Forest Fires in Italy Analysys of data in 2011 Campaign 27 th Meeting at JRC-Ispra 10 th -11 th november 2011
PREAMBLE: Forest fires in Italy in long-term period 1970-2010
ABOUT THE ITALIAN FORESTS INVENTORY DATA 2007 2 National Forest Inventory (IFNC) may 2007 10,4 M ha total forest (8,7 M ha forest, 1,7 other wooded land) Land coverage 34%); 2/3 above 500 m asl; 63,5% private, 32,4% public; 81,3% potentially available for production, harvested 8 M m3/year (5 Mm 3 fuelwood); estimated 12 billion trees; Management by Regions. www.infc.it
FOREST FIRES IN ITALY - LONG TERM DATA Average from last decade: per year 6.888 fires, 77.000 ha burnt, half wooded; 2007, worst year out of 20: 10.639 fires, 228.000 hectares of burnt land, 23 victims 24 July 2007, worst ever day ; 98% fires by people (negligence and arson) Regional responsibility, Civil protection coordination, CFS contribution as a long tradition. superficie bruciata superficie boscata 0,6 ALTO RISCHIO superficie bruciata 0,2 superficie boscata 0,6 MEDIO RISCHIO superficie bruciata superficie boscata 0,2 BASSO RISCHIO
FOREST FIRES IN ITALY Average from last decade: Summer fire season in Southern Italy, winter fire season in the North, mixed somewhere (Liguria)
FOREST FIRES IN ITALY Number of fires 1970-2010 1985
FOREST FIRES IN ITALY Burnt area 1970 2010, total and wooded 1981 2007
FOREST FIRES IN ITALY Average burnt area 1970-2010 1983
USES OF FOREST FIRES DATA Info collected in 15 + 5 Regions are used to report to EFFIS, for a yearly bulletin and pubblications
Analysys of data in 2008-2010 Cadaster of Areas affected by fires
2007 2008 2009
Trentino A.Adige N/A N/A Val d Aosta N/A Friuli VG Lombardia Piemonte 2010 Emilia Romagna Veneto
Marche Umbria Toscana 2010 Lazio Abruzzo
N/A Molise Sardegna Basilicata Campania 2010
Puglia Sicilia N/A Calabria 2010
Analysys of data in 2011 Campaign Provisional Data from CFS & Regions
8120 29486 22236 51722
2500 2000 1500 Forest Fires in 2011 by month DATA by: Italian Forest Corps 2385 1375 1000 806 500 68 254 230 474 124 245 422 0 gennaio febbraio marzo aprile maggio giugno luglio agosto settembre ottobre
DATA by: Italian Forest Corps 5000 4500 4000 3500 3000 2500 Forest Fires in 2011 3 months period 4566 2000 1500 1000 552 843 422 500 0 01/01-31/03 01/04-30/06 01/07-30/09 01/10-31/10
DATA by: Italian Forest Corps 35000,0 30000,0 Forest Fires in 2011 3 months period 25000,0 20000,0 15000,0 Non boscata Boscata 10000,0 5000,0 0,0 01/01-31/03 01/04-30/06 01/07-30/09 01/10-31/10
20000 18000 16000 14000 Areas affected by fire in 2011 by month DATA by: Italian Forest Corps 11483,3 12000 10000 8000 6000 2111,1 Non boscata Boscata 4000 2059,8 2000 0 918,2 1002,2 381,7 1121,6 348,9 61,5 281,6 gennaio febbraio marzo aprile maggio giugno luglio agosto settembre ottobre
700 600 Forest Fires in 2011 Aerial Interventions DATA by: Italian Civil Protection Dept. 632 500 400 393 300 264 200 100 0 80 34 2 9 24 70 88 2 0 gen-11 feb-11 mar-11 apr-11 mag-11 giu-11 lug-11 ago-11 set-11 ott-11 nov-11 dic-11
Forest fires Risk Forecast Tools & Systems
FOREST FIRES RISK FORECAST The Italian main responsible body is the Civil Protection; The first basis is represented by the EFFIS grid and forecast received every day by the offices; The fire forecast is more detailed by a national forecast system, RISICO; Some Regions add a further, detailed system
FOREST FIRES RISK FORECAST
FOREST FIRES RISK FORECAST Thanks to EFFIS + RISICO an internal daily bulletin is prepared giving the fire forecast at two levels: Provinces and points (intensity & speed)
FOREST FIRES RISK FORECAST EFFIS + RISICO are used also to decide the daily redeployment of forest fire fleet through Italy
DATA COMPARISONS & RANGE of VALUES: reliability REAL-TIME DATA COLLECTION (how to provide quite reliable data?) EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT SHORT TIME RESPONSE RESOURCE ALLOCATION MID-TERM / LONG-TERM DATA REPORTS (very reliable data) LONG TERM STATISTICS CADASTER of BURNED LANDS RISK PLANNING
2009 2010
SHORT RESPONSE ALERT SYSTEM INTERVENTION TIME REDUCTION MINIMIZES DAMAGES AND REDUCES FIRE DURATION AND BURNED AREAS DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM ESTIMATION OF RISKS AND OPTIMIZATION OF RESOURCES NEEDED TO MANAGE SEVERAL DIFFERENT PRIORITIES CHAIN OF COMMAND EFFICIENT DIRECTION REDUCES RISKS FOR OPERATORS AND MAXIMIZES THE EFFECTS OF INTERVENTION
DATA DATA ORIGIN DATA USER AFFECTED ERRORS ERROR CAUSES ACTIONS TO REDUCE ERRORS ACTORS AFFECTED FOREST FIRE ALARM CITIZEN CFS PATROL FIRE COMMANDER OTHER ORG.S CON COR SOUP PATROLS DOS MISSING/WRONG ALARM DATA WRONG DATA FORMAT 1515 FREE NUMBER SATURATED CFS NOT ACTIVE IN SOUP CFS NOT ACTIVE IN ZONE BAD/ABSENT COMMUNICATIONS CITIZEN SENSIBILIZATION OPERATORS TRAINING STANDARD PROCEDURES USER-FRIENDLY TECNOLOGIES CITIZENS OPERATORS / CON OPERATORS / COR OPERATORS / SOUP OPERATORS / PATROLS EMERGENCY MANAGERS FIRE INCIDENT COMMANDERS FOREST FIRE DATA CFS PATROL FIRE COMMANDER OTHER ORG.S CON COR SOUP PATROLS DOS MISSING/WRONG ALARM DATA WRONG DATA FORMAT CFS NOT ACTIVE IN SOUP CFS NOT ACTIVE IN ZONE BAD/ABSENT COMMUNICATIONS OPERATORS TRAINING STANDARD PROCEDURES USER-FRIENDLY TECNOLOGIES DATA ANALYSYS OPERATORS / CON OPERATORS / COR OPERATORS / SOUP OPERATORS / PATROLS EMERGENCY MANAGERS FIRE INCIDENT COMMANDERS DECISION SUPPORT EMERGENCY MGM COR FIRE COMMANDER PATROLS OTHER ORG.S CON COR SOUP PATROLS DOS OTHER ORG.S MISSING/WRONG DATA MISSING/WRONG DATA- FLOW CFS NOT ACTIVE IN SOUP CFS NOT ACTIVE IN ZONE BAD/ABSENT COMMUNICATIONS OPERATORS TRAINING STANDARD PROCEDURES USER-FRIENDLY TECNOLOGIES DATA ANALYSYS OPERATORS / CON OPERATORS / COR OPERATORS / SOUP OPERATORS / PATROLS EMERGENCY MANAGERS FIRE INCIDENT COMMANDERS
Forest fires Causes Investigations
EU guideline
EU guideline
IT guideline
IT guideline
IT guideline
Thanks for your attention... Italian Forest Corps - National HQ Division 3 - Civil Protection & FireFighting Mauro CAPONE (HQ - Head of Division 3th) Filippo MICILLO (Regional Cmd Liguria) Lorenza COLLETTI (HQ - Division 5th) Fabrizio DI LIBERTO (HQ - Division 3th) divisione03@corpoforestale.it