Biogas Development Potential in ASEAN

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Transcription:

Biogas Development Potential in ASEAN Clean Energy Expo, Singapore, 2010 John C.Y. Lee Electric Power Asia Pacific Caterpillar Asia Pte Ltd

CAT Asia & Dealer Network WesTrac EPAP Regions North Asia South Asia South East Asia Australia, New Zealand & Pacific Islands Singapore HQ Caterpillar ASEAN Headquarter & SEA Parts and Services Distribution Center TIL GMMCO CEL MTL Bangla Cat Metro Metro Cambodia UTE TSL ECI Metro LSH CEL TMB Trakindo TUS(S)PL Metro Laos Phuthai Hae In CML Monark WesT rac William Adams Over ½ of the World s Population! Hastings Deering Hastings Deering Cavpower WesTrac, NSW Hastings Deering Hawthorne CarptracSodiva Caltrac Goughs Page 2 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

South East Asia (ASEAN) Metro Laos MTL Metro Phuthai Metro Cambodia TMB TSL Monark TSL Trakindo Page 3 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

Opportunities Improving Economies and Standard of Living Large agro-based countries with positive GDP Lagging Utilities Electricity: demand >> supply Demonopolization of power generation Stimulating Incentives Feed-in tariff plus adder in many countries Global carbon trade Increasing Production Capacity and Environmental Control Growing environmental awareness, enforcement and government incentives (including carbon credit) Page 4 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

South East Asia Country Statistics Population GDP Electricity Tariff Emissions Level Page 5 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

Biogas Applications Agricultural waste/wastewater Animal waste/wastewater Industrial waste/wastewater Landfill (MSW and industrial) Domestic wastewater (sewage) Waste Collection Gas Generation, Treatment, Preparation CER$ Gas Utilization (Power and Heat Production) $ Can be considered as renewable and carbon credits are available Page 6 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

Biogas Project Potential Country Agro Wastewater Livestock Wastewater Landfill Gas Thailand Excellent Excellent Excellent Malaysia Excellent Good Good Indonesia Excellent Good Good Vietnam Good Excellent Excellent Philippines Good Excellent Excellent Page 7 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

SEA Market Potential Forecast 45 100 40 Capacity Addition 90 35 Potential Revenue 80 Capacity Addition (MW) 30 25 20 15 10 15% CAGR 70 60 50 40 30 20 Potential Revenue ($M) 5 10 0 0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Year Page 8 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

Typical Biogas Plant Key Components Waste Collection System Bioreactor and Conversion System Gas Treatment System Gas Generator and Electrical System Page 9 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

Market Requirements Uptime ( and CER Revenue/Savings) Robust and tough products Reliable products and services Availability of parts and services Performance High efficiency Emissions compliant Life Cycle Acceptable O&M expenditures Page 10 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

Market Challenges Power Purchase Agreements with Utilities Price, duration, interconnection requirements, transparency CDM Registration Cost, complexity, delays (maturity) Page 11 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW

Hardened Biogas Platforms G3306 64-75 G3406 103-137 G3412 164-191 GEPG450 360 GEPG620 496 Special Features Able to achieve high annual operating hours Able to run on low heating value fuels Able to handle corrosive gases G3508 458 G3512 770 G3516 815-1600 G3520 1600-1966 Page 12 CATERPILLAR CONFIDENTIAL: YELLOW