and implementation. Develop cost-effective projects and programs aimed at reducing the costs associated with constructing, operating, and maintaining the regional transportation system. 5
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 2040 2041 2042 2043 2044 2045 Long-Range Planning Timeframes Mobility 2035 Mobility 2040 Mobility 2045 *Adopted *Updated *Amended *Anticipated Adoption *Anticipated Adoption Planning Horizon* Planning Horizon* Planning Horizon* As part of the continuous planning process, the MTP must be updated at least every four years, and can be amended as needed. 6
Item 2: New Planning Parameters 7
What is New for Mobility 2040? Planning Horizon Extending five years further into the future ~900,000 more people from 2035 to 2040 Planning Requirements MAP-21 performance based planning Official guidance is pending, efforts underway to meet the spirit of the law Texas House Bill 20 MPOs required to develop a 10-year plan 8
2040 Demographics Metropolitan Planning Area (MPA) population estimated to reach 10.7 million by 2040 4.3 million more people from 2010 to 2040 85% of this growth will occur in Collin, Dallas, Denton, and Tarrant counties MPA employment estimated to reach 6.7 million by 2040 2.8 million more jobs from 2010 to 2040 93% of this growth will occur in Collin, Dallas, Denton, and Tarrant counties As regional demographics change, providing a variety of transportation choices will be important 9
Legislative Outcomes Lawmakers have provided opportunities for new funding for transportation Revenue Source Priced Facility Use Transit Use Prop. 1 No No End Diversions Yes No Sales Tax * No No Excise Tax * No No * Pending voter approval Estimated Statewide Revenue (in billions) 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Total Revenue $1.74 $1.81 $1.79 $4.84 $4.84 $5.53 10
Item 3: Emerging Planning and Policy Considerations 11
Mobility 2035 Roadway Recommendations 12
Roadway Project Status 13
Balancing Tolled vs. Tax-Funded Facilities Freeway/Tollway/Managed Lanes Total Lane Miles 9% 13% 87% 22% 69% Leveraging funds has been effective in delivering both tolled and non-tolled capacity. 2013 2035 14
Planned Funding 15
Past Efforts to Advance Rail Service Region Legislature Year Effort Result Year Effort Result 2002-2004 2005-2006 2007-2008 2010-2011 Regional Transit Summit, Regional Rail Corridor Study, Regional Transit Initiative Support for Regional Transit System Review Committee Transit Authority Partnership Subcommittee (RTC) and Rail North Texas Conceptual engineering and funding studies (4 corridors) 2011 Innovative Finance Initiative (Cotton Belt and TEX Rail) 2005-2006 Regional Transit System Review Committee 2007 HB 2084 and SB 257 introduced without result 2009 Texas Local Option Transportation Act (SB 855 and HB 9) introduced without result 2013 Cotton Belt Rail Improvement District (SB 1333) introduced without result 2015 Legislative focus on increasing transportation revenue identified highway funding but not transit funding 16
Proposed Process for Developing Transit Recommendations Technical Analysis Support and Implementation Analysis Analyze corridors Evaluate options for alternative transit services Work with local governments to define and confirm support in specific corridors Plan Recommendations 17
Role of Technology Evolving technology can improve safety, increase the capacity of the existing transportation system, and can reduce demand Technology considerations Vehicle to vehicle communication Driverless vehicles Connected trucks Intelligent traffic signals Impacts of telecommuting Traveler information Public transportation efficiencies 18
Item 4: Additional Plan Topic Fast Facts 19
Air Quality Emphasis Areas High-Emitting Vehicles/Equipment Low Speeds Idling Vehicle Miles of Travel Energy and Fuel Use Cold Starts Hard Accelerations Photo Source: istock Photo Source: istock Photo Source: istock Photo Source: istock 20
Sustainable Development Smart Goal Ideas In an effort to maximize limited resources, transportation infrastructure will be prioritized to support sustainable land uses (offering more than one land use choice or within a connected two-mile proximity to others) within the urban core and to support similar nodes of development investment in more rural areas. Big Ideas/Policies and Programs (NEW) Transit-Oriented Development (TOD) Policy: Promote TOD for all station types. (UPDATE) Incorporate RTC 2013 Sustainable Schools Policy in the Plan: Support Independent School Districts and local governments through various programs and projects. 21
Active Transportation Smart Goal Ideas All trips less than two miles in length in the urbanized area will have options available to be accomplished by non-motorized or transit modes of travel. All roadways in the urbanized area should be designed and constructed to accommodate at least three or more modes of transportation. All roadway projects will implement a context sensitive design approach compatible for the community and neighborhood in which the roadway is located Big Ideas/New Additions (UPDATE) Context Sensitive Design/Complete Streets (Multi-Modal Accommodations) (UPDATE) Regional Veloweb (Off-Street Paths) (NEW) Regional On-Street Bikeway Network Urbanized Area (reflects local adopted master plans) 22
Asset Management Process and Function Asset Management Definition The strategic and systematic process of operating, maintaining, upgrading, and expanding physical assets cost-effectively throughout their lifecycle. (AASHTO, 1998) Determine appropriate system balance of preservation and expansion improvements to maximize asset performance and minimize life-cycle costs Track infrastructure conditions and performance using an integrated data management system Develop low to moderate cost solutions for projects that can incorporate existing assets as much as possible 23
Freight Proposed DRIVE Act Freight Provisions US Senate Environment & Public Works Committee Bill approved in June not yet funded; still has many steps before it becomes law Formula-based freight program funding tied to national highway freight network, state freight plans and performance measures Major urban areas (500,000 in population) could designate critical urban freight corridors National freight transportation performance reports 24
Evolving Transit Projects and High Speed Rail Mobility 2040 will include policies, programs, and projects for: Various people mover projects High Speed Rail projects 3 station concept Regional connectivity Selected Regional Rail projects Regional Positive Train Control program DCTA Stadler GTW Stadler FLIRT 25
Item 5: Financial Elements of the MTP 26
Financial Plan Background Federal regulations require MTPs to be financially constrained to available resources; projects in the MTP are assumed to be funded The MTP accounts for all sources of revenue that are reasonably expected to be available over the life of the plan The MTP reports financial information in year of expenditure dollars and total project costs to accurately reflect costs over time Many revenue sources have restrictions on how they can be used; the MTP assigns revenue sources to eligible projects 27
Mobility 2035 Financial Sources & Expenditures Expenditures Revenue Sources 28
Mobility 2035 Financial Assumptions Mobility 2035 Financial Scenarios Funding Strategies Baseline Adopted State Fuel Tax (per gallon) State Fuel Tax Indexing Federal Fuel Tax (per gallon) Average Vehicle Registration Fee Tollroads, Managed Lanes, CDA, and PPP Other Assumptions $0.20 (existing) +$0.05 in 2020 & +$0.05 in 2030 - To Fuel Efficiency by 2015 $0.184 (existing) $60 (existing) Currently Funded Facilities - Regional Partners Continue to Implement Projects - Reliance on local entities to fund projects locally +$0.05 in 2020 & +$0.05 in 2030 +$10 in 2015 & +$10 in 2025 Additional Facilities Same as Baseline Plus: - End 80% of Diversions Incrementally by 2025 - Maintenance: TxDOT addresses pavement conditions; MPO funds bridge replacements Total Revenue ($B) $74.9 $94.5 29
Mobility 2040 Financial Assumptions Mobility 2040 Financial Scenarios Funding Strategies Adopted Mobility 2035 Mobility 2035 Baseline Mobility 2040 Baseline 1 Mobility 2040 Enhanced Revenue 2 State Fuel Tax (per gallon) Existing +$0.05 in 2020 & +$0.05 in 2030 Existing - State Fuel Tax Indexing To Fuel Efficiency by 2015 - - Federal Fuel Tax (per gallon) Existing +$0.05 in 2020 & +$0.05 in 2030 Existing - Average Vehicle Registration Fee Tollroads, Managed Lanes, CDA, and PPP Existing +$10 in 2015 & +$10 in 2025 Additional Facilities Existing - Currently Funded Facilities - Assumptions about additional revenue tied to future legislative agendas Other Assumptions - End 80% of Diversions Incrementally by 2025 - Maintenance: TxDOT addresses pavement conditions; MPO funds bridge replacements - - Utilize New Revenues from 84 th Legislature (~$30B to region over time) Total Revenue ($B) $94.5 $74.9 $104.9 (DRAFT) $124.5 (DRAFT) 1. Assumes Mobility 2035 Baseline + new revenue from 84 th Legislature. 2. Assumes $104.9B draft Mobility 2040 Baseline + an equivalent revenue enhancement amount as Mobility 2035. 30
Financial Considerations The Texas Legislature has provided new revenues for transportation, but there are restrictions on how the funds can be used. How do we best use new funding sources to meet regional transportation goals? What is the future of priced facilities in the region and the balance with tax-funded roadways? How do we address regional transit funding in the future? What items should future legislative agendas focus on regarding funding? 31
Item 6: Other Discussion 32
Mobility 2035 Roadway Recommendations 33
Top Eight RTC Focus Items Passenger Rail with Limited Funding Eligibility High Speed Rail with Wavering Legislative Support Goods Movement Needs through National Legislative Emphasis User Focus on Transportation Choice Momentum Toward Pay as you Go Impacts of Technology Operational Freeway Improvement Group Role of RTC Policies as Incentives to Local Match: Air Quality Improvement 34
Contacts To find out more about the Mobility 2040, visit us at: www.nctcog.org/mobility2040 email questions or comments to: mobilityplan@nctcog.org Dan Lamers, P.E. Senior Program Manager dlamers@nctcog.org 817-695-9263 Chad McKeown, AICP Program Manager cmckeown@nctcog.org 817-695-9134 Elizabeth Whitaker, AICP Principal Transportation Planner ewhitaker@nctcog.org 817-608-2324 35